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Properties of stratospheric warming events during northern winter
International audienceDuring wintertime the polar mid-stratosphere is characterized by the setting up of westerly winds around the pole; the so-called polar vortex. The polar vortex is one of the most variable features of the zonal-mean circulation of the earth atmosphere, due to a highly non linear interaction between planetary-scale Rossby waves and the zonal flow. Indeed, the interaction between the upward tropospheric propagating waves and the polar vortex leads to a zonal flow weakening, implying a large day to day vortex variability. In the most dramatic cases the polar vortex breaks down, the stratospheric polar flow can reverse its direction and the temperatures can rise locally by more than 50K in a span of a few days. Such phenomena are known as Sudden Stratospheric Warmings (SSWs) and constitute, since their discovery, the most impressive dynamical events in the physical climate system. There are however situations where the polar vortex does not break down, but temperatures increase dramatically. In this study, we propose a global characterization of stratospheric warmings situations based on a temperature threshold in the 50-10hPa layer, in order to assess the properties of daily stratospheric temperature variability during the northern winter. The originality of this approch consists in evaluating the wintertime positive temperature anomalies in terms of intensity and duration. We will show that there is a wide spectrum of warming types. The major SSWs are the most extreme, but there are other events that share some common properties with the major ones. Though neglected, these latter warmings may play a key role in the coupling of the stratosphere-troposphere system
Performance of electron reconstruction and selection with the CMS detector in proton-proton collisions at sqrt(s)=8 TeV
Submitted to JINST ; see paper for full list of authorsInternational audienceThe performance and strategies used in electron reconstruction and selection at CMS are presented based on data corresponding to an integrated luminosity of 19.7 inverse femtobarns, collected in proton-proton collisions at sqrt(s) = 8 TeV at the CERN LHC. The paper focuses on prompt isolated electrons with transverse momenta ranging from about 5 to a few 100 GeV. A detailed description is given of the algorithms used to cluster energy in the electromagnetic calorimeter and to reconstruct electron trajectories in the tracker. The electron momentum is estimated by combining the energy measurement in the calorimeter with the momentum measurement in the tracker. Benchmark selection criteria are presented, and their performances assessed using Z, Upsilon, and J/psi decays into electron-positron pairs. The spectra of the observables relevant to electron reconstruction and selection as well as their global efficiencies are well reproduced by Monte Carlo simulations. The momentum scale is calibrated with an uncertainty smaller than 0.3%. The momentum resolution for electrons produced in Z boson decays ranges from 1.7 to 4.5%, depending on electron pseudorapidity and energy loss through bremsstrahlung in the detector material
Angular coefficients of Z bosons produced in pp collisions at 8 TeV and decaying to mu+mu- as a function of transverse momentum and rapidity
see paper for full list of authorsInternational audienceMeasurements of the five most significant angular coefficients, A[0] through A[4], for Z bosons produced in pp collisions at sqrt(s)=8 TeV and decaying to mu+mu- are presented as a function of the transverse momentum and rapidity of Z boson. The integrated luminosity of the dataset collected with the CMS detector at the LHC corresponds to 19.7 inverse femtobarns. These measurements provide comprehensive information about Z boson production mechanisms, and are compared to QCD predictions at leading order, next-to-leading order, and next-to-next-to-leading order in perturbation theory
INSURANCE FRAUD THROUGH COLLUSION BETWEEN POLICYHOLDERS AND CAR DEALERS: THEORY AND EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE Pierre PICARD
We analyze, from theoretical and empirical standpoints, how insurance distribution channels may a§ect fraud when policyholders and service providers collude. The empirical analysis focuses on the Taiwan automobile insurance market. Striking forms of claims manipulation exist in this market: opportunistic policyholders tend to manipulate claim dates to reduce the burden of deductibles and to take advantage of the bonus-malusmechanism. We focus our attention on the role of dealer-owned agents (DOAs), since they have informational and bargaining advantages when faced with insurers and may be tempted to encourage collusion between their car repairers and policyholders. We develop an optimal contract model with claim auditing, where contracts are sold either through DOAs or through standard independent agents, and where policyholders and car repairers may collude to manipulate claims. We also use a database from the largest Taiwanese insurance company to test for the relevance of theoretical predictions. In particular, we verify that fraud occurs through the postponing of claims to the end of the policy year, possibly by Öling one single claim for several events, and we show that the fraud rate is larger among policyholders who purchase insurance through the DOA channel than among other policyholders
Search for resonant pair production of Higgs bosons decaying to two bottom quark-antiquark pairs in proton-proton collisions at 8 TeV
see paper for full list of authorsInternational audienceA model-independent search for a narrow resonance produced in proton-proton collisions at sqrt(s) = 8 TeV and decaying to a pair of 125 GeV Higgs bosons that in turn each decays into bottom quark-antiquark pairs is performed by the CMS experiment at the LHC. The analyzed data correspond to an integrated luminosity of 17.9 inverse femtobarns. No evidence for a signal is observed. Upper limits at a 95% confidence level on the production cross section for such a resonance, in the mass range from 270 to 1100 GeV, are reported. Using these results, a radion with decay constant of 1 TeV and mass from 300 to 1100 GeV, and a Kaluza-Klein graviton with mass from 380 to 830 GeV are excluded at a 95% confidence level
Drawing and Editing the Secondary Structure(s) of RNA.
International audienceSecondary structure diagrams are essential, in RNA biology, to communicate functional hypotheses and summarize structural data, and communicate them visually as drafts or finalized publication-ready figures. While many tools are currently available to automate the production of such diagrams, their capacities are usually partial, making it hard for a user to decide which to use in a given context. In this chapter, we guide the reader through the steps involved in the production of expressive publication-quality illustrations featuring the RNA secondary structure. We present major existing representations and layouts, and give precise instructions to produce them using available free software, including jViz.RNA, the PseudoViewer, RILogo, R-chie, RNAplot, R2R, and VARNA. We describe the file formats and structural descriptions accepted by popular RNA visualization tools. We also provide command lines and Python scripts to ease the user's access to advanced features. Finally, we discuss and illustrate alternative approaches to visualize the secondary structure in the presence of probing data, pseudoknots, RNA-RNA interactions, and comparative data
Easy and Quantitative Access to Fe(II) and Fe(III) Diarylalkynyl-phosphine Oxides Featuring [Fe(dppe)Cp*] Endgroups: Terminal P=O Functionality Blocks the Dimerisation of the Fe(III) Derivatives
International audienceA series of paramagnetic di(aryl)alkynylphosphine oxides [PF6] featuring an open-shell [Fe(κ(2)-dppe)(η(5)-C5Me5)](+) endgroup were obtained by oxidation of their neutral Fe(II) parents 3a-c, themselves obtained in a simple and nearly quantitative fashion from the corresponding Fe(II) metallophosphines 1a-c. The new organometallic radicals were characterised by NMR and ESR and were shown to be perfectly stable in solution, in contrast to species such as 1a-b[PF6] which readily dimerise
Spatial and body-size dependent response of marine pelagic communities to projected global climate change
International audienceTemperature, oxygen, and food availability directly affect marine life. Climate models project a global warming of the ocean's surface (~+3 °C), a de-oxygenation of the ocean's interior (~−3%) and a decrease in total marine net primary production (~−8%) under the ‘business as usual’ climate change scenario (RCP8.5). We estimated the effects of these changes on biological communities using a coupled biogeochemical (PISCES) – ecosystems (APECOSM) model forced by the physical outputs of the last generation of the IPSL-CM Earth System Model. The APECOSM model is a size-structured bio-energetic model that simulates the 3D dynamical distributions of three interactive pelagic communities (epipelagic, mesopelagic, and migratory) under the effects of multiple environmental factors. The PISCES-APECOSM model ran from 1850 to 2100 under historical forcing followed by RCP8.5. Our RCP8.5 simulation highlights significant changes in the spatial distribution, biomass, and maximum body-size of the simulated pelagic communities. Biomass and maximum body-size increase at high latitude over the course of the century, reflecting the capacity of marine organisms to respond to new suitable environment. At low- and midlatitude, biomass and maximum body-size strongly decrease. In those regions, large organisms cannot maintain their high metabolic needs because of limited and declining food availability. This resource reduction enhances the competition and modifies the biomass distribution among and within the three communities: the proportion of small organisms increases in the three communities and the migrant community that initially comprised a higher proportion of small organisms is favored. The greater resilience of small body-size organisms resides in their capacity to fulfill their metabolic needs under reduced energy supply and is further favored by the release of predation pressure due to the decline of large organisms. These results suggest that small body-size organisms might be more resilient to climate change than large ones
Pairing of two vertical columnar vortices in a stratified fluid
International audienceWe present three-dimensional (3D) numerical simulations of the pairing of two vertical columnar vortices in a stably stratified fluid. Whereas in two dimensions, merging of two isolated vortices occurs on a diffusion time scale, in the three-dimensional stratified case we show that merging is a much faster process that occurs over an inertial time scale. The sequence of dynamical processes that leads to this accelerated pairing involves first a linear stage where the zigzag instability develops displacing vortices alternately closer and farther with a vertical periodicity scaling on the buoyancy length scale LB=Fhb, where Fh is the horizontal Froude number (Fh=Γ/πa2N with a the core size of the vortices, Γ their circulation and N the Brunt–Väisälä frequency) and b is the separation distance between the vortices. In layers where the vortices have started to move closer, their distance decreases exponentially with the growth rate of the zigzag instability. Non-linearities do not seem to affect this process and the decrease only stops when the pairing is completed in that layer. At the same time, enstrophy that has also grown exponentially reaches a magnitude of the order of the Reynolds number Re=Γ/(πν) (where ν is the kinematic viscosity of the fluid) if the Reynolds number is not too large, meaning that energy is then dissipated on the inertial time scale. This dissipation occurs in thin layers and the vortices that were originally moving away in the intermediate layer start slowing down and rapidly merge