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Diversification of rural economy in the function of balanced regional development of the Republic of Serbia
Get PDFPronounced regional disparities represent one of the main features of regional development in Serbia. The regions are economically very uneven, and there are often differences within the regions themselves. The most prominent intra-regional disparity is between urban and rural areas. Rural areas are particularly vulnerable because they have experienced depopulation and economic decline for decades. This problem has been recognized and addressed in the Strategy of Agriculture and Rural Development of the Republic of Serbia from 2014-2024. One of the priority areas of implementation of the operational objectives relates to the diversification of the rural economy and the preservation of cultural and natural heritage. Due to its positive effects on GDP, employment, the balance of payments, investment and population standard, tourism is increasingly becoming an essential instrument for stimulating development, especially in those regions where employment creation through other forms of investment is challenging. Accordingly, this paper aims to present the potential of rural tourism as an endogenous factor of regional and local development through the presentation and analysis of socio-economic indicators and realized tourist traffic in the statistical regions in Serbia. Results of correlation analysis indicate a positive correlation between the number of tourists and number of employees, number of employees per 1000 inhabitants and average net earnings in NUTS 3 regions in Serbia
Depopulacioni prostori u Srbiji u 21. veku – od lokalnog do nacionalnog problema
Get PDFDepopulacioni ili napušteni prostori nastaju kao posledica pražnjenja naselja i potpunog iščezavanja ljudskog faktora u korišćenju prostora. Cilj rada je utvrđivanje veličine i strukture prostora – klastera koji se može smatrati napuštenim na regionalnom nivou, odnosno nivou administrativnih okruga. U radu je izdvojen prostor na nivou okruga u Srbiji u okviru kojeg su se desile značajne promene u korišćenju zemljišta u periodu 2000-2018. Analizirane su vremenske serije formalnih baza podataka i podataka dobijenih GIS alatima kako bi se uočile promene u strukturi površina i definisao trend srastanja odnosno povećanja praznog prostora tokom poslednje dve decenije. U radu su analizirani planski dokumenti i strategije kako bi se utvrdilo sa kojim problemima država identifikuje napuštene prostore i kakva planska rešenja su moguća.Urednici: Dejan Filipović, Velimir Šećerov, Dejan S. Đorđevi
The Interdependence Between Activity Structure and Level of Economic Development – Case Study of Serbia
Get PDFThe goal of the paper is to examine the hypothesis whereby a higher level of diversification
in the structure of activities of a certain settlement indicates a higher level of its economic
development. The absolute predominance of employment in the tertiary-quaternary sector
in the total employment in Serbia’s municipal centres has been brought in correlation
with their level of economic development. The nature of this interdependence has been the
subject of a detailed analysis in this paper. Using the methods elaborated for the needs of
this research, conclusions have been drawn indicating the emergence of a large number of
centres where the quantitative prevalence of the tertiary-quaternary sector, along with the
distinct incidence of employment in public services, is not accompanied by corresponding
qualitative and quantitative changes that would result in a higher level of economic
development. Insufficiently developed centres have been identified in order to facilitate
decision makers to take proper and timely actions and enable relevant institutions and
organisations to apply adequate measures to support balanced economic development
Statistical analysis of water quality parameters in the basin of the Nisava River (Serbia) in the period 2009-2018
Get PDFThis paper analyzes water quality from four hydrological stations in the Nisava river basin from 2009-2018 based on the following parameters: pH, conductivity, O-2 saturation, BOD5, suspended solids, total oxidized nitrogen, phosphates, turbidity and coliform bacteria. Authors have applied WQI (water quality index) as the most reliable indicator of the watercourses pollution for setting of surface water flow quality. Statistical analysis of variance (ANOVA) using t-test inferential statistical analysis and post-hoc Tukey test were applied to evaluate statistically significant differences between specific data groups. The results show that bad water quality was registered on all the profiles on an annual basis (WQI = 65-71). The river water pH decreases downstream, while values of BOD5, suspended solids, turbidity, TON, phosphates and coliform bacteria gradually increase. The waters of the Nisava at the station Nis belong to the third class of waters and they are mostly loaded with organic matter originating from waste sewage and industrial waters of both urban and rural areas
One Small Municipality and Future of Renewable Energy Strategy
Get PDFThe subject of this paper is to present an investigation of renewable energy potential in one small municipality in south Serbia. Serbia has a relatively small area but a large number of renewable energy resources. This energy is divided into solar, wind, geothermal and waste wood. One municipality on the south east has very large potential for the renewable energy utilization. The municipality of Kursumlija has an area of 952 km(2) but with poor dense of the population. In this municipality we have one of the most powerful resources of the renewable energy, estimated on 118.5 MWt. With the help of different methods such as GIS (Geographical Information System), numerical and geo-statistical analyses, were analyzed total capacity of the renewable energy. Other relevant documents are the municipality strategy documents, satellite recordings, cadaster data, analogue plans and maps. The estimated capacity of geothermal energy with included 23 springs may reach 25.5 MWt. The waste wood estimated capacity is may reach 1123.5 TJ/year or 35.6 MWt. The solar potential may reach 1810.8 Tj/year or 57.4 MWt. The main goal of this research is to present renewable energy potential of the municipality and compare it with dirty kinds of energy. Other goals are to present benefits and advantages of the utilization of renewable energy sources. This research is also important to present to the broader readership and it can be the start initiative for deeper investigation of renewable energy resources
Covid-19 and Fertility in Serbia - Rough Pandemic Impact Assessment
No full textPast evidence on fertility responses to external shocks, including economic
recessions and outbreaks of infectious diseases, shows that people often put their childbearing
plans on hold in uncertain times. The outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic influenced
a wide spectrum of everyday life, from employment, financial wellbeing, uncertainty and
health concerns, to work and family reconciliation, dating, marrying, and family planning,
thus we may expect certain effect on fertility rates too. The possible impact of the COVID-
19 pandemic on the birth aggregate during 2021 in Serbia will be calculated based on three
different methodologies: Bertillon Birth Effect methodology (BBE), Kearney and Levine
(2020) methodology, and Pandemic Wave Impact methodology (PWI - as a newly proposed
methodology approach). The primary aim of the paper is to show a potential range of
influence of the COVID-19 pandemic on the total number of live births in Serbia during
2021, and the secondary aim is to test our presumptions that this impact mustn’t always
be negative and that the impact of the pandemic is weakening during the lifespan of the
outbreak.
Dosadašnji dokazi o promenama fertiliteta pod uticajem eksternih šokova,
uključujući ekonomske krize i izbijanje zaraznih bolesti, pokazuju da ljudi često stavljaju
svoje planove o rađanju na čekanje u neizvesnim vremenima. Izbijanje pandemije COVID-
19 uticalo je na širok spektar svakodnevnog života, od zaposlenja, finansijskog blagostanja,
neizvesnosti i zdravstvene zabrinutosti, do usklađivanja poslovnih i privatnih obaveza,
partnerskih veza, braka i planiranja porodice, tako da sa velikom sigurnošću možemo
očekivati određeni uticaj na ukupan broj živorođenja. Mogući uticaj pandemije COVID-
19 na agregat rađanja tokom 2021. godine u Srbiji biće izračunat na osnovu tri različite
metodologije: metodologije Bertillon Birth Effect (Bertiljonov efekat rađanja - BBE),
Kearney and Levine (2020) metodologije i uticaja pandemijskih talasa (PWI - koja je naš
predlog). Osnovni cilj rada je pokazati potencijalni raspon uticaja pandemije COVID-19 na
ukupan broj živorođene dece u Srbiji tokom 2021. godine, a sekundarni, da proverimo naše
pretpostavke da uticaj pandemije ne mora uvek biti negativan, kao i da ovaj uticaj slabi sa
protokom vremena.Dosadašnji dokazi o promenama fertiliteta pod uticajem eksternih šokova, uključujući ekonomske krize i izbijanje zaraznih bolesti, pokazuju da ljudi često stavljaju svoje planove o rađanju na čekanje u neizvesnim vremenima. Izbijanje pandemije COVID19 uticalo je na širok spektar svakodnevnog života, od zaposlenja, finansijskog blagostanja, neizvesnosti i zdravstvene zabrinutosti, do usklađivanja poslovnih i privatnih obaveza, partnerskih veza, braka i planiranja porodice, tako da sa velikom sigurnošću možemo očekivati određeni uticaj na ukupan broj živorođenja. Mogući uticaj pandemije COVID19 na agregat rađanja tokom 2021. godine u Srbiji biće izračunat na osnovu tri različite metodologije: metodologije Bertillon Birth Effect (Bertiljonov efekat rađanja - BBE), Kearney and Levine (2020) metodologije i uticaja pandemijskih talasa (PWI - koja je naš predlog). Osnovni cilj rada je pokazati potencijalni raspon uticaja pandemije COVID-19 na ukupan broj živorođene dece u Srbiji tokom 2021. godine, a sekundarni, da proverimo naše pretpostavke da uticaj pandemije ne mora uvek biti negativan, kao i da ovaj uticaj slabi sa protokom vremena
Long Term Monitoring and Connection between Topography and Cloud Cover Distribution in Serbia
Get PDFThe use of weather satellite recordings has been growing rapidly over the last three decades.
Determining the patterns between meteorological and topographical features is an important scientific
job. Cloud cover analysis and properties can be of the utmost significance for potential cloud seeding.
Here, the analysis of the cloud properties was conducted by means of Moderate Resolution Imaging
Spectroradiometer (MODIS) satellite recordings. The resolution of used data was 1 km2 within the
period of 30 years (1989–2019). This research showed moderate changing of cloudiness in the territory
of Serbia with a high cloudiness in February, followed by cloudiness in January and November. For
the past three decades, May has been the month with the highest cloudiness. The regions in the east
and south-west, and particularly in the west, have a high absolute cloudiness, which is connected
with the high elevation of the country. By means of long term monitoring, the whole territory of
Serbia was analyzed for the first time, in terms of cloudiness. Apart from the statistical and numerical
results obtained, this research showed a connection between relief and clouds, especially in the
winter season. Linear regression MK (Mann-Kendall test) has proven this theory right, connecting
high elevation sides with high absolute cloudiness through the year
O potrebi turističke klasifikacije planina Srbije
Get PDFPrirodne turističke vrenosti Srbije su brojne i raznovrsne. Pri tome osnovnu sliku prostoru daju planine, koje su veoma različite po geografskom položaju i pristupačnosti, načinu i vremenu postanka, geološkom sastavu, morfološkim i morfometrijskim pokazateljima, klimatskim i biogografskim odlikama. Prostorna i turistička klasifikacija naših planina, na poseban način doprinosi poznavanju njihovih turističkih vrednosti, odnosno, vrstama turizma po kojima se prezentuju turističkom tržištu, tradicionalnoj posećenosti i savremenoj opremljenosti, broju i vrstama turističko-ugostiteljskih objekata i odgovarajuće suprastrukture. U procesu turističke valorizacije, više nego do sada, potrebno ih je tretirati komplementarno sa turističkim vrednostima u okruženju, posebno sa banjama, uređenim pećinama, kulturno-istorijskim spomenicima, seoskim naseljima, prostorima koji su zakomon zaštićeni (nacionalni parkovi, rezervati, specijalni rezervati) i postojećim, traicionalnim i savremenim manifestacijama. Turistička klasifikacija planina Srbije deo je istraživačkih zadataka geografa,geologa, ekologa, turizmologa i prostornih planera. Na rezultatima ovih, mogu se obezbeđivati investicije za izgradnju turističko-ugostiteljskih objekata i njihovo poslovanjeUrednici: Dejan Filipović, Velimir Šećerov, Dejan S. Đorđevi
Wind energy potential for the electricity production - Knjazevac Municipality case study (Serbia)
Get PDFGeospatial potential for harvesting wind energy is not an easy task to perform in conditions of deficiency of accurate data in remote and large areas (macro to medium locations). There are different methodologies available to identify the most suitable location for the installation of wind power generators. One of the most suitable approaches that employ the Multi-Criteria Analysis method for wind energy potential of the Municipality of Knjazevac (East Serbia) is combining the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Geographic Information Systems. Collection and creation of geospatial data for the research encompassed meteorological data from all available sources, digital elevation model (DEM) to analyze the orography of the terrain, and Landsat 8 satellite data to analyze six land cover (LC) classes. The identification of three best locations for the wind power generators (wind farms) using Multi-Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) analysis solved the major location problem: how to select the best locations for investment in the renewable energy sector and minimize the impact on the environment. The result indicates that only one part of the municipality, at the hub height of 100 m, has enough wind potential to produce energy