124,909 research outputs found
Item Nonresponse, Unfolding Brackets, and Anchoring
No full textLink to publication Citation for published version (APA): Vazquez-Alvarez, R., Melenberg, B., & van Soest, A. H. O. (2001). Nonparametric Bounds in the Presence o
Going Beyond Counting First Authors in Author Co-citation Analysis
Full text linkThe present study examines one of the fundamental aspects of author co-citation analysis (ACA) - the way co-citation
counts are defined. Co-citation counting provides the data on which all subsequent statistical analyses and mappings
are based, and we compare ACA results based on two different types of co-citation counting - the traditional type that
only counts the first one among a cited work's authors on the one hand and a non-traditional type that takes into
account the first 5 authors of a cited work on the other hand. Results indicate that the picture produced through this non-traditional author co-citation counting contains more coherent author groups and is therefore considerably clearer. However, this picture represents fewer specialties in the research field being studied than that produced through the traditional first-author co-citation counting when the same number of top-ranked authors is selected and analyzed. Reasons for these effects are discussed
Dispelling the Myths Behind First-author Citation Counts
Full text linkWe conducted a full-scale evaluative citation analysis study of scholars in the XML research field to explore just how different from each other author rankings resulting from different citation counting methods actually are, and to demonstrate the capability of emerging data and tools on the Web in supporting more realistic citation counting methods. Our results contest some common arguments for the continued
use of first-author citation counts in the evaluation of scholars, such as high correlations between author rankings by first-author citation counts and other citation
counting methods, and high costs of using more realistic citation counting methods that are not well-supported by the ISI databases. It is argued that increasingly available digital full text research papers make it possible for citation analysis studies to go beyond what the ISI databases have directly supported and to employ more
sophisticated methods
Local strong D-Monotonicity of the Kalai-Smorodinsky and Nash bargaining solution
Full text linkbargaining
The Econometric Analysis of Microscopic Simulation Models
Full text linkMicroscopic simulation models are often evaluated based on visual inspection of the results.This paper presents formal econometric techniques to compare microscopic simulation (MS) models with real-life data.A related result is a methodology to compare different MS models with each other.For this purpose, possible parameters of interest, such as mean returns, or autocorrelation patterns, are classified and characterized.For each class of characteristics, the appropriate techniques are presented.We illustrate the methodology by comparing the MS model developed by Levy, Levy, and Solomon (2000) and the market fraction model developed by He and Li (2005a, b) with actual dataMicroscopic simulation models;Econometric analysis
Testing for Mean-Coherent Regular Risk Spanning
Full text linkCoherent risk measures have received considerable attention in the recent literature.Coherent regular risk measures form an important subclass: they are empirically identifiable, and, when combined with mean return, they are consistent with second order stochastic dominance.As a consequence, these risk measures are natural candidates in a mean-risk trade-off portfolio choice.In this paper we develop a mean-coherent regular risk spanning test and related performance measure.The test and the performance measure can be implemented by means of a simple semi-parametric instrumental variable regression, where instruments have a direct link with the stochastic discount factor.We illustrate applications of the spanning test and the performance measure for several coherent regular risk measures, including the well known expected shortfall.portfolio choice;coherent risk;spanning test
Global Warming and Local Dimming: The Statistical Evidence
Full text linkTwo effects largely determine global warming: the well-known greenhouse effect and the less well-known solar radiation effect. An increase in concentrations of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases contributes to global warming: the greenhouse effect. In addition, small particles, called aerosols, reflect and absorb sunlight in the atmosphere. More pollution causes an increase in aerosols, so that less sunlight reaches the Earth (global dimming). Despite its name, global dimming is primarily a local (or regional) effect. Because of the dimming the Earth becomes cooler: the solar radiation effect. Global warming thus consists of two components: the (global) greenhouse effect and the (local) solar radiation effect, which work in opposite directions. Only the sum of the greenhouse effect and the solar radiation effect is observed, not the two effects separately. Our purpose is to identify the two effects. This is important, because the existence of the solar radiation effect obscures the magnitude of the greenhouse effect. We propose a simple climate model with a small number of parameters. We gather data from a large number of weather stations around the world for the period 1959–2002. We then estimate the parameters using dynamic panel data methods, and quantify the parameter uncertainty. Next, we decompose the estimated temperature change of 0.73ºC (averaged over the weather stations) into a greenhouse effect of 1.87ºC, a solar radiation effect of −1.09ºC, and a small remainder term. Finally, we subject our findings to extensive sensitivity analyses
Pragmatic Case Studies as a Source of Unity in Applied Psychology
No full textTo unify or not to unify applied psychology: that is the question. In this article we review pendulum swings in the historical efforts to answer this question—from a comprehensive, positivist, “top-down,” deductive yes between the 1930s and the early 60s, to a postmodern no since then. A rationale and proposal for a limited, “bottom-up,” inductive yes in applied psychology is then presented, employing a case-based paradigm that integrates both positivist and postmodern themes and components. This paradigm is labeled “pragmatic psychology” and, its specific use of case studies, the “Pragmatic Case Study Method” (“PCS Method”). We call for the creation of peer-reviewed journal-databases of pragmatic case studies as a foundational source of unifying applied knowledge in our discipline. As one example, the potential of the PCS Method for unifying different angles of theoretical regard is illustrated in an area of applied psychology, psychotherapy, via the case of Mrs. B. The article then turns to the broader historical and epistemological arguments for the unifying nature of the PCS Method in both applied and basic psychology.Peer reviewe
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