1,721,142 research outputs found
Tracking progress towards malaria elimination in China: estimates of reproduction numbers and their spatiotemporal variation
No full textChina reported zero locally-acquired malaria cases in 2017 and 2018. Understanding the spatio-temporal pattern underlying this decline, especially the relationship between locally-acquired and imported cases, can inform efforts to maintain elimination and prevent re-emergence. This is particularly pertinent in Yunnan province, where the potential for local transmission is highest. Using a geo-located individual-level dataset of cases recorded in Yunnan province between 2011 and 2016, we jointly estimate the case reproduction number, Rc, and the number of unobserved sources of infection. We use these estimates within spatio-temporal geostatistical models to map how transmission varied over time and space, estimate the timeline to elimination and the risk of resurgence. Our estimates suggest that, maintaining current intervention efforts, Yunnan is unlikely to experience sustained local transmission up to 2020. However, even with a mean Rc of 0.005 projected for the year 2019, locally-acquired cases are possible due to high levels of importation
Modelling the dynamics and control of aedes aegypti populations at fine spatial scales
Full text linkNovel vector control measures such as the release of Wolbachia-infected Aedes aegypti offer a promising new pathway for dengue control. However, to realistically model the likely impact of these measures, improved mathematical models of Aedes aegypti population dynamics are needed, with the final goal being spatially explicit models of Aedes aegypti population dynamics, calibrated against high quality entomological data.
Here we begin to address the challenge of developing such models by (i) examining the role
of spatial structure in shaping the dynamics of Aedes aegypti populations at fine spatial scales
and (ii) using advanced inferential methods to fit a dynamical model of Aedes aegypti population
dynamics to entomological field data, while allowing for the highly variable nature of mosquito trapping data.
We explore the effects of larval breeding habitat fragmentation on fine-scale Aedes aegypti
population dynamics for a variety of different landscapes, examining how features of the
underlying landscape and the dispersal behaviour of the mosquito affect the dynamics observed. In addition, by modelling the same population at different levels of spatial granularity, we investigate the appropriate level of spatial granularity for models to adopt to represent the fine-scale dynamics of Aedes aegypti populations.
We examine the results of a small-scale field trial testing the use of Wolbachia as a tool for
Aedes aegypti population suppression in Singapore by calibrating a stochastic model of Aedes aegypti population dynamics against the detailed entomological data collected during the trial. We model both the underlying population dynamics and the trapping process, thereby accounting for variability in mosquito trapping data when estimating the impact of the trial on local Aedes aegypti populations.
Thus, the work presented in this thesis represents an important step forward in the challenge of developing models needed to realistically assess the likely impact of novel vector control measures.Open Acces
Going Beyond Counting First Authors in Author Co-citation Analysis
Full text linkThe present study examines one of the fundamental aspects of author co-citation analysis (ACA) - the way co-citation
counts are defined. Co-citation counting provides the data on which all subsequent statistical analyses and mappings
are based, and we compare ACA results based on two different types of co-citation counting - the traditional type that
only counts the first one among a cited work's authors on the one hand and a non-traditional type that takes into
account the first 5 authors of a cited work on the other hand. Results indicate that the picture produced through this non-traditional author co-citation counting contains more coherent author groups and is therefore considerably clearer. However, this picture represents fewer specialties in the research field being studied than that produced through the traditional first-author co-citation counting when the same number of top-ranked authors is selected and analyzed. Reasons for these effects are discussed
Variations on the Author
Full text link“Variations on the Author” discusses two of Eduardo Coutinho’s recent films (Um Dia na Vida, from 2010, and Últimas Conversas, posthumously released in 2015) and their contribution to the general question of documentary authorship. The director’s filmography is characterized by a consistent yet self-effacing form of authorial self-inscription: Coutinho often features as an interviewer that rather than express opinions propels discourses; an interviewer that is good at listening. This mode of self-inscription characterizes him as an author who is not expressive but who is nonetheless markedly present on the screen. In Um Dia na Vida, however, Coutinho is completely absent form the image, while Últimas Conversas, on the contrary, includes a confessional prologue that moves the director from the margins to the center of his films. This article examines the ways in which these works stand out in the filmography of a director who offers new insights into the notion of cinematic authorship
Appropriate Similarity Measures for Author Cocitation Analysis
Full text linkWe provide a number of new insights into the methodological discussion about author cocitation analysis. We first argue that the use of the Pearson correlation for measuring the similarity between authors’ cocitation profiles is not very satisfactory. We then discuss what kind of similarity measures may be used as an alternative to the Pearson correlation. We consider three similarity measures in particular. One is the well-known cosine. The other two similarity measures have not been used before in the bibliometric literature. Finally, we show by means of an example that our findings have a high practical relevance.information science;Pearson correlation;cosine;similarity measure;author cocitation analysis
Dispelling the Myths Behind First-author Citation Counts
Full text linkWe conducted a full-scale evaluative citation analysis study of scholars in the XML research field to explore just how different from each other author rankings resulting from different citation counting methods actually are, and to demonstrate the capability of emerging data and tools on the Web in supporting more realistic citation counting methods. Our results contest some common arguments for the continued
use of first-author citation counts in the evaluation of scholars, such as high correlations between author rankings by first-author citation counts and other citation
counting methods, and high costs of using more realistic citation counting methods that are not well-supported by the ISI databases. It is argued that increasingly available digital full text research papers make it possible for citation analysis studies to go beyond what the ISI databases have directly supported and to employ more
sophisticated methods
Commentary: Predicting the unpredictable: the future incidence of variant Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease.
No full textkoamabayili/VECTRON-author-checklist: VECTRON author checklist
No full textWe have done our best to complete the author checklist relating to the use of animals in the hut study. Note that the objective for the hut study was to evaluate the IRS treatment applications for residual efficacy against Anopheles mosquitoes, including the local An. coluzzii mosquito population. Cows were only used to attract mosquitoes into the huts and no tests were carried out directly on the cows. The author checklist is intended for use with studies where experiments are carried out on animals, which is why we have had such difficulty in completing this for the hut study, as many of the questions do not relate to how the cows were used
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