1,720,959 research outputs found

    Credit risk models for mortgage loan loss given default

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    Arguably, the credit risk models reported in the literature for the retail lendingsector have so far been less developed than those for the corporate sector,mainly due to the lack of publicly available data. Having been given access to adataset on defaulted mortgages kindly provided by a major UK bank, this workfirst investigates the Loss Given Default (LGD) of mortgage loans with thedevelopment of two separate component models, the Probability of Repossession(given default) Model and the Haircut (given repossession) Model. They are thencombined into an expected loss percentage. Performance-wise, this two-stageLGD model is shown to do better than a single-stage LGD model (which directlymodels LGD from loan and collateral characteristics), as it achieves a better Rsquarevalue, and it more accurately matches the distribution of observed LGD.We next investigate the possibility of including macroeconomic variables intoeither or both component models to improve LGD prediction. Indicators relatingto net lending, gross domestic product, national default rates and interest ratesare considered and the interest rate is found to be most beneficial to bothcomponent models. Finally, we develop a competing risk survival analysis modelto predict the time taken for a defaulted mortgage loan to reach some outcome(i.e. repossession or non-repossession). This allows for a more accurateprediction of (discounted) loss as these periods could vary from months to yearsdepending on the health of the economy. Besides loan- or collateral-relatedcharacteristics, we incorporate a time-dependent macroeconomic variable basedon the house price index (HPI) to investigate its impact on repossession risk. Wefind that observations of different loan-to-value ratios at default and differentsecurity type are affected differently by the economy. This model is then usedfor stress test purposes by applying a Monte Carlo simulation, and by varying theHPI forecast, to get different loss distributions for different economic outlooks

    sj-docx-1-dhj-10.1177_20552076221143234 - Supplemental material for Associations between smartphone keystroke dynamics and cognition in MS

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    Supplemental material, sj-docx-1-dhj-10.1177_20552076221143234 for Associations between smartphone keystroke dynamics and cognition in MS by Michelle H Chen, Alex Leow, Mindy K Ross, John DeLuca, Nancy Chiaravalloti, Silvana L Costa, Helen M Genova, Erica Weber, Faraz Hussain and Alexander P Demos in Digital Health</p

    Going Beyond Counting First Authors in Author Co-citation Analysis

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    The present study examines one of the fundamental aspects of author co-citation analysis (ACA) - the way co-citation counts are defined. Co-citation counting provides the data on which all subsequent statistical analyses and mappings are based, and we compare ACA results based on two different types of co-citation counting - the traditional type that only counts the first one among a cited work's authors on the one hand and a non-traditional type that takes into account the first 5 authors of a cited work on the other hand. Results indicate that the picture produced through this non-traditional author co-citation counting contains more coherent author groups and is therefore considerably clearer. However, this picture represents fewer specialties in the research field being studied than that produced through the traditional first-author co-citation counting when the same number of top-ranked authors is selected and analyzed. Reasons for these effects are discussed

    Variations on the Author

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    “Variations on the Author” discusses two of Eduardo Coutinho’s recent films (Um Dia na Vida, from 2010, and Últimas Conversas, posthumously released in 2015) and their contribution to the general question of documentary authorship. The director’s filmography is characterized by a consistent yet self-effacing form of authorial self-inscription: Coutinho often features as an interviewer that rather than express opinions propels discourses; an interviewer that is good at listening. This mode of self-inscription characterizes him as an author who is not expressive but who is nonetheless markedly present on the screen. In Um Dia na Vida, however, Coutinho is completely absent form the image, while Últimas Conversas, on the contrary, includes a confessional prologue that moves the director from the margins to the center of his films. This article examines the ways in which these works stand out in the filmography of a director who offers new insights into the notion of cinematic authorship

    Appropriate Similarity Measures for Author Cocitation Analysis

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    We provide a number of new insights into the methodological discussion about author cocitation analysis. We first argue that the use of the Pearson correlation for measuring the similarity between authors’ cocitation profiles is not very satisfactory. We then discuss what kind of similarity measures may be used as an alternative to the Pearson correlation. We consider three similarity measures in particular. One is the well-known cosine. The other two similarity measures have not been used before in the bibliometric literature. Finally, we show by means of an example that our findings have a high practical relevance.information science;Pearson correlation;cosine;similarity measure;author cocitation analysis

    Dispelling the Myths Behind First-author Citation Counts

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    We conducted a full-scale evaluative citation analysis study of scholars in the XML research field to explore just how different from each other author rankings resulting from different citation counting methods actually are, and to demonstrate the capability of emerging data and tools on the Web in supporting more realistic citation counting methods. Our results contest some common arguments for the continued use of first-author citation counts in the evaluation of scholars, such as high correlations between author rankings by first-author citation counts and other citation counting methods, and high costs of using more realistic citation counting methods that are not well-supported by the ISI databases. It is argued that increasingly available digital full text research papers make it possible for citation analysis studies to go beyond what the ISI databases have directly supported and to employ more sophisticated methods

    Author Index

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    koamabayili/VECTRON-author-checklist: VECTRON author checklist

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    We have done our best to complete the author checklist relating to the use of animals in the hut study. Note that the objective for the hut study was to evaluate the IRS treatment applications for residual efficacy against Anopheles mosquitoes, including the local An. coluzzii mosquito population. Cows were only used to attract mosquitoes into the huts and no tests were carried out directly on the cows. The author checklist is intended for use with studies where experiments are carried out on animals, which is why we have had such difficulty in completing this for the hut study, as many of the questions do not relate to how the cows were used
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