4,397 research outputs found

    Public debt in developing countries : has the market-based model worked?

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    Over the past 25 years, significant levels of public debt and external finance are more likely to have enhanced macroeconomic vulnerability than economic growth in developing countries. This applies not just to countries with a history of high inflation and past default, but also to those in East Asia, with a long tradition of prudent macroeconomic policies and rapid growth. The authors examine why with the help of a conceptual framework drawn from the growth, capital flows, and crisis literature for developing countries with access to the international capital markets (market access countries or MACs). They find that, while the chances of another generalized debt crisis have receded since the turbulence of the late 1990s, sovereign debt is indeed constraining growth in MACs, especially those with debt sustainability problems. Several prominent MACs have sought to address the debt and external finance problem by generating large primary fiscal surpluses, switching to flexible exchange rates, and reforming fiscal and financial institutions. Such country-led initiatives completely dominate attempts to overhaul the international financial architecture or launch new lending instruments, which have so far met with little success. While the initial results of the countries'initiatives have been encouraging, serious questions remain about the viability of the model of market-based external development finance. Beyond crisis resolution, which has received attention in the form of the sovereign debt restructuring mechanism, the international financial institutions may need to ramp up their role as providers of stable long-run development finance to MACs instead of exiting from them.

    Give growth and macroeconomic stability in Russia a chance - harden budgets by eliminating nonpayments

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    The authors analyze the links between Russia's disappointing growth performance in the second half of the 1990s, its costly and unsuccessful stabilization, the macroeconomic meltdown of 1998, and the spectacular rise of non-payments. Non-payments flourished in an environment of fundamental inconsistency between a macroeconomic policy geared at sharp disinflation, and a microeconomic policy of bailing enterprises out through soft budget constraints. Heavy untargeted implicit subsidies flowing through the non-payments system (amounting to 10 percent of GDP annually) have stifled growth, contributed to the August 1998 meltdown, through their impact on public debt, and have made at best a questionable contribution to equity. Dismantling this system must be a top priority, along with promoting enterprise restructuring and growth (by hardening budget constraints) and medium-term macroeconomic stability (by reducing the size of subsidies). Getting the government out of the non-payments system means settling all appropriately controlled budgetary expenditures on time, and in cash, and eschewing spending arrears, thereby setting an example for enterprises, and laying the groundwork for eliminating tax offsets at all levels of government, and insisting on cash tax payments. To stop energy-related subsidies, would require not only that the government pay its own energy bills on time, and in cash, but also that the energy monopolies be empowered to disconnect non-paying clients. This will enable the government to insist that the energy monopolies in turn pay their own taxes in full, and on time.Banks&Banking Reform,Public Sector Economics&Finance,Economic Theory&Research,Payment Systems&Infrastructure,Environmental Economics&Policies,Banks&Banking Reform,Environmental Economics&Policies,Municipal Financial Management,Public Sector Economics&Finance,Economic Theory&Research

    Black market premia, exchange rate unification, and inflation in sub-Saharan Africa

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    In countries where the black market premium on foreign exchange is exceptionally high, often more than 100 percent, lowering the black market rate to a level close to the market determined official rate will improve the balance of payments and increase exports. Floating the currency to depreciate the real exchange rate and make exports more competitive can raise inflation substantially, however, as governments replace the lost revenue from exports. Inflation will occur even if real government spending remains constant unless there are new taxes or spending cuts to compensate for the loss of implicit tax revenues. To avoid costly surges in inflation, exchange rate reform may have to proceed slowly, otherwise the depreciation is likely to meet with considerable political and social opposition as inflation rises. Once the government closes the spread between the official and black market rates, it faces a decision on whether to continue with a float permanently. Evidence from developing countries over the next few years should give some insights into this issue.Economic Stabilization,Environmental Economics&Policies,Markets and Market Access,Access to Markets,Economic Theory&Research

    Retracts of violence in the poetry of Claudia Roquette-Pinto

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    RESUMO: O presente artigo objetiva salientar aspectos da violência social e seus reflexos dentro da poética de Cláudia Roquette-Pinto, em específico em seu poema “Sítio”. Será abordado o modo com o qual a autora trabalha suas criações, e que resulta na classificação de suas obras como referência no âmbito da poesia contemporânea brasileira. _________________________________________________________________________ ABSTRACTThe present article aims to emphasize aspects of social violence and its effects in the poetry of Cláudia Roquette-Pinto, in special into her poem “Sítio”. It will be discussed the way that the author works her creations, which results in the classification of her artworks as a reference within contends about Brazilian contemporary poetry

    Why Official Bailouts Tend Not To Work: An Example Motivated by Greece 2010

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    Christophe Chamley of Boston University and Brian Pinto of the World Bank use recent events in Greece to illustrate that official bailouts tend not to work when countries have fundamental fiscal (insolvency) problems and construct a two-period numerical example to explain why this should not come as a surprise.

    Identidade e alteridade na Peregrinação de Fernão Mendes Pinto

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    Mestrado em Estudos PortuguesesO presente trabalho pretende apresentar uma análise da evolução antropológica de Fernão Mendes Pinto aquando do seu contacto com a cultura Oriental. É também nosso objectivo comprovar que a definição que o autor tenta fazer do “Outro” oriental lhe vai permitir redescobrir a sua identidade. O encontro de uma cultura nova permitiu ao homem de Quinhentos iniciar o processo multicultural, e por conseguinte encetar o diálogo intercultural. Na análise da Peregrinação tentaremos reflectir de que forma Fernão Mendes Pinto foi influenciado por esse processo ao descrever o “Outro” com o qual se encontrou, e em tantos aspectos tão diferente de si. ABSTRACT: The present work intends to present an analysis of the anthropological evolution of Fernão Mendes Pinto related to his contact with the oriental culture. It is also our purpose to prove that through the definition that the author tries to do of the “Other” he begins to rediscover his own identity. The encounter with a new culture allowed the men of the 16h century to begin the multicultural process, and consequently the intercultural dialogue. In our analysis of the Peregrinação we will try to reflect about the way that Fernão Mendes Pinto was influenced by the process of describing the “Other”, with whom he contacted, and in so many ways so different from him

    Ownership and corporate control in Poland : why state firms defied the odds

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    Survey results in Poland indicate that hard budgets and import comeption can spur state firms to adjust even when privatization lags behind. As they examine the underpinning of Polish reform, the authors address the key question of why managers instigated such adjustment. They examine how corporate ownership and control influence the behavior of state firms, as illuminated by the following survey findings and conclusions: (a) Contrary to expectations, state firms took painful adjustment measures. Enterprise managers firmly believed that privatization was coming. This belief led them to manage better, not worse; a private sector based economy means a market for managers and a premium on skilled management. (b) The excess wage tax (the much criticized"Popiwek"scheme) did restrain wage-setting behavior, judging from the wage-setting equations presented by the authors. (c) Essential to the good performance of state industries is an end to open-ended subsidies. Subsidies, rather than helping firms adjust, give them incentives to continue their past behavior and destroy any mechanism of control other claim-holders might have. (d) Commercial banks, the Polish experience shows, can be made to exercise governance over state firms. Without effective takeover mechanisms, withholding funds is their most powerful instrument. That instrument is made powerless if firms, pressured to adjust by banks, can turn to the government themselves. Banks themselves started to respond appropriately- and to play a powerful role in discipline enterprises - only after their own governance and control/incentive mechanisms had been reformed as part of the banking reforms of the fourth quarter of 1991.Economic Theory&Research,Municipal Financial Management,Environmental Economics&Policies,Public Sector Economics&Finance,Banks&Banking Reform

    Black markets for foreign exchange, real exchange rates, and inflation : overnight versus gradual reform in sub-Saharan Africa

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    The black market foreign exchange premium is an important implicit tax on exports, creating a conflict between the fiscal goal of financing government spending with a limited menu of tax instruments and the allocative goal of stimulating exports. In this paper, the premium is solved for in a model that includes the portfolio balance approach to exchange rates, dual exchange markets, and seignorage for financing the fiscal deficit. The steady state and dynamic implications for inflation of floats as a vehicle for unifying official and black market rates are then analyzed. Inflation could rise substantially in the new steady state as the lost revenue from exports is replaced with a higher tax on money. Further, the conditions under which undershooting or overshooting occur are parameterized. The paper is motivated by and illustrated with recent examples from sub - Saharan Africa.Markets and Market Access,Economic Theory&Research,Economic Stabilization,Environmental Economics&Policies,Public Sector Economics&Finance

    Practicum piece on the author\u27s assistance in helping Joe Pinto of Massachuset

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    Practicum piece on the author\u27s assistance in helping Joe Pinto of Massachusetts locate a lobster shack he visited in 1942 while stationed at the former Dow Field in Bangor. Pinto has been trying to locate the place since 1947. The lobster shack turned out to be the old Henderson place in North Brooklin

    Bulletin No. 433 - Wyo 1966 - A New Pinto Bean

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    Bulletin No. 433 - Wyo 1966 - A New Pinto Bea
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