Jurnal Perspektif Pembiayaan dan Pembangunan Daerah
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Estimasi Permintaan Agregat Regional Provinsi Jambi (Pendekatan Model Makro Ekonomi)
Full text linkThe research objective was to analyzing fluctuations in aggregate demand growth variables are C, I, G, X, M and also regional gross domestic product for the year 1993-2010. To calculate and analyze some of the factors that affect the change of macro-regional components of aggregate demand in the years 1993-2010 Jambi Province. During the period 1993-2010 the economic growth rate Jambi average of 5 percent annually. Partially visible growth of household consumption by 23 percent investment by 18 per cent, 26 per cent of government spending, net exports of 43 percent. For calculate and analyze some factor that affect the change, here using regression equation with non log and log. Keywords: economic growth, consumption, investment, government spending, net export
Deteksi Ilusi Fiskal Kabupaten/Kota di Provinsi Jambi (Pengujian Perilaku Asimetris Pemerintah Daerah dalam Merespon Dana Perimbangan)
Full text linkPenelitian bertujuan untuk: (1). Menganalisis perkembangan pendapatan asli daerah dan dana perimbangan kabupaten/kota dalam Provinsi Jambi; (2) Menganalisis dan mengidentifikasi fenomena ilusi fiskal yang terjadi dalam keuangan kabupaten/kota di Provinsi Jambi. Penelitian menggunakan data panel kabupaten/kota di Provinsi Jambi dalam rentang waktu tahun 2001 – 2012. Data yang diperoleh akan dianalisis dengan menggunakan regresi data panel. Variabel-variabel yang digunakan adalah belanja daerah, PDRB, Pajak Daerah, Herfindahl Concentration Taxes (HCT), Dana Alokasi Umum, dan Dana Bagi Hasil. Hasil penelitian mendapatkan: (1) Meskipun tingkat ketergantungan pemerintah kabupaten/kota di Provinsi Jambi selama periode Tahun 2007 – 2011 sudah mulai menunjukan tetapi tingkat ketergantunnya masih terkagoteri tinggi: (2) PDRB, DAU, dan DBH  memiliki hubungan yang positif dan signifikan dengan pengeluaran pemerintah. Sedangkan pajak daerah (TAX) memiliki hubungan yang negatif dan signifikan secara statistik. Hasil penelitian tersebut menunjukkan terjadi ilusi fiskal setelah diberlakukannya otonomi daerah. Karena terdapat variabel pendapatan yang memiliki korelasi negatif dengan pengeluaran pemerintah, dengan nilai yang signifikan; (3) Terdapatnya fenomena ilusi fiskal di dalam kinerja anggaran pemerintah kabupaten/kota di Provinsi Jambi,  disebabkan karena tingginya ketergantungan daerah transfer pemerintah pusat. Dengan kata lain, meskipun pajak daerah turun, pemerintah daerah tetap menganggarkan belanja daerah lebih besar dari tahun sebelumnya, karena harapan untuk mendapatkan dana transfer dari pusat tersebut. Keywords: Ilusi Fiskal, Dana Perimbangan, Data Panel, Belanja Daera
Analisis PDRB sektor primer dan kesempatan kerja di Kabupaten Bungo
Full text linkThis study aims to see the development of value-added primary sector and sub sectors of primary, value-added contribution of primary sector and sub sectors of GDP primary Bungo district, the elasticity of value added of primary sector and sub sector of primary employment in primary sectors and sub sectors and primary factors - factors that influence the development of value-added primary sector over the period 2001-2010. In this study researchers used secondary data in the form of time series (time series) from 2001 to 2010. Data analysis used a model that is descriptive and quantitative analysis and simple regression using ordinary least squares regression. The analysis perkembagan primary sector value added growth tends to fluctuate and the average is pretty good as well as occurring in the development of primary sub-sector.The contribution of primary sector value added and primary sub sector to GDP is quite large Bungo Regency. From the analysis of the elasticity of value added of primary sector employment relations are elastic, the elasticity of value added sub sector of primary employment sub-sectors that have a primary elastic relationships contained in the sub-sector value-added food crops, plantation crops, livestock and their products, fisheries sub-sector of forestry,mining and quarrying in the elastic. The results of estimation of the factors that influence the development of value-added primary sector Bungo district when viewed together (in unison) that direct government spending variables and labor can provide a positive influence on GDP growth in the primary sector Bungo Regency. Tests showed that the partial direct government spending variables have a significant effect on GDP growth in the primary sector, while labor variables had no significant effect of primary sector GDP growth during the study period 2001-2010. Keywords:Gross Domestic Product, Agricultural, Primary Secto
Analisis Nilai Jual Tanah Untuk Perumahan di Kabupaten Tebo (Studi Kasus Kecamatan Rimbo Bujang dan Kecamatan Tebo Tengah)
Full text linkThis research is aimed to analyze the development of face value in Rimbo Bujang Sub-District and Tebo tengah Sub District; to get the different NJOP and Value market for Housing in Rimbo Bujang Sub-District and Tebo Tengah Sub-District; and to analyze mileage to Central Bussines District, overcrowding, and public facilities to face value for Housing in Rimbo Bujang Sub-District and Tebo Tengah Sub- district. Â This research used descriptive and quantitative analysis with studied in Rimbo Bujang Sub-District and Tebo tengah Sub-District. In quantitative analysis used Double regression wich SPSS and two tailed t test. The result of quantitative analysis shows mileage to District Center, overcrowding, and public facilities like PDAM and Mosque have positive and significant influence to face value in Tebo Tengah Sub-District and Rimbo Bujang Sub-District and have a different face value with society persfectif to development regional Tebo Tengah Sub-District and Rimbo Bujang Sub-District
Redenominasi Rupiah dan Sistem Keuangan
Full text linkRedenominasi mata uang merupakan akibat dari tingginya inflasi. Redenominasi tidak akan mengatasi tingginya nilai mata uang jika sistim keuangan tidak berubah. Redenominasi akan berulang-ulang dan berkelanjutan dan mungkin akan lebih besar, penyebabnya adalah inflasi. Inflasi yang tinggi diantaranya disebabkan oleh tingginya suku bunga. Karena itu, redonominasi dapat dilakukan bila kondisi ekonomi stabil dan kuat serta menggunakan sistim keuangan yang tidak berbasis bunga.Keywords: Inflasi, Suku Bunga, sistem keuanga
Permintaan Beras di Provinsi Jambi (Penerapan Partial Adjustment Model)
Full text linkThe purpose of this study is to determine the effect of price of rice, flour prices, population, income of population and demand of rice for a year earlier on rice demand, demand rice elasticity and rice demand prediction in Jambi Province. This study uses secondary data, including time series data for 22 years from 1988 until 2009. The study used some variables, consist of rice demand (Qdt), the price of rice (Hb), the price of wheat flour (Hg), population (Jp), the income of the population (PDRB) and demand for rice the previous year (Qdt-1). The make of this study are multiple regression and dynamic analysis a Partial Adjustment Model, where the demand for rice is the dependent variable and the price of rice, flour prices, population, income population and demand of rice last year was the independent variable. Partial Adjustment Model analysis results showed that the effect of changes in prices of rice  and flour are not significant to changes in demand for rice. The population and demand of rice the previous year has positive and significant impact on demand for rice, while revenues have negative and significant population of rice demand. Variable price of rice, earning population and the price of flour is inelastic the demand of rice, because rice is not a normal good but as a necessity so that there is no substitution of goods (replacement) of rice with other commodities in Jambi Province. Based on the analysis, it is recommended to the government to be able to control the rate of population increase given the variable number of people as one of the factors that affect demand for rice.It is expected that the government also began to socialize in a lifestyle of non-rice food consumption to control the increasing amount of demand for rice. Last suggestion, the government developed a diversification of staple foods other than rice. Keywords: Demand, Rice, Income Populatio
Defisit Anggaran dan Implikasinya terhadap Perkembangan Ekonomi dan Kinerja Keuangan Kabupaten Tebo
Full text linkThis study aims to 1) To analyze the determinants that will influence the budget deficit in Tebo district budget. 2) To analyze whether there is a correlation between the budget deficit with Tebo regency economic development. 3) To analyze whether there is a correlation between the financial performance of the budget deficit with Tebo regency. The method used in this study is a secondary data analysis methods. Based on the results of testing the model regression shows the value of the F-count is high at 12 130. With an alpha of 0.05 df1 = 3, DF2 = 4 obtained F-table at 6:59. so the F-count> F-table. this indicates that the independent variables are jointly significant effect on the dependent variable, so that personnel expenditure, capital expenditure and spending on goods and services during the period 2004-2011 are jointly significant effect on the budget deficit in Tebo regency. Each there is an increase of 1 billion budget deficit, it will cause a reduction in personnel expenses amounted to 4.52 billion Tebo regency. Any increased capital expenditure budget of 1 billion budget deficit will increase by 5.01 billion. Any increased budget allocation of goods and services amounted to 1 billion, the budget deficit will increase by 8.17 billion. the greatest influence on the budget deficit from the budget allocation of goods and services. The results of the analysis of the budget deficit relationship with economic development in Tebo regency during 2006-2010 showed that the budget deficit by using a simple Pearson correlation test has a relationship of -0.07986. These results illustrate that the budget deficit has a negative relationship with economic development. The results of the analysis of the relationship with the budget deficit in the region's financial performance during the period 2006-2010 Tebo regency showed that the budget deficit with the financial performance using tools Pearson correlation test has a relationship of -0.04703. The results illustrate that the budget deficit has a negative relationship with financial performance. Â Keywords: budget deficit, budget allocation, capital expenditure budge