Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research

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    Evaluating manual versus automated benthic foraminiferal δ18O alignment techniques for developing chronostratigraphies in marine sediment records

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    Paleoceanographic interpretations of Plio-Pleistocene climate variability over the past 5 million years rely on the evaluation of event timing of proxy changes in sparse records across multiple ocean basins. In turn, orbital-scale chronostratigraphic controls for these records are often built from stratigraphic alignment of benthic foraminiferal stable oxygen isotope (δ18O) records to a preferred dated target stack or composite. This chronostratigraphic age model approach yields age model uncertainties associated with alignment method, target selection, the assumption that the undated record and target experienced synchronous changes in benthic foraminiferal δ18O values, and the assumption that any possible stratigraphic discontinuities within the undated record have been appropriately identified. However, these age model uncertainties and their impact on paleoceanographic interpretations are seldom reported or discussed. Here, we investigate and discuss these uncertainties for conventional manual and automated tuning techniques based on benthic foraminiferal δ18O records and evaluate their impact on sedimentary age models over the past 3.5g Myr using three sedimentary benthic foraminiferal δ18O records as case studies. In one case study, we present a new benthic foraminiferal δ18O record for International Ocean Discovery Program (IODP) Site U1541 (54°13′g S, 125°25′g W), recently recovered from the South Pacific on IODP Expedition 383. The other two case studies examine published benthic foraminiferal δ18O records of Ocean Drilling Program (ODP) Site 1090 and the ODP Site 980/981 composite. Our analysis suggests average age uncertainties of 3 to 5g kyr associated with manually derived versus automated alignment, 1 to 3g kyr associated with automated probabilistic alignment itself, and 2 to 6g kyr associated with the choice of tuning target. Age uncertainties are higher near stratigraphic segment ends and where local benthic foraminiferal δ18O stratigraphy differs from the tuning target. We conclude with recommendations for community best practices for the development and characterization of age uncertainty of sediment core chronostratigraphies based on benthic foraminiferal δ18O records

    Evaluating manual versus automated benthic foraminiferal δ18O alignment techniques for developing chronostratigraphies in marine sediment records

    No full text
    Paleoceanographic interpretations of Plio-Pleistocene climate variability over the past 5 million years rely on the evaluation of event timing of proxy changes in sparse records across multiple ocean basins. In turn, orbital-scale chronostratigraphic controls for these records are often built from stratigraphic alignment of benthic foraminiferal stable oxygen isotope (δ18O) records to a preferred dated target stack or composite. This chronostratigraphic age model approach yields age model uncertainties associated with alignment method, target selection, the assumption that the undated record and target experienced synchronous changes in benthic foraminiferal δ18O values, and the assumption that any possible stratigraphic discontinuities within the undated record have been appropriately identified. However, these age model uncertainties and their impact on paleoceanographic interpretations are seldom reported or discussed. Here, we investigate and discuss these uncertainties for conventional manual and automated tuning techniques based on benthic foraminiferal δ18O records and evaluate their impact on sedimentary age models over the past 3.5g Myr using three sedimentary benthic foraminiferal δ18O records as case studies. In one case study, we present a new benthic foraminiferal δ18O record for International Ocean Discovery Program (IODP) Site U1541 (54°13′g S, 125°25′g W), recently recovered from the South Pacific on IODP Expedition 383. The other two case studies examine published benthic foraminiferal δ18O records of Ocean Drilling Program (ODP) Site 1090 and the ODP Site 980/981 composite. Our analysis suggests average age uncertainties of 3 to 5g kyr associated with manually derived versus automated alignment, 1 to 3g kyr associated with automated probabilistic alignment itself, and 2 to 6g kyr associated with the choice of tuning target. Age uncertainties are higher near stratigraphic segment ends and where local benthic foraminiferal δ18O stratigraphy differs from the tuning target. We conclude with recommendations for community best practices for the development and characterization of age uncertainty of sediment core chronostratigraphies based on benthic foraminiferal δ18O records

    Applications of ArcticDEM for measuring volcanic dynamics, landslides, retrogressive thaw slumps, snowdrifts, and vegetation heights

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    Topographical changes are of fundamental interest to a wide range of Arctic science disciplines faced with the need to anticipate, monitor, and respond to the effects of climate change, including geohazard management, glaciology, hydrology, permafrost, and ecology. This study demonstrates several geomorphological, cryospheric, and biophysical applications of ArcticDEM – a large collection of publicly available, time-dependent digital elevation models (DEMs) of the Arctic. Our study illustrates ArcticDEM's applicability across different disciplines and five orders of magnitude of elevation derivatives, including measuring volcanic lava flows, ice cauldrons, post-failure landslides, retrogressive thaw slumps, snowdrifts, and tundra vegetation heights. We quantified surface elevation changes in different geological settings and conditions using the time series of ArcticDEM. Following the 2014–2015 Bárðarbunga eruption in Iceland, ArcticDEM analysis mapped the lava flow field, and revealed the post-eruptive ice flows and ice cauldron dynamics. The total dense-rock equivalent (DRE) volume of lava flows is estimated to be (1431 ± 2) million m3. Then, we present the aftermath of a landslide in Kinnikinnick, Alaska, yielding a total landslide volume of (400 ± 8) × 103 m3 and a total area of 0.025 km2. ArcticDEM is further proven useful for studying retrogressive thaw slumps (RTS). The ArcticDEM-mapped RTS profile is validated by ICESat-2 and drone photogrammetry resulting in a standard deviation of 0.5 m. Volume estimates for lake-side and hillslope RTSs range between 40,000 ± 9000 m3 and 1,160,000 ± 85,000 m3, highlighting applicability across a range of RTS magnitudes. A case study for mapping tundra snow demonstrates ArcticDEM's potential for identifying high-accumulation, late-lying snow areas. The approach proves effective in quantifying relative snow accumulation rather than absolute values (standard deviation of 0.25 m, bias of −0.41 m, and a correlation coefficient of 0.69 with snow depth estimated by unmanned aerial systems photogrammetry). Furthermore, ArcticDEM data show its feasibility for estimating tundra vegetation heights with a standard deviation of 0.3 m (no bias) and a correlation up to 0.8 compared to the light detection and ranging (LiDAR). The demonstrated capabilities of ArcticDEM will pave the way for the broad and pan-Arctic use of this new data source for many disciplines, especially when combined with other imagery products. The wide range of signals embedded in ArcticDEM underscores the potential challenges in deciphering signals in regions affected by various geological processes and environmental influences

    Climate change in the Canary/Iberia upwelling region: the role of ocean stratification and wind

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    The Canary/Iberia region (CIR), part of the Canary Current Upwelling System, is well-known for its coastal productivity and crucial role in enriching the oligotrophic open ocean through the offshore transport of the upwelled coastal waters. Given its significant ecological and socio-economic importance, it is essential to assess the impact of climate change on this area. Therefore, the goal of this study is to analyze the climate change signal over the CIR using a high-resolution regional climate system model driven by the Earth system model MPI-ESM-LR under RCP8.5 scenario. This modelling system presents a regional atmosphere model coupled to a global ocean model with enough horizontal resolution at CIR to examine the role of the upwelling favourable winds and the ocean stratification as key factors in the future changes. CIR exhibits significant latitudinal and seasonal variability in response to climate change under RCP8.5 scenario, where ocean stratification and wind patterns will play both complementary and competitive roles. Ocean stratification will increase from the Strait of Gibraltar to Cape Juby by the end of the century, weakening the coastal upwelling all year long. This increase in stratification is associated with a freshening of the surface layers of the North Atlantic. However, modifications in the wind pattern will play a primary role in upwelling source water depth changes in the southernmost region of the CIR in winter and in the north of the Iberian Peninsula in summer. Wind pattern changes are related to the intensification of the Azores High in winter and to a deepening of the Iberian thermal low in summer months

    Future climate change in the Northern Indian Ocean as simulated with a high-resolution regional earth system model

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    This study examines the future climate change in the South Asia region during 2070–2099 with respect to the historical period (1975–2004) under RCP8.5 scenario using a high-resolution regional earth system model. We found substantial changes in the key climatic parameters over the South Asia region including ocean biological productivity, however, the magnitude of response varies spatially. A substantial increase (> 2.5 °C) in the projected annual-mean sea surface temperature (SST) was found over the Indian Ocean with the highest increase (~ 3.4 °C) locally in the northern part of the Arabian Sea and in the Persian Gulf, SST changes being significant throughout the study area with 95% confidence level. The changes in the sea surface salinity showed strong spatial variability with the highest freshening over northern Bay of Bengal and highest salinity in the Persian Gulf followed by northern Arabian Sea. The amount of annual-mean precipitation will substantially increase over the eastern coast of the Bay of Bengal (up to 1.5–2.0 mm/day) and along the equator in the band 10° S–10° N (0.5–1.5 mm/day), while it will decrease over the western part of the Bay of Bengal and in the northern states of India (− 0.5 to 1.0 mm/day). The most pronounced increase of precipitation rate in the future climate will occur over India (3–5 mm/day) and the eastern coasts of the Bay of Bengal (> 5 mm/day) during the monsoon period, and over the equatorial band (2–3 mm/day) during the post-monsoon period, with all precipitation changes indicated above being significant at 95% confidence level

    Ecosystem Services Provided by Seaweed Cultivation: State of the Art, Knowledge Gaps, Constraints and Future Needs for Achieving Maximum Potential in Europe

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    The potential of seaweed as a renewable resource is becoming increasingly recognized by diverse stakeholders in Europe. Currently, several initiatives are working on accelerating the development of the European algae industry. Seaweed cultivation can be an important cornerstone in developing EU aquaculture and achieving the European Green Deal. An expert working group was selected and established in February 2021 by the European knowledge brokering mechanism Eklipse. This group was tasked to explore and map the current state of knowledge regarding ecosystem services (ES) provided by seaweed cultivation, including knowledge gaps, constraints, potential negative impacts and tradeoffs. The study was based on the Delphi process and a Quick Scoping Review (QSR). The results of each method showed differences in constraints, negative impacts and knowledge gaps, revealing the need for better communication and collaboration between the involved stakeholders. Both methods identified the following six ES provided by seaweed cultivation: (i) provisioning food, (ii) provisioning hydrocolloids and feed, (iii) regulating water quality, (iv) provisioning habitats, (v) provisioning of nurseries and (vi) regulating climate. Nevertheless, the specific ES identified differed between seaweed taxa. In addition, both methods highlighted also potential negative environmental impacts (e.g., wider ecosystem effects), technological constraints and knowledge gaps (e.g., production). The identified knowledge gaps and constraints were further discussed and prioritized with stakeholders in a workshop in Brussels. This workshop identified the structural research needs for future investigations, including: improved knowledge of environmental impacts; better management of genetic diversity and clear definitions of legal frameworks to support the development of the EU initiative on seaweed sustainable use. This paper summarizes the findings of the investigations of the expert group and future challenges for seaweed cultivation under current and near-future climatic scenarios

    Evaluating the hypoxic tolerance of two maturity stages of Antarctic krill (Euphausia superba) at its range edge

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    The South Georgia region of the Southern Ocean represents the northernmost range edge for Antarctic krill. Of concern is the extent to which rapid warming of surface water temperatures and reduced oxygen contents around this region might challenge the physiological tolerance of krill, particularly the later maturity stages. Hypoxia is generally considered to be less than 30 to 20% of air saturation, hereafter as threshold hypoxia, while less than 10% of air saturation would qualify as severe hypoxia. These levels are unlikely to occur in the Southern Ocean but might happen in the middle of dense krill swarms. We investigated gene expression and biochemical markers related to aerobic metabolism, antioxidant defence, and heat-shock response under 6-h threshold (4 kPa; TH) and 1-h severe (0.6 kPa; SH) hypoxia exposure, to understand how hypoxia might alter respiratory and biochemical pathways in adult and subadult krill. After 6-h TH, subadults induced expression of citrate synthase (CS), and mitochondrial superoxide dismutase (also after 1-h SH) over normoxic expression levels. The maturity stages responded differently in glutathione peroxidase (1-h SH; lower in subadults and higher in adults), and CS (6-h TH; higher in subadults and lower in adults) activities as for the oxidative damage marker to lipids (6-h TH; lower in subadults and higher in adults). Subadults had a greater capacity than adults to deal with hypoxic conditions. This may be a strategy allowing them to exist in larger swarms to reduce predation pressure before reaching reproductive condition

    PixelDINO: Semi-Supervised Semantic Segmentation for Detecting Permafrost Disturbances in the Arctic

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    Arctic permafrost is facing significant changes due to global climate change. As these regions are largely inaccessible, remote sensing plays a crucial rule in better understanding the underlying processes across the Arctic. In this study, we focus on the remote detection of retrogressive thaw slumps (RTSs), a permafrost disturbance comparable to slow landslides. For such remote sensing tasks, deep learning has become an indispensable tool, but limited labeled training data remains a challenge for training accurate models. We present PixelDINO, a semi-supervised learning approach, to improve model generalization across the Arctic with a limited number of labels. PixelDINO leverages unlabeled data by training the model to define its own segmentation categories (pseudoclasses), promoting consistent structural learning across strong data augmentations. This allows the model to extract structural information from unlabeled data, supplementing the learning from labeled data. PixelDINO surpasses both supervised baselines and existing semi-supervised methods, achieving average intersection-over-union (IoU) of 30.2 and 39.5 on the two evaluation sets, representing significant improvements of 13% and 21%, respectively, over the strongest existing models. This highlights the potential for training robust models that generalize well to regions that were not included in the training data

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