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    Early Integration of Ukrainian Refugee Students into Italy’s Schools

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    The paper examines the early integration of Ukrainian refugee students into Italy's education system following the Russian Federation’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022. Using administrative and survey data, the study presents enrollment trends, academic performance, and barriers to educational integration. Findings from the analysis indicate that Ukrainian refugees face lower enrollment rates, higher absenteeism, and lower test scores than other students, particularly in subjects requiring language proficiency. Despite these challenges, teachers often recommend Ukrainian refugee students for advanced educational tracks, thus revealing their optimism about the potential of these students. Language barriers, mental health challenges, and uncertain futures are identified as major obstacles to integration. The study highlights the importance of tailored interventions, such as psychological support and more dedicated teaching time, to foster refugee students' academic and social inclusion

    Opportunities, Risks, and Challenges

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    Digitalization accelerated by the pandemic has exponentially increased the number and variability of alternative data sources. The stay-at-home requirements during the pandemic forced several business models to be digitized. This helped spur the digitization that had been ongoing pre-pandemic, largely driven by governments as countries sought to leverage the benefits of the digital economy. Advances in technological innovations are also facilitating the development of advanced credit underwriting models and the use of structured and unstructured data to assess creditworthiness. This has enabled the financial industry to actively integrate alternative data to gain a competitive edge. This study examines the evolution of the use of alternative data in creditworthiness assessment since the ICCR issued its Policy Guidance Note in 2018. The report identifies the use cases of alternative data in creditworthiness and the emerging models across geographical regions. After assessing the evolution of associated legal and regulatory frameworks, it concludes by offering recommendations and policy considerations. The findings of the study are detailed below

    The December 17, 2024 Mw 7.3 Earthquake in Port Vila, Vanuatu

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    The objectives of this report include providing an estimate of the direct economic damage to physical assets caused by the December 17, 2024, earthquake in Vanuatu, providing information on the sectoral and spatial distribution of damage, and, in so doing, supporting the development of a roadmap for recovery and reconstruction. The data sources used are highlighted in Annex A. This GRADE assessment is intended as a rapid remote estimate prepared within a short timeframe to inform early decision-making. It is not intended as a substitute for detailed on-the-ground analysis, which may be conducted weeks and months after an event. The GRADE assessment should be interpreted as a first-order estimation of direct damages, albeit with a significant degree of reliability. While there is confidence in the overall damage estimates and distribution of damage, the confidence level at the individual asset level is low. Therefore, results are presented at aggregated levels

    Jordan Digital Public Infrastructure Diagnostic

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    In recent years, Jordan has increasingly strengthened its commitment to enhancing public service delivery through digital public infrastructure (DPI). DPI refers to foundational and reusable digital platforms and building blocks—such as digital ID, digital payments, and data sharing—that underpin the development and delivery of trusted, digitally-enabled services across the public and private sectors, including social protection, health, public finance, and banking. Jordan’s National Digital Transformation Strategy and Implementation Plan for 2021-2025 reflects the country’s strategic commitment, with the Government actively establishing DPI building blocks, such as digital identity and data sharing platforms to accelerate the digitalization of public services using a secure and scalable architecture. Despite these increased efforts, the adoption of digitalized public services remains limited. Only about 1.4 million Jordanians are registered on Sanad, the integrated e-services platform that is central to the country’s digital public service delivery. This diagnostic provides a comprehensive review of the digital public service delivery enabled by Jordan’s DPI ecosystem and presents recommendations on features that bolster trust, interoperability, security, and people centricity

    FY 2024 Belize Country Opinion Survey Report

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    The Country Opinion Survey in Belize assists the World Bank Group (WBG) in better understanding how stakeholders in Belize perceive the WBG. It provides the WBG with systematic feedback from national and local governments, multilateral/bilateral agencies, media, academia, the private sector, and civil society in Belize on 1) their views regarding the general environment in Belize; 2) their overall attitudes toward the WBG in Belize; 3) overall impressions of the WBG’s effectiveness and results, knowledge work and activities, and communication and information sharing in Belize; and 4) their perceptions of the WBG’s future role in Belize

    Evidence from a Novel Experiment on SMEs in Tanzania

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    This paper presents the results from a novel field experiment that examined the impact of in- creasing the presence of revenue authority officers on tax compliance and tax morale among small and medium-size enterprises in a lower-income country. The experiment was embedded in the implementation of a representative, face-to-face survey of SMEs across mainland Tanzania. An independent survey firm was accompanied by Tanzania Revenue Authority officers, who observed the interviews in a randomly selected set of urban and peri-urban wards. This translated into a temporary increase in the presence of tax officers throughout parts of the country. The findings indicate that an increase in tax officer presence did not have a significant overall impact on tax compliance and tax morale among SMEs, as measured using a combination of administrative and survey data. However, there were short-term increases in compliance in the largest city and sustained increases in tax morale in the rest of the country. A follow-up survey suggests that these results were likely driven by an increase in the perceived credibility of enforcement rather than meaningful increases in perceptions of facilitation and trust

    Experimental Evidence from Ghana

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    How do intrahousehold dynamics affect the investment of female entrepreneurs? This paper presents findings from a randomized controlled trial in Ghana that assesses the impacts of four alternative support mechanisms on women-owned businesses: (a) an unconditional grant provided through a mobile money account equivalent to two months of median profits, (b) an unconditional grant disbursed to the female entrepreneurs’ spouses in similar conditions; (c) a grant conditional on participating with their spouses in a training on joint decision-making; and (d) a grant conditional on reaching a savings goal under a dedicated bank account. In line with Fafchamps et al. (2014), the study finds no impacts of the unconditional grants on the business performance of female entrepreneurs. The disbursement to the spouse also has no impact on the sales, profits, or investment of female entrepreneurs. Although there is no evidence that the allocation of resources within households is efficient, the joint decision-making intervention leads to increased household support for the women’s businesses but does not impact business performance. The savings support mechanism leads to a 15 percent increase in sales and a 10 percent increase in profits. These effects are largest among female entrepreneurs who faced high expropriation pressure at baseline. This subgroup obtains a 29 percent increase in sales and a 23 percent increase in profits. The paper tests for alternative mechanisms, including self-control issues, liquidity constraints, and access to savings, but these do not explain the results. The findings substantiate that intrahousehold dynamics matter for women’s investment decisions, and highlight the importance of promoting autonomy in the face of expropriation pressures, for increased growth and investment

    Building the Foundations for a Resilient and Equitable Fiscal Policy

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    Ghana’s development path, although registering past successes, faces a series of current and future challenges. Ghana succeeded inhalving its poverty rate between 1991 and 2016, from 87 percent (US$3.65 per day in 2017 purchasing power parity [PPP]) to about 50 percent of the population, outpacing progress across Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), along with improvements in health and education indicators. However, recent global crises have pushed poverty upward, as the country faces multiple challenges. Ghana needs to provide more and better jobs and foster inclusive productivity growth, especially through investments in human capital. At the same time, the country’s growth path is increasingly vulnerable to climate change and climate-related shocks. Tackling these challenges will require fiscal policy to promote macroeconomic stability, create the right incentives, and generate the necessary public investments

    Understanding Labor Market Demand in Real Time in Argentina and Uruguay

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    This paper explores how job vacancy data can enhance labor market information systems (LMISs) in Argentina and Uruguay where, as in many countries, data on in-demand skills is lacking. By analyzing job postings collected over four years in Argentina and Uruguay, this study assesses the potential of vacancy data to fill labor market data gaps. The findings reveal that vacancy data capture labor market dynamics across time and geography, showing a strong correlation with traditional labor market indicators such as employment and unemployment. However, the data are biased towards higher-skilled occupations. Despite these limitations, the large volume of postings allows for robust inferences and provides valuable insights into skills demand. The study presents three key applications of the data: 1) using postings as a leading indicator of labor market health; 2) identifying in-demand skills; and 3) mapping similarities between occupations to improve the information available to job counselors to provide advice about job transitions. Finally, the paper contributes methodologically by developing both a manually created skills taxonomy and an experimental machine learning approach to classifying skills. The machine learning method, while less comprehensive, highlights in-demand skills and can complement the manual approach by keeping it up to date with minimal input. Overall, the paper demonstrates the potential of job vacancy data to improve LMISs and inform labor market policies in Argentina and Uruguay with immediate practical applications for labor market analysis, skills development, and workforce training

    FY 2024 Comoros Country Opinion Survey Report

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    The Country Opinion Survey in Comoros assists the World Bank Group (WBG) in better understanding how stakeholders in Comoros perceive the WBG. It provides the WBG with systematic feedback from national and local governments, multilateral/bilateral agencies, media, academia, the private sector, and civil society in Comoros on 1) their views regarding the general environment in Comoros; 2) their overall attitudes toward the WBG in Comoros; 3) overall impressions of the WBG’s effectiveness and results, knowledge work and activities, and communication and information sharing in Comoros; and 4) their perceptions of the WBG’s future role in Comoros

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