Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research

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    334 research outputs found

    Incomplete contracts, incentives and economic power

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    This paper formalizes ideas from classical and radical political economy on task allocation and technology adoption under capitalism. A few previous studies have attempted this, but the framework and results in this paper are different. I model labor contracts that are incomplete owing to unforeseen/indescribable contingencies, leading to Pareto-improving renegotiation and a hold-up problem. Given path dependence, the allocation is sub-optimal, with the extent of inefficiency depending upon the degree of incompleteness. This model captures insights from the above literature on the microeconomic roots of inefficiency and power. It also provides a concrete setting where indescribable contingencies do (or don’t) matter - a much-debated issue

    Conflict resolution through mutuality: Lessons from bayesian updating

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    If priors are deterministic (zero or unity) and conditional evidence is uncertain (lies between zero and one) then Bayesian updating will lead to posteriors that are the same as priors. This in a sense explains the persistence of fundamentalist belief. Under such a belief system, only if conditional evidence is deterministic and diametrically opposite to that of the prior then a process of change can set in. Conflict resolution is possible through dialogues that calls for mutual respect and allows reasonable pluralism – a Rawlsian prerequisite. If interaction is the basis then self-defeating scenarios can be avoided by giving space to others. Thus, in the political sphere one has to be accommodative

    Liquidity considerations in estimating implied volatility

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    Option markets have significant variation in liquidity across different option series. Illiquidity reduces the informativeness of the price. Price information for illiquid options is more noisy, and thus the implied volatilities based on these prices are more noisy. In this paper, we propose a scheme to estimate implied volatility which reduces the importance attached to illiquid options. We find that this liquidity weighted scheme outperforms conventional schemes such as the traditional vxo, or vega weights, and volatility elasticity weights

    When do stock futures dominate price discovery?

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    Stock futures offer leveraged positions and are expected to attract informed traders. However, many researchers have found that the information share of the stock futures is surprisingly small; the equity spot market appears to play a large role in price discovery. In this paper, we investigate this phenomenon and offer two findings. First, liquidity of the stock futures plays a major role in influencing price discovery. The securities where the spot market plays a major role tend to be those with illiquid stock futures. The enhanced transactions costs appear to counterbalance the gains from leveraged trading. In addition, when large price movements take place, the stock futures appear to play a much more important role. These findings help fill out our understanding of the role of the equity spot and single stock futures markets in price discove

    Food, hunger and ethics

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    Management of hunger has to look into issues of availability, accessibility and adequacy. Posing it from an ethical perspective the paper argues out in favour of right to food. But, for this to happen, the state has to come up with an appropriate and effective bill on food and nutrition security, address the issue of inadequate provisioning of storage space by state agencies leading to rotting of foodgrains - a criminal waste when people are dying of hunger, and rely on a bottom-up approach involving the community that complements the top-down administrative structure to identify poor and reduce both exclusion and inclusion errors in targeting

    Relative prices, the price level and inflation: Effects of asymmetric and sticky adjustment

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    The paper examines how relative price shocks can affect the price level and then inflation. Using Indian data we find: (i) price increases exceed price decreases. Aggregate inflation depends on the distribution of relative price changes—inflation rises when the distribution is skewed to the right, (ii) such distribution based measures of supply shocks perform better than traditional measures, such as prices of energy and food. They moderate the price puzzle, whereby a rise in policy rates increases inflation, and are significant in estimations of New Keynesian aggregate supply, (iii) an average Indian firm changes prices about once in a year; the estimated Calvo parameter implies half of Indian firms reset their prices in any period, and 66 percent of firms are forward looking in their price setting. The implication of these estimated real and nominal price rigidities for policy are drawn out

    Size-class and returns to cultivation in India: A Cold case reopened

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    This paper investigates the relationship between returns to cultivation per hectare and size-class of land cultivated in India, using unit level data from the 59th round National Sample Survey, 2003. The analysis is done separately for ‘kharif’ and ‘rabi’ - for total value of cultivation from all crops at the all India level. The empirical evidence rejects the null hypothesis of no relationship and points to the existence of an inverse association. We argue that the efficiency of the small-holders has to be taken with a pinch of salt because their low absolute returns brings into focus the question of their livelihood sustainability which is further aggravated on account of higher unit costs. Being the first exercise in a series of proposed explorations into disaggregated analyses across states, and for specific crops, it opens up the classic debate on farm size and productivity in the 21st century

    How is financial regulation different for micro-finance?

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    What is the role of nancial regulation in the eld of micro- nance? This paper identifies two features of micro- finance which call for unique treatment in policy considerations as compared to policy thinking in the mainstream body of financial law. These features are credit recovery and the credit risk of the MFI, when credit access is enabled through the structure of the joint liability group. The paper goes on to o er draft law which embeds a regulatory treatment of microfinance that flows from this analysis

    How much should you own? Cross-ownership and privatization

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    This paper investigates the effects of cross-ownership on optimal privatization, and vice-versa, in mixed duopoly. It shows that cross-ownership is profitable to the private firm only if the level of privatization of the public firm is sufficiently high. In equilibrium, cross-ownership does not take place even if there is partial privatization. However, the possibility of cross-ownership significantly limits the socially optimal level of privatization in most of the situations. Moreover, it demonstrates that full nationalization is socially optimal, in case of sufficiently convex identical cost functions and homogeneous goods. These results have strong implications to both divestment and competition policies

    Foodgrains policy and management in India: Responding to today’s challenges and opportunities

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    Funded by International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), New Delhi, March 200

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