277 research outputs found

    Scritti scelti di Antonino Mineo

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    Questo volume presenta una selezione ragionata degli scritti di Antonino Mineo (1936-2008), di cui mantiene la veste tipografica originale. La raccolta di scritti è preceduta dai lavori di Giuseppe Burgio, Marcello Chiodi e Vittorio Frosini, presentati in occasione della “Giornata in ricordo di Antonino Mineo”, tenuta il 22 maggio 2009 presso la Facoltà di Economia di Palermo ed al termine della quale è stata intitolata ad Antonino Mineo un'aula del dipartimento di Scienze Statistiche e Matematiche “Silvio Vianelli”. I lavori di Giuseppe Burgio e Vittorio Frosini sono due contributi originali presentati in quella giornata di studio, sul tema delle curve normali di ordine p, che è stato uno dei temi rilevanti del lavoro scientifico di Mineo; il lavoro di Marcello Chiodi costituisce una rassegna dell'opera scientifica di Antonino Mineo nel panorama della statistica italiana

    Including covariates in a space-time point process with application to seismicity

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    The paper proposes a stochastic process that improves the assessment of events in space and time, considering a contagion model (branching process) within a regression-like framework to take covariates into account. The proposed approach develops the Forward Likelihood for prediction (FLP) method for estimating the ETAS model, including covariates in the model specification of the epidemic component. A simulation study is carried out for analysing the misspecification model effect under several scenarios. Also an application to the Italian seismic catalogue is reported, together with the reference to the developed R packag

    Clustering of waveforms based on FPCA direction

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    Looking for curves similarity could be a complex issue characterized by subjective choices related to continuous transformations of observed discrete data (Chiodi, 1989). Waveforms correlation techniques have been introduced to charac- terize the degree of seismic event similarity (Menke, 1999) and in facilitating more accurate relative locations within similar event clusters by providing more precise timing of seismic wave (P and S) arrivals (Phillips, 1997). In this paper functional analysis (Ramsey, and Silverman, 2006) is considered to highlight common characteristics of waveforms-data and to summarize these charac- teristics by few components, by applying a variant of a classical clustering method to rotated data (Sangalli et al., 2010) according to the direction of maximum variance (i.e. based on PCA rotation of data)

    Severe convective storms’ reproduction: empirical analysis from the marked self-exciting point processes point of view

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    The paper focuses on the evaluation of hailstorms’ and thunderstorms winds’ events in the United States of America, in the period from 1996 to 2022, under the marked spatio-temporal self-exciting point processes point of view. The aim of the present article is the assessment and description of the spatio-temporal spontaneous and reproducing activity of severe hailstorms’ and thunderstorms winds’ processes. The present application shows how the spatio-temporal pattern is well-fitted and clearly explainable, according to the flexible semi-parametric ETAS model fitting

    Clustering of Waveforms Based on FPCA Direction

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    Abstract. Looking for curves similarity could be a complex issue characterized by subjective choices related to continuous transformations of observed discrete data (Chiodi, 1989). Waveforms correlation techniques have been introduced to charac- terize the degree of seismic event similarity (Menke, 1999) and in facilitating more accurate relative locations within similar event clusters by providing more precise timing of seismic wave (P and S) arrivals (Phillips, 1997). In this paper functional analysis (Ramsey, and Silverman, 2006) is considered to highlight common characteristics of waveforms-data and to summarize these charac- teristics by few components, by applying a variant of a classical clustering method to rotated data (Sangalli et al., 2010) according to the direction of maximum variance (i.e. based on PCA rotation of data).PublishedKarlsruhe (Germany)ope

    Mixed Non-Parametric and Parametric Estimation Techniques in R Package etasFLP for Earthquakes' Description

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    etasFLP is an R package which fits an epidemic type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model to an earthquake catalog; non-parametric background seismicity can be estimated through a forward predictive likelihood approach, while parametric components of triggered seismicity are estimated through maximum likelihood; estimation steps are alternated until convergence is obtained and for each event the probability of being a background event is estimated. The package includes options which allow its wide use. Methods for plot, summary and profile are defined for the main output class object. The paper provides examples of the package's use with description of the underlying R and Fortran routines

    Functional Principal Components direction to cluster earthquake

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    Looking for curves similarity could be a complex issue characterized by subjective choices related to continuous transformations of observed discrete data (Chiodi, 1989). In this paper we combine the aim of finding clusters from a set of individual curves to the functional nature of data, applying a variant of a k-means algorithm based on the principal component rotation of data. We apply a classical clustering method to rotated data, according to the direction of maximum variance. A k-means clustering algorithm based on PCA rotation of data is proposed, as an alternative to methods that require previous interpolation of data based on splines or linear fitting (García-Escudero and Gordaliza (2005), Tarpey (2007), Sangalli et al. (2008)).PublishedVienna (Austria)ope

    Seismic events classification through latent class regression models for point processes

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    We are trying to identify sub-processes of seismic events from the point processes’ point of view and according to the latent class regression approach. Each seismic event is classified as membership of one of the 4 identified sub-classes of seismic sequences, each defined by particular and well-defined characteristics. So far, seismic sub-sequences have been identified and described according to several declustering methods. In this application, we show how sub-processes can be identified starting from the definition of a spatio-temporal intensity function for point processes, assuming independence of the past
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