E-Journal Politeknik Negeri Samarinda
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    Data Transparency and Growth in Developing Economies during and after the Global Financial Crisis

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    The study explores the effects of data transparency on economic growth for developing economies over a unique time period — at the onset of the 2007–2009 global financial crisis and thereafter. Data transparency is defined as the timely production of credible statistics as measured by the Statistical Capacity Indicator. The paper finds that data transparency has a positive effect on real gross domestic product per capita during a period of considerable uncertainty. The estimates indicate an elasticity of the magnitude of 0.03 percent per year, which is much larger than the elasticity of trade openness and schooling in the estimation sample. The empirics employ a variety of econometric estimators, including dynamic panel and cross-sectional instrumental variables estimators, with the latter approach yielding a higher estimated elasticity. The findings are robust to the inclusion of several factors in addition to political institutions and exogenous commodity-price and external debt-financing shocks

    A Blueprint for Green, Resilient and Affordable Housing in Mongolia

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    Over the past two decades, urbanization in Mongolia has surged, leading to a rapid and sizeable increase in multi-story housing developments, particularly in Ulaanbaatar and secondary cities. Alongside this growth, ger districts have also proliferated, now accommodating around 50% of the urban population. These districts offer basic settlement options for new rural-to-urban migrants but are plagued with numerous issues, including high poverty levels, substandard housing, and insufficient infrastructure, leading to problems such as air and soil pollution, and poor mobility and livability. This study highlights the environmental, social, and economic disparities between households living in the formal consolidated areas and those living in the ger districts, with a focus on the secondary cities of Darkhan and Erdenet. These cities present an opportunity to address these disparities before they replicate the challenges in Ulaanbaatar and elsewhere. The study identifies four solutions to help ger households invest in resilient, energy-efficient housing that is both affordable and financeable, thereby improving overall livability and bridge the gap between different socio-economic groups. These solutions are applicable to key cities across Mongolia. The report underscores the need to upgrade, build and densify houses and neighborhoods in ger districts to meet resilience and Sustainable Development Goals (SDG), including construction quality, energy efficiency and access to basic infrastructure. Such investment would enable residents to obtain property certificates which would facilitate access to housing finance, increase financial inclusion and enhance economic stability. The findings and recommendations of this study are intended as a Blueprint toward resilient, inclusive, and affordable housing for ger areas development to guide Mongolian policymakers in improving access to green, resilient, and affordable housing, ultimately shaping a more equitable housing landscape in the country’s urban areas

    Fostering Trade for Robust Growth and Dynamic Job Creation

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    Tight monetary policies, restrictive financial conditions, and the slowdown of global trade continued to weaken global growth. Global economic growth declined in 2023 and is expected to decline further in 2024. Although the monetary tightening in advanced economies is expected to end and the global headline inflation has reduced, policy rates are expected to only decline gradually, as core inflation has been more persistent. Commodity prices declined in 2023 and are expected to decline further in 2024. At the regional level, growth in Sub-Saharan Africa is expected to rebound in 2024-2025 driven by a boost in private consumption from the reduction in inflation and increasing real incomes. However, tight monetary policies and fiscal consolidation efforts will keep investment and public consumption subdued in 2024 even as inflation declines. Fiscal balances are expected to improve in 2024 but external borrowing costs remain high

    A Mixed Methods Study

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    The “Comprehensive Assessment of the Childcare Landscape in Lebanon: A Mixed Methods Study” analyzes the supply and demand of formal childcare services for children aged 0-3. It provides a review of Lebanon’s regulatory and institutional framework around childcare, maps out the current supply of services including cost and quality aspects, and deepens the understanding of households’ childcare needs. Findings show that there is a mismatch between supply and demand, with a gap in provision for the youngest children and that supply is mostly private, costly, and concentrated in coastal areas. Childcare responsibilities limit women’s ability to join the labor force, and affordability is a main constraint for families to access services, resulting in low demand for formal childcare. The study proposes measures for an inclusive expansion of quality and affordable childcare services in four areas: (i) an enabling environment for efficient, affordable provision of quality childcare services, (ii) a more equitable distribution of the unpaid care work burden within the household, (iii) improved State support to address households’ care needs, and (iv) inclusive family-friendly workplace conditions in the private sector

    The Kenya Accountable Devolution Program

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    Citizen engagement is critical to achieving an effective devolution process. The success of devolution in delivering good quality services in Kenya is inextricably linked to the extent to which counties provide their citizens with adequate information on budgets and service delivery performance, empower them to participate and contribute to decision-making, and are held accountable. For a decade, counties in Kenya have been translating into action the legal principles on transparency, accountability, and public participation as enshrined in the Constitution of Kenya 2010. Although this has not been an easy task, counties have made notable progress, establishing systems, structures, processes, and practices for meaningful citizen engagement. One of the innovative practices adopted is participatory budgeting. With training and technical assistance from the World Bank through the Kenya Accountable Devolution Program (KADP), several counties have been implementing participatory budgeting since 2015 as an approach to achieving more inclusive and effective government

    Taking Account of Property Use Rights in Household Wealth Measurement

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    This paper discusses the inclusion of usufruct rights in household wealth estimates, emphasizing the theoretical rationale for adjusting traditional estimates that do not include this component. It then applies this concept to the Italian context using Survey on Household Income and Wealth data. Despite usufruct being relatively rare (around 3 percent of residential homes), adjusting for it impacts the wealth distribution, with some increases characterizing younger households. Overall, adjusted estimates show a significant decrease in the concentration indices compared with unadjusted ones. These findings suggest the importance of considering this component in standard household wealth estimates, particularly in countries where use rights are more common

    Reviewing Assessment Tools for Measuring Country Statistical Capacity

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    Country statistical capacity is increasingly recognized as crucial for development, but no academic study exists that reviews the available assessment tools. This paper offers the first review study that fills this gap, paying particular attention to data and practical measurement challenges. It compares the World Bank’s recently developed Statistical Performance Indicators and Index with other widely used indexes, such as the Open Data Inventory index, the Global Data Barometer index, and other regional and self-assessment tools. The findings show that each index brings advantages in data sources, number of indicators, measurement focus, coverage of countries and time periods, and correlation with common development indexes. The Open Data Inventory index covers the most countries, the Global Data Barometer index collects data through its surveys, and the Statistical Performance Indicators and Index offer a broader framework for assessing statistical systems. The paper offers further thoughts on the potential mechanisms through which these tools can bring positive impacts on economic activities and some political economy concerns, as well as future directions for development

    Are Unit Values Reliable Proxies for Prices? Implications of Better Price Data for Household Consumption Measurement in a Low-Income Context

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    Household Consumption and Expenditure Surveys are key to consumption-based monetary poverty measurement. In the absence of market price surveys that are linked to Household Consumption and Expenditure Surveys, unit values are used as proxies for market prices in estimating nominal consumption aggregates, price deflators, poverty lines, and poverty statistics. This practice relies on the Hicksian separability assumption: within-commodity group relative prices are constant across space and the price of a single good is an accurate proxy for the commodity group price. To test, for the first time in a low-income context, whether Hicksian separability holds, this paper uses the price data collected for an extensive list of food items, including several variety/quality-differentiated products for specific items, in a national market survey that was conducted in Malawi in sync with the Household Consumption and Expenditure Survey that is the source of official poverty statistics. The analysis demonstrates that Hicksian separability fails to hold across space and time and that unit values are biased proxies for prices. Integrating the Household Consumption and Expenditure Survey and market survey data based on location and timing of fieldwork permits an assessment of consumption and poverty estimation based on market prices versus unit values. Relative to unit values, using market prices leads to higher food and overall consumption expenditures—both in nominal and real terms—while generating higher poverty lines and higher food and overall poverty rates. Compared to their counterparts based on unit values, spatially-disaggregated poverty estimates based on market prices exhibit a stronger correlation with nightlights —an objective proxy for living standards

    The Future of Work in Central America and the Dominican Republic

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    Technological progress has the potential to cause significant disruption in labor markets. This report examines the impact of computers, robots, AI, and improved ICT at work on labor markets in CADR. Advanced economies offer a model for how the future of work will look in Central America and the Dominican Republic (CADR), but important differences in development stages mean that the labor market impacts of technological progress are distinct now and are likely to continue to be in the near future. The report focuses on these technologies as the most likely to have shaped labor markets in the region in the recent past and the most likely to shape them in the near future. The report first examines how technological progress within the region is shaping what workers do and how they do it. The report goes beyond the analysis of susceptibility to automation to dissect the factors underlying recent labor market transformations and undercover the extent to which technological change has played a role in these transformations. The report also examines how technological progress outside of the region is shaping labor markets within it by investigating how robot adoption in the United States is affecting the demand for CADR workers in CADR countries and for CADR workers in the United States

    Multidimensional and Specific Inequalities

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    Despite the multitude of measures of multidimensional inequality, none is regularly used in policymaking. This paper proposes multidimensional inequality measures that are easily implementable and transparent and overcome many deficiencies of existing measures. The measures follow a traditional two-stage format, which aggregates dimensions first and then applies a unidimensional measure like the Gini coefficient to the distribution of aggregates. A novel characterization result identifies the precise form of aggregation needed to obtain axiomatically sound measures. The paper derives an additive decomposition formula — breaking down multidimensional inequality into terms reflecting the average specific inequalities (within dimensions) and the joint distribution (across dimensions) — for any measure created using a standard unidimensional measure or the Lorenz curve. The paper also provides an approach to calibrating the measure for use with data over time, replacing the usual ad hoc normalization of variables with one that accounts for a policymaker’s normative weights. The technology is illustrated first using synthetic data to understand how the measure varies as the components are changed and then using data from Azerbaijan

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