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A Causal Inference Framework for Identifying Critical Windows of Time-Varying Exposures
There has been great clinical interest in the concept of ‘critical windows’ or ‘sensitive periods’ of environmental exposures. The concept of a critical window, defined formally in this dissertation, refers to a specific time period during which an individual is more susceptible to developing an outcome in response to a particular exposure than at other times. The statistical methods used to identify these critical windows have several limitations, and applied researchers are often limited to using methods developed for different research questions which can lead to bias, inflated Type I error rates, and low power.
Studies on environmental exposures are almost always observational by necessity, and it remains an ongoing challenge to interpret results as the causal effect of intervening on the exposure rather than merely as an association between the exposure and the outcome. Because the methods currently in use have not been previously examined through a causal inference lens, results across studies are difficult to compare, even if the same covariates are used.
This dissertation seeks to combine these two areas of interest by proposing a framework for the identification of critical windows from a causal inference perspective. Throughout this work, we demonstrate how different methods should be employed to answer subtly different research questions and compare our methods to existing approaches through simulations where appropriate.
In Chapter 1, we introduce our novel flexible CAusaL Identification of Critical windOws - Modified Treatment Policy (CALICO-MTP) framework, extending previous work on using a dose modification scheme to estimate the causal effect of continuous exposures. We propose dividing the concept of critical window identification into three distinct research questions, each addressed with different approaches. These questions are: 1) Curve estimation: what does the exposure-outcome relationship look like over time? 2) Hypothesis testing: is there any time window during which there is an effect of intervening on the exposure? and 3) Window selection: after determining that there is a causal relationship, what is the critical window for that exposure? For the first question, we propose a curve estimation strategy to yield results similar to those of the commonly used distributed lag model (DLM). For the second, we propose estimating the effect of intervening on
all biologically plausible windows and combining the p-values using the Aggregated Cauchy Association Test (ACAT), a p-value combination method that accounts for strong correlations between test statistics. For the third, we discuss strategies for selecting the window once the global null has been rejected. We apply these methods to a dataset from Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center (BIDMC) and compare them to previous results regarding the effect of Nitrogen Dioxide (NO2) exposure on the 32-40 week fetal head circumference as measured by ultrasound45, and we present a novel visualization for the causal effect of intervening on time intervals.
In Chapter 2, we present a variant of this framework, CALICO-ADRF, that explicitly models nonlinear dose-response relationships by estimating the Average Dose Response Function (ADRF) for each time window. This nonlinear relationship is particularly relevant for environmental exposures such as metals, where some are necessary minerals at low exposures but act as toxins at high exposure levels, and temperature, which may exhibit a thresholding effect for certain outcomes. We use a scalar test statistic that is the integrated squared derivative of the estimated ADRF to perform global hypothesis testing with Type I error control and improved power compared to the methods of Chapter 1 for biologically-plausible nonlinear dose-response curves. We demonstrate these results looking at the effect of maternal prenatal temperature exposure and birthweight for full-term deliveries in the same BIDMC cohort.
In Chapter 3, we present a discussion of causal inference concepts specifically tailored to the methods most commonly used for time-varying environmental exposures, offering a novel perspec- tive for researchers. We present a framework through which the target estimand of different mod- eling approaches can be compared, improving the ability to draw meaningful and comparable conclusions across studies. We explore the different estimands that these methods target and illustrate when these estimands align or diverge depending on the underlying causal structure of the exposure. Finally, we provide guidance for researchers on how to appropriately align their methodological choices with their research questions.Biostatistic
Going Beyond Counting First Authors in Author Co-citation Analysis
The present study examines one of the fundamental aspects of author co-citation analysis (ACA) - the way co-citation
counts are defined. Co-citation counting provides the data on which all subsequent statistical analyses and mappings
are based, and we compare ACA results based on two different types of co-citation counting - the traditional type that
only counts the first one among a cited work's authors on the one hand and a non-traditional type that takes into
account the first 5 authors of a cited work on the other hand. Results indicate that the picture produced through this non-traditional author co-citation counting contains more coherent author groups and is therefore considerably clearer. However, this picture represents fewer specialties in the research field being studied than that produced through the traditional first-author co-citation counting when the same number of top-ranked authors is selected and analyzed. Reasons for these effects are discussed
Variations on the Author
“Variations on the Author” discusses two of Eduardo Coutinho’s recent films (Um Dia na Vida, from 2010, and Últimas Conversas, posthumously released in 2015) and their contribution to the general question of documentary authorship. The director’s filmography is characterized by a consistent yet self-effacing form of authorial self-inscription: Coutinho often features as an interviewer that rather than express opinions propels discourses; an interviewer that is good at listening. This mode of self-inscription characterizes him as an author who is not expressive but who is nonetheless markedly present on the screen. In Um Dia na Vida, however, Coutinho is completely absent form the image, while Últimas Conversas, on the contrary, includes a confessional prologue that moves the director from the margins to the center of his films. This article examines the ways in which these works stand out in the filmography of a director who offers new insights into the notion of cinematic authorship
Appropriate Similarity Measures for Author Cocitation Analysis
We provide a number of new insights into the methodological discussion about author cocitation analysis. We first argue that the use of the Pearson correlation for measuring the similarity between authors’ cocitation profiles is not very satisfactory. We then discuss what kind of similarity measures may be used as an alternative to the Pearson correlation. We consider three similarity measures in particular. One is the well-known cosine. The other two similarity measures have not been used before in the bibliometric literature. Finally, we show by means of an example that our findings have a high practical relevance.information science;Pearson correlation;cosine;similarity measure;author cocitation analysis
Dispelling the Myths Behind First-author Citation Counts
We conducted a full-scale evaluative citation analysis study of scholars in the XML research field to explore just how different from each other author rankings resulting from different citation counting methods actually are, and to demonstrate the capability of emerging data and tools on the Web in supporting more realistic citation counting methods. Our results contest some common arguments for the continued
use of first-author citation counts in the evaluation of scholars, such as high correlations between author rankings by first-author citation counts and other citation
counting methods, and high costs of using more realistic citation counting methods that are not well-supported by the ISI databases. It is argued that increasingly available digital full text research papers make it possible for citation analysis studies to go beyond what the ISI databases have directly supported and to employ more
sophisticated methods
koamabayili/VECTRON-author-checklist: VECTRON author checklist
We have done our best to complete the author checklist relating to the use of animals in the hut study. Note that the objective for the hut study was to evaluate the IRS treatment applications for residual efficacy against Anopheles mosquitoes, including the local An. coluzzii mosquito population. Cows were only used to attract mosquitoes into the huts and no tests were carried out directly on the cows. The author checklist is intended for use with studies where experiments are carried out on animals, which is why we have had such difficulty in completing this for the hut study, as many of the questions do not relate to how the cows were used
Author-wise bibliometric analysis based on entropy.
Author-wise bibliometric analysis based on entropy.</p
Author Under Sail The Imagination of Jack London, 1893-1902
In Author Under Sail, Jay Williams offers the first complete literary biography of Jack London as a professional writer engaged in the labor of writing. It examines the authorial imagination in London's work, the use of imagination in both his fiction and nonfiction, and the ways he defined imagination in the creative process in his business dealings with his publishers, editors, and agents. In this first volume of a two-volume biography, Williams traverses the years 1893 to 1902, from London's "Story of a Typhoon" to The People of the Abyss. The Jack London who emerges in the pages of Author Under Sail is a writer whose partnership with publishers, most notably his productive alliance with George Brett of Macmillan, was one of the most formative in American literary history. London pioneered many author models during the heyday of realism and naturalism, blurring the boundaries of these popular genres by focusing on absorption and theatricality and the representation of the seen and unseen. London created an impassioned, sincere, and extremely personal realism unlike that of other American writers of the time. Author Under Sail is a literary tour de force that reveals the full range of London as writer, creative citizen, and entrepreneur at the same time it sheds light on the maverick side of machine-age literature.Intro -- Title Page -- Copyright Page -- Dedication -- Contents -- Acknowledgments -- Introduction -- 1. Spirit Truth -- 2. From Absorption to Theatricality and Back Again -- 3. "I Will Build a New Present" -- 4. Sons as Authors -- 5. Fathers as Publishers -- 6. The Daughter as Author -- 7. Lovers as Authors -- 8. At Sea with the Family -- 9. Yellow News, Yellow Stories -- 10. The Return Home -- Notes -- Bibliography -- Index -- About Jay WilliamsIn Author Under Sail, Jay Williams offers the first complete literary biography of Jack London as a professional writer engaged in the labor of writing. It examines the authorial imagination in London's work, the use of imagination in both his fiction and nonfiction, and the ways he defined imagination in the creative process in his business dealings with his publishers, editors, and agents. In this first volume of a two-volume biography, Williams traverses the years 1893 to 1902, from London's "Story of a Typhoon" to The People of the Abyss. The Jack London who emerges in the pages of Author Under Sail is a writer whose partnership with publishers, most notably his productive alliance with George Brett of Macmillan, was one of the most formative in American literary history. London pioneered many author models during the heyday of realism and naturalism, blurring the boundaries of these popular genres by focusing on absorption and theatricality and the representation of the seen and unseen. London created an impassioned, sincere, and extremely personal realism unlike that of other American writers of the time. Author Under Sail is a literary tour de force that reveals the full range of London as writer, creative citizen, and entrepreneur at the same time it sheds light on the maverick side of machine-age literature.Description based on publisher supplied metadata and other sources.Electronic reproduction. Ann Arbor, Michigan : ProQuest Ebook Central, YYYY. Available via World Wide Web. Access may be limited to ProQuest Ebook Central affiliated libraries
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