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The Cybernetic Revolution and the Forthcoming Epoch of Self-Regulating Systems
No full textInternational audienceThe monograph presents the ideas about the main changes that occurred in the development of technologies from the emergence of Homo sapiens till present time and outlines the prospects of their development in the next 30–60 years and in some respect until the end of the twenty-first century. What determines the transition of a society from one level of development to another ? One of the most fundamental causes is the global technological transformations. Among all major technological breakthroughs in history the most important are three production revolutions: 1) the Agrarian Revolution; 2) the Industrial Revolution; and 3) the Cybernetic one. The book introduces the theory of production revolutions which is a new valuable explanatory paradigm that analyzes causes and trends of dramatic shifts in historical process.The authors describe the course of technological transformations in history and demonstrate a possible application of the theory to explain the present and forthcoming technological changes. They analyze the technological shifts which took place in the second half of the twentieth and early twenty-first centuries and forecast the main shifts in the next half a century. On this basis the authors present a detailed analysis of the latest production revolution which is denoted as ‘Сybernetic’. They make some predictions about its development in the nearest five decades and up to the end of the twenty-first century and show that the development of various self-regulating systems will be the main trend of this revolution. The authors argue that the transition to the starting final phase of the Cybernetic Revolution (in the 2030–2040s) will first occur in the field of medicine (in some its innovative branches). In future we will deal with the started convergence of innovative technologieswhich will form the system of MANBRIC-technologies (i.e. the technological paradigm based on medicine, additive, nano- and bio-technologies, robotics, IT and cognitive technologies). The monograph gives an outline of the future breakthroughs in medicine and some other technologies (between the 2010s and 2070s)
'Viene Antonio e non rimane niente': sulla rivisitazione della canzone Onda Calabra nel film Qualunquemente
No full textInternational audienceQuesto lavoro è uno studio preliminare a una critica più organica e strutturata della demonizzazione delle identità meridionali nei film Qualunquemente e Belluscone. In particolare, qui mi occupo della rivisitazione della canzone Onda Calabra del gruppo Il Parto delle Nuvole Pesanti nel film Qualunquemente. Inizialmente, descrivo il contesto originale in cui Onda Calabra è stata presentata nel documentario Doichlanda. Successivamente, confronto il testo originale di Onda Calabra col testo della versione rivisitata in Qualunquemente. In terzo luogo, prendo in esame le reazioni differenziate dei musicisti storicamente legati a Il Parto delle Nuvole Pesanti nei confronti della rivisitazione della loro canzone. In ultimo, propongo di interpretare la rivisitazione della canzone come appropriazione coloniale, alla luce del concetto di mimicry formulato da Homi Bhabh
Indonezja — fotorelacja
No full textNational audienceThe article is a brief photo reportage from the author's latest research visits in Indonesia (2015-2016).Artykuł stanowi krótką relację fotograficzną z ostatnich pobytów badawczych autora w Indonezji (2015/2016 r.)
Global Population Ageing, the Sixth Kondratieff Wave, and the Global Financial System
No full textInternational audienceThe concerns about population ageing apply to both developed and many developing countries and it has turned into a global issue. In the forthcoming decades the population ageing is likely to become one of the most important processes determining the future society characteristics and the direction of technological development. The present paper analyzes some aspects of the population ageing and its important consequences for particular societies and the whole world. Basing on this analysis, we can draw a conclusion that the future technological breakthrough is likely to take place in the 2030s (which we define as the final phase of the Cybernetic Revolution). In the 2020s – 2030s we will expect the upswing of the forthcoming sixth Kondratieff wave, which will introduce the sixth technological paradigm (system). All those revolutionary technological changes will be connected, first of all, with breakthroughs in medicine and related technologies. We also present our ideas about the financial instruments that can help to solve the problem of pension provision for an increasing elderly population in the developed countries. We think that a more purposeful use of pension funds' assets together with an allocation (with necessary guarantees) of the latter into education and upgrading skills of young people in developing countries, perhaps, can partially solve the indicated problem in the developed state
Global Evolution and Global Ageing
No full textInternational audienceApplication of the evolutionary approach to the history of nature and society remains one of the most effective ways to conceptualize and integrate our growing knowledge of the Universe, life, society, and human thought. Our Yearbooks are designed to present to its readers the widest possible spectrum of subjects and issues: from universal evolutionism to the analysis of particular evolutionary regularities in the development of biological, abiotic, and social systems, culture, cognition, language, etc. Thus, we have tried to make up a wide collection of contributions from very different authors – not only from different countries, but also the authors who have very different educational backgrounds (historians, astrophysicists, biologists, sociologists, geologists, psychologists, archaeologists, and others) and who study the whole possible range of evolutionary processes. They all have come to a shared understanding that we need a unified picture of the evolution of the Univers
HISTORY & MATHEMATICS Political Demography & Global Ageing
No full textInternational audienceAmong different important issues, which are discussed in Political Demography theissue of global ageing becomes more and more pressing every year. It is sufficient to takeinto account the point that within two forthcoming decades a rapid global increase in thenumber of retirement-age persons will lead to its doubling within this fairly small historicalperiod. The concerns about population ageing apply to both developed and many developingcountries and it has turned into a global issue. In forthcoming decades the populationageing is likely to become one of the most important processes determining the future societycharacteristics and the direction of technological development.The present volume of the Yearbook (which is the fifth in the series) is subtitled ‘PoliticalDemography & Global Ageing’. It brings together a number of interesting articlesby scholars from Europe, Asia, and America. They examine global ageing from a varietyof perspectives.This issue of the Yearbook consists of two main sections: (I) Aspects of PoliticalDemography; (II) Facing Population Ageing.We hope that this issue will be interesting and useful both for historians and mathematicians,as well as for all those dealing with various social and natural sciences
Introduction. Once More about Aspects, Directions, General Patterns and Principles of Evolutionary Development.
No full textInternational audienceThe present volume is the fourth issue of the Almanac series entitled ‘Evolu-tion’. Thus, one can maintain that our Almanac, which has actually turned into a Yearbook, has succeeded (see below).The title of the present volume is ‘From Big Bang to Nanorobots’. In this way we demonstrate that all phases of megaevolution and Big History are cov-ered in the articles of the present Yearbook. Several articles also present fore-casts about possible future developments. The main objective of our Yearbook as well as of the previous issues (see Grinin, Korotayev, Carneiro, and Spier 2011a, Grinin, Korotayev, and Rodrigue 2011a, Grinin and Korotayev 2013a) is the creation of a unified interdis-ciplinary field of research in which scientists specializing in different disciplines could work within a framework of unified or similar paradigms, using common terminology and searching for common rules, tendencies and regularities. At the same time for the formation of such an integrated field one should use all available opportunities: theories, laws and methods. In the present volume, a number of such approaches including those which will be described below are used
GLOBAL TECHNOLOGICAL PERSPECTIVES IN THE LIGHT OF CYBERNETIC REVOLUTION AND THEORY OF LONG CYCLES: TECHNOLOGICAL PERSPECTIVES
No full textInternational audienceIn the present paper, on the basis of the theory of production principles and production revolutions, we reveal the interrelation between K-waves and major technological breakthroughs in history and make some predictions about features of the sixth Kondratieff wave in the light of the Cybernetic Revolution which, we think, started in the 1950s. We assume that the sixth K-wave in the 2030s and 2040s will merge with the final phase of the Cybernetic Revolution (which we call the phase of self-regulating systems). This period will be characterized by breakthroughs in medical technologies which will manage to combine many other technologies into a single complex of MBNRIC-technologies (med-bio-nano-robo-info-cognitive technologies). The article offers some predictions concerning the development of these technologies
The Star-Galaxy Era of Big History in the Light of Universal Evolutionary Principles
No full texthttps://www.sociostudies.org/almanac/globalistics/globalistics_and_globalization_studies%281%29/International audienceBig History provides a unique opportunity to consider the development of the Universe as a single process. Within Big History studies one can distinguish some common evolutionary laws and principles. However, it is very important to recognize that there are many more such integrating principles, laws, mechanisms and patterns of evolution at all its levels than it is usually supposed. In the meantime, we can find the common traits in development, functioning, and interaction of apparently rather different processes and phenomena of Big History. Of special importance is the point that many principles, patterns, regularities, and rules of evolution, which we tend to find relevant only for the biological and social levels of evolution, may be also applied to the cosmic phase of evolution. The present article attempts (within such a framework for the first time in the Big History framework) at combining Big History potential with the potential of Evolutionary Studies. It does not only analyze the history of the Cosmos. It studies similarities between evolutionary laws, principles, and mechanisms at various levels and phases of Big History. Such an approach opens up some new perspectives for our understanding of evolution and Big History, their driving forces, vectors, and trends; it creates a consolidated field for interdisciplinary researc