1,720,990 research outputs found

    Understanding contextual heterogeneity in the outcomes of large-scale security policies: evidence from Italy (2007-12)

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    We develop a theoretically informed quantitative evaluation of the large-scale policy of security pacts (SPs) in Italy (2007-2012). In particular, we show how Matland's theoretical model of policy implementation (1995) may help clarify the contextual heterogeneity present in the outcomes of security policies. We build and use a macro-panel dataset in which we exploit variations in the temporal and geographic adoption of SPs to develop a dynamic analysis of the contextual factors that influence the probability of adopting a large-scale security policy at the sub-national government level. We apply a rigorous counterfactual design to assess the effectiveness of SPs in reducing theft and robbery rates. We find that the probability of adopting SPs is positively affected by coalitional strength but not political orientation. In contrast, the effectiveness of SPs in reducing crime relates more to the political orientation of the ruling parties than to coalitional strength

    Valutare la democrazia. Introduzione all'analisi della qualità democratica

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    Valutare le prestazioni e l’organizzazione dei regimi democratici per migliorarne il funzionamento è uno degli obiettivi prioritari della scienza politica. Data la salienza assunta dagli studi sulla qualità democratica nel panorama della ricerca politologica, il libro sviluppa una riflessione sullo stato dell’arte, a partire da una ricostruzione del dibattito da cui il tema scaturisce e attorno al quale si articola: dagli studi di ingegneria costituzionale, a quelli sulle performances dei sistemi democratici, fino alla valutazione delle politiche pubbliche e dei loro disegni organizzativi e progettuali. Alla luce della eterogeneità degli argomenti trattati, lo scopo di questo lavoro consiste dunque nel sistematizzare la mole di letteratura esistente attorno al concetto di qualità democratica, al fine di guidare il lettore attraverso i percorsi esplicativi di ciascuna area di ricerca, le loro intersezioni e le possibili evoluzioni

    Urban security in three European countries: A comparative analysis

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    Urban security in three European countries: A comparative analysi

    The actorness of the President of the Republic in Italian foreign policy: a quantitative narrative analysis of two case studies (1999–2013)

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    In this paper, we address the topic of policy actorness in Italian foreign policy to characterize the understudied role of the President of the Italian Republic (PoR). We apply quantitative narrative analysis (QNA) as the methodological tool of our study, answering two research questions to which the academic literature has so far produced limited responses: (a) whether the PoR can be considered a relevant actor in Italian foreign policy and (b) which factors can affect the Italian PoR’s relevance in foreign policy. Considering the Italian PoR’s Diary as the unit of analysis and source of data, we study the two crucial cases of Ciampi’s presidency (1999–2006) and Napolitano’s first presidency (2006–2013). QNA allows us to quantify and compare, while maintaining an actor-centred approach, the relations of the two PoRs with the most relevant actors in foreign policy. The results of our analyses highlight the relevance of the Italian PoR figure, identifying the main areas of influence of the Italian head of state and their changes over time. We conclude providing a few hypotheses to interpret the outcomes of our analyses on the PoR’s role in Italian foreign policy

    The power of the President: a quantitative narrative analysis of the Diary of an Italian head of state (2006–2013)

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    Many authors agree that the President of the Italian Republic is the head of state with the widest powers among parliamentary governments in Europe. Although several studies have sought to explain Why the President’s power may increase or decrease, a quantitative measurement of the phenomenon—able to answer questions also about the Who (the actors), How (the modalities) and How much (the consistency) of the phenomenon itself—has seldom been carried out by scholars. This paper seeks to answer these unanswered substantive questions by measuring the potential power of the Italian head of state in a crucial case—the first Presidency of Giorgio Napolitano (2006–2013)—by means of a quantitative narrative analysis (QNA) and a social network analysis of his Diary. This is done in a semi-automated way by using natural language processing (NLP) techniques, including regular expressions and named-entity recognition. As regards the methodological contribution of the paper, its aim is to demonstrate that QNA with NLP tools for semi-automated analysis of textual data can be considered an effective and reliable methodology for the empirical investigation of potential power, enabling a more widespread application of this technique in the quantitative analysis of topics related to the power approach—that some scholars consider otherwise obsolete—also at the comparative level

    L'evoluzione delle politiche di sicurezza in Italia. Problemi di definizione e di valutazione

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    Il contributo ricostruisce l' evoluzione storica delle politiche di sicurezza in Italia, con particolare riferimento allo scivolamento delle politiche di sicurezza urbana nell'ambito dell'ordine e della sicurezza pubblica, e alle cause di questo scivolamento. Parallelamente, si discute la difficoltà delle valutazione di queste politiche nel loro impatto sui fenomeni criminali e di disordine urbano. Questa analisi viene collegata alle tre fasi di sviluppo delle politiche di sicurezza individuate nel contributo: l'origine delle politiche di sicurezza nel quadro del progetto "socialdemocratico"; la svolta punitiva; e, infine, la fase più recente, in cui emergono le connessioni di queste politiche con l'ordine pubblico e il controllo punitivo dello spazio urbano
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