42,460 research outputs found
Results of expert judgments on the faults and risks with Autosub3 and an analysis of its campaign to Pine Island Bay, Antarctica, 2009
No full textProbabilistic risk assessment is a methodology that can be systematically applied to estimate the risk associated with the design and operation of complex systems. The National Oceanography Centre, Southampton, UK has developed a risk management process tailored to the operation of autonomous underwater vehicles. Central to the application of the risk management process is a probabilistic risk assessment. The risk management process was applied to estimate the risk associated with an Autosub3 science campaign in the Pine Island Glacier, Antarctica, and to support decision making. The campaign was successful. In this paper we present the Autosub3 risk model and we show how this model was used to assess the campaign risk
The calibration of two acoustic current meters developed at the Christian Michelsen Institute, Norway
No full textRecommended from our members
Theoretical Loss and Gambling Intensity (Revisited): A Response to Braverman et al. (2013)
No full textIn this paper, we provide a brief response to Braverman and colleagues’ (2013) critique of our ‘Theoretical Loss’ metric as a measure of monetary gambling intensity (Auer & Griffiths, 2013; Auer, Schneeberger & Griffiths, 2012). We argue that ‘gambling intensity’ and ‘gambling involvement’ are essentially the same construct as descriptors of monetary gambling activity. Additionally, we acknowledge that playing duration (i.e., the amount of time – as opposed to money – actually spent gambling) is clearly another important indicator of gambling involvement – something that we have consistently noted in our previous studies including our empirical studies on gambling using behavioural tracking data. Braverman and colleagues claim that the concept of Theoretical Loss is nullified when statistical analysis focuses solely on one game type as the house edge is constant across all games. In fact, they state, the correlation between total amount wagered and Theoretical Loss is perfect. Unfortunately, this is incorrect. To disprove the claim made, we demonstrate that in sports betting (i.e., a single game type), the amount wagered does not reflect monetary gambling involvement using actual payout percentage data (based on 52,500 independent bets provided to us by an online European bookmaker). After reviewing the arguments presented by Braverman and colleagues, we are still of the view that when it comes to purely monetary measures of ‘gambling intensity’, the Theoretical Loss metric is a more robust and accurate measure than other financial proxy measures such as ‘amount wagered’ (i.e., bet size) as a measure of what players are prepared to financially risk while gambling
Letter from Carl Hayden to George W. P. Hunt
No full textLetter from Carl Hayden to Governor George W. P. Hunt asking the governor to submit the idea of a national park near the rim of the Grand Canyon to the state legislature during the special session. Hayden mentions the state of Arizona would be charged about 1.25 an acre. W. W. Bass and Bass Camp are also included in the letter
Letter from George W. P. Hunt to President Calvin Coolidge
No full textLetter from Governor George W. P. Hunt to Calvin Coolidge arguing for more autonomy in Arizona state matters
Letter from George W. P. Hunt to Carl Hayden
No full textLetter from Governor George W. P. Hunt to Carl Hayden expressing his support for legislation that would grant National Park status to the Grand Canyon
Letter from Carl Hayden to George W. P. Hunt
No full textLetter from Carl Hayden to George W. P. Hunt outlining the proposed national park boundaries and the cost of a township if the state of Arizona decided to acquire one on the rim of the Grand Canyon
Genuine memoirs of the celebrated Miss Maria Brown [electronic resource] : Exhibiting the life of a courtezan, in the most fashionable scenes of dissipation. Published by the author of a W** of P*** In two volumes.
No full textAuthor of a W** of P*** [Woman of Pleasure] = John Cleland, to whom this work is sometimes attributed.Electronic reproduction.English Short Title Catalog,Reproduction of original from British Library
Risk Analysis for Autonomous Underwater Vehicle Operations in Extreme Environments
No full textAutonomous underwater vehicles (AUVs) are used increasingly to explore hazardous marine environments. Risk assessment for such complex systems is based on subjective judgment and expert knowledge as much as on hard statistics. Here, we describe the use of a risk management process tailored to AUV operations, the implementation of which requires the elicitation of expert judgment. We conducted a formal judgment elicitation process where eight world experts in AUV design and operation were asked to assign a probability of AUV loss given the emergence of each fault or incident from the vehicle's life history of 63 faults and incidents. After discussing methods of aggregation and analysis, we show how the aggregated risk estimates obtained from the expert judgments were used to create a risk model. To estimate AUV survival with mission distance, we adopted a statistical survival function based on the nonparametric Kaplan-Meier estimator. We present theoretical formulations for the estimator, its variance, and confidence limits. We also present a numerical example where the approach is applied to estimate the probability that the Autosub3 AUV would survive a set of missions under Pine Island Glacier, Antarctica in January–March 2009
Dr. Edward P. Wimberly, ITC, July 2011
No full textThis video is a conversation with Dr. Edward P. Wimberly. Dr. Wimberly talks about his book, "No Shame in Wesley's Gospel: A Twenty-First Century Pastoral Gospel". Brad Ost, AUC Woodruff Library, is the interviewer
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