1,721,112 research outputs found
A growing impact of new parties: myth or reality? Party system innovation in Western Europe after 1945
No full textDespite the large body of literature on the emergence and success of new political parties in Western Europe, few, if any, attention has been paid to investigate new parties from a systemic perspective, therefore exploring their potential effects on party systems. This article focuses on party system innovation (PSInn), defined as the aggregate level of ‘newness’ recorded in a party system at a given election. After having reviewed the extant literature on the topic, the article discusses what a new party is and provides a new index to measure PSInn. The article analyses the evolution of PSInn across 324 elections held in 19 West European countries from 1945 to 2015 and its cumulative effects over time. Although in most countries the party landscape today is still very similar to the one appearing after World War II, data offer clear evidence of a sharp increase of innovation in the last few years
The Twilight of the Berlusconi Era:Local Elections and National Referendums in Italy, May and June 2011
No full textFollowing its victory in the spring 2008 general elections, the centre-right coalition led by Silvio Berlusconi formed a government that appeared to be the most cohesive in the history of the Second Republic. Three-and-a-half years later, in November 2011, Berlusconi was forced to resign, ending a long period in which he had dominated Italian politics. By analysing the 2008–11 political–economic cycle, with special attention to the local elections and the referendums of May and June 2011, we argue that the downfall of Berlusconi’s government can be explained by the interplay of the international economic crisis, the scandals related to the prime minister’s private life, the divisions of the parties of the centre-right and the shrinking of its parliamentary bas
Un polo solo: le elezioni politiche del 2022
No full textUn approfondito studio delle elezioni politiche del settembre 2022, ricco di dati e analisi originali, di un gruppo di ricercatori riunito su iniziativa del Centro Italiano di Studi Elettorali (CISE). Dopo un’introduzione sul contesto pre-elettorale - la costruzione dell’offerta politica; le domande espresse dall’opinione pubblica; lo sviluppo della campagna elettorale - segue una dettagliata analisi dei risultati, con focus sulla partecipazione al voto, sui flussi e sui temi decisivi, sul rapporto tra territorio e voto, sul partito vincitore - Fratelli d’Italia. Una serie di contributi inquadra l’elezione in una prospettiva di lungo termine, analizzando gli effetti del sistema elettorale, la selezione della classe parlamentare e l’evoluzione del sistema partitico italiano. È sulla scorta di questa grande messe di dati e di analisi che si costruisce un’interpretazione complessiva che vede il «cambiamento» ancora protagonista, ma anche il ritorno in primo piano di una caratteristica del vecchio bipolarismo, per cui a fare la differenza nella competizione elettorale è stata la capacità dei partiti di "farsi polo". Ma è un polo solo che ha risposto a questo appello, decidendo così il risultato
Party system volatility, regeneration and de-institutionalization in Western Europe (1945–2015)
No full textDespite a great flourishing of studies about Latin America and Central and Eastern Europe, the issue of party system institutionalization has been widely neglected in Western Europe, where the presence of stable and predictable patterns of interactions among political actors has been generally taken for granted for a long time. Nevertheless, party system institutionalization is not something that can be gained once and for all. This article proposes a theoretical reconceptualization and a new empirical operationalization of party system (de-)institutionalization. Furthermore, it tests the presence of patterns of de-institutionalization in Western Europe from 1945 to (March) 2015 (336 elections in 19 countries) by using an original database of electoral volatility and of its internal components (regeneration and alteration). Data analysis shows that Western Europe is facing great electoral instability and party system regeneration and that many countries have experienced sequences of party system de-institutionalization, especially in the last two decades
Il voto del cambiamento. Le elezioni politiche del 2018
No full textAl gruppo di ricercatori riunito su iniziativa del Centro Italiano di Studi Elettorali (CISE) si deve questa approfondita analisi delle elezioni politiche del marzo 2018. Dopo un’introduzione sugli eventi politici che fanno da retroterra alle elezioni e sulla definizione dell’offerta politica, segue una serie di contributi più specifici sulla campagna elettorale, sulle strategie di competizione dei partiti, sui risultati di voto e sui flussi elettorali, sull’impatto della riforma elettorale, sugli eletti, nonché sull’evoluzione del sistema partitico. Viene così fornita un’interpretazione di ampio respiro a un voto che si è connotato soprattutto per il «cambiamento», da cui sono usciti vincitori – e successivamente protagonisti al governo – due partiti (Lega e M5s) che segnano una cesura nel panorama politico italiano dell’ultimo decennio
Does the Iron Curtain Still Exist? the Convergence in Electoral Volatility between Eastern and Western Europe
No full textThe literature on party system change and electoral volatility in post-communist Europe tends to make a clear-cut distinction between Central and Eastern European (CEE) party systems and Western European (WE) ones. The former are unstable and unpredictable and electoral volatility is driven by the continuous emergence of new political parties. Conversely, electoral stability is the rule in the latter, and volatility is associated with electoral shifts among established parties. This conventional wisdom suffers from three potential sources of bias: case selection, time coverage and method. By correcting these biases, this article investigates whether the traditional division between CEE and WE party systems has been levelled as regards volatility. To do so, it presents evidence based on an original data set of electoral volatility and its internal components covering 31 WE and CEE party systems since 1990. It finds that a process of asymmetric convergence in the levels of electoral volatility is taking place between the two regions, with Western Europe approaching Central and Eastern Europe with increasing electoral instability
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