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    Diversity Buffers Winegrowing Regions from Climate Change Losses

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    Agrobiodiversitythe variation within agricultural plants, animals, and practicesis often suggested as a way to mitigate the negative impacts of climate change on crops [S. A. Wood et al., Trends Ecol. Evol. 30, 531539 (2015)]. Recently, increasing research and attention has focused on exploiting the intraspecific genetic variation within a crop [Hajjar et al., Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 123, 261270 (2008)], despite few relevant tests of how this diversity modifies agricultural forecasts. Here, we quantify how intraspecific diversity, via cultivars, changes global projections of growing areas. We focus on a crop that spans diverse climates, has the necessary records, and is clearly impacted by climate change: winegrapes (predominantly Vitis vinifera subspecies vinifera). We draw on long-term French records to extrapolate globally for 11 cultivars (varieties) with high diversity in a key trait for climate change adaptationphenology. We compared scenarios where growers shift to more climatically suitable cultivars as the climate warms or do not change cultivars. We find that cultivar diversity more than halved projected losses of current winegrowing areas under a 2 C warming scenario, decreasing areas lost from 56 to 24%. These benefits are more muted at higher warming scenarios, reducing areas lost by a third at 4 C (85% versus 58%). Our results support the potential of in situ shifting of cultivars to adapt agriculture to climate changeincluding in major winegrowing regionsas long as efforts to avoid higher warming scenarios are successful

    Mechanics-Based Modeling Approach for Rapid Prediction of Low Velocity Impact Damage in Composite Laminates

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    A mechanics-based modeling approach is developed to rapidly predict damage in polymer matrix composites resulting from a low velocity impact event. The approach is incorporated into a computer code that provides an efficient means to assess the damage resistance for a range of material systems, layup configurations, and impact scenarios. It is envisioned that the developed approach will aid in early design and analysis of composite structures where sizing and layup decisions must be made, and evaluating the feasibility of a large number of laminate configurations using numerical approaches such as finite element analysis (FEA) is prohibitively expensive. Therefore, the goal of the modeling approach is to predict the impact damage size given the laminate configuration and impact scenario. This information can then be used to determine the residual strength of the material. To be useful in such a context, the tool is designed to run quickly (<2 minutes) to allow a large number of design cases to be investigated. The results presented demonstrate that the model is capable of efficiently predicting low velocity impact damage size, shape, and location within an acceptable accuracy suitable for preliminary design and analysis of composite structures

    Face- and Cell-Averaged Nodal-Gradient Approach to Cell-Centered Finite-Volume Method on Mixed Grids

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    In this paper, the averaged nodal-gradient approach previously developed for triangular grids is extended to mixed triangular-quadrilateral grids. It is shown that the face- averaged approach leads to deteriorated iterative convergence on quadrilateral grids. To develop a convergent solver, we consider cell-averaging instead of face-averaging for quadri- lateral cells. We show that the cell-averaged approach leads to a convergent solver and can be efficiently combined with the face-averaged approach on mixed grids. The method is demonstrated for various inviscid and viscous problems from low to high Mach numbers on two-dimensional mixed grids

    Identification of Anomalous Eucrites and Diogenites by Multivariable Discriminant Analysis

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    Howardite, eucrite and diogenite clan (HED) is the largest magmatic achondrite group and has been suggested to be derived from asteroid (4) Vesta (e.g., [1]). Previous geochemical studies have suggested HEDs were generated by asteroid melting followed by crystallization, metamorphism, and impact [1-6]. However, numerous eucrites and diogenites have anomalous compositional, isotopic or petrological characteristics compared to the norm. This diversity might indicate more complex magma processes on the parent asteroid, or they could be linked to different parental asteroids (e.g., [5]). The former case would imply that the parent asteroid is more heterogenous than currently thought, and that our petrologic models are too simple. The latter case would increase the number of asteroids known to have formed mafic crusts, and would allow for petrological comparisons across numerous bodies. We apply multivariable discrimination analysis (MDA) to a large database of HED pyroxene analyses. This technique allows all elemental information to be considered simultaneously to facilitate identification of groupings, trends, and outliers within the dataset

    Mars Ascent Vehicle Solid Propulsion Configuration

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    As part of a Mars Sample Return (MSR) campaign, two Mars Ascent Vehicle (MAV) configurations have been designed in parallel. Each ascent vehicle configuration has a different propulsion system, which ultimately leads to two unique vehicle designs. As part of a Preliminary Architecture Assessment (PAA), these vehicle designs were developed to the same level of maturity in order to inform the selection of one of the vehicles as the point of departure design for the campaign. The selection will be made in November 2019. Although the initial MSR architecture called for a hybrid-based propulsion MAV featuring solid wax fuel with liquid oxidizer, a configuration using more traditional solid propulsion was developed as an additional risk mitigation option. Though lacking in the single stage to orbit (SSTO) and throttle flexibility of a hybrid configuration, a solid configuration vehicle allows a simpler design with significantly longer flight heritage and higher Technology Readiness Level (TRL). This paper describes the design of the solid propulsion configuration. An additional paper will be published describing the design of the hybrid propulsion configuration. The solid propulsion configuration MAV was developed in 2019 by NASA Marshall Space Flight Center (MSFC) in association with NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL). It features two stages with a modified STAR-17 motor for the second stage and a traditional electromechanical actuator Thrust Vector Controller (TVC). The vehicle was designed to deliver approximately 0.47kg of Martian geological samples to a circular orbit at Mars of 343km at a 25 inclination. Although solid motor designs in general are at a relatively high TRL, the integrated vehicle subsystems that operate in conjunction with these propulsion elements do not typically operate in a Martian environment, which in this application can get as cold as -40C. The PAA advanced the maturity of these subsystems by performing detailed design and analysis on the vehicle with respect to structures and mechanisms, Guidance/Navigation/Control (GNC) systems, avionics, Reaction Control System (RCS), TVC, thermal environments, and advanced Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD). This paper will summarize the results of these studies

    NASA's Interests in Bioregenerative Life Support

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    An overview of NASA's research in bioregenerative life support will be presented to a college class at the University of Guelph. The talk will review the use of plants for the production of food, oxygen and CO2 removal for life support systems for future space travel

    The Production and Potential Detection of Hexamethylenetetramine-Methanol in Space

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    Numerous laboratory studies of astrophysical ice analogues have shown that their exposure to ionizing radiation leads to the production of large numbers of new, more complex compounds, many of which are of astrobiological interest. We show here that the irradiation of astrophysical ice analogues containing H2O, CH3OH, CO, and NH3 yields quantities of hexamethylenetetramine-methanol (hereafter HMT-methanol; C7N4H14O) that are easily detectible in the resulting organic residues. This molecule differs from simple HMT, which is known to be abundant in similar ice photolysis residues, by the replacement of a peripheral H atom with a CH2OH group. As with HMT, HMT-methanol is likely to be an amino acid precursor. HMT has tetrahedral (T(d)) symmetry, whereas HMT-methanol has C1 symmetry. We report the computed expected infrared spectra for HMT and HMT-methanol obtained using ab initio quantum chemistry methods and show that there is a good match between the observed and computed spectra for regular HMT. Since HMT-methanol lacks the high symmetry of HMT, it produces rotational transitions that could be observed at longer wavelengths, although establishing the exact positions of these transitions may be challenging. It is likely that HMT-methanol represents an abundant member of a larger family of functionalized HMT molecules that may be present in cold astrophysical environments

    Thermodynamic Measurements Using the Knudsen Cell Technique

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    The Knudsen cell technique has been used for over a century and is a valuable tool for measurement of vapor pressures and thermodynamic properties. It is based on a small enclosure (~1 cm long x 1 cm diameter) in which a condensed phase/vapor equilibria can be established. A small (<1 mm) orifice on the cell allows sampling of the vapor via a variety of techniques including weight loss, torsion effusion, target collection, and mass spectrometry. Many excellent measurements based on these methods have been reported. However in order to obtain reliable measurements, a variety of factors must be considered. They include proper cell material selection, accurate and uniform temperature control and measurement, and proper sampling of the vapor. Each of these factors are discussed in detail in this chapter. Typically these studies are conducted at high temperatures and it is a challenge to select an inert container material. Recommended materials are discussed and in some cases the container may be used as part of the system under study. Temperature control and measurement is perhaps the most important issue. In most systems, the furnace must be compact yet there can be no temperature gradient in the cell. Temperatures are measured with either a thermocouple or pyrometer and the relative advantages of each are discussed. Sampling method considerations depend on the particular technique. It is essential that all of the vapor or a representative portion of the vapor be sampled. The distribution of the effusate from a Knudsen cell is discussed and sampling positions discussed. Mass spectrometry is often used to study the effusing vapor and the relations between ion current and vapor pressure are discussed

    Mars Science Helicopter Conceptual Design

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    Robotic planetary aerial vehicles increase the range of terrain that can be examined, compared to traditional landers and rovers, and have more near-surface capability than orbiters. Aerial mobility is a promising possibility for planetary exploration as it reduces the challenges that difficult obstacles pose to ground vehicles. The first use of a rotorcraft for a planetary mission will be in 2021, when the Mars Helicopter technology demonstrator will be deployed from the Mars 2020 rover. The Jet Propulsion Laboratory and NASA Ames Research Center are exploring possibilities for a Mars Science Helicopter, a second-generation Mars rotorcraft with the capability of conducting science investigations independently of a lander or rover (although this type of vehicle could also be used assist rovers or landers in future missions). This report describes the conceptual design of Mars Science Helicopters. The design process began with coaxial-helicopter and hexacopter configurations, with a payload in the range of two to three kilograms and an overall vehicle mass of approximately twenty kilograms. Initial estimates of weight and performance were based on the capabilities of the Mars Helicopter. Rotorcraft designs for Mars are constrained by the dimensions of the aeroshell for the trip to the planet, requiring attention to the aircraft packaging in order to maximize the rotor dimensions and hence overall performance potential. Aerodynamic performance optimization was conducted, particularly through airfoils designed specifically for the low Reynolds number and high Mach number inherent in operation on Mars. The final designs show a substantial capability for science operations on Mars: a 31 kg hexacopter that fits within a 2.5 m diameter aeroshell could carry a 5 kg payload for 10 min of hover time or over a range of 5 km

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