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    Experimental Evidence on Life Outcomes and Social Integration in Jordan

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    Refugees require assistance for basic needs like housing but local host communities may feel excluded from that assistance, potentially affecting community relations. This study experimentally evaluates the effect of a housing assistance program for Syrian refugees in Jordan on both the recipients and their neighbors. The program offered full rental subsidies and landlord incentives for housing improvements, but saw only moderate uptake, in part due to landlord reluctance. The program improved short-run housing quality and lowered housing expenditures, but did not yield sustained economic benefits, partly due to redistribution of aid. The program unexpectedly led to a deterioration in child socio-emotional well-being, and also strained relations between Jordanian neighbors and refugees. In all, housing subsidies had limited measurable benefits for refugee well-being while worsening social cohesion, highlighting the possible need for alternative forms of aid

    Global Expansion of Marine Protected Areas and the Redistribution of Fishing Effort

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    The expansion of marine protected areas (MPAs) is a core focus of global conservation efforts, with the “30x30” initiative to protect 30% of the ocean by 2030 serving as a prominent example of this trend. This paper examines a series of proposed MPA network expansions of various sizes and forecasts the impact that increased protection could have on global patterns of fishing effort. This is accomplished using a predictive machine learning model trained on a global dataset of satellite-based fishing vessel monitoring data, current MPA locations, and spatiotemporal environmental, geographic, political, and economic features. The model predicts future fishing effort under various MPA expansion scenarios, compared to a business-as-usual counterfactual scenario that includes no new MPAs. The difference between these scenarios represents the predicted change in fishing effort resulting from MPA expansion. The results show that, regardless of the MPA network's objective or size, fishing effort would decrease inside the MPAs, though by much less than 100%. Moreover, this reduction in fishing effort within MPAs does not simply shift outside—fishing effort outside MPAs also declines. The overall magnitude of the predicted decrease in global fishing effort principally depends on where networks are placed in relation to existing fishing effort. MPA expansion will lead to a global redistribution of fishing effort, which should be considered in network design, implementation, and impact evaluation

    The State of Social Protection Report 2025 Background Paper #1

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    Mind the gap evaluates the progress in strengthening social protection and labor systems in emerging and developing economies (EDEs) in three areas: coverage, adequacy of benefits for the poor, and level of financing. The paper explores policy options to reduce the coverage and income gap for the world’s poorest. Over the past decade, social protection coverage in the average EDEs has increased by 10 percentage points, from 41 percent around 2010 to approximately 51 percent in 2022. In absolute terms, as of 2022, 4.7 billion out of 6.3 billion people in low- and middle-income countries were covered by social protection, while 1.6 billion were not covered at all. Moreover, about 0.4 billion people from the poorest quintile received insufficient social protection support. Overall, 2 billion people in low- and middle-income countries remain uncovered, or inadequately covered while poor, by social protection. Apart from coverage, Mind the gap also evaluates the extent to which EDEs are progressing toward universal social protection across various policy dimensions: benefit adequacy, financing levels, and targeting accuracy of social assistance programs. The findings indicate variable adequacy in benefit levels, significant government spending but persistent financing gaps, and generally modest pro-poor targeting with potential for improvement. These challenges are more pronounced in low-income countries. The paper also assesses the impact of social assistance programs on reducing extreme and relative poverty gaps, quantifies the annual costs needed to address these income shortfalls in EDEs, and explores options for closing these gaps, such as enhancing the efficiency of social assistance transfers and expanding fiscal space

    Perishable Peace Dividends

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    This paper explores the effect of road rehabilitation on violent conflict using a novel, rich dataset of road rehabilitation projects in the Democratic Republic of Congo. The country received massive external investments in transport infrastructure rehabilitation under conditions of endemic conflict, often with the explicit objective of supporting peacebuilding objectives. The paper finds that investments in road rehabilitation deter violence, which decreases significantly by around 5 to 10 percentage points after the completion of road rehabilitation. However, another significant finding, based on large-scale machine learning analysis of remote sensing data of road quality over time, is that the peace dividend of infrastructure investments is perishable: violence increases again as roads progressively deteriorate. Improved durability and systematic maintenance of roads are thus necessary to extend the “peace dividend” of road investments

    Policies for a Competitive, Green, and Inclusive Agrifood Sector

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    The agrifood sector in Brazil contributes significantly to the country’s economy. Despite its crucial role in the Brazilian economy, the agrifood sector faces significant challenges. This report analyzes agrifood public support policies in Brazil, considering the sector’s potential and the challenges that need to be addressed to make it more inclusive, sustainable, resilient, and competitive. The report examines the impact of agrifood public support on food prices, long-term productivity, climate change adaptation and mitigation, infrastructure, and rural development in Brazil. This report also analyses agrifood public support policies at the subnational level for three Brazilian States, Bahia, Santa Catarina and São Paulo, to capture diverse productive and socioeconomic contexts

    The Global Landscape of Building Energy Regulations and Their Enforcement

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    This report, developed by the World Bank’s Global Indicators Group, provides a comprehensive analysis of building energy codes (BECs) across 88 countries, highlighting their critical role in driving energy efficiency and sustainable development. With buildings accounting for 37 percent of global CO2 emissions, the adoption and enforcement of BECs are essential to achieving climate goals under the Paris Agreement. The study examines the evolution of BECs from simple prescriptive requirements to sophisticated performance-based standards, emphasizing their potential to reduce energy consumption, improve resilience, and generate economic benefits. Key findings reveal significant disparities in BEC adoption and enforcement, with high-income countries demonstrating near-universal implementation while rapidly urbanizing regions in Africa and South Asia lag behind. The report underscores the importance of passive design strategies, such as thermal transmittance standards for building envelopes, and highlights critical gaps in retrofitting existing buildings and phasing out fossil fuel heating systems. Recommendations focus on tailored implementation strategies, enhanced enforcement mechanisms, and leveraging financial incentives to bridge the gap between policy and practice. By providing actionable insights, this report aims to catalyze global efforts toward energy-efficient and climate-resilient buildings, ensuring that construction decisions made today contribute to long-term sustainability

    Country Program Evaluation

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    In 2012, Somalia was considered a failed state characterized by multiple, protracted, and deeply rooted fragility and development challenges. Today, Somalia remains one of the poorest and most fragile countries in the world. The country continues to be affected by ongoing civil conflict, a still-evolving political-constitutional structure, extreme poverty, and susceptibility to climate change and natural disasters. This evaluation assesses the evolution and performance of the World Bank Group’s support during fiscal years 2013 to 20–23, spanning two country strategies. This includes the evolution and relevance of its strategy and engagement, contributions to statebuilding, and adaptations of support to Somalia’s fragility context. The World Bank’s support has contributed to many achievements in building and strengthening state capacity and institutions, but enormous challenges remain. This evaluation offers four lessons: (i) Selectivity in statebuilding support. (ii) Calibrating lending with absorptive capacity. (iii) Strategically engaging with different government entities. (iv) Maintaining partnerships and coordination

    Gender Assessment of São Tomé and Príncipe Tourism Sector

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    The assessment presents findings from comprehensive desk research, semi-structured interviews, and key informant interviews conducted in-person in São Tomé and Príncipe in September 2023. The report is structured as follows: Section 2 presents the methodology, including the assessment framework, data collection method and key stakeholders. Section 3 provides background on the country context and the status of gender equality in São Tomé and Príncipe. Section 4 presents a gender gap analysis in women’s employment, entrepreneurship, and leadership. Section 5 dives into the ecosystem and stakeholder assessment. Finally, Section 6 lists priority areas for women in tourism and provides recommendations to be considered in the context of the upcoming World Bank projects

    Concept Note

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    The World Bank Group’s Women, Business and the Law (WBL) is a global benchmarking project that provides comprehensive and comparable data on how laws, regulations, and policies affect women’s economic opportunities and private sector development in 190 economies. It is housed in the World Bank’s Development Economics Global Indicators Group (DECIG). Women, Business, and the Law (WBL) data and research findings have been instrumental in informing policy dialogue on legal reform to drive global growth and productivity for more than 15 years. Introduced in 2010, the project has amassed a rigorous worldwide database. It has produced ten reports, with more than 50 years of data, highlighting legal reforms affecting women’s economic participation from 1970 to the present. Initially focused on analyzing laws de jure on the books, the WBL Report 2024 expanded its scope to assess the de facto implementation of these laws in practice. It aims to do so by examining economies’ diverse policy and institutional frameworks in support of legal implementation and gauging experts’ perceptions on the extent of enforcement of laws. This evolution marks a significant step in understanding the existence of laws and their practical impact on women's access to jobs and markets. The WBL Concept Note establishes the project's objectives, scope, and approach. To provide a clear and concise overview, this Concept Note is divided into three sections: objective and principles; topics, motivation, and corresponding indicators; and implementation

    Using Digital Health to Overcome Health System Challenges

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    Healthcare access and service delivery quality have been a persistent challenge in Lesotho. The COVID-19 pandemic has added new challenges and opportunities for change. Among those changes is the need to include digital health solutions and think about how new digital health interventions can enhance efficiency and transform the way primary healthcare is being provided or delivered in the country. This report, prepared by the World Bank for Lesotho’s Ministry of Health, documents the outcome of an assessment of Lesotho’s digital health system using a unique digital health assessment toolkit produced by the World Bank. The agreed objectives of the assessment were to 1) clarify the current digital health landscape in Lesotho, 2) develop a maturity score for Lesotho’s digital health system, 3) define the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats (SWOT) facing digital health in Lesotho and 4) Using the results of the assessment, provide recommendations and a phased roadmap of action to define the key strategic actions to move Lesotho’s digital health ecosystem to the next phase of its evolution. Based on the assessment results, 16 strategic recommendations have been made on foundational, functional, and frontier investments to advance the digital health agenda and improve service delivery. The prioritization of the actions has been based on this set of criteria: the most urgent to support PHC transformation, the incomplete actions from the current draft of the e-Health Strategy (2019-2023), and those with the most important long-term impact. This report is a call to action to upgrade the current eHealth strategy to a comprehensive digital health strategy with priority interventions, a costed implementation plan, and provisions for future impact assessment geared toward delivering better health in a digital world

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