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LEAVES: Lofted Environmental and Atmospheric Venus Sensors
Get PDFLEAVES (Lofted Environmental Atmospheric Venus Sensors) is a design exercise with the goal of dramatically decreasing the cost of obtaining prioritized chemical and physical data in planetary atmospheres. Through the application of a swarm approach this concept parallelizes atmospheric exploration, with geographic coverage far exceeding what is possible with conventional monolithic platforms or sondes. Each unit in the swarm is exceptionally compact, with a powered payload mass of only a few tens of grams and a high-drag, semi-rigid structure that acts to slow each probe as it descends through the atmosphere. This structural design can collapse into a planar form to allow for efficient stowage prior to arrival at the target body. With a total per-unit mass of only 120 g, a fleet of 100 (or more) units can be very reasonably accommodated on a carrier spacecraft.Science operations, which begin when the LEAVES probes reach an altitude of 100 km, are targeted for the cloud-bearing region of Venus' atmosphere. During the roughly 9 hour, terminal velocity descent through the atmosphere, LEAVES collects data of the state and composition of the atmosphere in parallel across multiple units. These data would represent an unprecedented constraint on the distribution and concentration of targeted chemical species, and the detection of local and regional variations in both chemistry and physical properties.A novel and compelling result of this exercise was that the same optimization that produced a structure with an exceptionally low areal mass density (0.126 kg/m2) also resulted in a probe that can be deployed directly from an aerobraking orbit (~140 km at 5 km/s) without the need for aeroshell protection. This translates to a tremendous mass savings and gives LEAVES the flexibility to be carried as a secondary payload aboard either a descending surface probe or an orbital radar mapper. Because such missions are under active development or have already been proposed (but not flown), we infer that LEAVES is well positioned as a technolog
Evaluating A New Treatment Assessment Methodology on the Productivity of Agricultural Fields in Nepal using Machine Learning Techniques and Space-Borne Data
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2900 Square Degree Search for the Optical Counterpart of Short Gamma-Ray Burst GRB 180523B with the Zwicky Transient Facility
Get PDFThere is significant interest in the models for production of short gamma-ray bursts (GRBs). Until now, the number of known short GRBs with multi-wavelength afterglows has been small. While the Fermi GRB Monitor detects many GRBs relative to the Neil Gehrels Swift Observatory, the large localization regions makes the search for counterparts difficult. With the Zwicky Transient Facility (ZTF - part of Palomar Observatory) recently achieving first light, it is now fruitful to use its combination of depth (m (sub AB) approximating 20.6), field of view (approximately 47 square degrees), and survey cadence (every approximately 3 days) to perform Target of Opportunity observations. We demonstrate this capability on GRB 180523B, which was recently announced by the Fermi GRB Monitor as a short GRB. ZTF imaged 2900 square degrees of the localization region, resulting in the coverage of 61.6 percent of the enclosed probability over two nights to a depth of m (sub AB) approximating 20.5. We characterized 14 previously unidentified transients, and none were found to be consistent with a short GRB counterpart. This search with the ZTF shows it is an efficient camera for searching for coarsely localized short GRB and gravitational-wave counterparts, allowing for a sensitive search with minimal interruption to its nominal cadence
Predictability of Ocean Heat Content From Electrical Conductance
No full textOcean heat content (OHC) is a key climate variable that needs to be monitored to know how Earth's energy imbalance is changing, yet observing OHC remains a challenge. The present study examines whether a depth integral of the ocean's electrical conductivity (conductance), which may be inferred from both in situ methods and satellite magnetometers over the global ocean, could help monitor OHC. The ocean's electrical conductivity locally depends on temperature, salinity, and pressure, but it is not as well known how the conductance depends on OHC and ocean salt content. By examining the output of an ocean state estimate shown to agree well with observations that have not been assimilated, this study evaluates the fundamental limitations of using perfectly known ocean conductance to predict OHC, rather than the challenges associated with accounting for observational error. It is found that the ocean's conductance and OHC fields are nonlinearly related but nevertheless highly correlated. A statistical framework tends to predict OHC more accurately than ocean salt content from ocean conductance in regions where conductivity is more sensitive to salinity than temperature. The annually (bidecadally) averaged OHC can be predicted from a combination of conductance and depthaveraged conductivity ocean fields to within nearly 0.1% (1%) error globally and even more accurately in many poorly observed (e.g., icecovered) regions. Practical application of this statistical framework to monitor OHC requires examination of the effect of uncertainties in the observed bathymetry and ocean conductance, which vary with application
Rethinking CO Antibiosignatures in the Search for Life Beyond the Solar System
Get PDFSome atmospheric gases have been proposed as counter indicators to the presence of life on an exoplanet if remotely detectable at sufficient abundance (i.e., antibiosignatures), informing the search for biosignatures and potentially fingerprinting uninhabited habitats. However, the quantitative extent to which putative antibiosignatures could exist in the atmospheres of inhabited planets is not well understood. The most commonly referenced potential antibiosignature is CO, because it represents a source of free energy and reduced carbon that is readily exploited by life on Earth and is thus often assumed to accumulate only in the absence of life. Yet, biospheres actively produce CO through biomass burning, photooxidation processes, and release of gases that are photochemically converted into CO in the atmosphere. We demonstrate with a 1D ecosphere-atmosphere model that reducing biospheres can maintain CO levels of approximately 100 ppmv (parts per million by volume) even at low H2 fluxes due to the impact of hybrid photosynthetic ecosystems. Additionally, we show that photochemistry around M dwarf stars is particularly favorable for the buildup of CO, with plausible concentrations for inhabited, oxygen-rich planets extending from hundreds of ppm to several percent. Since CH4 buildup is also favored on these worlds, and because O2 and O3 are likely not detectable with the James Webb Space Telescope, the presence of high CO (greater than 100 ppmv) may discriminate between oxygen-rich and reducing biospheres with near-future transmission observations. These results suggest that spectroscopic detection of CO can be compatible with the presence of life and that a comprehensive contextual assessment is required to validate the significance of potential antibiosignatures
Reducing Aviation Fuel Costs with Non-Destructive Testing
Get PDFThermal barrier coatings (TBCs) are absolutely critical to the efficient and safe operation of gas turbine engines (GTEs). Manufacturing TBCs is a complex chemical, thermal and mechanical process that requires precise control. And yet, the variation in life of a TBC operated within a GTE is large. This variation ultimately reduces operational performance via a designed reduction to the turbine entry temperature, T4.This paper makes the case for developing advanced THz and sub-millimeter based nondestructive testing (NDT) techniques, capable of estimating when TBC components will fail. Such a technique could identify TBCs with low expected remaining useful lifetimes, directly after production. These TBCs could be re-manufactured, thereby not only improving their own expected useful life, but also the mean lifetime of the entire manufacturing population. A series of calculations demonstrates that TBCs with enhanced life characteristics can withstand higher T4 temperatures. Assuming that a GTE is to operate at a constant thrust, this increased temperature can be traded for a reduction in fuel flow. An analysis comparing fuel savings to manufacturing costs shows that substantial savings are achievable
A Preliminary Look at Space Weathering on 101955 Bennu: A Radiative Tranfer Modeling Perspective
Get PDFThe surfaces of airless bodies, such as 101955 Bennu, are vulnerable to micrometeoroids, high-energy particles, and solar wind particles. As a result, material on the surface of these bodies experience physical and chemical changes that are collectively known as space weathering. Space weathering processes result in the production of sub-micronsized particles called submicroscopic particles. There are two types of submicroscopic particles, nanophase (33 nm in size). Studies of lunar samples show that nanophase particles occur within the glassy rims that surround grains and agglutinates. In contrast, microphase iron particles occur only within agglutinates. Another important difference between these two particles is that nanophase and microphase particles affect visible to near-infrared reflectance spectra differently. From lunar samples, the presence of nanophase particles in a regolith causes the regoliths reflectance spectrum to darken and redden, whereas the presence of microphase particles in a regolith causes it to only darken. In addition, the reflectance spectra of submicroscopic particle-bearing regolith exhibit weakened absorptions and spectral features. Lantz et al. (2018) found that these particles also affect spectral curvature [8]. By taking advantage of these spectral characteristics, with global spectral data, it is possible to model the nanophase and microphase particle abundances across a planetary surface resulting in the production of global space weathering maps
New York City Panel on Climate Change 2019 Report Chapter 2: New Methods for Assessing Extreme Temperatures, Heavy Downpours, and Drought
Get PDFThis New York City Panel on Climate Change (NPCC3) chapter builds on the projections developed by the second New York City Panel on Climate Change (NPCC2) (Horton et al., 2015). It confirms NPCC2 projections as those of record for the City of New York, presents new methodology related to climate extremes, and describes new methods for developing the next generation of climate projections for the New York metropolitan region. These may be used by the City of New York as it continues to develop flexible adaptation pathways to cope with climate change. The main topics of the climate science chapter are: (1) Comparison of observed temperature and precipitation trends to NPCC2 2015 projections. (2) New methodology for analysis of historical and future projections of heatwaves, humidity, and cold snaps. (3) Improved characterization of observed heavy downpours. (4) Characterization of observed drought using paleoclimate data. (5) Suggested methods for next generation climate risk information
New York City Panel on Climate Change 2019 Report Chapter 5: Mapping Climate Risk
No full textThe mapping work of the NPCC is focused on illustrating spatial climate risk information to inform policy makers, stakeholders, and the public of the distribution of climate risk across the landscape of New York City. Flood risk, overall, has been the primary focus of climate risk, based on a variety of approaches including global climate models, semiempirical studies, literature surveys, expert opinion, and historic tide gauge and more recently, satellite observations of sea level rise. Maps of potential future flood extents are used to visualize coastal flooding extents at the neighborhood scale and to assess the progression of citywide flood risk throughout the 21st century. The NPCC maps were developed as a tool to illustrate our present understanding of the potential futures for which we need to prepare. This chapter reviews the background, methodology, and limitations of the NPCC3 (and NPCC2) mapping approach and features new citywide maps of mean sea level rise, monthly tidal flooding, and 100year return period flooding under a high end scenario of sea level rise. It concludes with a discussion of future mapping efforts and next steps that the NPCC could consider