3,888 research outputs found

    The early history of the Phillips curve

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    The Phillips Curve depicts a relationship between inflation and unemployment in graphical or equation form. In a previous article (see the March /April issue of this Review), Thomas Humphrey catalogued the various formulations of the relationship that have appeared since the publication in 1958 of A. W. Phillips’ famous article on the subject. In the present article, Humphrey turns to the history of monetary doctrines seeking precursors of the modern formulations in the writings of Phillips’ forerunners. Humphrey finds an early representation of a Phillips Curve relationship in the writings of David Hume. Other pioneers in the curve’s pre-history include Irving Fisher, who first attempted to verify the relationship statistically, Jan Tinbergen, who estimated the first econometric Phillips Curve equation, and Paul Sultan, who first represented the relationship as a graph. Also considered are the contributions of Henry Thornton, John Stuart Mill, Lawrence Klein, A. J. Brown and others. Despite the work of these men, the Phillips Curve did not gain wide acceptance until the 1960s. Humphrey suggests several reasons for its belated popularity.Phillips curve

    George MacLeod’s open-air preaching: performance and counter-performance

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    Stuart Blythe uses the methodology of performance to analyse George MacLeod’s open-air preaching. He points out that MacLeod’s preaching was derived from a theology of the incarnation, and an understanding of the paradoxes and dichotomies of common human life. This preaching, Blythe suggests, was also a counter-performance in the context of outlooks and ideologies inimical to the gospel. The paper raises interesting issues related to preaching as performance, and the further question as to whether or not the life and work of the Church as a whole might now be better understood as a counter-performance.Publisher PD

    Redemption in the work of Francis Stuart

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    The idea of redemption is central to an understanding of the work of Francis Stuart. Through an examination of its development and expression, it is possible to demonstrate the integrity of his work and its distinctive qualities. Such a demonstration is necessary because Stuart's writing has been subjected to comparatively little scholarly inquiry, although reviews of his work, especially that produced since 1949, suggest that it is impressive and important. First, a general background to Stuart's work, a discussion of the special problems associated with reading it, and a summary of his corpus is provided. This indicates that the idea of redemption is important to his earliest writing. The state of redemption is shown to be a necessary apotheosis for Stuart's outcast heroes; it involves spiritual suffering through which may be found a sense of reintegration and a higher reality. This is expressed through interrelated themes such as those of gambler, artist and ordinary man; mystic and criminal; sacred and profane love; and spirituality and the mundane. The nature of the redemptive experience is further elaborated by distinctive, complex motifs, especially the hare, the ark and the woman-Christ. Their recurrence provides an important element in the unity of Stuart's work. Because Stuart's idea of the outcast raises important biographical questions, an examination of the relationship between Stuart's life and his work is made. Finally, the way in which the idea of redemption exists in the language structures of Stuart's novels is examined, with especial reference to his most recent work, The High Consistory. The thesis shows that the development of the these of redemption demonstrates the integrity of Stuart's work

    The Nonlinear Phillips Curve and Inflation Forecast Targeting - Symmetric Versus Asymmetric Monetary Policy Rules

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    We extend the Svensson (1997a) inflation forecast targeting framework with a convex Phillips curve. We derive an asymmetric target rule, that implies a higher level of nominal interest rates than the Svensson (1997a) forward looking version of the reaction function popularised by Taylor (1993). Extending the analysis with uncertainty about the output gap, we find that uncertainty induces a further upward bias in nominal interest rates. Thus, the implications of uncertainty for optimal policy are the opposite of standard multiplier uncertainty analysis.inflation targets;nonlinearities;asymmetries;stochastic control

    A taxa de inflação e a utilização da capacidade instalada: a curva de Phillips para o Brasil de 2003 a 2014

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    TCC (graduação) - Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina. Centro Sócio-Econômico. Economia.Este estudo tem como objetivo a estimação de uma curva de Phillips brasileira no período 2003-2014 empregando dados relativos à inflação e à utilização da capacidade instalada. A Curva de Phillips foi estimada a partir da metodologia de Mínimos Quadrados Ordinários. A inflação foi especificada como função da expectativa inflacionária, da utilização da capacidade instalada e do repasse cambial. Os resultados demonstraram que, para o período, e com os dados utilizados, a taxa de inflação é influenciada tanto pela primeira diferença da expectativa inflacionária em t quanto pela primeira diferença da expectativa inflacionária em t-1, a utilização da capacidade instalada apresentou um relacionamento ambíguo e o repasse cambial não se mostrou significante na explicação da taxa de inflação da economia brasileira. A conclusão do trabalho foi de que a curva de Phillips, para o período examinado e com a utilização da capacidade como proxy da atividade econômica, não explica a dinâmica dos preços no Brasil (SACHSIDA; RIBEIRO; SANTOS; 2009). Chega-se a esse desfecho após a utilização da capacidade instalada não apresentar um comportamento satisfatório quando relacionada à taxa de inflação

    John Stuart Mill’s projected science of society: 1827-1848

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    The purpose of the thesis is to examine John Stuart Mill’s political thought from about 1827 to 1848 as an exercise in intellectual history. It focuses, first, on Mill’s view, formulated by the late 1830s, that contemporary society was ‘civilized’, and second, on his project of a science of society, which he aspired to develop in the late 1830s and early 1840s. By the late 1830s, Mill came to the view that his contemporary society was a ‘commercial society or civilization’, dominated by the middle, commercial class. The first part of my thesis, constituted by Chapters 2-4, discusses the way in which Mill formed his notion of civilization, and what he meant by the term ‘civilization’. Mill paid attention to the implications of the rise of the middle class, and regarded such phenomena of contemporary society as the corruption of the commercial spirit and excessive social conformity as an inevitable consequence of the rise of the middle class. The second part of the thesis, constituted by Chapters 5-9, examines Mill’s projected science of society. In the late 1830s and early 1840s, Mill attempted to develop a new science of society whose subject-matter was the nature and prospects of commercial, civilized society. This aspiration culminated in A System of Logic, published in 1843. In examining Mill’s projected science, I pay particular attention to the fact that he conceived new sciences of history and of the formation of character, both of which were indispensable in his project, although he failed to give a complete account of these sciences. My thesis shows that the implications of his interest both in history and in the formation of character are more significant than Mill scholars have assumed

    2010300093

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    PCT Number: PCT/AU2010/001256 WIPO Number: WO2011/035386Inventors: Tester, Mark Alfred; Kaiser, Brent; Carter, Scott Anthony William; Shearer, Monique; Plett, Darren Craig; Roy, Stuart John; Cotsaftis, Olivier; Tyerman, Stephan; Okamoto, Mamoru. Assignee: Australian Centre for Plant Functional Genomics Pty Ltd. Agents: Phillips Ormonde Fitzpatric

    Birmingham News sleeve BN0020186

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    J. Bryan Tony / [African movie] / Councilman M. E. Wiggins / Dr. Howard Phillips / G. Steward Keith / Councilman M. E. Wiggins presenting key of city to G. Stuart Keith with Dr. Howard Phillips in picture / Airport / [Work order included
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