INCEIF Knowledge Repository (INCEIF University)
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Banking liquidity and stock market prices in three countries in ASEAN
This paper reports evidence of a banking liquidity impact on stock prices in the three Asean countries. Banking liquidity impacts suggested by Friedman is yet to be fully investigated nor verified despite several attempts. If improved liquidity of banks leads to credit expansion, which in turn leads to more positive net present value projects undertaken by firms, earnings of the latter must go up, and hence the share prices should rise. This link is worth an investigation. According to an influential of the US stock market, up to 52% of share returns are due to changes in the macro economy. Using a 3-equation structural model as well as employing corrections for cross-section dependence, we examine the link between money supply, liquidity and stock prices over 2001:4Q and 2012:2Q in three developing countries. It is found money supply changes lead to a positive liquidity effect and banking liquidity impacts share market prices positively. These findings are new and in support of Friedman's liquidity proposition, and also constitute evidence of a banking liquidity having a positive effect on asset prices
The Maldives: ideal to be developed as an Islamic finance hub
On the 16th January 2017, the Maldives Center for Islamic Finance (MCIF), a 100% government-owned entity and set up with the exclusive objective of developing the Maldives into an Islamic finance hub in South Asia, inaugurated the 'Fin Talk' luncheon talk series targeted at finance industry players to discuss Islamic finance themes quarterly
Oil and macro-financial linkages: the GCC case
The slides highlight: 1) the GCC and recent studies; 2) oil-macro-financial linkages; 4) modellling and preliminary results
Who drives whom - sukuk or bond? A new evidence from granger causality and wavelet approach
Sukuk is a highly appealing alternative instrument of conventional bond in the financial market over the last two decades. To a certain extent, the market players assume sukuk as the same as bond. However, sukuk has its own fundamental asset backed principles, whereas bond is backed by debt. The objective of the study is to examine the Granger-causality and lead-lag relationship between sukuk and bond by using the data of the Malaysian Government securities return for both conventional and Islamic instruments. The data for every working day of 7 years covering the period from January 31, 2007 to December 31, 2013 were collected from Bloomberg database. The yield returns of both securities have been plotted for each six months of a year. This study applied both Granger-causality and dynamic co-movement techniques such as, continuous wavelet transforms (CWT) coherence for analyzing the temporal evolution of the frequency content of both securities by decomposing each period into different time scales. The empirical findings of the paper reveal that with a bit of exception, there is a causal relationship between sukuk securities and conventional bonds for a given period of time. For robustness, this study applied the wavelet coherence approach and found that bond is led by sukuk in the long term investment horizon rather than in the short term. Our findings relating to the lead-lag relationship between sukuk and bonds have important implications in terms of policy regulations and investment management. Future research and market practices could reinvestigate the differences between these two securities across different markets and type
Promoting the values of Islamic finance - work to do
This month I would like to build on the discussions we have been having over the last few months and reflect on the work we have to do in order to further promote the values of Islamic Finance. In the past month I have had the opportunity to address audiences at conferences, run workshops and discussion groups, contribute at panel discussions as well as some face to face discussions in Zurich, Geneva, Kuala Lumpur and London. Much of what I have been speaking about is based on Relevance, Trust and Impact #RTI, which I discussed at some length last month. In addition to that I have been painting a picture of the alignment between the 17 UN SDG's and the objectives of the Maqasid al Shariah. I could burden you with the numerous observations and anecdotes from all the interactions over the last 30 days, but I will stick with just three
Comment on "Labour regulations, employment and wages evidence from India's apparel sector"
Based on solid research, Hasan et al. (2017) has an interesting insight to share about India's apparel sector. Notwithstanding the fact that India is among the largest producers and exporters of apparel products, the study suggests that the main reason why the sector has not been up to its potential lies in the firm size distribution which is heavily dominated by small firms. Hasan et al. argue that small firms suffer from a serious lack of scale economies which deprives them of access to modern production and management technologies, and attribute it largely to India's labor regulations and enforcement regime
Real exchange rate response to capital inflows and impact on GDP in an open economy with a clean floating exchange rate system: empirical evidence from Canada
Canada represents as well-developed high-income richly endowed with abundant natural resources and advanced technological infrastructure and high wages, which will allow them to attract FDI inflows to the country for years. This study makes an attempt to test the possible directions of causality between real exchange and FDI flows on the one hand and the impact of FDI inflows and real exchange rate on economic growth on the other, with specific reference to Canada for the period of 1970-2015. In this study, the time series technique has been employed, reinforced with co-integration, error correction modelling and variance decomposition including LRSM ..
Religion of Islam and microfinance: does it make any difference?
This study is the initial attempt to investigate first whether microfinance institutions (MFIs) perform differently in the OIC countries where Islam is the prevailing religion and second, how Islamic microfinance institutions are different (if any) from the conventional MFIs. To accomplish these objectives, we employ a dynamic difference and system-generalized method of moments estimators. Our findings tend to indicate that there are significant differences in the way Islamic MFIs performed and operated as compared to that of the conventional MFIs in certain regions. However, in other regions, there were no significant differences in operation and performance between the Islamic MFIs and Conventional MFIs. The study presents important insights for the Islamic microfinance managers and donors as well as the policy makers
Pent-up demand for Islamic finance
After slightly more than five decades of embracing Islamic banking through the establishment of the Pilgrims Fund (Tabung Haji) in 1963 and Bank Islam Malaysia Berhad in 1983, Malaysia today is an icon of Islamic banking and finance, surpassing many other financial centres in the world. The most striking achievements for Malaysia include the rapid growth of Islamic financial assets, the global leader status in the issuance of sukuk or Islamic bond and the robust legal and regulatory infrastructure that has been put in place...
Available in physical copy only (Call Number: HG 3368 A6 I82Mo
Oil revenue and financial development: the role of institutions
Almost every second barrel of oil is produced in the OIC region. It is expected that the influx of oil revenue will help in developing the financial markets and the economies of these countries. So, the accelerated growth of Islamic financial industry at a double-digit rate annually has been attributed to the liquidity generated from the oil production. However, the recent adverse shocks emanating from the international oil market (quadruple drop in oil price) have cast scepticism about the sustainability of financial sectors in OIC oil-producing countries in general and the growth of Islamic banking industry, in particular. Slumping oil prices are expected to reduce the liquidity ..