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    Detection of Atmospheric Escape from Four Young Mini-Neptunes

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    We use Keck/NIRSPEC to survey a sample of of young (<1 Gyr), short-period mini-Neptunes orbiting nearby K dwarfs to measure their mass loss via the metastable helium line. We detect helium absorption from all four of the targets in our initial sample. The first detection, around TOI 560b, was announced in a previous paper. We now announce three additional detections around TOI 1430.01, 2076b, and 1683.01. All four planets show an average in-transit excess absorption of 0.7%–1.0%. However, the outflows differ in their kinematic properties. Object TOI 1430b exhibits preingress absorption, while TOI 2076b's outflow is exceptionally optically thick and shows significant postegress absorption. For all four planets, the width of the measured helium absorption signal is consistent with expectations for a photoevaporative outflow (10–30 km s⁻¹, 5000–10,000 K). Unless broadening mechanisms other than thermal velocity and the bulk outflow velocity are significant, our observations disfavor core-powered mass-loss models, which predict much slower (1–3 km s⁻¹) outflows. We utilize both an isothermal Parker wind model and an order-of-magnitude method to estimate the mass-loss timescale and obtain ∼a few hundred megayears for each planet. We conclude that many, if not all, of these planets will lose their hydrogen-rich envelopes and become super-Earths. Our results demonstrate that most mini-Neptunes orbiting Sun-like stars have primordial atmospheres, and that photoevaporation is an efficient mechanism for stripping these atmospheres and transforming these planets into super-Earths

    Single-pulse real-time billion-frames-per-second planar imaging of ultrafast nanoparticle-laser dynamics and temperature in flames

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    Unburnt hydrocarbon flames produce soot, which is the second biggest contributor to global warming and harmful to human health. The state-of-the-art high-speed imaging techniques, developed to study non-repeatable turbulent flames, are limited to million-frames-per-second imaging rates, falling short in capturing the dynamics of critical species. Unfortunately, these techniques do not provide a complete picture of flame-laser interactions, important for understanding soot formation. Furthermore, thermal effects induced by multiple consecutive pulses modify the optical properties of soot nanoparticles, thus making single-pulse imaging essential. Here, we report single-shot laser-sheet compressed ultrafast photography (LS-CUP) for billion-frames-per-second planar imaging of flame-laser dynamics. We observed laser-induced incandescence, elastic light scattering, and fluorescence of soot precursors - polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) in real-time using a single nanosecond laser pulse. The spatiotemporal maps of the PAHs emission, soot temperature, primary nanoparticle size, soot aggregate size, and the number of monomers, present strong experimental evidence in support of the theory and modeling of soot inception and growth mechanism in flames. LS-CUP represents a generic and indispensable tool that combines a portfolio of ultrafast combustion diagnostic techniques, covering the entire lifecycle of soot nanoparticles, for probing extremely short-lived (picoseconds to nanoseconds) species in the spatiotemporal domain in non-repeatable turbulent environments. Finally, LS-CUP’s unparalleled capability of ultrafast wide-field temperature imaging in real-time is envisioned to unravel mysteries in modern physics such as hot plasma, sonoluminescence, and nuclear fusion

    A Test of the Earthquake Gap Hypothesis in Mexico: The Case of the Guerrero Gap

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    The seismic gap hypothesis has been widely cited in Mexico to predict the location of future earthquakes. However, no analysis of the outcome of any predictions of the hypothesis in Mexico has been done to date. This work analyzes the outcome of the prediction by Nishenko and Singh (1987a), which is based on probability distribution functions over time in defined segments that allow for a formal evaluation. Specific probabilities were given for 5, 10, and 20 yr after 1986, using the cumulative distribution function. The prediction relies on the precise repeat times of characteristic earthquakes to define the segments, but we show that the catalog the authors use relies on an imprecise definition of characteristic earthquakes. We discuss some of their decisions in building their catalog to explain how we analyze the outcome of the prediction. An unexpected result is that the very catalog the authors use to create the gap hypothesis prediction does not seem to support a narrow recurrence interval and instead seems to suggest large variability in earthquake recurrence intervals along the Mexican subduction zone. We generate null model earthquake catalogs using the average number of earthquakes that occur in the subduction zone and randomly distribute these along the segments according to their relative lengths. We find that the null model performs better than the seismic gap hypothesis prediction. No earthquakes occur in segments with a 70% or higher probability according to NS1987 (there were four such segments in the 20-year time frame), but an Mw 8.0 earthquake occurs in a segment with a less than 16% probability of an earthquake. We conclude that the gap hypothesis performed poorly at predicting earthquakes in Mexico and, in fact, its predictions were worse than predicting earthquakes by chance

    Retrieving 3D distributions of atmospheric particles using Atmospheric Tomography with 3D Radiative Transfer – Part 1: Model description and Jacobian calculation

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    Our global understanding of clouds and aerosols relies on the remote sensing of their optical, microphysical, and macrophysical properties using, in part, scattered solar radiation. These retrievals assume that clouds and aerosols form plane-parallel, homogeneous layers and utilize 1D radiative transfer (RT) models, limiting the detail that can be retrieved about the 3D variability in cloud and aerosol fields and inducing biases in the retrieved properties for highly heterogeneous structures such as cumulus clouds and smoke plumes. To overcome these limitations, we introduce and validate an algorithm for retrieving the 3D optical or microphysical properties of atmospheric particles using multi-angle, multi-pixel radiances and a 3D RT model. The retrieval software, which we have made publicly available, is called Atmospheric Tomography with 3D Radiative Transfer (AT3D). It uses an iterative, local optimization technique to solve a generalized least squares problem and thereby find a best-fitting atmospheric state. The iterative retrieval uses a fast, approximate Jacobian calculation, which we have extended from Levis et al. (2020) to accommodate open and periodic horizontal boundary conditions (BCs) and an improved treatment of non-black surfaces. We validated the accuracy of the approximate Jacobian calculation for derivatives with respect to both the 3D volume extinction coefficient and the parameters controlling the open horizontal boundary conditions across media with a range of optical depths and single-scattering properties and find that it is highly accurate for a majority of cloud and aerosol fields over oceanic surfaces. Relative root mean square errors in the approximate Jacobian for a 3D volume extinction coefficient in media with cloud-like single-scattering properties increase from 2 % to 12 % as the maximum optical depths (MODs) of the medium increase from 0.2 to 100.0 over surfaces with Lambertian albedos <0.2. Over surfaces with albedos of 0.7, these errors increase to 20 %. Errors in the approximate Jacobian for the optimization of open horizontal boundary conditions exceed 50 %, unless the plane-parallel media providing the boundary conditions are optically very thin (∼0.1). We use the theory of linear inverse RT to provide insight into the physical processes that control the cloud tomography problem and identify its limitations, supported by numerical experiments. We show that the Jacobian matrix becomes increasing ill-posed as the optical size of the medium increases and the forward-scattering peak of the phase function decreases. This suggests that tomographic retrievals of clouds will become increasingly difficult as clouds become optically thicker. Retrievals of asymptotically thick clouds will likely require other sources of information to be successful. In Loveridge et al. (2023a; hereafter Part 2), we examine how the accuracy of the retrieved 3D volume extinction coefficient varies as the optical size of the target medium increases using synthetic data. We do this to explore how the increasing error in the approximate Jacobian and the increasingly ill-posed nature of the inversion in the optically thick limit affect the retrieval. We also assess the accuracy of retrieved optical depths and compare them to retrievals using 1D radiative transfer

    Commentary: Astronomy from space after the JWST

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    Last year the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) trained its sights on the distant universe and began returning stunning images in IR light that captured the imagination of the public around the world. The JWST has only just begun its exploration of the universe, yet astronomers are already looking to the future. Every 10 years, panels of experts convened by the National Academies create a survey in astronomy and astrophysics to assess scientific frontiers and plan the capabilities that will keep advancing humankind’s understanding of the cosmos. The JWST, originally called the Next Generation Space Telescope, was recommended as the top-priority large strategic mission in the 2000 decadal survey, and given its technical ambition and scale, it took more than two decades to be realized. But it was also conceived as costing less than 10% of the eventual price tag, in part because of wishful thinking by NASA and the scientific community and in part because the project began full-scale development before it was ready. The 2010 decadal survey gave the highest priority for a large space mission to the Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope, then known as the Wide-Field Infrared Survey Telescope, an observatory that will image large swaths of the sky in IR light to make three-dimensional cosmic maps of many millions of galaxies, elucidate the nature of the mysterious dark matter and dark energy, search for and image exoplanets, and explore many other topics in IR astrophysics. Roman is scheduled for launch in 2027, some 17 years after it was recommended as a priority. That delay was a result of funding issues directly related to the cost overruns on the JWST. Like the JWST, Roman was chosen to address the big, outstanding scientific questions identified at the time. But the delays bring with them costs in both taxpayer dollars and scientific opportunities. The most recent astronomy and astrophysics survey, Astro2020 (for which the two of us served as committee cochairs), considered how to accomplish its charge to chart a course for the future of space astrophysics. In previous surveys, the committees have provided a rank-ordered list of concepts for large space missions, and in the decade that followed, NASA began development of the top project on the list as its next priority. Astro2020, however, took a different course

    Aims and Scope of JAMES

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    The mission of AGU's Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems (JAMES) is to publish original research papers that advance the science underlying Earth system models and emerging from their use. JAMES' scope encompasses the outer envelope of the Earth system including the atmosphere, oceans, land surface, and cryosphere. It publishes papers that expand capabilities to model, understand, and predict the Earth system and the physical, chemical, and biological processes shaping it. In this editorial, we present general principles as well as specific notions that guide the strategy of JAMES' editors in realizing the journal's mission. This document serves as an update to Griffies et al. (2021), https://doi.org/10.1029/2021MS002567

    Motor processivity and speed determine structure and dynamics of microtubule-motor assemblies

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    Active matter systems can generate highly ordered structures, avoiding equilibrium through the consumption of energy by individual constituents. How the microscopic parameters that characterize the active agents are translated to the observed mesoscopic properties of the assembly has remained an open question. These active systems are prevalent in living matter; for example, in cells, the cytoskeleton is organized into structures such as the mitotic spindle through the coordinated activity of many motor proteins walking along microtubules. Here, we investigate how the microscopic motor-microtubule interactions affect the coherent structures formed in a reconstituted motor-microtubule system. This question is of deeper evolutionary significance as we suspect motor and microtubule type contribute to the shape and size of resulting structures. We explore key parameters experimentally and theoretically, using a variety of motors with different speeds, processivities, and directionalities. We demonstrate that aster size depends on the motor used to create the aster, and develop a model for the distribution of motors and microtubules in steady-state asters that depends on parameters related to motor speed and processivity. Further, we show that network contraction rates scale linearly with the single-motor speed in quasi-one-dimensional contraction experiments. In all, this theoretical and experimental work helps elucidate how microscopic motor properties are translated to the much larger scale of collective motor-microtubule assemblies

    The Empirical Limits of Gyrochronology

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    The promise of gyrochronology is that, given a star's rotation period and mass, its age can be inferred. The reality of gyrochronology is complicated by effects other than ordinary magnetized braking that alter stellar rotation periods. In this work, we present an interpolation-based gyrochronology framework that reproduces the time- and mass-dependent spin-down rates implied by the latest open cluster data, while also matching the rate at which the dispersion in initial stellar rotation periods decreases as stars age. We validate our technique for stars with temperatures of 3800–6200 K and ages of 0.08–2.6 gigayears (Gyr), and use it to reexamine the empirical limits of gyrochronology. In line with previous work, we find that the uncertainty floor varies strongly with both stellar mass and age. For Sun-like stars (≈5800 K), the statistical age uncertainties improve monotonically from ±38% at 0.2 Gyr to ±12% at 2 Gyr, and are caused by the empirical scatter of the cluster rotation sequences combined with the rate of stellar spin-down. For low-mass K dwarfs (≈4200 K), the posteriors are highly asymmetric due to stalled spin-down, and ±1σ age uncertainties vary non-monotonically between 10% and 50% over the first few gigayears. High-mass K dwarfs (5000 K) older than ≈1.5 Gyr yield the most precise ages, with limiting uncertainties currently set by possible changes in the spin-down rate (12% systematic), the calibration of the absolute age scale (8% systematic), and the width of the slow sequence (4% statistical). An open-source implementation, gyro-interp, is available online at github.com/lgbouma/gyro-interp

    Generating Coherent Phonon Waves in Narrow-Band Materials: A Twisted Bilayer Graphene Phaser

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    Twisted bilayer graphene (TBG) exhibits extremely low Fermi velocities for electrons, with the speed of sound surpassing the Fermi velocity. This regime enables the use of TBG for amplifying vibrational waves of the lattice through stimulated emission, following the same principles of operation of free-electron lasers. Our Letter proposes a lasing mechanism relying on the slow-electron bands to produce a coherent beam of acoustic phonons. We propose a device based on undulated electrons in TBG, which we dub the phaser. The device generates phonon beams in a terahertz (THz) frequency range, which can then be used to produce THz electromagnetic radiation. The ability to generate coherent phonons in solids breaks new ground in controlling quantum memories, probing quantum states, realizing nonequilibrium phases of matter, and designing new types of THz optical devices

    Dynamics and Origins of the Near-resonant Kepler Planets

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    Short-period super-Earths and mini-Neptunes encircle more than ∼50% of Sun-like stars and are relatively amenable to direct observational characterization. Despite this, environments in which these planets accrete are difficult to probe directly. Nevertheless, pairs of planets that are close to orbital resonances provide a unique window into the inner regions of protoplanetary disks, as they preserve the conditions of their formation, as well as the early evolution of their orbital architectures. In this work, we present a novel approach toward quantifying transit timing variations within multiplanetary systems and examine the near-resonant dynamics of over 100 planet pairs detected by Kepler. Using an integrable model for first-order resonances, we find a clear transition from libration to circulation of the resonant angle at a period ratio of ≈0.6% wide of exact resonance. The orbital properties of these systems indicate that they systematically lie far away from the resonant forced equilibrium. Cumulatively, our modeling indicates that while orbital architectures shaped by strong disk damping or tidal dissipation are inconsistent with observations, a scenario where stochastic stirring by turbulent eddies augments the dissipative effects of protoplanetary disks reproduces several features of the data

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