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The reciprocal relation between rising longevity and temperature-related mortality risk in older people, Spain 1980-2018.
Get PDFTemperature-related mortality mostly affects older people and is attributable to a combination of factors. We focussed on a key non-temperature factor - rising longevity - and aimed to quantify its reciprocal relation with temperature-related mortality risk in Spain over 1980-2018. We obtained average annual temperature-attributable deaths among people aged 65y+, by sex and age group, for different temperature ranges (extreme cold, moderate cold, moderate heat, and extreme heat), from a previous study. Combining this with population and mortality data as well as life table information, we used: (i) a counterfactual approach to assess the contribution of rising longevity to changes in the absolute risk of temperature-related mortality, and (ii) decomposition to assess the contribution of changes in temperature-related mortality to changes in longevity and its variation (lifespan inequality). Rising longevity led to considerable declines in the absolute risk of temperature-related mortality in females and males across the entire temperature range. For extreme heat, it accounted for about a 30% decrease in absolute risk (half of the total decrease over the study period). For moderate and extreme cold, it accounted for about a 20% fall in absolute risk (a quarter of the total fall). In the opposite direction, changing patterns of temperature-related deaths contributed to higher life expectancy (accounting for > 20% of the total rise in both females and males) but also higher lifespan inequality amongst older people. Most of the influence (about 80%) was via moderate cold, but declines in risk at both moderate and extreme heat led to small rises in life expectancy. Our study points to the benefits of adopting risk-reduction strategies that aim, not only at modifying hazards and reducing exposure, but that also address socially-generated vulnerability among older people. This includes ensuring that lifespans lengthen primarily through increases in years lived in good health
Experiences of participants in an agricultural livelihood support initiative for people living with HIV in central Uganda.
Get PDFThis study aimed at assessing the experiences of people living with HIV who participated in an agricultural livelihood support initiative in selected districts of Uganda. The initiative, implemented from 2017 to 2018, involved the provision of agricultural inputs such as beans, cassava cuttings, goats, chickens, and pigs to participants. In-depth interviews were conducted with 37 people (28 women and 9 men) from the districts of Kampala, Masaka and Wakiso (specifically Entebbe) in central Uganda, who had participated in the project. Data were analysed thematically focusing on facilitators, challenges and outcomes from the project. The following themes emerged as facilitators: access to land and animal feed, prior farming experience and supportive family and friends. Some participants experienced challenges including animal/poultry diseases, livestock theft, "low quality" agricultural inputs, unfavourable weather conditions, limited finance and land to support livelihood activities and difficulties working in groups. Several participants reported positive livelihood outcomes including improved food security, better nutrition, increased income and improved mental health. However, some participants reported negative outcomes which took the form of a loss of money and time invested when their livestock died from disease. Although participants in the agricultural livelihood initiative faced challenges which reduced the profitability of their projects, the initiative was regarded as beneficial and worthwhile. These findings have relevance to the broader field of livelihoods programming. Future interventions can draw from the experiences of our participants while also taking seriously into consideration the different circumstances of individuals in a targeted population so as to increase the chances of producing more positive outcomes
A conceptualization and psychometric evaluation of positive psychological outcome measures used in adolescents and young adults living with HIV: A mixed scoping and systematic review.
Get PDFINTRODUCTION: Sub-Saharan Africa bears the greatest burden of HIV, with comorbid mental conditions highly prevalent in people living with HIV. It is important to evaluate the mental health of adolescents and young adults living with HIV (AYALHIV) comprehensively by measuring both negative and positive psychological constructs. There has been a proliferation of interest in positive psychological outcome measures, but the evidence of their psychometric robustness is fragmented. This review sought to: 1) Identify positive psychological outcomes and corresponding outcome measures used in AYALHIV in sub-Saharan Africa. 2) Critically appraise the psychometrics of the identified outcome measures. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: Two reviewers independently searched articles in PubMed, Scopus, Africa-Wide Information, CINAHL, Psych INFO and Google Scholar. Searches were conducted from November 2022 to February 2023. Two separate reviewers independently reviewed retrieved articles. We applied a narrative synthesis to map the key constructs. The risk of bias across studies was evaluated using the COnsensus-based Standards for the selection of health Measurement INstruments (COSMIN) checklist. The quality of the psychometric properties was rated using the COSMIN checklist and qualitatively synthesized using the modified Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation checklist. RESULTS: We identified 15 positive psychological constructs: body appreciation, confidence, coping, flourishing, meaningfulness, personal control, positive outlook, resilience, self-management, self-compassion, self-concept, self-efficacy, self-esteem, self-worth and transcendence, that had been used to assess ALHIV. The most measured constructs were resilience, self-concept, self-esteem, coping and self-efficacy. Construct validity and internal consistency were the properties most frequently considered, while content validity and structural validity were assessed less often. CONCLUSIONS: Few studies performed complete validations; thus, evidence for psychometric robustness was fragmented. However, this review shows the initial evidence of the feasibility of using positive psychological outcomes in low-resource settings. Instead of creating new outcome measures, researchers are recommended to leverage the existing measures, adapt them for use and, if appropriate, strive to maintain the factorial structure to facilitate comparisons. REGISTRATION: PROSPERO-CRD42022325172
Commentary: A road map for future data-driven urban planning and environmental health research.
Get PDFRecent advances in data science and urban environmental health research utilise large-scale databases (100s-1000s of cities) to explore the complex interplay of urban characteristics such as city form and size, climate, mobility, exposure, and environmental health impacts. Cities are still hotspots of air pollution and noise, suffer urban heat island effects and lack of green space, which leads to disease and mortality burdens preventable with better knowledge. Better understanding through harmonising and analysing data in large numbers of cities is essential to identifying the most effective means of disease prevention and understanding context dependencies important for policy
Mortality burden and economic loss attributable to cold and heat in Central and South America.
Get PDFBACKGROUND: We quantify the mortality burden and economic loss attributable to nonoptimal temperatures for cold and heat in the Central and South American countries in the Multi-City Multi-Country (MCC) Collaborative Research Network. METHODS: We collected data for 66 locations from 13 countries in Central and South America to estimate location-specific temperature-mortality associations using time-series regression with distributed lag nonlinear models. We calculated the attributable deaths for cold and heat as the 2.5th and 97.5th temperature percentiles, above and below the minimum mortality temperature, and used the value of a life year to estimate the economic loss of delayed deaths. RESULTS: The mortality impact of cold varied widely by country, from 9.64% in Uruguay to 0.22% in Costa Rica. The heat-attributable fraction for mortality ranged from 1.41% in Paraguay to 0.01% in Ecuador. Locations in arid and temperate climatic zones showed higher cold-related mortality (5.10% and 5.29%, respectively) than those in tropical climates (1.71%). Arid and temperate climatic zones saw lower heat-attributable fractions (0.69% and 0.58%) than arid climatic zones (0.92%). Exposure to cold led to an annual economic loss of 472.2 million in Argentina. In comparison, heat resulted in economic losses of 90.6 million in Brazil. CONCLUSION: Most of the mortality burden for Central and South American countries is caused by cold compared to heat, generating annual economic losses of 290.7 million, respectively. Public health policies and adaptation measures in the region should account for the health effects associated with nonoptimal temperatures
A New Validated Approach for Identifying Childhood Immunizations in Electronic Health Records in the United Kingdom.
Get PDFBACKGROUND: Routinely collected electronic health records (EHR) offer a valuable opportunity to carry out research on immunization uptake, effectiveness, and safety, using large and representative samples of the population. In contrast to other drugs, vaccines do not require electronic prescription in many settings, which may lead to ambiguous coding of vaccination status and timing. METHODOLOGY: We propose a comprehensive algorithm to identifying childhood immunizations in routinely collected EHR. In order to deal with ambiguous coding, over-recording, and backdating in EHR, we suggest an approach combining a wide range of medical codes in combination to identify vaccination events and using appropriate wash-out periods and quality checks. We illustrate this approach on a cohort of children born between 2006 and 2014 followed up to the age of five in the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) Aurum, a UK primary care dataset of EHR, and validate the results against national estimates of vaccine coverage by NHS Digital and Public Health England. RESULTS: Our algorithm reproduced estimates of vaccination coverage, which are comparable to official national estimates and allows to approximate the age at vaccination. Electronic prescription data only do not cover vaccination events sufficiently. CONCLUSION: Our new proposed method could be used to provide a more accurate estimation of vaccination coverage and timing of vaccination for researchers and policymakers using EHR. As with all observational research using real-world data, it is important that researchers understand the context of the used dataset used and the clinical practice of recording
Catastrophic costs incurred by tuberculosis affected households from Thailand's first national tuberculosis patient cost survey.
Get PDFTuberculosis (TB) causes an economic impact on the patients and their households. Although Thailand has expanded the national health benefit package for TB treatment, there was no data on out-of-pocket payments and income losses due to TB from patients and their household perspectives. This national TB patient cost survey was conducted to examine the TB-related economic burden, and assess the proportion of TB patients and their households facing catastrophic total costs because of TB disease. A cross-sectional TB patient cost survey was employed following WHO methods. Structured interviews with a paper-based questionnaire were conducted from October 2019 to July 2021. Both direct and indirect costs incurred from the patient and their household perspective were valued in 2021 and estimated throughout pre- and post-TB diagnosis episodes. We assessed the proportion of TB-affected households facing costs > 20% of household expenditure due to TB. We analyzed 1400 patients including 1382 TB (first-line treatment) and 18 drug-resistant TB patients (DR-TB). The mean total costs per TB episode for all study participants were 903 USD (95% confident interval; CI 771-1034 USD). Of these, total direct non-medical costs were the highest costs (mean, 402 USD, and 95%CI 334-470 USD) incurred per TB-affected household followed by total indirect costs (mean, 393 USD, and 95%CI 315-472 USD) and total direct medical costs (mean, 107 USD, and 95%CI 81-133 USD, respectively. The proportion of TB-affected households facing catastrophic costs was 29.5% (95%CI 25.1-34.0%) for TB (first-line), 61.1% (95%CI 29.6-88.1%) for DR-TB and 29.9% (95%CI 25.6-34.4%) overall. This first national survey highlighted the economic burden on TB-affected households. Travel, food/nutritional supplementation, and indirect costs contribute to a high proportion of catastrophic total costs. These suggest the need to enhance financial and social protection mechanisms to mitigate the financial burden of TB-affected households
Prediction Under Interventions: Evaluation of Counterfactual Performance Using Longitudinal Observational Data.
Get PDFPredictions under interventions are estimates of what a person's risk of an outcome would be if they were to follow a particular treatment strategy, given their individual characteristics. Such predictions can give important input to medical decision-making. However, evaluating the predictive performance of interventional predictions is challenging. Standard ways of evaluating predictive performance do not apply when using observational data, because prediction under interventions involves obtaining predictions of the outcome under conditions that are different from those that are observed for a subset of individuals in the validation dataset. This work describes methods for evaluating counterfactual performance of predictions under interventions for time-to-event outcomes. This means we aim to assess how well predictions would match the validation data if all individuals had followed the treatment strategy under which predictions are made. We focus on counterfactual performance evaluation using longitudinal observational data, and under treatment strategies that involve sustaining a particular treatment regime over time. We introduce an estimation approach using artificial censoring and inverse probability weighting that involves creating a validation dataset mimicking the treatment strategy under which predictions are made. We extend measures of calibration, discrimination (c-index and cumulative/dynamic AUCt) and overall prediction error (Brier score) to allow assessment of counterfactual performance. The methods are evaluated using a simulation study, including scenarios in which the methods should detect poor performance. Applying our methods in the context of liver transplantation shows that our procedure allows quantification of the performance of predictions supporting crucial decisions on organ allocation
Ensuring Health Security in West Africa - Strengthening Epidemic and Pandemic Emergency Preparedness to Safeguard Maternal, Newborn and Child Health in West Africa
Get PDFInvited Speaker at Royal Society of Tropical Medicine & Hygiene (RSTHM) Regional Meeting 2024 West Africa:
Charting West Africa’s journey to resilient health system: overcoming challenges, embracing innovations, and cultivating future health leader
Outcomes of implementing the International Code of Marketing of Breast-milk Substitutes as national laws: a systematic review.
Get PDFBACKGROUND: The International Code of Marketing of Breast-milk Substitutes, or 'the Code,' sets standards to regulate marketing of commercial milk formula (CMF) to protect breastfeeding. World Health Organization member states are advised to legislate the Code into national law, but understanding of its implementation outcomes is limited. This systematic review aimed to examine implementation outcomes in countries implementing the Code as national law. METHODS: We systematically searched five academic databases in September 2022 for articles published in English from 1982 to 2022. We double-screened titles/abstracts and then full texts for eligible articles reporting implementation outcomes of the Code in 144 eligible countries. We used the Mixed Methods Appraisal Tool for quality assessment and synthesized data thematically. We applied the Proctor et al. framework to guide synthesis of implementation outcomes, organizing our findings according to its taxonomy. RESULTS: We included 60 eligible articles of the 12,075 screened, spanning 28 countries. Fifty-seven articles focused on legal compliance, 5 on acceptability, and 1 on feasibility. Compliance was assessed across multiple sources, including mothers, health workers, media, points of sale, and product labels. Maternal exposure to CMF promotion remained widespread, with reports of mothers receiving free samples and coupons, and encountering media advertisements. Compliance of health workers varied across countries, with many reporting contact with CMF companies despite legal prohibitions. Public hospitals generally showed better adherence to the national law than private ones. While implementing the Code as national law effectively regulated the promotion of CMF for infants aged 0-12 months in public settings and in the media, it remains insufficient in addressing the promotion of unregulated products like growing-up milk, which are often marketed through emerging strategies such as cross-promotion and digital advertising. Point-of-sales compliance was inconsistent, with many countries reporting non-compliant price-related promotions. CONCLUSION: To enhance legal compliance, robust monitoring and reporting systems are necessary. Utilizing technology-assisted solutions for monitoring compliance can be an option for countries with limited human resources. Adequate training for health workers and communication strategies targeting shop managers about national law are also essential in enhancing their acceptability and compliance