Upjohn Research
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AI Exposure and the Future of Work: Linking Task-Based Measures to U.S. Occupational Employment Projections
Military Manpower Policy and Women’s Labor Market Outcomes
This dissertation examines how U.S. military manpower policy, when used to alleviate recruitment shortfalls, has shaped women’s participation in the civilian labor market. Across two chapters, I study military policy changes during periods of high demand for active duty service members to evaluate their impact on women’s labor force participation and entry into male-dominated occupations
Effects of Fair Workweek Laws on Labor Market Outcomes
This paper models fair workweek regulations that require employers to provide employees with (1) schedule predictability via advance notice of their work schedule and premium payments for short-notice changes, and (2) access to hours meaning they must offer open hours to existing employees before hiring new workers. We develop a theoretical model of employers’ responses to these provisions and their implications for employment. Guided by the model, we estimate the effects of recently-adopted fair workweek regulation in New York City’s fast-food sector using a synthetic difference-in-differences design. We find a null employment effect
Understanding the Decline in Male Employment
Male labor force participation in the United States has been declining in recent decades, primarily driven by significant drops in employment among men without a college education. Prior research has largely attributed this trend to the decline of manufacturing and other blue-collar jobs, as well as the limited availability of jobs that do not require reskilling. However, employment rates for other non-college-educated demographic groups (e.g., women and foreign-born men) have not experienced similar declines, suggesting that a lack of available jobs may not fully explain these trends. In this project, we will explore the reasons behind the detachment of less-educated men from the labor force, with a particular focus on the roles of reservation wages and skill mismatch. The research supported by the proposed grant will leverage newly collected survey data in addition to existing data on job postings from Indeed, one of the largest job hiring platforms in the United States