2,394 research outputs found

    Institutions, Factor Prices, and Taxation: Virtues of Strong States?

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    While in a few societies economic institutions are designed to provide property rights protection, a level playing field, and basic public goods necessary for economic growth, in many they are structured to maximize the rents captured by the “elite,” the individuals or social groups monopolizing political power (e.g., Douglass C. North 1981; Acemoglu, Simon Johnson, and James A. Robinson 2005. The elite often choose entry barriers, regulations and inefficient contracting institutions that retard economic growth and create resource misallocations in order to protect their economic rents and redistribute resources to themselves (e.g., Mancur Olson 1982; Per Krusell and Jose-Victor Rios- Rull 1996).1 However, if resources could be redistributed to the elite with fewer distortions, a more efficient allocation of resources, with (part of) the proceeds accruing to the elite, could be chosen. For example, when the necessary fiscal instruments and the associated state capacity are absent, the elite may choose economic institutions and policies so as to redistribute income to themselves by reducing the productivity of competing groups and thus manipulating factor prices (Acemoglu 2007). Direct taxation, if feasible, would be both more efficient and more profitable for the elite. This reasoning suggests that when the state becomes more “developed,” achieves greater “capacity,” and has access to a larger set of fiscal instruments, there will be less need for such 1 A second, perhaps more important reason is that the elite may be afraid that a more efficient allocation of resources will reduce their political power and their future ability to obtain rents (e.g., Acemoglu and Robinson 2000, 2006). Institutions and Development † Institutions, Factor Prices, and Taxation: Virtues of Strong States? By Daron Acemoglu* inefficient, indirect methods of redistribution and the allocation of resources will improve (e.g., Acemoglu 2007; Timothy J. Besley and Torsten Persson 2010). The example of the development of the English state and economy in the eighteenth century is often used to support this presumption. This paper points out that, in contrast to this argument, the availability of more efficient means of taxation is a double-edged sword because of its impact on the political equilibrium; because more efficient means of taxation increase the potential benefits of controlling the state, they may also intensify political conflict aimed at capturing this control. This indirect effect counteracts the benefits from more efficient taxation and may dominate the direct effect, so that the allocation of resources may deteriorate when the society and the state have access to additional fiscal instruments. More generally, although greater state capacity and stronger states may bring a variety of economic benefits, they will also increase the value of controlling the state and thus induce increased political conflict and infighting. Therefore, the virtues of strong states emerge when the increase in the economic strength of the state is a consequence of, or coincident with, an increase in the political accountability of rulers and politicians— not necessarily when there is an autonomous increase in the fiscal capacity of the state

    Political Limits to Globalization

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    We live in an unprecedented age of globalization, where technology, ideas, factors of production, and goods are increasingly mobile across national boundaries. The current wave of globalization is distinguished from previous ones in part because of the major role of information technology. Nevertheless, globalization is not irreversible. Openness to international trade, finance, and technology is a choice that countries make, and despite the facilitating role of information technology, many countries, even many leading players in the world economy including the United States, China, India, Brazil, and Russia, could decide to close their borders. A major cause of the end of the previous (also historically unprecedented) nineteenth century wave of globalization was disillusionment with the international economic order, in large part precipitated by the Great Depression (e.g., Harold James 2001). Another, somewhat less emphasized though not necessarily less important cause was the rise of nationalism, militarism, and international conflict (e.g., Ronald Findlay and Kevin H. O’Rourke 2007, Reuven Glick and Alan M. Taylor 2005).1 The previous wave of globalization took place in the context of the 100 years following the end of the 1 Militarism is defined as the doctrine or policy of “aggressive military preparedness,” which typically leads to a country’s maintaining a strong military capability to defend or promote its national interests. growth in a partially de-globalized world† Political Limits to Globalization By Daron Acemoglu and Pierre Yared Napoleonic wars, which were unusually peaceful for European powers; it came to an end following the most widespread conflict that human society had experienced until then, World War I

    Disease and Development: A Reply to Bloom, Canning, and Fink

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    Beginning in the 1940s, a wave of health innovations and more effective international public health measures led to a rapid and large improvement in health; for example, in some relatively poor countries, life expectancy at birth quickly rose from around 40 years to over 60 years. In Acemoglu and Johnson (2006, 2007), we constructed an instrument for these changes in life expectancy: “predicted mortality,” which is calculated from initial mortality by disease and the timing of global disease interventions. Across a wide range of specifications, our work suggests no positive effects—over 40- or 60-year horizons—of life expectancy on GDP per capita (or GDP per working-age population)

    Technology, information and the decentralization of the firm

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    Authors of this technical report: Daron Acemoglu, Philippe Aghion, Claire Lelarge, John van Reenen and Fabrizio ZilibottiApril 13, 200

    Why Nations Fail, by Daron Acemoglu and James Robinson

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    ACEMOGLU, Daron; ROBINSON, James. Why Nations Fail: The Origins of Power, Prosperity and Poverty. New York: Crown, 2012, 544 p. ACEMOGLU, Daron; ROBINSON, James. Why Nations Fail: The Origins of Power, Prosperity and Poverty. New York: Crown, 2012, 544 p.&nbsp

    Persistence of civil wars

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    A notable feature of post-World War II civil wars is their very long average duration. We provide a theory of the persistence of civil wars. The civilian government can successfully defeat rebellious factions only by creating a relatively strong army. In weakly-institutionalized polities this opens the way for excessive in?uence or coups by the military. Civilian governments whose rents are largely una¤ected by civil wars then choose small and weak armies that are incapable of ending insurrections. Our framework also shows that when civilian governments need to take more decisive action against rebels, they may be forced to build over-sized armies, beyond the size necessary for ?ghting the insurrection, as a commitment to not reforming the military in the future.National Science Fundation (U.S.

    Workshop Doctor Honoris Causa Daron Acemoglu Workshop by the Doctor Honoris Causa Daron Acemoglu - Demographics and Robots

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    L'École normale supérieure Paris-Saclay remettra le 6 octobre prochain à Daron Acemoglu (Professor, MIT) le titre de Docteur Honoris Causa. En l'honneur de cet événement, l'ENS Paris-Saclay et le laboratoire CREST/ENS Paris-Saclay proposent le samedi 7/10/2017 un workshop en présence de D. Acemoglu qui interviendra sur le thème Demographics and Robots

    Was Prometheus unbound by chance? Risk diversification and growth

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    This paper offers a theory of development that links the degree of market incompleteness to capital accumulation and growth. At early stages of development, the presence projects limits the degree of risk spreading (diversification) that the economy can achieve. The desire to avoid highly risky investments slows down capital accumulation, and the inability to diversify idiosyncratic risk introduces a large amount of uncertainty in the growth process. The typical development pattern will consist of a lengthy period of “primitive accumulation” with highly variable output, followed by takeoff and financial deepening and, finally, steady growth. “Lucky” countries will spend relatively less time in the primitive accumulation stage and develop faster. Although all agents are price takers and there are no technological spillovers, the decentralized equilibrium is inefficient because individuals do not take into account their impact on others' diversification opportunities. We also show that our results generalize to economies with international capital flows

    The choice between market failures and corruption

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    Because government intervention transfers resources from one party to another, it creates room for corruption. As corruption often undermines the purpose of the intervention, governments will try to prevent it. They may create rents for bureaucrats, induce a misallocation of resources, and increase the size of the bureaucracy. Since preventing all corruption is excessively costly, second-best intervention may involve a certain fraction of bureaucrats accepting bribes. When corruption is harder to prevent, there may be both more bureaucrats and higher public-sector wages. Also, the optimal degree of government intervention may be nonmonotonic in the level of incom

    The Colonial Origins of Comparative Development: An Empirical Investigation: Reply

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    Acemoglu, Johnson, and Robinson (2001) established that economic institutions today are correlated with expected mortality of European colonialists. David Albouy argues this relationship is not robust. He drops all data from Latin America and much of the data from Africa, making up almost 60 percent of our sample, despite much information on the mortality of Europeans in those places during the colonial period. He also includes a "campaign" dummy that is coded inconsistently; even modest corrections undermine his claims. We also show that limiting the effect of outliers strengthens our results, making them robust to even extreme versions of Albouy's critiques
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