United Nations Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean

Repositorio CEPAL (Comision América Latina y el Caribe)
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    Estimación en áreas pequeñas de los indicadores de pobreza en América Latina: una aplicación basada en modelos de regresión multinivel con posestratificación

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    El diseño y formulación de políticas públicas efectivas requiere de información sobre las condiciones de vida de la población que permita identificar a las personas más necesitadas y las zonas en las que habitan. Las metodologías de estimación en áreas pequeñas han ganado creciente aceptación como un mecanismo para producir estadísticas desagregadas, con una mayor precisión de la que permiten las encuestas de hogares por sí solas. Este documento presenta una aplicación para generar cifras de pobreza, pobreza extrema e ingreso medio, desagregadas por sexo, edad, nivel educativo y grupo étnico, a nivel de la primera división administrativa de 17 países de América Latina, utilizando un modelo de regresión multinivel con postestratificación. El método combina la información proveniente de las encuestas de hogares con la que proveen los censos de población, a la que se aplica un procedimiento de actualización de estructuras demográficas, y las imágenes satelitales.Resumen .-- Introducción .-- I. Metodologías de estimación en áreas pequeñas .-- II. Fuentes de información .-- III. Actualización de conteos intercensales .-- IV. Ajuste del modelo .-- V. Benchmarking y estimación del error del modelo .-- VI. Resultados .-- VII. Conclusiones

    Latin America and the Caribbean in the Final Five Years of the 2030 Agenda: Steering Transformations to Accelerate Progress

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    Five years from the deadline for achievement of the Sustainable Development Goals  (SDGs) in Latin America and the Caribbean, progress has fallen short of expectations a decade ago when the journey began. Many factors have impeded better progress: weak institutional capacities, limited financing and fiscal space, low growth for major trading partners, the shock of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic and subsequent cascading crises. In 2025, these factors have been compounded by geopolitical tensions and disruptions that may pose new obstacles for achievement of the SDGs, as well as new opportunities. Amid this complex landscape and five years from 2030, countries must urgently pick up the pace of their efforts, which requires a combination of internal and external action. Internally, it is imperative to increase the capacity to manage transformations by strengthening governance mechanisms in all policy areas; the technical, operational, political and prospective capabilities of relevant institutions; and social dialogue and collaboration among key stakeholders: national and subnational governments, the private sector, civil society, the legislature, academia and international cooperation agencies. Externally, countries must work together in international forums on the themes outlined in the Pact for the Future, especially on the reform of the international financial architecture to mobilize resources for financing development and the investment needed to achieve the Goals of the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development.Foreword .-- Introduction .-- Chapter I. Latin America and the Caribbean: the challenges of low growth capacity, high inequality, lack of environmental sustainability and weak institutional capabilities .-- Chapter II. Progress on the Sustainable Development Goal targets in Latin America and the Caribbean: prospects for achievement by 2030 .-- Chapter III. Progress in relation to Goals 3, 5, 8, 14 and 17 of the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development .-- Chapter IV. Participation of other governmental and non-governmental stakeholders in accelerating and monitoring progress towards achievement of the Sustainable Development Goals

    Repensar el desarrollo en América Latina y el Caribe: contribuciones de la Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL) en su 75° aniversario

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    En este libro se presenta un conjunto de disertaciones magistrales de destacados pensadores y especialistas en diversas áreas, realizadas en el marco del ciclo de conferencias del 75° aniversario de la Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), iniciativa organizada por la Oficina de la Secretaría Ejecutiva de la Comisión para conmemorar sus tres cuartos de siglo de prolífica existencia, y que se llevaron a cabo con una frecuencia mensual desde fines de julio de 2023 hasta mediados de marzo de 2024. Las presentaciones plasmadas en los capítulos de este libro ofrecen novedosas y refrescantes ideas que, sin duda, contribuyen a complementar la agenda de trabajo de la CEPAL, cuya orientación es y seguirá siendo la de construir un desarrollo que conjugue mayores capacidades productivas y niveles de productividad en la esfera económica, amplia inclusión y movilidad en el ámbito social, y mayores y mejores estándares en cuanto a la sostenibilidad ambiental.Prólogo .-- Capítulo I. Celebrar el pasado, construir el futuro / José Manuel Salazar-Xirinachs .-- Capítulo II. Setenta y cinco años después del nacimiento de la Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL) urge repensar el orden económico internacional / Arancha González Laya .-- Capítulo III. Reformas al sistema financiero internacional / José Antonio Ocampo .-- Capítulo IV. Desafíos y oportunidades para América Latina y el papel de los bancos de desarrollo / Aloizio Mercadante .-- Capítulo V. Lograr un crecimiento vigoroso, sostenido, sostenible e inclusivo / Ricardo Hausmann .-- Capítulo VI. Estructura y sinergia en el desarrollo. El escenario del Caribe y su futuro / Winston Dookeran .-- Capítulo VII. Migraciones, aporofobia y los retos éticos para la humanidad: reacciones ante la migración en América Latina y el Caribe / Adela Cortina .-- Capítulo VIII. Protección social y productividad en América Latina / Santiago Levy .-- Capítulo IX. El futuro de la democracia en la era digital / Daniel Innerarity .-- Capítulo X. ¿En qué casos la educación promueve el desarrollo? Políticas educativas para un crecimiento transformador / Lant Pritchett

    Historia Oral de la CEPAL: Entrevista a Adolfo Gurrieri [video]

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    Tras su paso por FLACSO, Adolfo Gurrieri se incoporó a CEPAL, donde enfrentó el desafío de integrar la sociología en una institución centrada en la economía. Luego se unió a la División Social [División de Programación del Desarrollo Social] del ILPES, llegando a ser más tarde su Director, colaborando con figuras como Cardoso, Medina Echavarría, Enzo Faletto, Aníbal Pinto y otros. Su trayectoria en CEPAL estuvo marcada por su relación con Raúl Prebisch, cuyo pensamiento estructuró su visión sobre el desarrollo económico. Con una clara orientación prebischiana, defendió la necesidad de industrialización, políticas de desarrollo, y de la planificación y el Estado. Desde la sociología política, contribuyó con análisis sobre cómo las estructuras de poder y las fuerzas sociales influían en las estrategias de desarrollo y a la transformación de sociedades tradicionales a más modernas. Junto a Prebisch, tuvo un rol clave como secretario de la Revista CEPAL, convirtiéndola en un espacio fundamental para difundir y debatir las ideas estructuralistas, promoviendo políticas activas para reducir la dependencia en América Latina.After his time at FLACSO, Adolfo Gurrieri joined ECLAC, where he faced the challenge of integrating sociology into an institution primarily focused on economics. He later became part of the Social Division [Social Development Programming Division] at ILPES, eventually becoming its Director and collaborating with figures such as Cardoso, Medina Echavarría, Enzo Faletto, Aníbal Pinto, and others. His career at ECLAC was shaped by his relationship with Raúl Prebisch, whose ideas influenced his vision of economic development. With a clear Prebischian orientation, he advocated for industrialization, development policies, planning, and the role of the state. From a political sociology perspective, he contributed analyses on how power structures and social forces influenced development strategies and the transformation of traditional societies into more modern ones. Alongside Prebisch, he played a key role as secretary of the CEPAL Review, turning it into a crucial platform for disseminating and debating structuralist ideas while promoting active policies to reduce dependency in Latin America.Introduccíon .-- 0:20 Ingreso a la CEPAL .-- 11:30 Amistades en la CEPAL .-- 12:29 Inicio de la Revista de la CEPAL .-- 14:59 Carrera en la CEPAL .-- 16:32 Como exdirector de la División de Desarrollo Social... -- 17:54 La CEPAL en 1964 .-- 18:45 Cambios en la CEPAL de 1964 a 1994 .-- 20:33 Acontecimientos políticos o sociales que afectaron a la CEPAL .-- 23:19 Futuro de la CEPAL .-- 25:56 Impacto de Raúl Prebisch

    United States economic outlook: evolving trends in the ownership of United States federal debt

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    This special issue of the United States economic outlook examines the trends in the ownership composition of United States federal debt holders, focusing on the balance between domestic and foreign investors and its implications for fiscal policy, financial stability and Latin America and the Caribbean. It provides updated data through mid-2025 on the structure of Treasury holdings, highlighting both the region’s participation as holders of United States debt and the strategies adopted by Latin American and Caribbean countries. The publication builds on two earlier reports by the ECLAC office in Washington D.C.: Trends and major holders of U.S. Federal Debt (LC/WAS/TS.2019/3, April 2019) and United States debt: major foreign holders (LC/WAS/R.62, March 2012), prepared for internal circulation.Highlights .-- Introduction .-- I. U.S. federal debt. A. Composition. B. Debt held by the public. C. Intragovernmental holdings. D. Interest expense .-- II. Major foreign holders of U.S debt .-- III. LAC holdings of U.S. Treasury securities .-- IV. Looking ahead

    The Hummingbird Vol. 12 No. 1

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    A preview of what you can find in our latest version of the FOCUS Magazine. -- A HUMMINGBIRD FEATURE: AI, education and development in the Caribbean: Preserving human agency in a world of automation. -- Youth parliamentarians prepare for debate on AI and education with guidance from ECLAC & UN

    Financial sustainability, equity, and efficiency of educational investment as enabling requirements for educational transformation in Latin America and the Caribbean 2025

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    Resuming previous international and regional commitments, in January 2024 the Declaration of Santiago was approved at the Extraordinary Meeting of Ministers of Education of Latin America and the Caribbean (UNESCO Santiago, 2024). In this, the SDG4 Regional Steering Committee was tasked with establishing an ad-hoc Working Group to develop a preliminary proposal on inclusive and effective financing to complement the Regional Reference Framework on public policies for educational reactivation, recovery and transformation. This Working Group is made up of ECLAC, UNESCO, UNICEF, World Bank, IDB, CAF, CLADE and IIEP UNESCO. This document is part of the work carried out by this group and has a double objective: to serve as an input to build a bridge of dialogue between the ministries of education and the ministries of finance of the different countries of the region; and to promote that educational financing does not regress, proposing ways to move towards equitable and efficient financial sustainability, in line with what is indicated in the fourth axis of the Framework for Educational Transformation in Latin America and the Caribbean.1. Introduction .-- 2. Agreements and commitments undertaken .-- 3. Moving towards equitable, efficient and financially sustainable educational investment .-- 4. How to do it: some policy proposals .-- 5. Summary and main recommendations .-- 6, Bibliography

    The right to care in Latin America and the Caribbean: progress on the regulatory front

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    The human right to care is essential for the sustainability of life and the planet and is one of the human rights recognized by international covenants and treaties as applying to everyone. As the Buenos Aires Commitment (2022) states, the right to care is based on the principles of equality, universality and social and gender co-responsibility. This right, whose foundations also include non-discrimination, progressiveness and interdependence, recognizes the value of care work and secures the rights of those requiring and providing care, as well as the right to exercise self-care. This means moving towards a fair social organization of care and achieving gender equality. The present issue of "Gender Equality Observatory for Latin America and the Caribbean. Studies" provides an up-to-date review of international regulations applying to the human right to care and their links to the Regional Gender Agenda. It includes constitutional provisions, national laws and policies on comprehensive care systems, standards for measuring time use and the regulation of care leave in Latin America and the Caribbean, drawing on information from the Gender Equality Observatory for Latin America and the Caribbean and the ILO Global Care Policy Portal.Introduction .-- I. International provisions governing the human right to care .-- II. Major milestones in the construction of a right to care in the Regional Gender Agenda .-- III. Care at the global and regional levels .-- IV. Care in national regulatory frameworks .-- V. Challenges and recommendations

    Biodiversity and development: thoughts from Latin America and the Caribbean

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    This document examines the challenges and opportunities facing Latin America and the Caribbean in biodiversity conservation and sustainable development. While the region has abundant natural resources that have been instrumental in driving economic growth, their overexploitation has jeopardized this valuable heritage and exacerbated social inequality, and that, together with habitat loss, deforestation and climate change, threatens long-term sustainability. In that context, the development model must be reoriented towards a more sustainable one that values, preserves and regenerates the region’s natural heritage. Achieving this requires strengthening the participation of local institutions and actors and promoting research, investment and effective environmental governance, including the recognition of Indigenous Peoples, as key actors in the protection of biodiversity. Integrating conservation into public policies and decision-making processes will enable the region not only to ensure a more prosperous and sustainable future for its inhabitants, but also to produce innovative solutions to environmental challenges.Introduction .-- 1. The Latin American and Caribbean region is endowed with a rich natural heritage that, in addition to helping regulate the planet’s climate, supports a vast number of livelihoods. Its deterioration not only jeopardizes environmental sustainability, but also entails the depletion of an asset that is essential for economic and social development .-- 2. Latin America and the Caribbean has the opportunity to transform its development model through new consumption and production practices that boost key sectors and, at the same time, preserve and recover its valuable natural heritage .-- 3. Transforming the unsustainable development model requires significant increases in biodiversity investment. The recovery of natural heritage will not only help ensure development sustainability, but will also prevent its current bases from being compromised in the long term .-- 4. Biodiversity loss and climate change are closely interconnected: they affect and exacerbate each other. Reversing the negative reciprocal effects requires adopting a comprehensive strategy that addresses both phenomena jointly, promoting coordinated actions in support of nature .-- 5. Bolstering biodiversity as a basis for the region’s development requires improving and promoting transformative governance and institutional capacities and resources in the region’s countries, as well as strengthening the rule of law, justice systems and environmental democracy

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    Repositorio CEPAL (Comision América Latina y el Caribe)
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