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    Modellierung vergangener, gegenwärtiger und zukünftiger klimainduzierter Vegetationsveränderungen in Ostafrika

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    Ostafrika ist ein natürliches Labor: Durch ein Studium seiner einzigartigen geologischen und biologischen Geschichte lassen sich unsere Theorien und Modelle überprüfen und verbessern. Ein Studium seiner Gegenwart und seiner Zukunft wiederum hilft uns dabei, die global bedeutende Artenvielfalt und die ökosystemaren Dienstleistungen Ostafrikas zu schützen. Eine zentrale Rolle spielt dabei spielt die ostafrikanische Vegetation, deren Dynamiken in dieser Dissertation durch Computersimulationen quantifiziert werden sollen. Über Computersimulationen lassen sich frühere Rahmenbedingungen reproduzieren, Voraussagen treffen oder Simulationsexperimente durchführen, die durch Feldforschung nicht möglich wären. Zuallererst muss jedoch ihre Leistungsfähigkeit überprüft werden. Die von dem Modell anhand der heutigen Inputs gelieferten Ergebnisse stimmten weitgehend mit heutigen Beobachtungen ostafrikanischer Vegetation überein. Als nächstes wurde die frühere Vegetation simuliert, für die fossile Pollen-Daten zum Abgleich vorliegen. Über Computermodelle lassen sich Wissenslücken zwischen Standorten überbrücken, bei denen wir über fossile Pollen-Daten verfügen, sodass ein vollständigeres Bild der Vergangenheit entsteht. Zusätzlich validiert wurde die Leistungsfähigkeit des Modells durch die hohe Übereinstimmung zwischen Modell und Pollen-Daten, wo sie im Raum überlappen. Nachdem das Modell getestet und für die Region validiert war, konnte eine der seit langem offenen Fragen über die ostafrikanische Vegetation angegangen werden, nämlich wie Ostafrika seines Tropenwaldes verlustig gehen konnte. In den Tropen wird die heutige Vegetation weltweit hauptsächlich von Wäldern dominiert, mit Ausnahme der Tropengebiete Ostafrikas, wo Wälder nur noch stellenweise an der Küste und im Hochland vorkommen. Durch eine Reihe von Simulationsexperimenten konnte aufgezeigt werden, unter welchen Bedingungen jene Waldgebiete früher zusammenhingen und schließlich fragmentiert wurden. Die Studie hat erwiesen, wie empfindlich die ostafrikanische Vegetation für die Klimaschwankungen ist, die durch den künftigen Klimawandel zu erwarten sind. Weitere Auswirkungen auf das ostafrikanische Klima ergeben sich aus dem El Niño/Southern Oscillation-Phänomen (ENSO), das aus Temperaturfluktuationen zwischen dem Ozean und der Atmosphäre herrührt und künftig an Intensität zunehmen dürfte. Die derzeitigen Klimamodelle sind allerdings noch nicht gut genug beim Erfassen solcher Ereignismuster. In einer Studie wurde der Einfluss des ENSO-Phänomens auf die ostafrikanische Vegetation quantifiziert und dabei aufgezeigt, wie sehr sich die künftige Vegetation von den heute simulierten Ergebnissen unterscheiden könnte, bei denen der genaue ENSO-Beitrag nicht berücksichtigt werden kann. Bei der Berechnung der künftigen weltweiten CO2-Bilanz und den zu treffenden Entscheidungen stellt dies einen zusätzlichen Unsicherheitsfaktor dar.East Africa is a natural laboratory: Studying its unique geological and biological history can help us better inform our theories and models. Studying its present and future can help us protect its globally important biodiversity and ecosystem services. East African vegetation plays a central role in all these aspects, and this dissertation aims to quantify its dynamics through computer simulations. Computer models help us recreate past settings, forecast into the future or conduct simulation experiments that we cannot otherwise perform in the field. But before all that, one needs to test their performance. The outputs that the model produced using the present day-inputs, agreed well with present-day observations of East African vegetation. Next, I simulated past vegetation for which we have fossil pollen data to compare. With computer models, we can fill the gaps of knowledge between sites where we have fossil pollen data from, and create a more complete picture of the past. Good level of agreement between model and pollen data where they overlapped in space further validated our model performance. Once the model was tested and validated for the region, it became possible to probe one of the long standing questions regarding East African vegetation: How did East Africa lose its tropical forests? The present-day vegetation in the tropics is mainly characterized by continuous forests worldwide except in tropical East Africa, where forests only occur as patches. In a series of simulation experiments, I was able to show under which conditions these forest patches could have been connected and fragmented in the past. This study showed the sensitivity of East African vegetation to climate change and variability such as those expected under future climate change. El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events that result from the fluctuations in temperature between the ocean and atmosphere, bring further variability to East African climate and are predicted to increase in intensity in the future. But climate models are still not good at capturing the pattens of these events. In a study where I quantified the influence of ENSO events on East African vegetation, I showed how different the future vegetation could be from what we currently predict with these climate models that lack accurate ENSO contribution. Consideration of these discrepancies is important for our future global carbon budget calculations and management decisions

    Going Beyond Counting First Authors in Author Co-citation Analysis

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    The present study examines one of the fundamental aspects of author co-citation analysis (ACA) - the way co-citation counts are defined. Co-citation counting provides the data on which all subsequent statistical analyses and mappings are based, and we compare ACA results based on two different types of co-citation counting - the traditional type that only counts the first one among a cited work's authors on the one hand and a non-traditional type that takes into account the first 5 authors of a cited work on the other hand. Results indicate that the picture produced through this non-traditional author co-citation counting contains more coherent author groups and is therefore considerably clearer. However, this picture represents fewer specialties in the research field being studied than that produced through the traditional first-author co-citation counting when the same number of top-ranked authors is selected and analyzed. Reasons for these effects are discussed

    Variations on the Author

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    “Variations on the Author” discusses two of Eduardo Coutinho’s recent films (Um Dia na Vida, from 2010, and Últimas Conversas, posthumously released in 2015) and their contribution to the general question of documentary authorship. The director’s filmography is characterized by a consistent yet self-effacing form of authorial self-inscription: Coutinho often features as an interviewer that rather than express opinions propels discourses; an interviewer that is good at listening. This mode of self-inscription characterizes him as an author who is not expressive but who is nonetheless markedly present on the screen. In Um Dia na Vida, however, Coutinho is completely absent form the image, while Últimas Conversas, on the contrary, includes a confessional prologue that moves the director from the margins to the center of his films. This article examines the ways in which these works stand out in the filmography of a director who offers new insights into the notion of cinematic authorship

    Appropriate Similarity Measures for Author Cocitation Analysis

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    We provide a number of new insights into the methodological discussion about author cocitation analysis. We first argue that the use of the Pearson correlation for measuring the similarity between authors’ cocitation profiles is not very satisfactory. We then discuss what kind of similarity measures may be used as an alternative to the Pearson correlation. We consider three similarity measures in particular. One is the well-known cosine. The other two similarity measures have not been used before in the bibliometric literature. Finally, we show by means of an example that our findings have a high practical relevance.information science;Pearson correlation;cosine;similarity measure;author cocitation analysis

    Dispelling the Myths Behind First-author Citation Counts

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    We conducted a full-scale evaluative citation analysis study of scholars in the XML research field to explore just how different from each other author rankings resulting from different citation counting methods actually are, and to demonstrate the capability of emerging data and tools on the Web in supporting more realistic citation counting methods. Our results contest some common arguments for the continued use of first-author citation counts in the evaluation of scholars, such as high correlations between author rankings by first-author citation counts and other citation counting methods, and high costs of using more realistic citation counting methods that are not well-supported by the ISI databases. It is argued that increasingly available digital full text research papers make it possible for citation analysis studies to go beyond what the ISI databases have directly supported and to employ more sophisticated methods

    Author Index

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    koamabayili/VECTRON-author-checklist: VECTRON author checklist

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    We have done our best to complete the author checklist relating to the use of animals in the hut study. Note that the objective for the hut study was to evaluate the IRS treatment applications for residual efficacy against Anopheles mosquitoes, including the local An. coluzzii mosquito population. Cows were only used to attract mosquitoes into the huts and no tests were carried out directly on the cows. The author checklist is intended for use with studies where experiments are carried out on animals, which is why we have had such difficulty in completing this for the hut study, as many of the questions do not relate to how the cows were used

    Author Under Sail The Imagination of Jack London, 1893-1902

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    In Author Under Sail, Jay Williams offers the first complete literary biography of Jack London as a professional writer engaged in the labor of writing. It examines the authorial imagination in London's work, the use of imagination in both his fiction and nonfiction, and the ways he defined imagination in the creative process in his business dealings with his publishers, editors, and agents. In this first volume of a two-volume biography, Williams traverses the years 1893 to 1902, from London's "Story of a Typhoon" to The People of the Abyss. The Jack London who emerges in the pages of Author Under Sail is a writer whose partnership with publishers, most notably his productive alliance with George Brett of Macmillan, was one of the most formative in American literary history. London pioneered many author models during the heyday of realism and naturalism, blurring the boundaries of these popular genres by focusing on absorption and theatricality and the representation of the seen and unseen. London created an impassioned, sincere, and extremely personal realism unlike that of other American writers of the time. Author Under Sail is a literary tour de force that reveals the full range of London as writer, creative citizen, and entrepreneur at the same time it sheds light on the maverick side of machine-age literature.Intro -- Title Page -- Copyright Page -- Dedication -- Contents -- Acknowledgments -- Introduction -- 1. Spirit Truth -- 2. From Absorption to Theatricality and Back Again -- 3. "I Will Build a New Present" -- 4. Sons as Authors -- 5. Fathers as Publishers -- 6. The Daughter as Author -- 7. Lovers as Authors -- 8. At Sea with the Family -- 9. Yellow News, Yellow Stories -- 10. The Return Home -- Notes -- Bibliography -- Index -- About Jay WilliamsIn Author Under Sail, Jay Williams offers the first complete literary biography of Jack London as a professional writer engaged in the labor of writing. It examines the authorial imagination in London's work, the use of imagination in both his fiction and nonfiction, and the ways he defined imagination in the creative process in his business dealings with his publishers, editors, and agents. In this first volume of a two-volume biography, Williams traverses the years 1893 to 1902, from London's "Story of a Typhoon" to The People of the Abyss. The Jack London who emerges in the pages of Author Under Sail is a writer whose partnership with publishers, most notably his productive alliance with George Brett of Macmillan, was one of the most formative in American literary history. London pioneered many author models during the heyday of realism and naturalism, blurring the boundaries of these popular genres by focusing on absorption and theatricality and the representation of the seen and unseen. London created an impassioned, sincere, and extremely personal realism unlike that of other American writers of the time. Author Under Sail is a literary tour de force that reveals the full range of London as writer, creative citizen, and entrepreneur at the same time it sheds light on the maverick side of machine-age literature.Description based on publisher supplied metadata and other sources.Electronic reproduction. Ann Arbor, Michigan : ProQuest Ebook Central, YYYY. Available via World Wide Web. Access may be limited to ProQuest Ebook Central affiliated libraries
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