Nelson Mandela African Institution of Science and Technology

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    Mathematical models for the infectiology and cost-effectiveness of the control strategies for brucellosis

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    A Thesis Submitted in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Mathematical and Computer Sciences and Engineering of the Nelson Mandela African Institution of Science and TechnologyBrucellosis is a contagious zoonotic infection caused by Gram-negative bacteria of family Bru cellaceae and genus Brucella that affects humans and animals. The disease is of economic sig nificance, veterinary interest and a public health concern in most developing countries. Direct interaction among vulnerable and infectious animals or their tainted products represent the two substantial pathways for the infection conveyance. This study aimed at developing and analyz ing deterministic mathematical models for the infectiology and cost-effectiveness of Brucellosis control measures. The control mechanisms that were taken into consideration are vaccination of livestock, culling of seropositive animals by slaughtering, personal protection, and proper en vironmental hygiene and sanitation. Both analytical and numerical simulations are presented. Sensitivity analysis of the effective reproductive number revealed that the rates of livestock mor tality, recruitment, livestock to livestock transmission, vaccination and disease-driven culling are the most sensitive parameters and should be targeted in designing of the control strategies for the disease. Optimal control and cost-effectiveness analysis of the model disclosed that merging of personal protection, environmental hygiene and sanitation, progressive slaughter ing of seropositive livestock, and livestock vaccination significantly reduces infection spread in both humans and livestock at a lower cost. Additionally, seasonal weather variations have great impact on Brucellosis transmission dynamics in human, livestock and wild animals. Therefore, for the disease to be controlled or eradicated, this study recommends the timely implementation of control measures pursuant to fluctuations in disease transmissio

    Developing a context specific climate smart aquaculture framework for improving food security in Tanzania

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    A Thesis Submitted in Partial Fulfilment of the Requirements for the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Life Sciences of the Nelson Mandela African Institution of Science and TechnologyAquaculture has great potential to improve global food and nutrition security. However, due to the effect of climate changes and poor fish farming practices in some countries, it favors the accumulation of chemicals and disease-causing pathogens including bacteria, viruses, and parasites. This study, therefore, aimed to assess the adequacy of existing aquaculture practices and evaluated the levels of heavy metals and the prevalence of parasites and bacteria pathogens. The information was used to design a context-specific climate-smart fish pond and fish feed for improving fish production in Tanzania. The study was conducted in Arusha and Morogoro regions, five sites from each region were selected for the study. A total of 130 fish farmers each with one fish pond were selected for interview and sample collection. The questionnaire was used to gather information on the existing aquaculture management practices. Pond water, sediments, fish feed, and fish samples were collected for the analysis of heavy metals, parasites, and bacteria pathogens. Polarized energy dispersive x-ray fluorescence spectrometer was used for heavy metal analysis, a microscope was used to observe parasites present in fish samples, and analytical profile index test kits were used to identify bacteria pathogens. The results showed that farmers lacked proper knowledge of formulating high-quality fish feed and/or safe pond water management; these have a huge impact on overall fish health and consumer safety. The most prevalent parasites in Arusha and Morogoro were Acanthocephalus sp (49.2 & 50.7%) and Diplostomum sp (36.9 & 38. 4%). Aeromonas sobria was the most prevalent fish bacteria found in Arusha (35.3%) and Morogoro (49.2%). Chromium was the most accumulated heavy metal in the fish muscles sampled in Arusha (4.61 – 9.50 mg/kg) and Morogoro (2.53 – 5.57 mg/kg). In this study, we designed and constructed a climate-smart pond. The pond has the potential to support food security while reducing vulnerability to long-term climate change impacts. Google Sheets Program was used to formulate a higher quality insect-based fish feed. The quality and efficiency of the formulated feed were quantified by measuring growth performance and feed utilization. Fish were observed to have growth improvement and feed conversion efficiency throughout the experimental period. The use of the climate-smart fish pond and formulated feed is recommended in improving fish production and ensuring consumer safety

    Development of ta2o5 electrochemically reduced graphene oxide nanocomposite electochemical sensor for oxytetracycline detection in Milk

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    A Dissertation Submitted in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Master’s in Life Sciences of the Nelson Mandela African Institution of Science and TechnologyVarious kinds of antimicrobials are being used in the veterinary sector for therapeutic and growth promotion purposes. Significant amounts of antimicrobial residues are released in the milk and exert harmful effects such as allergic reactions, carcinogenicity, mutagenicity and teratogenicity as well as disturbance of normal flora in the gastrointestinal tract. Thus, quantification of these residues is crucial. A number of conventional detection methods that are in application, which use chromatographic, immunological and spectroscopic techniques are sensitive, selective and used for confirmatory test. However, most of them are costly, time consuming, laborious and cannot provide onsite results. In addition, most of the rapid detection tests in the market are qualitative and non-confirmatory. Hence, for quick, portable, sensitive and cost effective detection of antimicrobials, novel detection tools are needed. In this study, novel tantalum pentoxide-electrochemically reduced graphene oxide nanocomposites modified glassy carbon electrode (Ta2O5-ErGO/GCE) was developed for the detection of oxytetracycline in milk. The composition, structure and morphology of GO, Ta2O5, and Ta2O5-ErGO were characterized by X-ray diffraction and scanning electron microscopy. Oxytetracycline electrochemical behavior on the bare GCE, GO/GCE, ErGO/GCE, and Ta2O5-ErGO/GCE was studied by cyclic voltammetry. The Ta2O5-ErGO/GCE showed 2 fold increased magnification of the oxytetracycline oxidation signal in comparison to GCE, GO/GCE, ErGO/GCE electrodes. Under the optimum conditions, the currents were proportional to the oxytetracycline concentration in the 0.2 to 10 μM range with 0.095 μM as low detection limit. The preparation of Ta2O5-ErGO/GCE in the current work provides an outlook for detecting ultra-trace oxytetracycline in milk

    Corruption dynamics in Tanzania: Modeling the effects of control strategies

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    A Dissertation Submitted in Partial Fulfilment of the Requirements for the Degree of Master’s in Mathematical and Computer Science and Engineering of the Nelson Mandela African Institution of Science and TechnologyCorruption can be defined generally as taking bribes, forcing out benefit, receiving money or gifts as favour in exchange for doing one’s job. Worldwide corruption is considered a problem that affects many countries in the world currently. Individuals loses their rights, lower community confidence in public authorities, termination of employment, absence of peace and security and misallocation of resources. Despite various measures which have been taken by different countries to control corruption, the problem still persists. The negative impacts of corruption are well known; however, little has been done on mathematical modelling on corruption, particularly the inclusion of mass education and religious teaching as a strategy for controlling corruption spread. In this study, the mathematical model for the dynamics of corruption in the absence and presence of these control measures are presented and analysed to determine which parameter are very sensitive to the spread of corruption and how will these control strategies help to reduce corruption. Most parameters used in this work are from different literature and some were assumed. The next generation matrix method is used to compute the basic and effective reproduction number which used to study the corruption dynamics. Sensitivity analysis results shows that, parameters of mass education and religious teaching are the most sensitive to the control of corruption. Also, stability analysis for equilibrium states by linearization, Lyapunov function and use of the Lassalle’s invariance principle was derived and the results shows that the corruption free equilibrium is locally and globally asymptotically stable when 0 < 1 and endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable when 0 > 1. The model was simulated by using Runge-Kutta 4 th order in MATLAB and the results depict that when mass education and religious teaching are combined together as a control measures, corruption within the country is successfully controlled in a short period of time. The study recommends to invest more in provision of mass education to the citizens through creating general awareness to all and including it in education curriculum from pre-primary to university as well as to use religious leaders to teach their followers seriously about the impact of corruption. The numerical simulation results agreed with the analytical results

    Characterization and effectiveness determination of indigenous rhizobia nodulating lablab (lablab purpureus) in Babati district, Tanzania

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    A Dissertation Submitted in Partial Fulfilment of the Requirements for the Degree of Master’s in Life Sciences of the Nelson Mandela African Institution of Science and TechnologyThe soil samples from fifteen villages which grow Lablab in Babati district were collected and used for planting Lablab in experimental pot to trap indigenous rhizobia. At a flowering stage, the plants were harvested and root nodules were collected for rhizobia isolation using Yeast Extract Mannitol Agar (YEMA). Under aseptic conditions, twenty-two isolates were obtained and characterized by morphological, biochemical and physiological characteristics. Furthermore, PCR amplification of 16S rDNA and symbiotic effectiveness were also evaluated. The results showed that, rhizobia were fast and slow growing in YEMA after 4 - 7 days of incubation. In YEMA with Congo red one isolates absorbed the color, while, physiologically all isolates were alkaline tolerant, however susceptible to acidity and sodium chloride above 3%. High diversity among isolates was observed in dendrogram at 70% similarity level by forming two groups with seven clusters. Only 18 isolates out of 22 were amplified. In testing symbiotic effectiveness, all 22 isolates induced nodules in Lablab, interestingly some were effective than commercial inoculants. Most of isolates recorded relative symbiotic effectiveness above 100, the highest was 193 for BR4. Isolates BR4, BR13, BR16, BR5 and BR18 were effective than other isolates and commercial strains. The results implied presence of diverse and effective indigenous rhizobia nodulating Lablab in Tanzania, also highlights their potential to be used for inoculating Lablab instead of commercial inoculants. To recommend characterization by sequencing to identify their genetic groups and field effectiveness evaluation is needed in order to identify more effective isolates for inoculants production

    Plant competition as an ecosystem-based management tool for suppressing Parthenium hysterophorus in rangelands

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    This research article published by ElsevierAbstract The exotic invasive plant pathenium hystephorus is invading rangelands in Africa while causing negative effects on the biodiversity, environment, economy, and human and animal health because eco-friendly control methods are lacking. We conducted experiments to investigate the suppressive effects of forage legume plant species; desmodium introtrum(Fabaceae),lablab purpureus (Fabaceae), and medicago sativa (Fabaceae) in suppressing the growth of pathenium hystephorus pathenium hystephorus growth was suppressed when grown with fodder plant species at high density. However, the effect was mediated by the presence of lablab purpureus. Our work highlights the importance of competitive native plant diversity and density in rangeland management. Moreover, this control method could be part of an integrated control toolkit being deployed in a community-based approach in other countries

    Allelopathic Effects of Sphaeranthus suaveolens on Seed Germination and Seedling Growth of Phaseolus vulgaris and Oryza sativa

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    This research article published by Hindawi, 2021Weeds with allelopathic effect have been reported to cause significant damage in agriculture particularly in smallholder farming systems. ,is study assessed the allelopathic effects of different concentrations of crude extract of a noxious weed Sphaeranthus suaveolens on seed germination and seedling growth of Phaseolus vulgaris and Oryza sativa by examining germination, seedling height, and total chlorophyll content after seven and fourteen days of crude extract treatment, respectively. Results showed that seed germination and seedling growth were significantly (p < 0.001) decreased with increase in concentration of crude extract, signifying concentration dependency. Highest concentration (100%) of S. suaveolens crude extracts resulted in 90% and 100% inhibition of P. vulgaris and O. sativa seed germination, respectively. Chlorophyll content, fresh weight, and root and shoot length of both P. vulgaris and O. sativa were also significantly (p < 0.001) affected by highest concentration (100%) of S. suaveolens crude extracts. Results from this study suggest that the extract of S. suaveolens contains water-soluble allelochemicals which significantly reduce growth and productivity of P. vulgaris and O. sativa

    A mobile application used for the implementation of home based care: a case study of COVID-19 in Uganda

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    A Project Report Submitted in Partial Fulfilment of the Requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Embedded and Mobile Systems of the Nelson Mandela African Institution of Science and TechnologyWith the outbreak of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) the health sector around the world has been faced with many challenges. This has created a need for alternative methods of offering treatment; and among them is Home Based Care (HBC). Home Based Care is a health system where patients are offered treatment in their localities or homes. The main objective under this project was to develop a mobile system application to facilitate and support monitoring of patients in Home Based Care so as to handle pandemics like COVID 19, and at the same time meant to be used by Village Health Teams (VHTs) to capture information from patients under treatment in their localities. The evolutionary prototyping methodology was used to develop the application system. Furthermore, both qualitative and quantitative data collection methods such as document review, interviews, observation methods and questionnaires were used to collect data about this research project. At last, a government Home Based Care application to facilitate the handling of pandemics like COVID-19 was developed. It shows that majority of the respondents believe the system will be able to reduce or solve the identified problem in this dissertation. Majority of the users and those who got to use the application agree that the application is easy to use and navigate. The respondents also expressed their confidence in the application’s ability to enable the implementation of Home Based Care as an alternative to offering health care in situations of pandemics like COVID 19. In this project, we carried out unit testing, integration testing, and system testing and user acceptance testing as a means of carrying out software validation. The developed application passed successively all of the tests meaning that the developed application perform as it was expected. Based on the scope of this project, many of the features were not included in this prototype. Some of the known future works will be to add an admin account which will be managing the application. This account will be able to oversee all the VHT Officer accounts and will also be able to monitor the patient’s progres

    Spatio-Temporal Patterns of Increasing Illegal Livestock Grazing over Three Decades at Moyowosi Kigosi Game Reserve, Tanzania

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    This research article was published by MDPI, 2021The global increase of livestock has caused illegal intrusion of livestock into protected areas. Until now, hotspot areas of illegal grazing have rarely been mapped, long-term monitoring data are missing, and little is known about the drivers of illegal grazing. We localized hotspots of illegal grazing and identified factors that influenced spatio-temporal patterns of illegal grazing over three decades in the Moyowosi Kigosi Game Reserve (MKGR), Tanzania. We used questionnaires with local pastoralists (N = 159), georeferenced aerial survey data and ranger reports from 1990–2019 to understand the reasons for illegal grazing in the area. We found that hotspots of illegal grazing occurred initially within 0–20 km of the boundary (H (3) = 137, p < 0.001; (H (3) = 32, p < 0.001) and encroached further into the protected area with time (H (3) = 11.3, p = 0.010); (H (2) = 59.0, p < 0.001). Further, livestock herd sizes decreased with increasing distance from the boundary (R = −0.20, p = 0.020; R = −0.40, p = 0.010). Most interviewees (81%) claimed that they face challenges of reduced foraging land in the wet season, caused by increasing land used for cultivation, which drives them into the MKGR to feed their livestock. We conclude that there is spatio-temporal consistency in the illegal livestock intrusion over three decades, and hotspot areas are located along the boundary of the MKGR. We suggest focusing patrols at these hotspot areas, especially during the wet season, to use limited law enforcement resources effectively

    Climate and anthropogenic footprints implications on the surface and groundwater dynamics on the southern slopes of Mount Kilimanjaro, Tanzania

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    A Thesis Submitted in Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Hydrology and Water Resources Engineering of the Nelson Mandela African Institution of Science and TechnologyClimate and land use/cover changes impact water resources all over the world. This study aimed at developing a conceptual understanding and management of the impacts of present and future climate change and human activities on surface and groundwater resources on the Kikafu-Weruweru-Karanga (KWK) watershed. The methodology includes simulation of the present and prediction of the future hydrological fluxes and streamflow prediction under changing climate and land use/cover. Calibration and validation of the hydrological model, Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) showed satisfactory performance (Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE)) > 0.50). A total of 22 parameters were used, and Curve number for soil moisture condition II, Baseflow alpha-factor, and average slope steepness were the most sensitive parameters. Future climate data for two Representative Concentration Pathway (RCPs) from Regional Atmospheric Climate Model -22T and Climate Limited Area Modeling 4 models were used. Land use/cover (LULC) maps were generated by classifying time-series (1996, 2006, and 2018) satellite images, selected spatial metrics were used to predict the LULC changes for the next decade using 2018 as a base year. Furthermore, the implications of selected staple crops production over the next decade was predicted. Simulated LULC shows expansion in built-up (by 32.55% and agriculture (by 39.52%) areas from 2018 to 2030, and the forest area is projected to shrink by 6.37%. However, the results suggest that farm size plays a minor role in increasing crop production. Expansion in cultivation land and built-up area attributed to the changes in water yield, surface runoff, evapotranspiration (ET), and groundwater flow. Rock-water interaction chiefly controls the groundwater quality in the presence of HCO3 enrichment and mixed CaNaHCO3 water types. The δ2H and δ18O values confirmed that recycled water is the primary recharge means, and glacier melts on Mt. Kilimanjaro sustains downstream water availability during the dry season. Furthermore, temperatures were projected to increase by 0.2ºC/year, and a decrease in precipitation was projected up to 2100 in both highland and lowland areas. The findings suggested the need to intensify the production per unit area rather than expanding the farm size. Also, improving the vegetation cover on the hillside and abandoned land area could help to reduce the direct surface runoff, and floods recurring in the area. The findings of this study are useful to facilitate sustainable water resources management in the watershed and other watersheds with or without modification

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