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    4689 research outputs found

    Random graphs and stochastic networks : limits and approximations

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    This thesis is divided into four distinct chapters. In Chapter 1 we give a brief history of the study of random graphs and stochastic networks, as well as a description of the results of the remaining chapters and an introduction to some common notation we will use. Chapter 2 is focused on finding how the expected numbers of certain structures grow asymptotically in a scale-free Chung-Lu random graph. In such a graph nodes are independently assigned weights according to a distribution with tail probability h 1−α l(h), where α > 2 and l(h) is a slowly-varying function, and each pair of nodes is connected by an edge with probability proportional to the product of their two weights. After introducing the model in Section 2.1 this chapter is further subdivided into three parts: in Section 2.2 we study the growth of the number of cliques (complete sub-graphs) in the graph, in Section 2.3 we study how these asymptotics change when conditioning on the presence of a "mutual friend" (a node of known weight connected to every other node in the structure) and in Section 2.4 we present a general optimisation method for finding these growth rates for any finite sub-graph. Chapter 3 addresses results regarding the number of individuals in the n th generation of a branching random walk which exist to the right of a given increasing threshold. In particular we find sharp asymptotics for the expectation and variance of this number when the offspring distribution of the branching random walk is constant and the displacement distribution belongs to a certain wide class of heavy-tailed distributions. Finally, in Chapter 4 we explore the maximum throughput for the ALOHA system, a type of random access protocol, when modified to include a process of "retries" for transmissions and a decentralised algorithm to estimate the number of terminals wishing to transmit

    Time-lapse seismic monitoring of dynamic rock property changes due to an explosive event at depth

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    After the second world war and the cold war, nuclear weapon disarmament and the prohibition of nuclear tests has become a significant global security issue. The United Nations established the Preparatory Commission for the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization (CTBTO) in 1996 to develop verification regimes to monitor nuclear weapon testing. Characterising seismic events as underground nuclear explosions is a challenging task. The On-Site Inspection (OSI), carried out by a trained Inspection Team at the suspected nuclear test location, is the most invasive verification method under the Comprehensive Test-Ban Treaty (CTBT). The team verifies the suspicious event using a suite of scientific techniques such as visual observation, radio-nuclide (RN) measurement techniques, geophysical methods including seismic monitoring, etc., to link post-explosion phenomena to potential sources. The main challenges in seismic monitoring involve accurately locating the test location and separating underground variations in seismic properties due to the explosion from naturally occurring variations. Moreover, the OSI verification operations occur several days/months after the explosion, which would lead to possible variation in the detectability of nuclear-explosion related anomalies due to their decay over time. This study explores the potential of implementing seismic time-lapse monitoring techniques to locate underground explosion zone by detecting the explosion related seismic property variation. This project’s scope is drawn within the framework of the CTBTO treaty to develop a monitoring technique that can be acquired, processed, and interpreted within the 130 days post-explosion On-Site Inspection period. An underground nuclear explosion (UNE) produces characteristic static and dynamic signatures due to the sudden release of intense pressure and thermal energy. Geological deformations, such as a cavity, rubble chimney, rock compaction, and fracturing, collectively known as the ‘cavity system’, are the characteristic static signatures associated with UNE. The P-wave velocity of the cavity system is 50 – 80 % lower than the initial background velocity. Certain dynamic signatures, such as groundwater mounding, are observable for a prolonged period, even for several decades, due to the redistribution of residual stress, temperature, and saturation. These dynamic phenomena are most prominent near the source origin, while their spatial and temporal behaviour depends on the explosive yield strength, detonation depth, and geology of the test site. This study was carried out in four stages. The first stage investigates the characteristic phenomena associated with the UNE and their impact on the emplacement rock’s seismic property. The dynamic phenomena of groundwater mound (GWM) has a very high dissipation rate during the first 100 days following the explosion. The numerical modelling study carried out for isotropic alluvium rock medium shows that the GWM dissipation can cause about 40 % velocity change, which can be detected by time-lapse seismic. The target for active seismic survey in OSI is a cavity (low velocity zone) created by UNE and associated GWM dynamic phenomena. In the second stage of the research, a seismic processing workflow for detecting subsurface cavities is presented, and a frequent time-lapse seismic monitoring strategy is proposed. The rate of dissipation of GWM; which is geology, yield strength and rock permeability dependent; is at its peak during the initial days after UNE and gradually drops. Conducting a frequent time-lapse seismic monitoring during the period of high dissipation rate would increase the chance of detecting the time-lapse change associated with GWM. Due to the time constraint, conventional time-lapse seismic processing would not be suitable for the OSI activity. Therefore, machine learning-based multi-vintage cross-equalisation and 4D detection workflow are presented in the third stage of the research. The near-real-time 4D detection workflow using machine learning can be implemented during the OSI to identify the potential source location or ground zero. In the final stage of the research, optimal survey parameters and technologies to be considered for implementing a time-lapse seismic survey during the OSI are discussed .Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) fundin

    Developing a sustainable real estate framework for Bahrain

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    Sustainable development has become a widely studied and adopted concept within multiple disciplines. However, achieving sustainable development remains debatable due to the different sectoral natures. Sustainability is viewed within three spheres: the economy (profit), society (people), and the environment (planet), considering sustainability impacts all three dimensions. The three elements must be balanced to achieve sustainable development, considering multiple challenges and obstacles related to fragmented regulatory structures, financial budgets, public awareness, and government capacity. A solution towards successful sustainable development implementations includes the development of unified multisectoral and multilevel frameworks that act as scaffolding for developing sectors and market regulation as they are vital in creating enabling or limiting environmental achieving sustainable outcomes. This study is designed to answer how a sustainable real estate framework can achieve a sustainable real estate sector and contribute towards sustainable development. The study demonstrates specific gaps in practical, sustainable real estate practice, such as a fragmented regulatory structure supplemented by weak communication, coordination, and opportunities for collaboration between governmental stakeholders and the private sector. The aim is to develop a framework to promote sustainability practices within the industry and contribute to achieving sustainable development goals in 2030. Firstly, the research gained an understanding of the current Bahrain real estate regulatory framework in contrast to the UN’s Sustainable Real Estate Framework guideline. This process allowed missing elements to be identified as internal and external gaps within the existing framework. Secondly, interview questions were developed to collect findings to verify observations via interviews with stakeholders within Bahrain. The combination of these findings is channelled into developing the framework to effectively improve practices within the real estate sector towards achievable sustainable practices. Lastly, a qualitative validation process was applied to the framework to assess functionality and effectiveness to achieve the expected outcome. The framework bridges gaps highlighted throughout the research and contributes towards practical, sustainable development applications in sustainable real estate

    An investigation into psychosocial and educational predictors of entrepreneurial intentions of graduates - A study of the Centre of Entrepreneurial Development (CED) from Karachi (Pakistan)

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    People join Entrepreneurship Education Programmes (EEPs) for several reasons which may include gaining a certificate, learning new ideas or concepts, and/or starting their own business. One of the main aims of EEPs is to prepare students for entrepreneurship. The aim of the current project is to investigate entrepreneurial intentions in conjunction with the teaching methods deployed by the EEP called Certificate in Entrepreneurship (CIE) Programme in the Centre of Entrepreneurial Development (CED) Karachi. The project uses the well-established Theory of Planned Behaviour (TPB, Ajzen, 1985) as a theoretical framework, and looks into the extended TPB factors that might predict entrepreneurial intentions. We included psychosocial factors such as attitudes towards becoming an entrepreneur, social norms, perceived behavioural control about becoming an entrepreneur, and perceived effectiveness of the teaching methods adopted by the EEP, i.e., as case studies, anecdotes, lectures, industry visits, seminars and networking events. To address the overall aim of the study, we used a qualitative and quantitative approach, adopting the Francis et al. (2004) procedure for the development of a TPB instrument. The First Stage of the project included interviews (N=11) followed by open-ended questionnaires (N=12) with graduates of the CIE program which allowed us to gather qualitative data concerning teaching methods and individuals’ motivations for starting their own business. The results of thematic analysis on the qualitative data were then used, in the Second Stage, to develop an extended TPB instrument which included measures for attitudes towards becoming an entrepreneur, social norms, perceived behavioural control about becoming an entrepreneur, and attitudes towards teaching methods and entrepreneurial intentions. The quantitative data (N=247) gathered from the extended TPB survey was used to perform several regressions in order to determine the best predictors for entrepreneurial intentions. Our findings suggest that using guest speakers, local cases and networking sessions are the most impactful in influencing entrepreneurial intention of the CIE participants. Our results also showed that, with the exception of subjective norms, attitudes towards becoming an entrepreneur and perceived behavioural control mediate the relationship between these teaching methods and entrepreneurial intentions. Theoretical and practical implications include extended TPB model validation with teaching methods, mediating roles of attitude and perceived behavioural control, cultural influence on subjective norms, a TPB instrument and practical recommendation for EEPs that share similar socio-cultural context as CIE around the world

    Quantification of margins and uncertainty (QMU) approach to reservoir management decision making under uncertainty

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    Risk management practices among SMEs in Nigeria : contribution to business success

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    Empirical research on how SMEs manage risk in practice is very scant. However, given the strategic contribution of SMEs to economic development and their susceptibility to risks, a more active risk management (RM) practice is increasingly seen as critical to their success and survival. Hence, this study explored how SMEs in Nigeria perceive and practice risk management and the extent to which SME owners and managers attribute their business success to RM practices. The research adopted an exploratory, qualitative multiple-case study method, using 11 Lagos SMEs as case studies. Data collection was through semi-structured interviews with 23 owners and managers across the SMEs. These SMEs were purposively selected from five sectors, namely: Education, Manufacturing, Wholesale/Retail Trade, Human Health and Social Work, Accommodation and Food Services sectors, and have been operating successfully between seven and 29 years. The interviews were augmented by document analysis. Data collected were analysed through thematic and cross-case synthesis to identify themes and patterns that emerged across all the SMEs. Findings suggest that the SMEs are aware of the risk facing their business and recognise the importance of actively engaging in RM. The research established that the SMEs carry out RM activities without necessarily acknowledging them as such or utilising complex RM tools and techniques. Strategies commonly used by the SMEs in mitigating risks were identified as Monitoring and Supervision, Awareness Creation, Planning, Stakeholder Management, Supplier Management, Partnership and Collaboration, Insurance, Networking, Enforcement and Agreement. Most of the SMEs attributed their existence, growth and expansion, waste/loss reduction and ease of access to bank loans to their RM activities. The research also identified the motivating factors for the SMEs to enhance their current RM procedures. The research contributed to existing theory and knowledge on RM in SMEs from Nigeria's perspective, with a focus on Lagos State. Another contribution is in the suggested approaches through which the SMEs can improve awareness, understanding and attitude to risk among all their managers and employees. Further, contributions were made in the recommendations to policymakers and financial institutions on how to support SME growth and development through RM considerations

    An assessment of the assisted seismic history matching workflow, practical innovations and solutions

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    In hydrocarbon reservoir monitoring, assisted seismic history matching (ASHM) remains a large and intractable problem. Despite advances in optimisation algorithms, quantification of uncertainty, data quality, data processing, computational resources and general subsurface knowledge, practical implementations of assisted/automated seismic history matching (ASHM) remain boutique and inflexible. Consideration of recent research on ASHM problems highlights a single-minded focus on algorithmic solutions, that ignore the broader perspective of ASHM as a multidisciplinary framework for improving subsurface models. This thesis expands the consideration of ASHM beyond the optimisation, to propose a novel three-phase approach. ASHM is posed as a larger workflow that includes acquiring, evaluating and establishing an ASHM model (Phase 1), history matching (Phase 2) and model evaluation and improvement (Phase 3). By taking a big picture perspective with respect to ASHM, additional value and patterns to workflows emerge that will improve the adoption of ASHM within the subsurface industry, by offering pragmatic and targeted guidance to development, evaluation and improvement around subsurface models via ASHM

    Amine bis(phenolate) complexes for the catalytic ring-opening polymerisation of rac-lactide

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    The catalytic ring-opening polymerisation of cyclic esters to form degradable polymers is an intensely studied area of chemistry, however, many of the highly active complexes synthesised for this purpose are sensitive to moisture. Therefore, the development of more robust catalysts would be desirable. Unfortunately, methods of stabilising the metal centres often results in a decrease of activity, therefore innovative approaches to balance the activity with stability are required. One potential method to stabilise the catalysts is the utilisation of reversible bridging interactions between the metal centres, which can inhibit further reactions when the catalyst is not in use. In this thesis, the formation of bridging interactions between the metal centres using carboxylic acid functionalised amine bis(phenolate) ligands will be investigated. A modified reaction pathway enabling the formation of previously unattainable enantiomerically pure ethyl ester functionalised amine bis(phenol)s was developed, due to poor yields with existing literature routes. These new proligands were then complexed to titanium forming five novel aggregates bridged by carboxylate and oxo-bridges, where the nucleation was found to vary with the steric bulk on the pendant arm. When coordinated to zirconium seven novel complexes with various binding modes were formed and the coordination arrangement explored through single crystal X-ray diffraction studies. It was found that the coordination mode varied depending on various factors including the steric bulk on the metal precursor, the length of the pendant arm of the ligand and the reaction conditions. The majority of the complexes were found to be stable to air and moisture for several months, supporting the initial hypothesis. When investigated for their activity catalysing the ring opening polymerisation (ROP) of rac-lactide, the complexes were found to have moderate activities and excellent control over the polydispersity (Ð < 1.30). Coordinating the proligands to aluminium resulted in the formation of four monometallic species. While this meant the complexes were less stable, the complexes were found to be highly active in the ROP of rac-lactide producing polymers of > 25,000 Da in length in six hours and produced isotactic PLA (Pi = 0.61). The original hypothesis that the application of carboxylate groups to bridge between the metal centres could produce stable complexes was correct, however, work remains to improve the activity of these complexes, as shown by the Al complexes

    Exploring the drivers of voluntary credit risk disclosure in Western European banks

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    Purpose – This thesis contributes to the research of voluntary credit risk disclosure drivers for financial companies. Credit risk is one of the most important banking risks, and information on credit risk is crucial for assessing a bank’s risk level. Nonetheless, research on incentives for voluntary credit risk disclosure (VCRD) is underdeveloped. The author adds to the body of knowledge by providing empirical evidence concerning drivers for bank’s voluntary credit risk disclosure. Design/methodology/approach – The thesis investigates a sample of 93 Western European banks that are observed from 2015 to 2018. The extent of VCRD is measured by a custom disclosure index that is based on frontrunning a mandatory disclosure guideline. Hypotheses on VCRD are defined based on a multi-theoretical framework that employs agency, signalling, legitimacy and stakeholder theories. The link between these drivers and VCRD is empirically tested by using a hybrid panel data model. Findings – Bank size, credit risk level, listing status, being considered significant by the European Central Bank and board independence are positively associated with voluntary credit risk disclosure. Legitimacy concerns, banking supervision monitoring and management signalling play a material role to influence VCRD decisions. Research limitations/implications – Generalisation of the findings might be impacted based on the geographic focus of the study and its short period of observation. The index creation is depending on the ability of the EBA guideline to capture relevant credit risk disclosures. Bank scoring inevitably incorporates a degree of subjectivity. Practical implications – The thesis provides insights for banking regulators and supervisors on how banks can be incentivised to increase VCRD and suggests improvements for future credit risk disclosure policies and regulations. Originality/value – The thesis investigates a set of VCRD drivers that have previously not been tested, innovatively employing a new disclosure index and a quantitative framework based on a hybrid panel model. Keywords: Voluntary credit risk disclosure, banks, Western Europe, disclosure index, hybrid model, agency theory, signalling theory, legitimacy theory, stakeholder theor

    Female accountants in China : an alternative feminist discourse on the changing professional and gender identities

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    Women’s experiences in the accounting profession have attracted substantial attention in the accounting literature. Most research in the gender and accounting fields is set in Western contexts, therefore the relationship between women and accounting in non-Western contexts requires further exploration. This study is set in China to understand how different generations of Chinese women accountants construct their professional and gender identities. Theoretically, this study is framed by feminist poststructuralism to identify dominant discourses on women and accounting in China and to further reveal their discursive power on Chinese women accountants’ identity construction. Data is collected by in-depth semi-structured interviews with 31 Chinese women accountants from various backgrounds and generations. This study identifies two dominant discourses on accounting professionals in China: ‘accountants are serious and cautious’ and ‘women are more suitable than men to work as accountants’. The dominant discourses on the accounting profession have encouraged generations of Chinese women to enter the accounting profession. Although Chinese women accountants do not need to mimic men’s behaviour and outfits like their Western counterparts, they are expected to perform in line with the traditional Confucian female virtues. This suggests that the accounting profession in China has favoured women because accounting roles and functions in China have been similar to traditional Chinese women’s roles and functions in the family. However, the female-dominated accounting profession in China does not provide women with the privilege or prestige enjoyed by men in the male-dominated accounting profession in Western contexts. Gendered discourses on women have still created gendered barriers in the workplace and disadvantaged Chinese women accountants from progressing their careers to a higher level. This study further explores Chinese women accountants’ unique understanding of professionalism. Chinese women accountants recognise having integrity, being responsible and ethical as the most important factors for professional accountants. Additionally, they are aware that the emotional and personal ties and strong obligations involved in networking in China might threaten their integrity as professional accountants. As a result, they often prioritise professional knowledge over networking. Furthermore, this study finds that accounting professionals in China face a similar transformation as their Western counterparts – from the traditional accountant to the hybrid business professional who is competent in management, consultancy and IT. As a result, the distance between bookkeeping and accounting has increased in China. The traditional career path for Chinese accountants (accounting clerk – accountant – accounting supervisor – manager – chief accountant/partner) has been destabilised, which has created increasing identity insecurity and more gendered barriers in the workplace for Chinese women accountants. Nevertheless, many Chinese women accountants have proactively taken this transformation as an opportunity to reconstruct their professional identities and overcome gendered discourses. This study contributes to the existing gender and accounting literature by revealing generational differences between Chinese women accountants in their gender and professional identities. This study finds that older generations tend to ignore or adopt gendered barriers to gain acceptability in the workplace whereas younger generations of Chinese women accountants often choose to resist them in the workplace. Older generations tend to construct their identity as the ‘hard-worker’ while the younger accountants prefer a balance between life and work and are not afraid of refusing to work overtime. Women accountants from older generations tend to follow the informal seniority and hierarchy rules in the workplace in order to progress in their career whereas younger generations often play as the ‘rule-breakers’ because they understand seniority rules as ‘redundant, formalistic and bureaucratic’ adding no additional value to the accounting workplace. Additionally, this study shows conflicts in the workplace between different generations of women accountants but also reveals women accountants’ sisterhood in overcoming gendered barriers together in the workplace. Overall, this study works as an alternative discourse on accounting and women and sheds light on the unique professionalisation process of accounting in a post-socialist Chinese context. Future research should explore the dynamic relations between women and accounting in different contexts and investigate what role accounting plays in supporting or challenging cultural and social norms which produce gendered professional identity and gender divisions in the workplace

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