5,931 research outputs found

    Functional Structure and Approximation in Econometrics (book front matter)

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    This is the front matter from the book, William A. Barnett and Jane Binner (eds.), Functional Structure and Approximation in Econometrics, published in 2004 by Elsevier in its Contributions to Economic Analysis monograph series. The front matter includes the Table of Contents, Volume Introduction, and Section Introductions by Barnett and Binner and the Preface by W. Erwin Diewert. The volume contains a unified collection and discussion of W. A. Barnett's most important published papers on applied and theoretical econometric modelling.consumer demand, production, flexible functional form, functional structure, asymptotics, nonlinearity, systemwide models

    Tools for non-linear time series forecasting in economics - an empirical comparison of regime switching vector autoregressive models and recurrent neural networks

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    The purpose of this study is to contrast the forecasting performance of two non-linear models, a regime-switching vector autoregressive model (RS-VAR) and a recurrent neu-ral network (RNN), to that of a linear benchmark VAR model. Our specific forecasting experiment is UK inflation and we utilize monthly data from 1969-2003. The RS-VAR and the RNN perform approximately on par over both monthly and annual forecast hori-zons. Both non-linear models perform significantly better than the VAR model. Keywords: Inflation forecasting, regime-switching vector autoregressive model, recurrent neural network

    SEARCHING FOR DIVISIA/INFLATION RELATIONSHIPS WITH THE AGGREGATE FEEDFORWARD NEURAL NETWORK

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    Divisia component data is used in the training of an Aggregate Feedforward Neural Network (AFFNN), a general-purpose connectionist system designed to assist with data mining activities. The neural network is able to learn the money-price relationship, defined as the relationships between the rate of growth of the money supply and inflation. Learned relationships are expressed in terms of an automatically generated series of human-readable and machine-executable rules, shown to meaningfully and accurately describe inflation in terms of the original values of the Divisia component dataset.</p

    Author Jane Knuth At Creighton University

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    Creighton University Collaborative Ministry invited author Jane Knuth to talk about her book "Thrift Store Saints: Meeting Jesus 25 Cents at a Time". Her book and talk were full of stories about her experiences working at a Saint Vincent DePaul thrift store in Kalamazoo, Michigan. Jane was delightful and everybody really enjoyed her visit

    Co-evolving neural networks with evolutionary strategies: a new application to Divisia money

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    This work applies state-of-the-art artificial intelligence forecasting methods to provide new evidence of the comparative performance of statistically weighted Divisia indices vis-à-vis their simple sum counterparts in a simple inflation forecasting experiment. We develop a new approach that uses co-evolution (using neural networks and evolutionary strategies) as a predictive tool. This approach is simple to implement yet produces results that outperform stand-alone neural network predictions. Results suggest that superior tracking of inflation is possible for models that employ a Divisia M2 measure of money that has been adjusted to incorporate a learning mechanism to allow individuals to gradually alter their perceptions of the increased productivity of money. Divisia measures of money outperform their simple sum counterparts as macroeconomic indicators.</p

    Jane Arnold interviews short story author Sylvia Watanabe

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    Short story author Sylvia Watanabe talks about why she moved from Hawaii to Michigan, her book "Talking To The Dead", and her novel in process. Watanabe is interviewed by librarian Jane Arnold for the Michigan State University Libraries' Michigan Writers Series

    Hamilton, Catherine Jane [pseud. Retlaw Spring] (1841–1935), author and journalist

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    Hamilton, Catherine Jane [pseud. Retlaw Spring] (1841-1935), author and journalist, was born on 25 January 1841 at Kilmersdon, Somerset, where she was baptized on 12 April 1841, the younger of two daughters of Richard Hamilton (1805?-1859), vicar of Kilmersdon, and his wife Charlotte, née Cooper (1809-1882), the fifth daughter of William Cooper, of Queens County, Ireland. She was of Irish heritage on both sides. Her father belonged to a military family with roots in Strabane (county Tyrone) - his father, John Hamilton, and her father’s four older brothers were all officers in the Fifth Foot – and was a graduate of Trinity College Dublin. He had been a bright scholar with an aptitude for languages, and as a preacher was praised for his powerful sermons and his ability to bring the Bible to life for his parishioners

    Quantitative decision-making rules for the next generation of smarter evacuations

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    In this chapter we discuss the mathematical modelling of the next generation of smarter evacuations. Alongside a burgeoning literature on resilience we formulate a quantitative decision-making framework through which Social Media can be used to deliver more efficient evacuations. Our approach is flexible and improves upon existing models by allowing incoming information to be incorporated sequentially. Further, our model is the first of its kind to consider the effects of information quality (including abuse) and over-crowding upon network systems. In a high-quality information regime the potential benefits of Social Media increase as the size of the potential delays increases. Simulation results show that by not using updated information, as proposed in this study, final evacuation times are increased by 20% and in some cases can be more than doubled. In a low-quality regime Social Media provides noisy information and other alternatives—including random allocation strategies and peer-to-peer communication—may be more effective.</p

    The light of the eye : doctrine, piety and reform in the works of Thomas Sherlock, Hannah More and Jane Austen

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    Bibliography: leaves 376-401.This thesis investigates the ways in which three eighteenth-century writers, Bishop Thomas Sherlock, Hannah More and Jane Austen embody orthodox Anglican doctrine according to their individual perceptions of the enlightening properties of Protestant Christianity. After situating them in their respective gender, literary and ecclesiastical contexts, I examine some of their key doctrines and analyse excerpts from their works. My selection of passages from Sherlock's works is fairly comprehensive, but in the case of More and Austen, where there is already a formidable body of literary criticism, it is more selective. Thus, I focus on doctrine in More's tracts, Strictures on the System of Female Education, An Essay on St Paul and most especially Coelebs in Search of a Wife and in the case of Austen, on her prayers and select passages from Sense and Sensibility and Mansfield Park. I conclude that, although diverse in their particular kind of Anglicanism (High, Evangelical and Median) and in their choice of genre, transparency or obscurity (anonymity and pseudonymity) and the various narratological strategies some of them invoke to circumvent certain taboos, Sherlock, More and Austen champion the same central orthodox doctrines, defend them against current alternatives to orthodoxy such as Latitudinarianism, Deism and various forms of Freethinking, and promote similar moral and ecclesiastical reforms. However, indirectly (through female characters who resist male representation or control) the women writers subject their ostensibly authorially-endorsed male narrators/characters to scrutiny and sometimes (when the males objectify the women) subversion

    Jane Clayson Johnson (Journalist, Author, and Mother) on Overcoming Depression

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    Ever dealt with depression and felt alone or weak? Join Jane Clayson Johnson (award-winning journalist for her work at CBS, ABC, and NPR; best-selling author of I Am a Mother and Silent Souls Weeping; and an incredible mother) as she talks about her encounter with depression and how others with depression shouldn\u27t feel flawed or trapped
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