1,720,956 research outputs found
Sensitivity analysis of a model of Japanese encephalitis transmission
No full textJapanese Encephalistis (JE) is an endemic disease in Asia and the most important cause of human encephalitis in several Asian regions and the pacific. The first case of JE was documented in 1870 in Japan and was isolated for the first time in Tokyo in 1934. It is estimated that 3 billion of people are living in countries where the disease is endemic. The annual incidence of JE is estimated between 30000 and 50000 cases with 10,000 to 15,000 deaths annually. Japanese encephalitis virus is a flavivirus of the family of flaviviridae, such as the viruses of the dengue, yellow fever and West Nile. It is an arthropod-borne-virus (arbovirus) transmitted from animal to human by mosquitoes. Wild birds (aigrettes, herons) and domestic birds (ducks, chickens) are the naturals hosts, pigs are the amplifier hosts, humans and horses are accidental hosts, i.e. they can contracted the disease, but they can not transmit the virus to the mosquitoes. We have developed a generic mathematical model of JE transmission and determined the basic reproduction number, R0. R0 is defined as the number of secondary infections caused by a single infection of the same type (vector or host) during its infectious period in an entirely susceptible population. R0 is a threshold value in the model. If R0 1, then the disease can invade the population. Therefore, to control the spread of JE we must reduce R0 below 1. In some cases, for an infectious disease transmitted between at least two types of hosts, the R0 can be misleading when we want to control the disease. So, we have determined the type-reproduction number T for disease such as JE. T is used to determine the control effort required to eliminate an infectious disease when control is applied to a specific sub population of hosts. In this work, we present three sensitivity analysis. The first one on the parameters of the model, the second one on the basic reproduction number R0 and the third one on the type-reproduction number T. The results of the first sensitivity analysis will be use to identify the parameters we should know with precision and will determine the future field experiments we have to conduct to measure those parameters. The sensitivity analysis on R0 and T will be used to determine the important parameters to control the disease, and how sensitive the spread of the disease can be regarding the control
Modelling and optimization of japanese encephalitis control in Cambodia
No full textL’encéphalite Japonaise (EJ) est une maladie zoonotique virale et c’est la principale cause d'encéphalite humaine en Asie et le Pacifique. Elle est due à un Flavivirus, transmis de l’animal à l'Homme par des moustiques, elle peut se transmettre entre porcs par contact direct. Malgré une baisse significative des cas d’EJ dans de nombreux pays suite à la mise en place de programmes de vaccination, l’EJ continue à sévir d’une manière importante en Asie. Notre objectif dans cette thèse est de (i) construire un modèle mathématique de la dynamique de transmission du virus de l’EJ (VEJ), (ii) paramétrer ce modèle pour déterminer l’importance de la transmission directe entre porcs en milieu naturel (iii) et déterminer des stratégies de contrôle. Nous avons développé un modèle de propagation du VEJ. Ensuite, nous avons adapté ce modèle pour avoir deux modèles intégrant la transmission vectorielle seulement ou une combinaison de la transmission vectorielle et directe. Nos résultats montrent que la transmission directe entre porcs pourrait contribuer à la dynamique de transmission du VEJ dans le contexte Cambodgien, toutefois elle ne pourrait pas permettre toute seule une épidémie. Enfin, nous avons considéré la lutte anti-vectorielle, la vaccination des truies et la gestion d’élevages en bandes pour déterminer des stratégies de contrôle pour éradiquer le VEJ au sein des troupeaux de porcs, baisser les avortements des truies, évaluer les risques pour les humains vivant à proximité des fermes et des abattoirs ainsi que le coût-efficacité de la vaccination. Nos résultats confirment que la lutte anti-vectorielle est le meilleur moyen pour contrôler le VEJ. La vaccination des truies gestantes fait diminuer les avortements comme attendu. Paradoxalement, si le contrôle vectoriel est moyen l’efficacité de la vaccination pourrait être compromise. La gestion d’élevages en bandes a un faible impact sur l'incidence et les avortements, par conséquent sur le contrôle de l’EJ. Combiner la vaccination des truies et la lutte anti-vectorielle pourrait être une alternative et/ou une mesure supplémentaire à la vaccination humaine pour réduire à la fois l'incidence de l'EJ chez l'Homme et l'impact économique de l'infection du au VEJ dans les élevages des porcs.Japanese encephalitis (JE) is a viral zoonotic disease and it is the leading cause of human encephalitis in Asia and the Pacific. Japanese encephalitis virus (JEV) is a Flavivirus of the family of Flaviviridae transmitted from animals to human by mosquitoes, direct transmission between pigs can occur via direct contact. Despite a significant decline in JE cases in many countries as a result of vaccination programs, JE continues to have a significant impact in Asia. Our objective in this thesis is to (i) built a mathematical model of the transmission dynamics of JEV, (ii) parameterize this model to determine the importance of direct transmission between pigs under field conditions (iii) and determine control strategies. We developed a propagation model of JEV. Next, we adapted this model to have two models incorporating vector-borne transmission alone or a combination of vector-borne and direct transmission. Our findings suggest that direct transmission between pigs does contribute to transmission dynamics of JEV in Cambodia; although, alone direct transmission cannot sustain an outbreak. Finally, we considered vector control, sow vaccination, and herd management to determine control strategies to eradicate JEV in pig herds, reduce sow abortions, assess the risk for human beings living in the vicinity of pig herds and near pig slaughterhouse, and the cost-effectiveness of vaccination. Our results confirm that vector control is the best way to control JEV. Vaccination of pregnant sows reduces abortions as expected. Paradoxically, if the vector control is medium the effectiveness of the vaccination could be compromised. Herd management has a low impact on incidence and abortions, therefore on JE control. Combining sow vaccination and vector control could be an alternative and/or an additional measure to human vaccination to reduce both JE incidence in humans and the economic impact of JE infection on pig breeding
Modélisation et optimisation du contrôle de l’encéphalite japonaise au Cambodge
Full text linkJapanese encephalitis (JE) is a viral zoonotic disease and it is the leading cause of human encephalitis in Asia and the Pacific. Japanese encephalitis virus (JEV) is a Flavivirus of the family of Flaviviridae transmitted from animals to human by mosquitoes, direct transmission between pigs can occur via direct contact. Despite a significant decline in JE cases in many countries as a result of vaccination programs, JE continues to have a significant impact in Asia. Our objective in this thesis is to (i) built a mathematical model of the transmission dynamics of JEV, (ii) parameterize this model to determine the importance of direct transmission between pigs under field conditions (iii) and determine control strategies. We developed a propagation model of JEV. Next, we adapted this model to have two models incorporating vector-borne transmission alone or a combination of vector-borne and direct transmission. Our findings suggest that direct transmission between pigs does contribute to transmission dynamics of JEV in Cambodia; although, alone direct transmission cannot sustain an outbreak. Finally, we considered vector control, sow vaccination, and herd management to determine control strategies to eradicate JEV in pig herds, reduce sow abortions, assess the risk for human beings living in the vicinity of pig herds and near pig slaughterhouse, and the cost-effectiveness of vaccination. Our results confirm that vector control is the best way to control JEV. Vaccination of pregnant sows reduces abortions as expected. Paradoxically, if the vector control is medium the effectiveness of the vaccination could be compromised. Herd management has a low impact on incidence and abortions, therefore on JE control. Combining sow vaccination and vector control could be an alternative and/or an additional measure to human vaccination to reduce both JE incidence in humans and the economic impact of JE infection on pig breeding.L’encéphalite Japonaise (EJ) est une maladie zoonotique virale et c’est la principale cause d'encéphalite humaine en Asie et le Pacifique. Elle est due à un Flavivirus, transmis de l’animal à l'Homme par des moustiques, elle peut se transmettre entre porcs par contact direct. Malgré une baisse significative des cas d’EJ dans de nombreux pays suite à la mise en place de programmes de vaccination, l’EJ continue à sévir d’une manière importante en Asie. Notre objectif dans cette thèse est de (i) construire un modèle mathématique de la dynamique de transmission du virus de l’EJ (VEJ), (ii) paramétrer ce modèle pour déterminer l’importance de la transmission directe entre porcs en milieu naturel (iii) et déterminer des stratégies de contrôle. Nous avons développé un modèle de propagation du VEJ. Ensuite, nous avons adapté ce modèle pour avoir deux modèles intégrant la transmission vectorielle seulement ou une combinaison de la transmission vectorielle et directe. Nos résultats montrent que la transmission directe entre porcs pourrait contribuer à la dynamique de transmission du VEJ dans le contexte Cambodgien, toutefois elle ne pourrait pas permettre toute seule une épidémie. Enfin, nous avons considéré la lutte anti-vectorielle, la vaccination des truies et la gestion d’élevages en bandes pour déterminer des stratégies de contrôle pour éradiquer le VEJ au sein des troupeaux de porcs, baisser les avortements des truies, évaluer les risques pour les humains vivant à proximité des fermes et des abattoirs ainsi que le coût-efficacité de la vaccination. Nos résultats confirment que la lutte anti-vectorielle est le meilleur moyen pour contrôler le VEJ. La vaccination des truies gestantes fait diminuer les avortements comme attendu. Paradoxalement, si le contrôle vectoriel est moyen l’efficacité de la vaccination pourrait être compromise. La gestion d’élevages en bandes a un faible impact sur l'incidence et les avortements, par conséquent sur le contrôle de l’EJ. Combiner la vaccination des truies et la lutte anti-vectorielle pourrait être une alternative et/ou une mesure supplémentaire à la vaccination humaine pour réduire à la fois l'incidence de l'EJ chez l'Homme et l'impact économique de l'infection du au VEJ dans les élevages des porcs
Going Beyond Counting First Authors in Author Co-citation Analysis
Full text linkThe present study examines one of the fundamental aspects of author co-citation analysis (ACA) - the way co-citation
counts are defined. Co-citation counting provides the data on which all subsequent statistical analyses and mappings
are based, and we compare ACA results based on two different types of co-citation counting - the traditional type that
only counts the first one among a cited work's authors on the one hand and a non-traditional type that takes into
account the first 5 authors of a cited work on the other hand. Results indicate that the picture produced through this non-traditional author co-citation counting contains more coherent author groups and is therefore considerably clearer. However, this picture represents fewer specialties in the research field being studied than that produced through the traditional first-author co-citation counting when the same number of top-ranked authors is selected and analyzed. Reasons for these effects are discussed
Variations on the Author
Full text link“Variations on the Author” discusses two of Eduardo Coutinho’s recent films (Um Dia na Vida, from 2010, and Últimas Conversas, posthumously released in 2015) and their contribution to the general question of documentary authorship. The director’s filmography is characterized by a consistent yet self-effacing form of authorial self-inscription: Coutinho often features as an interviewer that rather than express opinions propels discourses; an interviewer that is good at listening. This mode of self-inscription characterizes him as an author who is not expressive but who is nonetheless markedly present on the screen. In Um Dia na Vida, however, Coutinho is completely absent form the image, while Últimas Conversas, on the contrary, includes a confessional prologue that moves the director from the margins to the center of his films. This article examines the ways in which these works stand out in the filmography of a director who offers new insights into the notion of cinematic authorship
Appropriate Similarity Measures for Author Cocitation Analysis
Full text linkWe provide a number of new insights into the methodological discussion about author cocitation analysis. We first argue that the use of the Pearson correlation for measuring the similarity between authors’ cocitation profiles is not very satisfactory. We then discuss what kind of similarity measures may be used as an alternative to the Pearson correlation. We consider three similarity measures in particular. One is the well-known cosine. The other two similarity measures have not been used before in the bibliometric literature. Finally, we show by means of an example that our findings have a high practical relevance.information science;Pearson correlation;cosine;similarity measure;author cocitation analysis
Dispelling the Myths Behind First-author Citation Counts
Full text linkWe conducted a full-scale evaluative citation analysis study of scholars in the XML research field to explore just how different from each other author rankings resulting from different citation counting methods actually are, and to demonstrate the capability of emerging data and tools on the Web in supporting more realistic citation counting methods. Our results contest some common arguments for the continued
use of first-author citation counts in the evaluation of scholars, such as high correlations between author rankings by first-author citation counts and other citation
counting methods, and high costs of using more realistic citation counting methods that are not well-supported by the ISI databases. It is argued that increasingly available digital full text research papers make it possible for citation analysis studies to go beyond what the ISI databases have directly supported and to employ more
sophisticated methods
koamabayili/VECTRON-author-checklist: VECTRON author checklist
No full textWe have done our best to complete the author checklist relating to the use of animals in the hut study. Note that the objective for the hut study was to evaluate the IRS treatment applications for residual efficacy against Anopheles mosquitoes, including the local An. coluzzii mosquito population. Cows were only used to attract mosquitoes into the huts and no tests were carried out directly on the cows. The author checklist is intended for use with studies where experiments are carried out on animals, which is why we have had such difficulty in completing this for the hut study, as many of the questions do not relate to how the cows were used
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