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A matching perspective on foreign direct investment
No full textA MATCHING PERSPECTIVE ON FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
A matching perspective on foreign direct investment (1)
Acknowledgements (3)
Abstract English (4)
Abstract Deutsch (5)
Table of Contents (6)
1. Thesis Introduction (9)
Table 1: Chapter Overview (14)
2. Chapter I - Global Entry: Reconceptualizing Multinational Investments as Two-Sided Matches Between Governments and Firms (18)
2.1. Chapter Introduction (18)
2.2. Literature Review: The Location of Multinational Investments (22)
2.2.1. Location Choices as Unilateral Decisions by Multinational Firms (22)
2.2.2. Bargaining between Multinationals and Governments (23)
2.2.3. The Role of Governments in Regulating Multinational Investments (25)
2.3. Theory: Multinational Investments as Two-Sided Matches (27)
2.4. Empirics: Discrete Choice Models Versus Matching Models in Predicting the Location of Multinational Investments (33)
2.4.1. Two-Sided Matching versus One-Sided (Unilateral) Estimation Models (34)
Figure 1: Schematic of the simulated models, according to the underlying data formation mechanism and statistical estimation method. (34)
Figure 2: Simulation Results. (36)
2.4.2. Discrete Choice and Matching Models in the Global Power Generation Market (37)
Figure 3: Comparison of simulation and multinational investment data. (43)
Table 2: Results: Performance comparison of all models (44)
Table 3: Confusion matrices: Power generation data. Predicted and actual realized and unrealized investments. (44)
2.5. Chapter Discussion and Conclusion (45)
2.5.1. Contributions (46)
2.5.2. Limitations and Avenues for Future Research (48)
3. Chapter II - Structural Bargaining Power in MNE-State Bargaining: A Matching Approach (50)
3.1. Chapter Introduction (50)
3.2. Literature Review: MNE-State Bargaining (52)
3.3. Theory: A Matching Approach to MNE-State Bargaining (54)
Figure 4: Visualization of different solutions to MNE state bargaining. (55)
3.3.1. Structural Bargaining Power in FDI Markets (57)
3.3.2. Determinants of Structural Bargaining Power: Industry Size and Concentration (57)
3.3.3. Determinants of Structural Bargaining Power: Industry Heterogeneity (58)
3.4. Stage 1: Estimating Structural Bargaining Power (59)
3.4.1. Estimation Approach (59)
Figure 5: Effects of heterogeneity on structural bargaining power. (60)
3.4.2. Estimating Production Functions (60)
Table 4: Constructs used in estimation. (63)
3.4.3. Calculating Payoff Intervals (63)
Figure 6: Estimates of firm structural bargaining power with trendline. (64)
3.5. Stage 2: Testing the Determinants of Structural Bargaining Power (64)
3.5.1. Hypothesis Testing Approach (64)
3.5.2. Hypothesis Test Results (65)
Table 5: Stage 2 estimation of hypothesized effects on country structural bargaining power. (66)
3.6. Chapter Discussion and Conclusion (67)
3.6.1. Contributions (68)
3.6.2. Limitations and Avenues for Future Research (69)
4. chapter III - A Value Capture Theory of Foreign Direct Investment (71)
4.1. Chapter Introduction (71)
4.2. Literature Review: Strategic Interactions of FDI (73)
4.2.1. Oligopolistic Reaction Theory: Industry Structure and Strategic Interactions (74)
4.2.2. Competitive Dynamics: Firm Factors and Strategic Interactions (75)
4.2.3. Strategic Interactions as an Outcome of Firm and Industry Factors (76)
4.2.4. Open Questions Related to Strategic Interactions in FDI (78)
4.3. Theory: A Value Capture Theory of FDI (79)
4.3.1. Formulating a Biform Game of FDI (81)
4.3.2. An Agent-Based Simulation (83)
Table 6: Description and randomization of parameters used in the agent-based simulation. (85)
4.4. Simulation Results: Strategic Choices for Firms in FDI Markets (88)
4.4.1. Strategy 1: Co-Specialization or Generalist (88)
Figure 7: Average firm performance vs. share of specialists by firm development strategy type. (90)
Figure 8: Moderation effect of structural bargaining power on the firm development strategy dynamics, at three levels of structural bargaining power. (91)
4.4.2. Strategy 2: Investments in Learning (92)
Figure 9: Moderation effect of 𝑃𝑎𝑟.𝐷𝐶 on the firm development strategy dynamics, at three levels of 𝑃𝑎𝑟.𝐷𝐶. (93)
Figure 10: Quiver plot of the strength and direction of firm incentives to shift their own 𝐼𝑛𝑡𝐵𝑖𝑎𝑠 depending on the average 𝐼𝑛𝑡𝐵𝑖𝑎𝑠 in the market. (94)
Figure 11: Moderation effect of structural bargaining power on the firm learning strategy dynamics, at three levels of structural bargaining power. (95)
Figure 12: Moderation effect of 𝑃𝑎𝑟.𝑇𝑟𝑎𝑛𝑠𝑓𝑒𝑟 on the firm learning strategy dynamics, at three levels of 𝑃𝑎𝑟.𝑇𝑟𝑎𝑛𝑠𝑓𝑒𝑟. (96)
4.4.3. Strategy 3: Expanding search capabilities (97)
Figure 13: Quiver plot of the strength and direction of firm incentives to shift their own 𝑆𝑒𝑎𝑟𝑐ℎ𝐼𝑛𝑡 depending on the average 𝑆𝑒𝑎𝑟𝑐ℎ𝐼𝑛𝑡 in the market. (98)
Figure 14: Moderation effect of structural bargaining power on the firm search strategy dynamics, at three levels of structural bargaining power. (99)
Figure 15: Moderation effect of 𝑃𝑎𝑟.𝐷𝐶 on the firm search strategy dynamics, at three levels of 𝑃𝑎𝑟.𝐷𝐶. (100)
4.5. Chapter Discussion and Conclusion (101)
4.5.1. Managerial Implications (101)
4.5.2. Limitations (102)
5. Contributions and Conclusion (103)
6. References (107)
7. Appendices (117)
7.1. Appendix A – Testing the Correspondence Between Estimation Method and the Characteristics of Real-World Data (117)
7.2. Appendix B - Regression Results for the Global Power Plant Market (121)
Table B1: Regression results: Unrestricted models (Split number 1) (123)
7.3. Appendix C - Segmenting the Data on Multinational Investments in the Global Power Generation Market (124
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