156 research outputs found

    Dengue Outbreak Prediction Using Least Squares Support Vector Machines (LS-SVM)

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    In Malaysia, dengue fever (DF) and the potentially fatal dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF) remain to be a significant public health concern. Higher rainfall and unconcern attitude in the community were some of the factors that contribute to the increase of dengue cases. As number of dengue cases is increasing rapidly in Malaysia, more work need to be done in order to prevent this situation from becoming critical. This includes work on predicting future dengue outbreak. This project proposes a prediction model incorporating Least Squares Support Vector Machines(LS-SVM) in forecasting future dengue outbreak. The data sets used in the undertaken study includes data on dengue cases data and rainfall for five districts in Selangor, from 2004-2005. Results obtained indicated that LS-SVM is capable of achieving better prediction accuracy and faster learning speed compared to Neural Network Model (NNM)

    Enhanced artificial bee colony-least squares support vector machines algorithm for time series prediction

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    Over the past decades, the Least Squares Support Vector Machines (LSSVM) has been widely utilized in prediction task of various application domains. Nevertheless, existing literature showed that the capability of LSSVM is highly dependent on the value of its hyper-parameters, namely regularization parameter and kernel parameter, where this would greatly affect the generalization of LSSVM in prediction task. This study proposed a hybrid algorithm, based on Artificial Bee Colony (ABC) and LSSVM, that consists of three algorithms; ABC-LSSVM, lvABC-LSSVM and cmABC-LSSVM. The lvABC algorithm is introduced to overcome the local optima problem by enriching the searching behaviour using Levy mutation. On the other hand, the cmABC algorithm that incorporates conventional mutation addresses the over- fitting or under-fitting problem. The combination of lvABC and cmABC algorithm, which is later introduced as Enhanced Artificial Bee Colony–Least Squares Support Vector Machine (eABC-LSSVM), is realized in prediction of non renewable natural resources commodity price. Upon the completion of data collection and data pre processing, the eABC-LSSVM algorithm is designed and developed. The predictability of eABC-LSSVM is measured based on five statistical metrics which include Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), prediction accuracy, symmetric MAPE (sMAPE), Root Mean Square Percentage Error (RMSPE) and Theils’ U. Results showed that the eABC-LSSVM possess lower prediction error rate as compared to eight hybridization models of LSSVM and Evolutionary Computation (EC) algorithms. In addition, the proposed algorithm is compared to single prediction techniques, namely, Support Vector Machines (SVM) and Back Propagation Neural Network (BPNN). In general, the eABC-LSSVM produced more than 90% prediction accuracy. This indicates that the proposed eABC-LSSVM is capable of solving optimization problem, specifically in the prediction task. The eABC-LSSVM is hoped to be useful to investors and commodities traders in planning their investment and projecting their profit

    Machine Intelligent Research Group MIRG Organises Student Progress Seminar

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    The MIRG Research Group was organizing a seminar to provide a platform for students to share their views and present their progress. This activity aimed to facilitate constructive feedback from lecturers and support students in completing their studies on time (GOT)

    Online Media as a Price Monitor: Text Analysis using Text Extraction Technique and Jaro-Winkler Similarity Algorithm

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    Online media has become an essential part of everyday life in modern society. Everyone or organization is free to share their opinions and feelings about any topic on it, including information or news about commodity price fluctuations. Commodity price data from the National Strategic Price Information Center (NSPIC) website is not real-time, so it is not sufficient as a basis for monitoring commodity price fluctuations. Meanwhile, the government needs to collect data and information quickly about these price fluctuations, hence immediately strategic decisions and policies can be made to stabilize the prices. This study explores the potential function of online media by extracting the text in it and analyzing text so that it can display the commodity price data sought. The commodities used as search keywords were commodities that had the highest consumption level in 2016 in Indonesia. The texts analyzed were taken from three online media, namely Twitter, Liputan6.com, and Detik.com. It was analyzed using text extraction techniques and the application of the Jaro-Winkler algorithm to find commodity prices in the text collection. Then compare the results of text analysis with commodity prices from the NSPIC website. The experimental data were 99,007 with a data collection time of three months. From only 122 data that match the keywords, it consists of 100 training data and 22 testing data. The results of the text analysis show that the text from the Detik.com website shows the commodity prices closest to the price data from the NSPIC, while Twitter shows the farthest results. The accuracy test with the confusion matrix is 75%. Based on this research, online media texts are a viable source for monitoring commodity price fluctuations

    Feature Selection based on Particle Swarm Optimization Algorithm for Sentiment Analysis Classification

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    Online media serve as a potential secondary data source for studies on sentiment analysis. The current conditions of the data sources are very different, and it offers a variety of writing systems. Therefore, the results of accuracy in sentiment analysis are very important. An improved approach was proposed to increase the sentiment analysis accuracy based on text pre-processing and Naïve Bayes Classifier algorithm hybrid with Particle Swarm Optimization (NBC-PSO). Furthermore, the proposed algorithm solves the complex background problems about noise data and feature selection that affect the classification performance on sentiment analysis. This proceeded with the classification of positive or negative sentiments on these texts using NBC. Subsequently, the feature selection based on PSO was created to improve the accuracy. The experimental results showed that the proposed approach has a significant effect on sentiment score and polarity detection

    Vader Lexicon and Support Vector Machine Algorithm to Detect Customer Sentiment Orientation

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    Background: The concept of customer orientation, which is based on a set of fundamental beliefs that prioritize the interests of the customer, requires companies to detect these interests in order to maintain a high level of quality in their products or services. Furthermore, there are several indicators of customer orientation, and one of them is their opinion or taste, which provides valuable feedback for businesses. With the rapid development of social media, customers can express emotions, thoughts, and opinions about services or products that may not be easily conveyed in the real world. Objective: The objective of this study is to detect customer orientation towards product or service quality, as expressed in online or social media. Additionally, the study showcases the novelty and superiority of the annotation process used for detecting customer orientation classifications. Methods: This study employs a method to compare the classification performance of the Vader lexicon annotation process with manual annotation. To accomplish this, a dataset from the Amazon website will be analyzed and classified using the Support Vector Machine algorithm. The objective of this method is to determine the level of customer orientation present within the dataset. To evaluate the effectiveness of the Vader lexicon, the study will compare the results of manual and automatic data annotation. Results: The results showed that customer orientation towards product or service quality has a predominantly positive value, comprising up to 76% of the total responses analyzed. Conclusion: The findings demonstrate that using Vader in the annotation process results in superior accuracy values compared to manual annotation. Specifically, the accuracy value increased from 86% to 88.57%, indicating that Vader could be a reliable tool for annotating text. Therefore, future studies should consider using Vader as a classifier or integrating it into the annotation process to further enhance its performance

    Improving sentiment reviews classification performance using support vector machine-fuzzy matching algorithm

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    High dimensionality in data sets is one of the challenges faced in classification, data mining, and sentiment analysis. In the data set, many dimensionalities require effort to simplify. Many of these dimensionalities have a major impact on the complexity and performance of the algorithms used for classification. Various challenges were encountered, including how to determine the optimal combination of pre-processing techniques, how to clean the dataset, and determine the best classification algorithm. This study uses a new approach based on the combination of three powerful techniques which are: tokenizing-lowercasing-stemming (for series of preprocessing), support vector machine (SVM) for supervised classification, and fuzzy matching (FM) for dimensionality reduction. The proposed model was realized using 3 different datasets, namely Amazon product review, movie review, and airline review from Twitter. This study provides better findings than the previous results. Improved performance is generated by SVM combined with FM, resulting in 96% accuracy. So that the SVM-FM combination can be said to be the best combination for sentiment analysis on the given data set

    A hybridization of enhanced artificial bee colony-least squares support vector machines for price forecasting

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    Problem statement: As the performance of Least Squares Support Vector Machines (LSSVM) is highly rely on its value of regularization parameter, γ and kernel parameter,σ2 , man-made approach is clearly not an appropriate solution since it may lead to blindness in certain extent.In addition, this technique is time consuming and unsystematic, which consequently affect the generalization performance of LSSVM. Approach: This study presents an enhanced Artificial Bee Colony (ABC) to automatically optimize the hyper parameters of interest.The enhancement involved modifications that provide better exploitation activity by the bees during searching and prevent premature convergence.Later, the prediction process is accomplished by LSSVM. Results and Conclusion: Empirical results obtained indicated that feasibility of proposed technique showed a satisfactory performance by producing better prediction accuracy as compared to standard ABC-LSSVM and Back Propagation Neural Network

    A review on optimization of least squares support vector machine for time series forecasting

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    Support Vector Machine has appeared as an active study in machine learning community and extensively used in various fields including in prediction, pattern recognition and many more. However, the Least Squares Support Vector Machine which is a variant of Support Vector Machine offers better solution strategy. In order to utilize the LSSVM capability in data mining task such as prediction, there is a need to optimize its hyper parameters. This paper presents a review on techniques used to optimize the parameters based on two main classes; Evolutionary Computation and Cross Validation
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