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    A decision support system for probabilistic ecological risk assessment (PERA) of pollutants on aquatic ecosystems

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    The thesis is related with the development of a fully functional, modular Decision Support System (DSS) for performing Probabilistic Ecological Risk Assessment (PERA) of pollutants in aquatic environments. The Decision Support System is a 3‐module software, which integrates the use of Multi‐Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) methods for the quantitative assessment of the reliability and relevance of ecotoxicological data. Ecotoxicological data are vital components of the Ecological Risk Assessment processes and specifically the Effect assessment part. A MCDA based methodology (i.e. from the definition of the conceptual framework to the software implementation in collaboration with an experienced programmer) has been fully developed for the assessment of ecotoxicological data, which are used for the creation of weighted Species Sensitivity Distribution (SSWD) graphs. The innovative MCDA based methodology allows the assessment of ecotoxicological data based on a set of 57 distinctive criteria and gives the possibility to researchers to classify and rank ecotoxicological data, based on their various characteristics. As part of the research project, a case study application has been performed for the analysis of the ecological risk from the presence of cyanide in the Sélune watershed, at the Manche region of the Lower Normandy in the north‐west part of France. Environmental exposure data of cyanide (CN) have been collected from the Water Agency of ‘Seine‐Normandie’ and used in the Exposure Assessment module, while ecotoxicological data for cyanide gathered from peer‐reviewed publications have been analysed with the use of the proposed MCDA based methodology, in the Effect Assessment module. The ecological risk assessment process was concluded with the calculation of the risk indices in the last module of the DSS

    A decision support system for probabilistic ecological risk assessment (PERA) of pollutants on aquatic ecosystems

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    Ecological Risk Assessment (ERA) is a process undertaken for estimating the environmental harms caused by human activities. The assessment is based on three components: effect assessment, exposure assessment, and risk characterisation. The latter is a combination of the former two. Various methodologies can be used for performing ERA, which can be categorised into deterministic and probabilistic. Probabilistic techniques have been at the focus of research the last years, due to their elaborated character and the possibilities they offer for more refined risk assessments. Despite their obvious advantages, probabilistic techniques present also disadvantages and challenges that need to be tackled. In the thesis, the possibility of exploring further the concept of Probabilistic Ecological Risk Assessment (PERA) is addressed. The main motivation of the thesis is identified in the effort to combine various well known concepts and methods for Ecological Risk Assessment, while enhancing them with new features and functionalities to serve the current needs of Risk Assessors. Therefore, providing a complete software package that allows performing efficient Propabilistic ERA (PERA) and offers related functionalities, all gathered in one place. The proposed software is developed as part of the research project AMORE (funded by the National French Research Academy – ANR). A proposal for a Decision Support System (DSS), named AMORE DSS, supporting Probabilistic ERA is described in detail and validated through the application of the proposed DSS to a case study for assessing the effects and risks posed by the presence of cyanide in a river in north-western France. The AMORE DSS aims at allowing efficient Probabilistic ERA and tackles issues related with PERA and the concept of weighted Species Sensitivity Distributions (SSWD) such as the handling of uncertainty in PERA, the production of reliable SSWD graphs and the assessment of the quality of ecotoxicological data. The theoretical section of the thesis is split into two main parts. In the first, the concept of Ecological Risk Assessment is introduced and the principal methods of interest are described. It is followed by the presentation of the concepts of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) and Decision Support Systems (DSS), which are important aspects of the developed research. The methodological developments of the thesis are based on a proposal for the estimation of the reliability and relevance of ecotoxicological data used in ERA, which is presented in detail and evaluated. The proposed methodology is based on Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis and allows the assessment of ecotoxicological data on the basis of a fixed set of criteria and mathematically stable and robust aggregation techniques. Therefore, the methodology suggests the production of reliable weighted Species Sensitivity Distributions, a vital component of the probabilistic ERA and the calculation of risk probabilities. The proposal allows incorporating in the risk assessment the knowledge gathered from an expert panel and gives significant strength to the risk assessors for the performed assessments, through the use of previously not widely available information and expertise. The proposed DSS is built on the three components (exposure, effects, risk) of ERA and provides a complete set of functionalities to the risk assessors, enhanced with unique features. The thesis describes in detail the development of the software and the functionalities of each of its modules. The Exposure Assessment module aims at providing to the Decision Maker/Risk Assessor a collection of tools for the statistical analysis of environmental exposure data, through the concept of Predicted Environmental Concentration. The Effect Assessment module is based on the concept of weighted Species Sensitivity Distributions (SSWD) and incorporates the proposed methodology for the assessment of the reliability and relevance of ecotoxicological data. The Risk Assessment module is based on the concept of Potentially Affected Fraction (PAF) and aims at synthesising the results of the previous two modules for the estimation of risks, in an efficient and easy to present way. The last part of the thesis is dedicated to the application of the DSS to a real life case study. A Risk Assessment process is performed for estimating the sensitivity of species to the presence of Cyanide (CN) in the environment, for estimating Environmental Quality Criteria (EQC) for the assessed case and for estimating the level of risk posed from Cyanide at the ecosystem. The assessed area is the Selune rivershed in the Manche department of the lower Normandy region in France, where four sampling stations have been identified with records of Cyanide presence for the period 2005-2014. Regarding the ecotoxicological data of the case study, 26 scientific articles on cyanide toxicity, published in the period 1965-2011, have been analysed for the extraction and assessment of 46 toxicological endpoints for the aquatic environment. The case study is firstly based on all the available ecotoxicological data and secondly based on data split per taxonomic groups (i.e vertebrates, invertebrates) and trophic levels (i.e. primary producers, primary/secondary consumers). Specifically, six (6) sets of SSWD graphs are produced (i.e. All data, Vertebrates, Invertebrates, Primary producers, Primary consumers, Secondary consumers) with the use of two weighting options: (i) the weighting coefficients that are produced with the application of the MCDA based methodology and (ii) equal weighting coefficients for all the data. A comprehensive comparison of the two types of SSWD is performed and discussed in detail for the identification of the appropriateness of the fitting of the SSD curves to the experimental data. Hazardous concentrations (HCx) are estimated and presented for all the taxonomic groups and trophic levels. In addition, in combination with the results of the statistical analysis of the environmental exposure data, the risk is estimated for the assessed stations in the case study area. The results of the case study show that the primary producers are found to be the most sensitive trophic level while Invertebrates are more sensitive as a taxonomic group for low cyanide concentrations and Vertebrates are more sensitive for higher concentrations. Regarding the calculated risk indices, station 3 (L’Yvrande) of the Manche region is the area with the higher estimated risk. The performed application of the DSS in the cyanide case study demonstrates a complete probabilistic Ecological Risk Assessment process with the use of Species Sensitivity Distributions and the utilisation of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis. The case study, alongside with the validation of the developed DSS, demonstrates the performance of the proposed MCDA-based WoE framework for the analysis of ecotoxicological data, based on three distinctive Lines of Evidence (Experimental Reliability, Statistical Reliability, Biological Relevance). The framework and the related MCDA methodology constitute an innovative development in the field of quantitative ecotoxicological data assessment frameworks. Furthermore, a robust performance of the DSS has been identified, which allows potential for adoption within the risk assessment research fields.The thesis is concluded with future considerations for the developed DSS, which could provide interesting functionalities and extensions of the capabilities of the software

    Going Beyond Counting First Authors in Author Co-citation Analysis

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    The present study examines one of the fundamental aspects of author co-citation analysis (ACA) - the way co-citation counts are defined. Co-citation counting provides the data on which all subsequent statistical analyses and mappings are based, and we compare ACA results based on two different types of co-citation counting - the traditional type that only counts the first one among a cited work's authors on the one hand and a non-traditional type that takes into account the first 5 authors of a cited work on the other hand. Results indicate that the picture produced through this non-traditional author co-citation counting contains more coherent author groups and is therefore considerably clearer. However, this picture represents fewer specialties in the research field being studied than that produced through the traditional first-author co-citation counting when the same number of top-ranked authors is selected and analyzed. Reasons for these effects are discussed

    Variations on the Author

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    “Variations on the Author” discusses two of Eduardo Coutinho’s recent films (Um Dia na Vida, from 2010, and Últimas Conversas, posthumously released in 2015) and their contribution to the general question of documentary authorship. The director’s filmography is characterized by a consistent yet self-effacing form of authorial self-inscription: Coutinho often features as an interviewer that rather than express opinions propels discourses; an interviewer that is good at listening. This mode of self-inscription characterizes him as an author who is not expressive but who is nonetheless markedly present on the screen. In Um Dia na Vida, however, Coutinho is completely absent form the image, while Últimas Conversas, on the contrary, includes a confessional prologue that moves the director from the margins to the center of his films. This article examines the ways in which these works stand out in the filmography of a director who offers new insights into the notion of cinematic authorship

    Appropriate Similarity Measures for Author Cocitation Analysis

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    We provide a number of new insights into the methodological discussion about author cocitation analysis. We first argue that the use of the Pearson correlation for measuring the similarity between authors’ cocitation profiles is not very satisfactory. We then discuss what kind of similarity measures may be used as an alternative to the Pearson correlation. We consider three similarity measures in particular. One is the well-known cosine. The other two similarity measures have not been used before in the bibliometric literature. Finally, we show by means of an example that our findings have a high practical relevance.information science;Pearson correlation;cosine;similarity measure;author cocitation analysis

    Dispelling the Myths Behind First-author Citation Counts

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    We conducted a full-scale evaluative citation analysis study of scholars in the XML research field to explore just how different from each other author rankings resulting from different citation counting methods actually are, and to demonstrate the capability of emerging data and tools on the Web in supporting more realistic citation counting methods. Our results contest some common arguments for the continued use of first-author citation counts in the evaluation of scholars, such as high correlations between author rankings by first-author citation counts and other citation counting methods, and high costs of using more realistic citation counting methods that are not well-supported by the ISI databases. It is argued that increasingly available digital full text research papers make it possible for citation analysis studies to go beyond what the ISI databases have directly supported and to employ more sophisticated methods

    Author Index

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    koamabayili/VECTRON-author-checklist: VECTRON author checklist

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    We have done our best to complete the author checklist relating to the use of animals in the hut study. Note that the objective for the hut study was to evaluate the IRS treatment applications for residual efficacy against Anopheles mosquitoes, including the local An. coluzzii mosquito population. Cows were only used to attract mosquitoes into the huts and no tests were carried out directly on the cows. The author checklist is intended for use with studies where experiments are carried out on animals, which is why we have had such difficulty in completing this for the hut study, as many of the questions do not relate to how the cows were used
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