Austrian Academy of Sciences

Elektronisches Publikationsportal der Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften
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    Urban Agency in the Borderlands: Turkmen Rulers and Administrative Elites in 13th-century Kastamonu. Medieval Worlds|Urban Agencies: Reframing Anatolian and Caucasian Cities (13th-14th Centuries) & Movement and Mobility in the Medieval Mediterranean: Changing Perspectives from Late Antiquity to the Long-Twelfth Century, II - Volume 14. 2021 medieval worlds Volume 14. 2021|

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    After the Battle of Manzikert (1071), in which the armies of the Great Seljuqs defeated the Byzantine Empire, different waves of Turkmen people settled across Anatolia. By the 12th century, many of these groups had organised under the command of local warlords and established military control over different areas of Asia Minor under the tutelage of the Seljuqs of Rum. However, the mechanisms by which the new rulers articulated their control, especially over the urban settlements located in the regions they conquered, are poorly understood. This is even more dramatic in the case of northwestern Anatolia, a region that, during the 13th century, was a borderland between an expanding Turco-Islamic world and a defensive Christian Byzantium. The lack of narrative sources dealing with this particular part of Asia Minor has aggravated this lacuna, often excluding the city of Kastamonu from the studies of urban settlement in 13th-century Anatolia. This article attempts to change this situation by looking at surviving architectural evidence and non-narrative-literary sources that offer a particular view of the agents and agencies at work in the interaction between Turkmen rulers and urban elites in 13th-century Kastamonu

    Conditional Probabilistic Population Forecasting

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    Since policy-makers often prefer to think in terms of alternative scenarios,the question has arisen as to whether it is possible to make conditionalpopulation forecasts in a probabilistic context. This paper shows that it isboth possible and useful to make these forecasts. We do this with two differentkinds of examples. The first is the probabilistic analog of deterministicscenario analysis. Conditional probabilistic scenario analysis is essentialfor policy-makers because it allows them to answer “what if” typequestions properly when outcomes are uncertain. The second is a newcategory that we call “future jump-off date forecasts”. Future jump-offdate forecasts are valuable because they show policy-makers the likelihoodthat crucial features of today’s forecasts will also be present in forecastsmade in the future

    Zap (Zapp), Karel Vladislav (Karl Franz, Karl Ladislaus)

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    (1812 - 1871), Historiker, Fachschriftsteller und Lehre

    Wukadinović, Spiridion

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    (1870 - 1938), Germanist, Übersetzer und Bibliotheka

    Zdekauer, Karl Constantin Ritter von

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    (1819 - 1873), Jurist und Bankie

    Zatzka, Ludwig; ursprüngl. Čačka

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    (1857 - 1925), Architekt, Baumeister und Politike

    Zelovich, Kornél

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    (1869 - 1935), Bautechniker und Beamte

    Würthle, (Karl) Friedrich

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    (1820 - 1902), Photograph, Graphiker und Male

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    Elektronisches Publikationsportal der Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften is based in Austria
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