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    Is there merit in Labour's asylum policies?

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    The Government’s new policy proposals on asylum claimants and refugees have come under a lot of criticism. But Alan Manning argues that Labour’s minister Shabana Mahmood has correctly identified that the current status quo of irregular migration is unsustainable. Whether Labour’s policies will be effective in reducing the numbers of irregular migrants is very hard to tell given the available evidence, but unless the Government acts there will be further reduction in the public’s support for humanitarian migration

    The Greens, Your Party and Labour's left challenge

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    With Labour’s drop in the polls, the creation of Your Party and the Greens’ soaring popularity, the left vote is fragmenting. Laura Serra and Jenevieve Treadwell trace the movement of voters to the left, and argue that especially in London, and especially among the young country-wide, Labour is facing a more serious challenge on its left than on its right

    The overlooked burden of birth defects in addressing newborn mortality

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    In this week’s blog post, Dr Meskerem Kebede and Dr Rocco Friebel (Global Surgery Policy Unit – LSE Health) lay out the need to reprioritise birth defects as a major contributor to neonatal and child mortality. Based on their research in Ethiopia and Somaliland, the authors argue that community- and primary care-focused surveillance, and timely interventions, are the essential ways to better understand and tackle this challenge

    When the hypernudge becomes the rule in platform advertising

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    LSE’s Professor Nick Couldry uses the framework of data colonialism to reflect on Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg’s claim that his company can replace advertising agencies using AI-driven processes

    Financial services

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    A model of common law adjudication

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    Interpreting judicial decision-making in terms of a realistic optimization problem has been a longstanding challenge for economic theories of adjudication. This article develops a theory of value for a fundamental decision facing an appellate court: the choice of whether to follow, distinguish, or overrule precedent. Extending the framework of reason-based choice into a dynamic model of jurisprudence, the theory illustrates distinctive judicial phenomena such as the practice of ‘stealth overruling’, and also sheds new light on judicial minimalism, legal completeness, and the constraint of precedent

    A discussion of supply-side solutions to carbon reduction in the energy sector

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    Climate change is evolving into a very concern that has to be taken into account, and the energy sector is observed to be to blame for the excessive emissions of greenhouse gas (GHG), mainly carbon dioxide, among all kinds of human activities. While great efforts are made to cover the gap between carbon emission and absorption through energy consumption, limited attention has been drawn to the supply-side. Therefore, the study aims at exploring supply-side solutions to emission reduction in the energy sector by drawing a blueprint for low-carbon energy supply and providing suggestions for solutions based on the logic behind each strategy. The article divides the supply-side solutions into industrial solutions and auxiliary solutions in accordance with their connection with the energy industry. Further, it discusses sub-types of solutions along economic and technological feasibilities of renewable energy technologies (RETs). The research concludes that the low-carbon transition of energy supply is in urgent need for systematic supply-side solutions. Admittedly, the alignment with the climate goal of carbon reduction is the key component of supply-side solutions; nevertheless, the solutions should go beyond and give consideration to promoting the transition as a whole

    Can cash transfers protect mental health? Evidence from an observational cohort of children and adolescents living in adverse contexts in Brazil

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    BACKGROUND: Youth exposed to poverty and adversities like violence are at higher risk of mental health problems (MHP), but whether antipoverty interventions can reduce this risk remains unclear. We examined the association between participation in the Brazilian Cash Transfer Program (BFP) and mental health of children/adolescents exposed to different levels of adversity. METHODS: Observational study using nearest-neighbor propensity score matching to compare BFP participants and non-participants from the Itaboraí study, a community-based cohort of 1,189 children/adolescents (6-15 years) assessed at two waves (meaninterval: 12.9 months).Measures included the Child Behaviour Checklist (CBCL) externalizing, internalizing, and total problems scales; an adversity score derived from a confirmatory factor analysis on violence victimization at home (WorldSAFE), school (threat/maltreatment/being chased by peers) and community (Survey of Exposure to Community Violence), and stressful life events (UCLA Posttraumatic Stress Disorder Reaction Index); and BFP exposure for at least 12 months (yes/no). Latent change score models tested whether BFP participation predicted changes in CBCL T-scores, moderated by adversity levels. RESULTS: A total of 330 BFP participants were matched with 330 non-participants with similar sociodemographic characteristics. Decreases in total (b=-0.124, SE=0.034, p<0.001), externalizing (b=-0.122, SE=0.036, p=0.001), and internalizing problems (b=-0.141, SE=0.033, p<0.001) between baseline and follow-up were observed among BFP participants exposed to higher levels of adversity compared with non-participants. CONCLUSIONS: BFP participation was associated with reduced MHP only among children/adolescents facing high adversity, suggesting the program may help break the cycle between poverty and mental health problems-but benefits are concentrated among the most vulnerable

    Integrating bank transition planning into prudential supervision

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    Climate transition plans are a versatile new tool for use by financial and non-financial firms, policymakers and prudential regulators. For banks, they are an important building block that supports their ability to respond adequately to short-, medium- and long-term risks arising from climate change. For central banks and prudential supervisors, assessing the transition plans and planning practices of banks can help overcome some of the limitations that existing prudential frameworks face when it comes to climate change risks, in particular by supporting the assessment of business models and the adequacy of banks internal governance and risk management. This report’s analysis is designed to support prudential authorities across jurisdictions as they integrate transition plans into their supervisory review and evaluation processes. It articulates how the different aspects of the emerging transition plan governance ecosystem fit together, summarises their common elements, and explains the role that prudential supervision should play within this ecosystem. It develops a framework for identifying how specific elements of transition plans can be integrated into existing supervisory assessment procedures, with a primary focus on climate transition plans

    Big data and data science in global governance: anticipating future needs and applications in the UN and beyond

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    This paper explores the transformative potential of big data and data science in global governance, with particular emphasis on their application in international organizations addressing sustainable development challenges. Through comprehensive analysis of theoretical frameworks, current applications, and future directions, we examine how big data technologies enhance decision-making processes and operational efficiency in global governance frameworks, particularly within United Nations agencies and affiliated international organizations. The research identifies the “4Vs” of big data (Volume, Velocity, Variety, and Veracity) as fundamental characteristics reshaping governance approaches while highlighting innovative applications like UN Global Pulse, SDG tracking systems, and AI-driven predictive analytics in crisis prevention. We assess technical, ethical, and organizational challenges, including data quality inconsistencies, interoperability issues, privacy concerns, algorithmic bias, and resource constraints that impede the full integration of big data into governance systems. The paper proposes forward-looking strategies for infrastructure development, skills enhancement, and policy frameworks that can maximize big data's benefits while addressing ethical considerations and regulatory requirements. Our findings suggest that big data, when properly governed through international cooperation and ethical frameworks, can significantly enhance crisis response capabilities, improve resource allocation, and accelerate progress toward sustainable development goals. This research contributes to the evolving understanding of big data's role in addressing transnational challenges through improved monitoring systems, predictive capabilities, and evidence-based policy interventions

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