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ANALISIS FLYPAPER EFFECT TERHADAP BELANJA DAERAH DI KABUPATEN/KOTA BALI DAN NUSA TENGGARA TAHUN 2014-2018
No full textThis study aims to analyze the Flypaper Effect on local government expenditure in Bali and Nusa Tenggara in 2014-2018 and to prove whether there is a Flypaper Effect in the region. This study used panel regression analysis with the Eviews 9.0 anaysis tool. The data used in this study are secondary data on the general allocation funds, special allocation funds, profit sharing fund, local government revenue and expenditure of local government for the period of 2014-2018. The results of this study indicate in the regency/municipality of Bali that general allocation funds, special allocation funds and original local government revenue has a positive impact to local government expenditure and Flypaper Effect occurs in districts and municipalities of Bali. while in districts and municipalities of Nusa Tenggara that general allocation funds, special allocation funds, profit sharing funds and original local government revenue has a positive impact to local government expenditure and Flypaper Effect occurs in districts and municipalities of Nusa Tenggara
BILATERAL TRADE FLOWS AMONG G7 MEMBER COUNTRIES AND INDONESIA: GRAVITY MODEL APPROACH
Full text linkThis study aims to analyze the determining factors that determine the bilateral trade flow among G7 member countries and Indonesia. This study uses the gravity model of trade as concepted by Timbergen (1962). Panel Regression Analysis with Fixed Effect Method is conducted in order to acknowledge the relationship between Gross Domestic Product (GDP), PerCapita Gross Domestic Product (PCGDP), Exchange Rate (ER), Population (POP), and Distance (DIST) on G7’s Bilateral Trade Flows (BTF) while the data used are both time series (2007-2016) and cross sectional. This study used secondary data obtained from the World Bank, CEPII, UN Comtrade, OECD and ITC Trade Map. The results of this study simultaneously and partially proved that the independent variables as mentioned above definetely have impact on G7’s Bilateral Trade Flows, thus specifically the results show PerCapita Gross Domestic Product (PCGDP), Population (POP), and Distance (DIST) had significant influence on G7’s Bilateral Trade Flows.
KETAHANAN PANGAN DAN PEMBANGUNAN MANUSIA SERTA DAMPAKNYA TERHADAP KEGIATAN EKONOMI : STUDI KASUS NEGARA ASEAN
Full text linkExamine the effect of food security which consists of the dimensions of affordability, availability, quality & safety and natural resources on the human development index (HDI) and its impact on the level of economic activity for countries in the Southeast Asia region. The research design uses hypothesis testing of the effect of the independent variable on the dependent variable using the Structural Equation Model (SEM). This study uses sample of 9 countries in Southeast Asia region (Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam) with a study period of 9 years (20120-2020). The research findings show that the dimensions of affordability and quality & safety have a significant positive effect on HDI, while the dimensions of availability and natural resources have no positive effect on HDI. Other findings also prove that HDI has a positive effect on the level of economic activity (GDP).
REAKSI SAHAM MANUFAKTUR AKIBAT PERUBAHAN BEA MASUK IMPOR 2020 DAN PANDEMI COVID-19
Full text linkInvestment is a commitment to sacrifice current consumption with the aim of increasing consumption in the future. On January 30, 2020, the Ministry of Finance issued Regulation of the Minister of Finance number PMK199/PMK.10/2019, concerning import duty tariffs for retail imported goods. This regulation aims to protect the domestic industry due to the increasing transaction of imported goods using online methods, and is expected to reduce the current balance deficit. This research uses event studies method, which is when the new policy will affect the share price of certain sectors. However, when the provision is established it only has a relatively less strong influence on the volatility of its main share price in the manufacturing sector. Stock price volatility in IDX occurs precisely when the world occurs covid-19 pandemic and the announcement of events that in Indonesia is also affected starting in March 2020. The share price in the manufacturing sector has dropped sharply but there are also subsectors that have strengthened in pric
THE INFLUENCE OF BALANCING FUNDS AND LOCALLY-GENERATED REVENUE ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN SOUTH SUMATRA PROVINCE IN 2014-2018
Full text linkThis study discusses the influence of balancing funds and locally generated revenue on economic growth in South Sumatra Province in 2014 - 2018. The analytical method used is the Multiple Linear Regression using the help of the program eviews 10. The results of the calculation show that: (a) partially the Balancing Fund variable (X1) has a significant influence on economic growth in South Sumatra and locally generated revenue (X2) has a significant influence on economic growth in South Sumatra. Then, they are tested to do together it is known that both the Balancing Fund (X1) and locally generated revenue (X2) together have a significant influence on economic growth in South Sumatra. (b) The value of the coefficient of determination (Adjusted R Square) is 0.99, it shows that 99% fluctuations in economic growth in South Sumatra are influenced by the Balanced Fund (X1) and locally generated revenue (X2) while the remaining 0,01% is influenced by variables other than variables in this study such as local expenditure and other
FAKTOR PENENTU EKSPOR MINYAK KELAPA SAWIT DI INDONESIA
Full text linkIndonesia is a country that is abundant in natural resources both in agriculture and plantations. One of the advantages of plantation commodities owned by Indonesia is palm oil, but palm oil has experienced a decline in world demand for several years due to several factors. This study aims to analyze the determinants of palm oil exports in Indonesia. This study uses a simple regression analysis with the help of Eviews 9 analysis tools. The data used in this study are secondary data on the volume of Indonesian palm oil exports, inflation, interest rates, trade openness, exchange rate of volatility, exchange rates of Indonesian palm oil prices, the price of Malaysian palm oil, and export duties for the period of 2005 to 2019. The results can show that the determinants of palm oil exports are the price of Malaysian state palm oil and the price of Indonesian palm oil (fitted). While the exchange rate (fitted) and export duty does not affect the volume of Indonesian palm oil exports. In addition, the variable price of Indonesian palm oil is a mediating variable, while the exchange rate variable is a moderating variable.
NEGOSIASI PERANG DAGANG AMERIKA SERIKAT DAN TIONGKOK
Full text linkThis study is analyzed the negotiation process trade war of the United States versus China under US foreign policy. This research is qualitative research, because it seeks to explain negotiate trade war between US and China. This research uses the research library for data collection through book, journal, and search engines and used analytical descriptive. The result of this study found that the trade war between US and China had a large impact on the global economy. Besides that, the trade war negotiation process aims to find a way out of the trade war. Negotiations between two countries reached a phase I agreement establish a “pause” of trade wa
CRIMINALITY AND POVERTY IN SUMATRA
Full text linkThis study analyzes the effect of crime on poverty in Sumatra, in addition to using the Human Development Index variable and also the open unemployment rate as independent variables. Fixed Effect Model is the best method used in this study, panel data consisting of 9 years and 10 provinces in Sumatra. Increasing security and comfort is an important thing that must be accommodated in the form of a law. This is a certainty as well as a guarantor to prevent criminal acts by taking action in the form of strict punishment from the governmen
PENGARUH INFLASI, BI RATE, KURS, CAR DAN FDR TERHADAP NON PERFORMING FINANCING BANK SYARIAH MANDIRI
Full text linkThis research aims to determine the influence Inflation, Bi rate, Kurs, Capital Adequency Ratio (CAR) and Financing to Deposite Rasio (FDR) variables against Non-Performing Financing (NPF) Mandiri Sharia banking. This research uses the Vector Auto Regression (VAR) and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) methods. The variables used in the study consisted of inflation, BI Rate and exchange rate which classified into macroeconomic variables and Capital Adequency Ratio (CAR) and Financing to Deposite Ratio (FDR) belonging to the micro-economic variables. This research uses Bank Syariah Mandiri as a sample of research and data used in the form of financial statements published by the official website of Bank Syariah Mandiri. Root Unit testing, Optimum Lag, Model stability, and cointegration are used to view research data. Hypothesis testing uses Granger Causality to test simultaneously and VECM for partial testing and see long-term and short-term influences. The results showed that simultaneously inflation, Bi Rate, exchange rate, CAR and FDR have no influence on NPF Bank Mandiri Syariah. Then partially in the short term all variables also do not have a significant influence on NPF Bank Syariah Mandiri. But partially in long-term variable inflation, Bi Rate, exchange rate, CAR and FDR have a significant influence on NPF Bank Syariah Mandir
PEMBERDAYAAN GENDER, PENDAPATAN PEREMPUAN DAN PENURUNAN KEMISKINAN: BUKTI DATA PANEL DARI KAWASAN BARAT INDONESIA
Full text linkThe purpose of this study is to analyze the effect of gender empowerment on women's income and poverty reduction and examine the role of women's income as a mediating variable between gender empowerment and poverty reduction. This study uses panel data of 8 provinces from western Indonesia during the period 2010-2018. Hierarchical linear panel regression (HLPR) is employed to investigate the effect of gender empowerment on women's income and poverty reduction. Sobel test examines the role of women's income in mediating the effect of women's income on poverty reduction. Granger causality test is used to analyze the direction of causality between the three variables. The study points out that gender empowerment has a positive and significant effect on women's income but did not affect poverty reduction. Women's income has a negative and significant impact on the poverty rate. The existence of women's income mediates the effect of gender empowerment toward poverty reduction. The role of women's income mediates the relationship between the two variables is full mediation. Granger causality tests indicate that there is unidirectional causality from gender empowerment to women's income, and from poverty rate to gender empowerment