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    Multifidelity uncertainty quantification and model validation of large-scale multidisciplinary systems

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    A simulation-based framework for multifidelity uncertainty quantification is presented, which informs and guides the design process of complex, large-scale, multidisciplinary systems throughout their life cycle. In this framework, uncertainty in system models is identified, characterized, and propagated in an integrated manner through the analysis cycles needed to quantify the effects of uncertainty on the quantities of interest. This is part of the process to design systems and verify their compliance to performance requirements. Uncertainty quantification is performed through mean and variance estimators as well as global sensitivity analyses. These computational analyses are made tractable by the use of multifidelity methods, which leverage a variety of low-fidelity models to obtain speed-ups, while keeping the main high-fidelity model in the loop to guarantee convergence to the correct result. This framework was applied to the James Webb Space Telescope observatory integrated model used to calculate the wavefront error caused by thermal distortions. The framework proved to reduce the time required to perform global sensitivity analyses from more than 2 months to less than 2 days, while reducing the error in the final estimates of the quantities of interest, including model uncertainty factors. These technical performance improvements are crucial to the optimization of project resources such as schedule and budget and ultimately mission success

    Quantum state interrogation using a preshaped free electron wavefunction

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    We present a comprehensive theory for interrogation of the quantum state of a two-level system (TLS) based on a free-electron–bound-electron resonant interaction scheme. The scheme is based on free electrons, whose quantum electron wavefunction is preshaped or optically modulated by lasers in an electron microscope setup and then inelastically scattered by a quantum TLS target (e.g., atom, quantum dot, and crystal defect center) upon traversing in proximity to the target. Measurement of the postinteraction energy spectrum of the electrons probes and quantifies the full Bloch sphere parameters of a pre-excited TLS and enables coherent control of the qubit states. The exceptional advantage of this scheme over laser-based ones is atomic-scale spatial resolution of addressing individual TLS targets. Thus, this scheme opens horizons for electron microscopy in material interrogation and quantum information technology

    BASS. XXIX. The Near-infrared View of the Broad-line Region (BLR): The Effects of Obscuration in BLR Characterization

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    Virial black hole (BH) mass (MBH) determination directly involves knowing the broad-line region (BLR) clouds' velocity distribution, their distance from the central supermassive BH (R_(BLR)), and the virial factor (f). Understanding whether biases arise in M_(BH) estimation with increasing obscuration is possible only by studying a large (N > 100) statistical sample of obscuration-unbiased (hard) X-ray-selected active galactic nuclei (AGNs) in the rest-frame near-infrared (0.8–2.5 μm) since it penetrates deeper into the BLR than the optical. We present a detailed analysis of 65 local Burst Alert Telescope (BAT) selected Seyfert galaxies observed with Magellan/FIRE. Adding these to the near-infrared BAT AGN spectroscopic survey database, we study a total of 314 unique near-infrared spectra. While the FWHMs of Hα and near-infrared broad lines (He i, Paβ, Paα) remain unbiased to either BLR extinction or X-ray obscuration, the Hα broad-line luminosity is suppressed when N_H ≳ 10²¹ cm⁻², systematically underestimating M_(BH) by 0.23–0.46 dex. Near-infrared line luminosities should be preferred to Hα until N_H < 10²² cm⁻², while at higher obscuration a less-biased R_(BLR) proxy should be adopted. We estimate f for Seyfert 1 and 2 using two obscuration-unbiased M_(BH) measurements, i.e., the stellar velocity dispersion and a BH mass prescription based on near-infrared and X-ray, and find that the virial factors do not depend on the redshift or obscuration, but some broad lines show a mild anticorrelation with M_(BH). Our results show the critical impact obscuration can have on BLR characterization and the importance of the near-infrared and X-rays for a less-biased view of the BLR

    Structural Parameters and Possible Association of the Ultra-faint Dwarfs Pegasus III and Pisces II from Deep Hubble Space Telescope Photometry

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    We present deep Hubble Space Telescope (HST) photometry of the ultra-faint dwarf (UFD) galaxies Pegasus III (Peg III) and Pisces II (Psc II), two of the most distant satellites in the halo of the Milky Way (MW). We measure the structure of both galaxies, derive mass-to-light ratios with newly determined absolute magnitudes, and compare our findings to expectations from UFD-mass simulations. For Peg III, we find an elliptical half-light radius of aₕ = 1.′88_(-0.33)^(+0.42) (118₋₃₀⁺³¹ pc) and Mᵥ = -4.17_(-0.22)^(+0.19); for Psc II, we measure aₕ = 1.′31_(−0.09)^(+0.10) (69 ± 8 pc) and Mᵥ = −4.28_(-0.16)^(+0.19). We do not find any morphological features that indicate a significant interaction between the two has occurred, despite their close separation of only ∼40 kpc. Using proper motions (PMs) from Gaia early Data Release 3, we investigate the possibility of any past association by integrating orbits for the two UFDs in an MW-only and a combined MW and Large Magellanic Cloud (LMC) potential. We find that including the gravitational influence of the LMC is crucial, even for these outer-halo satellites, and that a possible orbital history exists where Peg III and Psc II experienced a close (∼10–20 kpc) passage about each other just over ∼1 Gyr ago, followed by a collective passage around the LMC (∼30–60 kpc) just under ∼1 Gyr ago. Considering the large uncertainties on the PMs and the restrictive priors imposed to derive them, improved PM measurements for Peg III and Psc II will be necessary to clarify their relationship. This would add to the rare findings of confirmed pairs of satellites within the Local Group

    The THESAN project: predictions for multitracer line intensity mapping in the epoch of reionization

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    Line intensity mapping (LIM) is rapidly emerging as a powerful technique to study galaxy formation and cosmology in the high-redshift Universe. We present LIM estimates of select spectral lines originating from the interstellar medium (ISM) of galaxies and 21 cm emission from neutral hydrogen gas in the Universe using the large volume, high resolution thesan reionization simulations. A combination of subresolution photoionization modelling for H ii regions and Monte Carlo radiative transfer calculations is employed to estimate the dust-attenuated spectral energy distributions (SEDs) of high-redshift galaxies (z ≳ 5.5). We show that the derived photometric properties such as the ultraviolet (UV) luminosity function and the UV continuum slopes match observationally inferred values, demonstrating the accuracy of the SED modelling. We provide fits to the luminosity–star formation rate relation (L–SFR) for the brightest emission lines and find that important differences exist between the derived scaling relations and the widely used low-z ones because the ISM of reionization era galaxies is generally less metal enriched than in their low-redshift counterparts. We use these relations to construct line intensity maps of nebular emission lines and cross-correlate with the 21 cm emission. Interestingly, the wavenumber at which the correlation switches sign (k_(transition)) depends heavily on the reionization model and to a lesser extent on the targeted emission line, which is consistent with the picture that k_(transition) probes the typical sizes of ionized regions. The derived scaling relations and intensity maps represent a timely state-of-the-art framework for forecasting and interpreting results from current and upcoming LIM experiments

    Fractionalization of subsystem symmetries in two dimensions

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    The fractionalization of global symmetry charges is a striking hallmark of topological quantum order. Here, we discuss the fractionalization of subsystem symmetries in two-dimensional topological phases. In line with previous no-go arguments, we show that subsystem symmetry fractionalization is not possible in many cases due to the additional rigid geometric structure of the symmetries. However, we identify a mechanism that allows fractionalization, involving global relations between macroscopically many symmetry generators. We find that anyons can fractionalize such relations, meaning that the total charge carried under all generators involved in the global relation is nontrivial, despite the fact that these generators multiply to the identity. We first discuss the general algebraic framework needed to characterize this type of fractionalization, and then explore this framework using a number of exactly solvable models with Z₂ topological order, including models having line and fractal symmetries. These models all showcase another necessary property of subsystem symmetry fractionalization: Fractionalized anyons must have restricted mobility when the symmetry is enforced, such that they are confined to a single line or point in the case of line and fractal symmetries, respectively. Looking forward, we expect that our identification of the importance of global relations in fractionalization will hold significance for the classification of phases with subsystem symmetries in all dimensions

    Geometrical properties of seismicity in California

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    The spatial geometry of seismicity encodes information about loading and failure processes, as well as properties of the underlying fault structure. Traditional approaches to characterizing geometrical attributes of seismicity rely on assumed locations and geometry of fault surfaces, particularly at depth, where resolution is overall quite poor. In this study, we develop an alternative approach to quantifying geometrical properties of seismicity using techniques from anisotropic point process theory. Our approach does not require prior knowledge about the underlying fault properties. We characterize the geometrical attributes of 32 distinct seismicity regions in California and introduce a simple four class classification scheme that covers the range of geometrical properties observed. Most of the regions classified as having localized seismicity are within northern California, while nearly all of the regions classified as having distributed seismicity are within southern California. In addition, we find that roughly 1 out of 4 regions exhibit orthogonal seismicity structures. The results of this study provide a foundation for future analyses of geometrical properties of seismicity and new observables to compare with numerical modelling studies

    On a gap in the proof of the generalised quantum Stein's lemma and its consequences for the reversibility of quantum resources

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    We show that the proof of the generalised quantum Stein's lemma [Brandão & Plenio, Commun. Math. Phys. 295, 791 (2010)] is not correct due to a gap in the argument leading to Lemma III.9. Hence, the main achievability result of Brandão & Plenio is not known to hold. This puts into question a number of established results in the literature, in particular the reversibility of quantum entanglement [Brandão & Plenio, Commun. Math. Phys. 295, 829 (2010); Nat. Phys. 4, 873 (2008)] and of general quantum resources [Brandão & Gour, Phys. Rev. Lett. 115, 070503 (2015)] under asymptotically resource non-generating operations. We discuss potential ways to recover variants of the newly unsettled results using other approaches

    Erosion Rate Measurements for DART Spacecraft Ion Propulsion System

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    The Double Asteroid Redirection Test (DART) spacecraft was developed to provide the first measurement for orbital deflection of an asteroid upon intentional impact. The NEXT ion engine is part of the mission, on its maiden voyage. As part of the pre-launch risk reduction, erosion characteristics of the extraction grid system were evaluated using laser measurements of sputtered molybdenum atoms over the envelope of potential throttle conditions for the mission. Erosion rate dependence on propellant flow rate as well as relative density and directionality of molybdenum sputter from grid center to edge were measured. Sputtered atoms were found to have average radial velocity directed toward the engine perimeter and increasing with radial distance. The relative contribution of source and facility background gas and other sources of accelerator grid current was examined as well as the influence of several engine operating parameters. Facility background gas was found to influence engine operation more than a wall-mounted pressure gauge and typical assumptions about ingestion would indicate. Far-field flux was estimated over the full angular range based on the near-field relative density and velocity results and relying on quartz crystal microbalance data at one location to fix absolute numbers everywhere. The results substantially deepen knowledge and understanding of the complex grid erosion process of the engine and its lifetime, as grid failure via erosion is the normal life limiter. Study results are also relevant to thruster–spacecraft integration issues such as molybdenum deposition rate on solar cells and other spacecraft surfaces

    Systematic KMTNet planetary anomaly search - V. Complete sample of 2018 prime-field

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    We complete the analysis of all 2018 prime-field microlensing planets identified by the Korea Microlensing Telescope Network (KMTNet) Anomaly Finder. Among the ten previously unpublished events with clear planetary solutions, eight are either unambiguously planetary or are very likely to be planetary in nature: OGLE-2018-BLG-1126, KMT-2018-BLG-2004, OGLE-2018-BLG-1647, OGLE-2018-BLG-1367, OGLE-2018-BLG-1544, OGLE-2018-BLG-0932, OGLE-2018-BLG-1212, and KMT-2018-BLG-2718. Combined with the four previously published new Anomaly Finder events and 12 previously published (or in preparation) planets that were discovered by eye, this makes a total of 24 2018 prime-field planets discovered or recovered by Anomaly Finder. Together with a paper in preparation on 2018 subprime planets, this work lays the basis for the first statistical analysis of the planet mass-ratio function based on planets identified in KMTNet data. By systematically applying the heuristic analysis to each event, we identified the small modification in their formalism that is needed to unify the so-called close-wide and inner-outer degeneracies

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