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Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Predictive Modelling for Gross Domestic Product of China, Pakistan, and Bangladesh
Full text linkGross Domestic Product (GDP) of a nation is an important index which reflects health and performance of an economy and its aggregate income. In this paper, annual GDP data of three Asian economies for the time period 1960 � 2022 is used for predictive Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) modelling. ARIMA is a time series analysis method that can capture temporal tendencies and trends in the data series. We seek to gain insights into the future expected trajectory of economic growth in the selected countries through long-term predictions for the time period 2023 � 2037. Augmented Dick Fuller (ADF) test is used to asses stationarity of the data. In the present empirical study, stationarity at the second order differencing with ARIMA (0, 2, 2) model is identified to predict GDP of China, ARIMA (2, 2, 1) model is identified to predict GDP of Pakistan, and ARIMA (0, 2, 1) model is identified to predict GDP of Bangladesh for the next 15 years.� The finding shows that the forecast values of China�s GDP will be 29842.64� per capita in 2037 Pakistan�s GDP will be 2115.446� per capita in 2037, and Bangladesh�s GDP will be 5566.303� per capita in 2037, Our study provides skeletal guidance for governmental bodies and direct� investors who rely for business� planning and strategizing of the resources on reliable predictions of GDP per capita. Advance knowledge about futuristic GDP level enables administrators, investors and policymakers to make informed economic decisions that may steer economic growth, stability and development in an optimum direction
Techniques and Means of Forming a Manager\u27s Value-based Orientations in Modern Business
Full text linkThis article discusses the techniques and means of forming the value-based orientations of a manager in the context of modern business realities. In particular, emphasis is placed on the transformation of a manager�s value chain at different stages of a company�s development with the emergence of new technologies and the introduction of digitalization into business processes. Proprietary models of life cycles and assessments of the manager�s value-based orientations are developed, allowing to determine the conditions for successful adaptation of the company\u27s work to rapidly changing conditions and maintain competitiveness in the market thanks to the right management decisions
The Chinese Corporate Tax System: A Factor in Attracting and Maintaining Foreign Investments
Full text linkAiming to reduce tax costs and social security contributions in the manufacture of products destined for other countries, China reorganized its legislation and improved its entire executive/administrative foreign trade policy by accelerating the renovation and construction plan for approximately one thousand new ports/terminals along its extensive coastline. China has also changed its tax system by granting specific benefits to foreign enterprises (FEs) and foreign-invested enterprises (FIEs) present in one of the five special economic zones (SEZs) or that establish themselves in areas of technological economic development (ETDZs). Even after its acceptance as the 143rd member country of the WTO, with many concessions, the Chinese corporate tax system continues to be a factor in attracting and retaining foreign investmen
The Impact of Food Insecurity on Workers\u27 Productivity in South Sudan
Full text linkThis paper examined how food insecurity affects worker productivity in South Sudan, a country with a largely agricultural economy that relies on informal employment, but which is currently undergoing civil war and struggling with severe economic problems. Relying on secondary source data and data from the World Bank, and UN agencies databases, the study applied quantitative and qualitative approaches to examine the impact of food shortage on workforce health, truancy, and productivity. While descriptive and correlation analyses showed a negative relationship between FFS and productivity variables. Notably, high levels of food insecurity (60%) were significantly negatively related to both GDP per worker Pearson r =- 0.75, and elevated absenteeism; Pearson r= +0.68. Furthermore, from the interviews, while food insecurity played to the detriment of the workers� productivity, some of its effects including tiredness, anxiety, and lack of focus are associated with signs of depression and anxiety and these did display a physical and psychological nature. Comparing the findings with other countries in the East African region brought out how deep the productivity problem is in South Sudan, where workers were over twice as likely not to attend work. In light of this analysis, the paper can definitively establish that food insecurity devastatingly erodes workers� output in South Sudan, thereby perpetuating economic near-stagnation. They include supporting agriculture systems, enhancing the structures of food supply to promote a healthy civilian labour force, and
nutrition-specific interventions. They could help stabilize the development of the South Sudan economy through the reduction of the direct causes of food insecurity in the workforce
How to use Alternative and Natural Medicine in the 21st Century Part VII
Full text linkFor community engagement participants in activities or social support groups can create a sense of belonging and shared understanding. The Integrative and Alternative Therapies are as follows: Acupuncture: A traditional Chinese medicine practice that involves inserting fine needles into specific points on the body. It can be beneficial for pain relief, stress reduction, and improving energy flow. Chiropractic Care: This can help with spinal alignment, which, in turn, supports nerve health and overall physical well-being.
Herbal and Natural Remedies: While not a substitute for medical treatment, certain herbs and supplements can support the body�s healing process (e.g., turmeric, ginger, CBD). Body-Mind Connection: Somatic Therapy: This involves the exploration of physical sensations to address stored trauma or emotional blocks within the body. It can include practices like yoga, bodywork, or somatic experiences.
Breathwork: Conscious breathing can help activate the parasympathetic nervous system, promoting relaxation and aiding in emotional release. Medical Interventions: While non-traditional therapies are often highly beneficial, there are times when medical interventions such as medications, surgery, or physical therapy are necessary. It is important to collaborate with medical professionals to ensure the best course of action to be taken. Self-Awareness and Self-Care:
Listening to the Body: Healing often involves tuning in to your own body�s needs.� Setting Boundaries: Protecting your energy and setting boundaries, whether physical or emotional, is key to long-term healing. Everyone�s healing process is unique, and what works for one person may not work for another. Integrating a combination of these considerations can create a comprehensive approach that nurtures every aspect of one�s being
Study of Biochemical Parameters among Hospital Admitted Dengue Patients from Day of Admission to Discharge: A Cross Sectional Study
Full text linkBackground: Dengue fever is an alarming viral public health issue in a large endemic population in the tropical and sub-tropical areas of the world. Recently it has been reported that� about 50 million dengue infections occur annually and approximately 2.5 billion people live in dengue endemic countries. As epidemiological factors and presentations of dengue fever varies; hence, laboratory diagnosis and analysis is extremely essential.
Objective: This study aims to analyze the biochemical parameters in adult patients diagnosed with dengue at a tertiary care hospital on their day of admission and discharge. Materials and Methods: A cross-sectional laboratory-based study was conducted in Green Life Hospital in Dhaka from June 2023 to December 2023. About 126 seropositive (Dengue NS1 Antigen and IgG and IgM Antibodies) patients were included in the study. After taking informed written consent, blood samples were collected from the subjects for biochemical tests that include serum albumin, AST,ALT, creatinine, urea and electrolyte profile. Data were cleaned, entered and analyzed by Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS) software version 26.0.
Results: Serum albumin, ALT, AST, creatinine , sodium level and urea were found to be elevated among dengue patients on day of admission and all became normal on day of discharge. This study also found that serum albumin was negatively correlated with serum ALT and creatinine on both admission and discharge days.
Conclusion: Since dengue does not have specific medical therapy, awareness of altered biochemical parameters will facilitate the clinician in prompt yet appropriate management leading to a good prognosis of the disease
From Algorithms to Outcomes: Transforming Modern Healthcare through Artificial Intelligence
Full text linkArtificial Intelligence (AI) refers to the utilisation of computers and advanced technologies to simulate intelligent behaviour and critical thinking comparable to that of humans. The term was first described by John McCarthy in 1956 as the science and engineering of creating intelligent machines. [1,2]. Previously considered a concept of science fiction, AI is now a tangible reality and is widely represented within academic discussion and mainstream applications. Machine Learning (ML), which is a subset of AI, enables machines to learn from patient data and generate predictions by pattern recognition, thereby empowering healthcare providers in delivering better care through accurate diagnosis and treatments. Although current technologies and AI models have not yet advanced to a stage where they may replace a doctor, they hold considerable promise as valuable diagnostic tools in healthcare. [1,3] While the likelihood of AI assuming a significant role in healthcare seems imminent, its evolution is currently tempered by concerns regarding ethical challenges and patient safety. This literature review aims to examine the contemporary applications of AI in healthcare, its potential advantages for both patients and healthcare professionals, and the existing challenges and limitations that may hinder its continued progression. [1,2
Effect of using a Composition of 4 Essential Oils on Self-Esteem, Training Quality and Pain Score in Athletes from the Moroccan National Poomsae Team
Full text linkDuring training and competitions, athletes face physical factors, including pain, fatigue and exhaustion, added to psychological factors, including negative vibes and mental pressure. Recovery is a key function; it is a step aimed at restoring athletes\u27 physical condition to its normal pre-competition state. Essential oils have shown their positive effect in improving sports performance by modulating psychological states, improving alertness and reducing pain, physical and mental fatigue. This study aims to determine the effect of using a mixture of 4 essential oils on training quality, self-confidence, fatigue and pain in athletes of the Moroccan national poomsae team. Other factors were studied: self-esteem, depression, insomnia and back pain. The results showed a significant effect of using Essential oils on all factors studied
Fostering Social Inclusion in Indian Museums: A Reflective Analysis of Outreach Initiatives for Enhancing Museum Accessibility and Inclusivity
Full text linkMuseums play a crucial role in non-formal education and cultural enjoyment within the culture and heritage sector. They represent a society\u27s cultural legacy and life, acting as cultural ambassadors that inspire the preservation and promotion of cultural identities. Everyone in society has an equal right to access museums. In recent years, the scope of museum education has widened beyond universal accessibility to offer equitable learning opportunities for everyone, regardless of social, economic, cultural, or educational background. This shift is reflected in the latest ICOM definition of museums, emphasizing their role in providing inclusive learning opportunities. Efforts are underway to transform museums into dynamic, accessible, and inclusive spaces that cater to diverse groups, including those historically excluded or marginalized, thereby meeting the varied learning needs of all individuals.
In a country like India, where many people lack physical access to museums, these institutions become particularly relevant. The concepts of accessibility, inclusivity, diversity, and sustainability, integral to the new definition of museums, must also underpin museum approaches and practices, especially in India, given its rich heritage and heterogeneous population.
The paper outlines the current situational, operational, and engagement structures of museums in India, highlighting the challenges they face and their public perception. It discusses the outreach initiatives aimed at extending the \u27Right to Museums\u27 to everyone through pilot outreach educational programs, specifically targeting those who do not, or cannot, visit museums. The study delves into the approach, methodology, execution, audience response, and impact of the action research project "Museum Outreach Initiatives and the Creation of Museum Educational Resources," conducted by the author. As part of the project, a series of workshops was conducted on a unified theme for diverse Indian audiences across various regions of the country. These workshops, developed under the action research project, champion the belief that everyone has a right to cultural life. The paper reflects on the endeavors made by the author to understand the varied needs of diverse Indian audiences and create tailored educational resources and workshop models. It seeks to share these case studies with the broader museum community, aiming to broaden the spectrum of museum inclusivity through outreach initiatives
M.E.M.S. for Extracting usable Electrical Power from Quantum Vacuum Energy While Remaining Compliant with Emmy Noether’s Theorem.
Full text linkTheoretical work corresponding to the hope of extracting, without contradicting EMMY NOETHER� theorem, a new energy present everywhere in the universe : The vacuum energy . Cyclic vibrations of a� piezoelectric bridge embedded at its two ends are created thanks to the attractive, omnipresent,� permanent Casimir force FCA, between two electrodes. This force FCA is controlled by an automatic� Coulomb repulsive force FCO which appears , thanks to the closing of a switch n�1 on a third electrode� called Coulomb. Then , the resultant force on the piezoelectric bridge , FCO - FCA, straightens the bridge� and gives it a kinetic energy, which will be dissipated by the force FCA. The force FCO disappears by the� automatic closing of an in series with the ground switch n�2, just after the opening of the switch n�1� The system vibrates, creating at each vibration a peak of usable electrical power.