e-Jurnal Perdagangan Industri dan Moneter
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Pengaruh pendapatan asli daerah, dana alokasi umum, dan dana alokasi khusus terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Kabupaten/Kota Provinsi Jambi
This study aims, (1) To analyze the development of regional original income, general allocation funds, special allocation funds, and economic growth of Jambi Province Regency/City (2) To determine the effect of regional original income, general allocation funds, and special allocation funds on the economic growth of the Regency / City of Jambi Province partially and simultaneously. Data sourced from the Central Statistics Agency of Jambi Province and the Directorate General of Fiscal Balance with panel data analysis method and using descriptive analysis tools. Based on the results of data processing, the following results are obtained: first, the average development of regional original income variables, general allocation funds, special allocation funds, and economic growth fluctuates from year to year. second, (1) Regional original income and special allocation funds have a negative and significant impact on the economic growth of districts/cities in Jambi Province. (2) The general allocation fund has a negative and insignificant effect on the economic growth of districts/cities in Jambi Province.
Keywords: Economic growth, Local revenue, General allocation funds, Special Allocation funds Province
Pengaruh FED rate, inflasi, dan indeks NIKKEI 225 terhadap IHSG di Indonesia (2016-2017)
This study aims to analyze the influence and look at the Fed Rate, Inflation in Indonesia, and the NIKKEI 225 Index on the Composite Stock Price Index (JCI). The data used in this study is secondary data obtained from Bank Indonesia, Investing.com, library sources, journals, and other scientific articles. The analytical method used in this study is the multiple linear regression analysis method using the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method. Data is processed using software using monthly data with the research period from January 2016-December 2017 sourced from the internet, scientific journals, and books. The results of this study indicate that partially the FED Rate variable has a negative effect on the JCI, Inflation has a negative effect on the JCI, and the NIKKEI 225 Index has no effect on the NIKKEI 225 Index. Meanwhile, simultaneously all variables affect the JCI.
Keywords: Fed Rate, Inflation, NIKKEI 225 Index, ID
Analisis sosial ekonomi usaha dagang kecil pecel lele di Kecamatan Telanaipura Kota Jambi
This study aims: 1) to analyze the socio-economic conditions of small pecel catfish trading business in Telanaipura District, Jambi City. 2) to analyze the effect of length of business, working capital, age, education, and the number of dependents on the income of a small catfish pecel trade business in Telanaipura District, Jambi City. This research is quantitative research and the type of data used in this research is primary data in the form of cross-section data about the level of business income, length of business, working capital, age, education, and number of dependents. The sample in this study were all members of the population as a sample with a total of 37 respondents with the instruments used in the form of questionnaires and interviews. The data obtained were processed using SPSS 20 with the multiple linear regression analysis methods. The regression results show that partially only working capital and age variables have a significant effect on the business income of catfish pecel traders, while the length of business, education, and the number of dependents have no significant effect on the income of catfish pecel traders in Telanaipura District, Jambi City.
Keywords: Business income, Business duration, Working capital, Age, Education, The number of dependent
Analisis faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi utang luar negeri Indonesia
The purpose of this study is to (1) see the description of Indonesia's foreign debt, saving-investment gap, current account balance, and the budget deficit for the period 1990-2016. (2) analyze the effect of the saving-investment gap, current account balance, and budget deficit on Indonesia's foreign debt. The method used in this research is descriptive quantitative analysis with multiple regression model analysis using the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method. The results of this research are the average development of Indonesia's foreign debt is 6.21 percent, the Saving-Investment gap is 12.47 percent, the current account balance is 394.19 percent, and the budget deficit is 60.91 percent. Based on the analysis results, the Saving-Investment gap and budget deficit have a positive and significant effect on foreign debt. In contrast, the current account balance has a negative and insignificant effect on foreign debt, with a coefficient of determination of 85.52 percent.
Keywords: Foreign debt, Saving-investment gap, Current account, Budget defici
Pengaruh industri kecil terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Provinsi Jambi
This study aims to determine the effect of the number of business units, investment, and labor on economic growth in Jambi Province in 2001-2017. This type of research is descriptive quantitative. The use of secondary data from the publication of the Central Statistics Agency of Jambi Province in the form of time series data, namely Economic Growth, number of small industrial business units, small industrial investment, small industrial workforce. The results showed that, from the results of the t-test, it can be concluded that for each small industrial business unit variable, the number of small industrial business units and small industrial workers has a significant effect on economic growth. The results of the coefficient of determination test (R²) show that the ability of the independent variables (small industrial business units, small industrial investment and small industrial workers) in explaining the dependent variable (economic growth) is 98.69 percent. In comparison, the variable others explain the remaining 1.31 percent outside the model.
Keywords:Â Economic growth, Business units, Labor, Investmen
Analisis pendapatan usaha industri kerupuk amplang di Kecamatan Tungkal Ilir Kabupaten Tanjung Jabung Barat
This study aims to analyze the socio-economic characteristics of entrepreneurs and the amplang cracker industry business, the magnitude of the amplang cracker industry business income, and the factors that affect the income of the amplang cracker industry entrepreneur in Tungkal Ilir District, Tanjung Jabung Barat Regency. The research method used in this study is a survey method, with descriptive analysis and quantitative analysis. Based on the results of data processing using the OLS method in multiple linear regression equations, the results obtained are: The socio-economic characteristics of all amplang cracker industry entrepreneurs are 83.33 percent with a high school graduate/equivalent. The average number of dependents and the number of workers is 4 people. The average net income of Rp. 15,753,334,- per month. Simultaneously, the variables of production costs, the amount of production, and the workforce have a significant effect on the business income of the amplang cracker industry. Partially shows that production costs, and the amount of production have a positive and significant effect on the business income of amplang crackers. Meanwhile, labor has no significant effect on the business income of the amplang cracker industry.
Keywords: Production, Labor, Revenue of amplang crackers industr
Pengaruh variabel-variabel di sektor riil dan perbankan terhadap Shock Credit Default Swap (CDS) di Indonesia
The rapid development of the global financial market today is getting faster and integrated with the existence of advanced technology. Along with economic issues in various worlds, directly related to the global economic crisis that occurred in 2008-2009 greatly influenced the development of credit default swaps (CDS) in developing countries such as Indonesia. The increase in the value of the credit default swap, which carries a high risk of default, will further impact investor confidence and weaken the exchange rate. This is reflected in the shocks of the global crisis and the subprime mortgage prime in the United States. However, the onset of a global crisis can be early with early indicators of crisis from credit default swaps so that crisis management can be carried out faster. The results of this study indicate that the credit default swap is responded to faster by the banking sector than the real sector.
Keywords: Financial crises, Credit Default Swap (CDS), Riil and banking secto
Pengaruh inflasi dan jumlah uang beredar terhadap nilai tukar rupiah dengan pendekatan model struktural VAR
The purpose of this study are, firstly to analyze exchange rate trends of rupiah, centtral bank policy rates, inflation and money supply in Indonesia from January 2019 to December 2019. Secondly, to analyzes the effect of central bank policy rate, inflation and the money supply to the rupiah exchange rate in January 2013 – Desember 2018. The method used in this research are descriptive and quantitative analysis with trend analysis tools and multiple linier regression VAR models with the Ordinary Least Square (OLS). The results of the study found that, the first trend data from the rupiah exchange rate variable of January 2019 period – December 2019 of IDR 15.145 US$, the central bank’s policy interest rate was 4.5 percent, inflation was 2.15 percent and the money supply was an average of Rp.5.966.9112,17 billion. Secondly, from the processed data it was found that central bank policy rates and the money supply has a positive effect on the rupiah exchange rate of January 2013 period – December 2018. While the inflation variable has a negative impact on the rupiah exchange rate of January 2013 period – December 2018.
Keywords : Rupiah exchange rate, Central bank policy interest rate, Money suppl
Analisis faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi pertumbuhan ekonomi di Kabupaten Sarolangun
Investment (PMDN) and government expenditures have on economic growth in Sarolangun Regency. The type of data used is secondary data in the form of time series data for 2000-2017, in the form of data on economic growth, the number of workers, PMDN, and government spending. The analytical method used in this study is multiple linear regression or Ordinary Least Square (OLS). Based on the analysis results indicate that the workforce has a positive and significant effect on economic growth. PMDN has a positive and significant effect on economic growth. Likewise, government spending has a positive and significant effect on economic growth.
Keywords: Economic growth, Labor, Domestic investment (PMDN), Goverment expenditure
Pengaruh kurs dan harga ekspor terhadap daya saing ekspor komoditas unggulan Provinsi Jambi
The purpose of this research are: 1) to analyze competitiveness of commodity of areca nut, vegetable oil, rubber and paper of Jambi Province; 2) to analyze the influence of exchange rate and export price to export competitiveness of rubber, areca nut, vegetable oil and paper of Jambi Province. The data used are secondary data from 2000 - 2015, including: 1) Rupiah exchange rate against US Dollar; 2) Export price of rubber commodity, areca nut, vegetable oil and paper of Jambi Province; 3) Export value of rubber commodity, areca nut, paper, vegetable oil of Jambi Province and Indonesia. The analysis tools used are: a) Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA); b) Multiple Linear Regression Analysis. The results of the study found that: 1) rubber commodities and areca nut commodities in Jambi Province were competitive while paper and vegetable oil commodities were not competitive; 2) exchange rate, export price has significant effect on export competitiveness of rubber, areca nut, paper and vegetable oil in Jambi Province
Keywords: Competitiveness, Exchange Rate, Export Price.
Abstrak Tujuan dari penelitian ini untuk menganalisis daya saing dari komoditi pinang, minyak nabati, karet dan kertas Provinsi Jambi dan juga untuk menganalisis pengaruh Kurs dan harga ekspor terhadap daya saing ekspor komoditi karet, pinang, minyak nabati dan kertas Provinsi Jambi. Data yang digunakan adalah data sekunder dari tahun 2000 – 2015, mencakup: 1) Kurs rupiah terhadap Dolar Amerika; 2) Harga ekspor komoditi karet, pinang, minyak nabati dan kertas Provinsi Jambi; 3) Nilai ekspor komoditi karet, pinang, kertas, minyak nabati Provinsi Jambi dan Indonesia. Alat analisis yang digunakan adalah: a) Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA); b) Analisis Regresi Linear Berganda. Hasil penelitian menemukan bahwa: 1) komoditas karet dan pinang Provinsi Jambi berdaya saing sedangkan komoditas kertas dan minyak nabati tidak berdaya saing; 2) kurs, harga ekspor berpengaruh signifikan terhadap daya saing ekspor karet, pinang, kertas dan minyak nabati di Provinsi Jambi Kata Kunci : Daya Saing, Kurs, Harga Ekspor