Journal of Islamic Monetary Economics and Finance (JIMF)
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Short-Term Overreaction of Islamic Stocks to Specific Events in Indonesia
Get PDFOverreaction is a phenomenon caused by stock market inefficiencies and also a reaction to certain events. Das and Krishnakumar (2016) explain that some overreaction phenomena violate the theory of capital market efficiency. As experienced by other stocks , Islamic stocks also probably experience market inefficiencies. This study aims to analyse the phenomenon of overreaction in Islamic stocks, as well as the factors that influence the phenomenon, by using a two-stage testing method: two paired sampling and cross-sectional regression. Two specific events which occurred in 2016-2018, and which were followed by price reversal and return reversal, are studied. The results show that the election of Donald Trump as US President (Event 1) and the bombings in Surabaya (Event 2) were significant in the overreaction in the winner stock category. The factors that influenced the two events were different. The overreaction to Trump’s election proved to be significantly influenced by information leakage, while the bombings in Surabaya significantly affected the company ownership category . The results indicate that Islamic stocks continue to have several transactions which are prohibited by the DSN MUI fatwa in the short term
Determinants of Corporate Bond and Sukuk Ratings in Indonesia
Get PDFThis study aims to determine the factors, both financial and non-financial, which influence corporate bond and Sukuk ratings. The results will be useful for companies, investors or related parties as additional information and references for their investment decisions. Using ordinal logistic regression models with SPSS version 21 software, the study analyses the determinants of corporate bond and sukuk ratings listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) for the period 2013-2017. The variables employed are profitability, liquidity, leverage, company size, securities structure and maturity date. The results of the Wald test statistics show that leverage ratio, firm size, security structure, and maturity date are the factors that influence the probability of high or low corporate bond ratings, while profitability and liquidity ratios are factors that have no effect on the level of such ratings. With regard to sukuk, profitability, liquidity, and maturity date are the factors that influence the probability of high or low corporate sukuk ratings, while leverage ratio, company size, and security structure have no effect on the ratings
Zakat and Poverty Alleviation in Indonesia: A Panel Analysis at Provincial Level
Get PDFAs a pillar of Islam and an instrument for poverty alleviation, zakat is perceived as an effective tool for tackling the problem of poverty in the Muslim world. However, whether zakat is effective in improving indicators of both quantity and quality of poverty is still a question requiring empirical investigation. This study is aims to empirically investigate the role of impactful zakat in poverty alleviation as indicated by the BAZNAS prosperity index (Indeks Kesejahteraan BAZNAS or IKB), at provincial level in Indonesia. This study covers annual data from 28 provinces in Indonesia for the years 2017 and 2018. Data analysis uses a panel-data approach, with three indicators of poverty – the poverty headcount ratio (P0), poverty gap index (P1), and poverty severity index (P2) – as dependent variables. The study finds that higher BAZNAS IKB, used as a sign of impactful zakat, significantly reduces P0 but has insignificant effect on P1 and P2. The results of this study imply that zakat managers should put emphasis on the poorest section of the poor population to enable improvements in poverty indicators through zakat utilization
Financing-to-Value (FTV) Policy and Its Impact on Residential Property Prices in Indonesia
Get PDFFinancing-to-value (FTV) policy is a macroprudential policy currently used by the central banks to maintain the stability of financial systems and prevent systemic risks. In Indonesia this is particularly the case in relation to financing of the property sector by Islamic financial institutions. This paper aims to analyse the impact of FTV policy on the residential property price index (RPPI) in Indonesia using a panel data analysis method. Indonesia is chosen in this study as it is one of the countries implementing FTV policy in its Islamic banking system. There are three important findings to be drawn from the study. First, FTV policy ratios significantly affect RPPI
Acceptance of Islamic Equity-Based Mortgage Product: An Extension of Decomposed Theory of Planned Behaviour
Get PDFThis study examine the determinants that may predict the consumer’s intention to accept equity-based product, which is mushārakah mutanāqisah (MM) Islamic mortgage. Survey was conducted using multi-stage and purposive sampling. For the purpose of analysis structural equation modelling technique was used in current research. Moreover, 306 responses were gathered from users of MM Islamic mortgage. The theoretical framework of the current study was drawn upon the decomposed theory of planned behaviour (DTPB) because of its predictive power and robustness to base a model. The findings of the study revealed that behavioural intention appeared to have been directly and indirectly influenced by all constructs and above all most significant factors are Peers and perceived behaviour control. All the main beliefs, namely, attitude, subjective norm, perceived behaviour control, which are predicted by compatibility, relative advantage, peers and self-efficacy affects consumers’ intention to accept mushārakah mutanāqisah, MM home financing. The effect of pricing variable on intention was significant as well. Pricing variable is yet to be tested therefore, this paper will be a useful reference for the policymakers, academicians and future researchers
Do Islamic Equity Style Indices Contain Economic Information?
Get PDFThis study aims to investigate whether the Islamic equity style index contains economic information which is useful for investors and financial practitioners. The study fills the gap in the previous literature by investigating the relationship between Islamic equity style indices and macroeconomic variables. Using a Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model with monthly data from June 2006 to May 2017, our results show that first, there is unidirectional flow of information from Large Growth (LG) to the Leading Economic Indicator (LEI); second, Large Growth (LG) Granger-causes the Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI); third, Large Value (LV) also Granger-causes KLCI. A robustness check with an Augmented VAR model obtained similar results to the short-run model. Our results imply that equity style indices have prior information which is faster than LEI and KLCI. This knowledge is certainly useful for fund managers when designing Shariah-compliant portfolio investments. For policymakers, Islamic equity style indices are useful for predicting the direction of other macroeconomic variables such as business cycles, and hence help to predict the future direction and turning points in the economy
Investigating Volatility Behaviour: Empirical Evidence from Islamic Stock Indices
Get PDFThe main purpose of this research is to apply five univariate GARCH models to the daily stock returns of four major sharia stock indices. Two symmetric versions of the GARCH model (GARCH and MGARCH) and three asymmetric versions (EGARCH, TGARCH and PGARCH) are employed to estimate and forecast the volatility of four major sharia indices. The results provide strong evidence that all models can depict the volatility behaviours in all four sharia index returns. The two symmetric models indicate that the volatility of a sharia index’s returns depend on its previous own lags, and statistically prove that a rise in volatility (risk) leads to an increase in mean (return), i.e. the risk premium effect. Meanwhile, the three asymmetric models suggest that negative shocks to daily returns tend to have higher impact on the volatility of sharia indices than positive shocks of the same magnitude. Moreover, based on the values of forecasting errors – root mean square errors (RMSE) and mean absolute errors (MAE) – the asymmetric GARCH models outperform the symmetric models in forecasting the volatility of four major sharia indices. However, the very small difference values of RMSE and MAE among the univariate GARCH-type models denote that no single model is superior to the others
Sovereign Debt Issuance Choice: Sukuk vs Conventional Bonds
Get PDFThis paper investigates the determinants and their factors that affect governments’ decision to employ sovereign Sukuk over conventional bonds; the research is based on a sample of 143 Sukuk and 602 conventional sovereign bonds issued in 16 OIC countries from 2000 to 2015. The results depict that more nations that have developed financial markets, higher credit quality, and strong economic/financial prospects, issue sovereign Sukuk rather than sovereign conventional bonds. Dealing with Sukuk bonds can be a strategy to diversify and develop current debt markets by introducing newly-developed debt tools. However, less economically developed nations countries are typically issuing insurance for classic sovereign bonds. Our findings suggest that a government’s choice of sovereign debt is influenced mainly from national financial and macroeconomic indicators, as well as specific events. Countries with developed financial markets, strong economic indicators, high credit quality, and sustainable financial position are more likely to issue sovereign Sukuk rather than sovereign bonds as a strategy to develop and diversify their financial markets by promoting new debt products
User Acceptance of Online Waqf Applications: Evidence from Indonesia
Get PDFWaqf is an Islamic asset endowment to be kept in faith and used for charitable or religious purposes. Its function is to demonstrate the potential and economic benefits of waqf assets for worship and other people’s prosperity. Indonesia has great opportunities to raise more significant amounts of waqf funds. One strategy that appears effective with regard to waqf, especially cash waqf, is to provide an online service. Hence, this research attempts to analyse whether the perceived usefulness, perceived ease of use, perceived religiosity, and amount of information influences user acceptance of using an online waqf application process by implementing the technology acceptance model (TAM). Moreover, the study incorporates structural equation modelling (SEM) to interpret the path analysis of the model. The study fills the gap in the literature concerning the context of use of the technology acceptance model for online waqf in Indonesia. We find that the variables that directly influence user acceptance of online waqf application are perceived usefulness and perceived ease of use, with perceived ease of use influencing perceived usefulness. In addition, perceived ease of use is influenced by the amount of information. Furthermore, the majority of respondents prefer to have projects such as mosques, Islamic boarding schools, schools, and hospital construction projects. To increase user acceptance, online waqf developers should provide more information about the application process and develop more user-friendly software with many features. Moreover, regulators should provide incentives for online waqf developers to maximise cash waqf collection
Comparing the Intertemporal Efficiency of Islamic Banks in Indonesia and Malaysia
Get PDFThis study aims to measure and compare the intertemporal efficiency of Islamic banks in Indonesia and Malaysia using data envelopment analysis (DEA) together with window (intertemporal) analysis for the period 2012–2018 and applying an intermediation approach. Window analysis is used to indicate the stability of efficiency over the study period. The findings show that the intertemporal technical efficiency (TE) of Islamic banks in Indonesia was 77.4% with stability score of 0.034, which was significantly more efficient and more stable than Malaysian banks at 75.1% with stability score of 0.169. Moreover, the the intertemporal pure technical efficiency (PTE) of Islamic banks in Indonesia was 91.7% with stability score 0.020, which was also significantly more efficient and more stable than Malaysian banks at 88.0% PTE and stability score of 0.161. In contrast, the intertemporal scale efficiency (SE) of Islamic banks in Indonesia was 84.5%, slightly lower than that of Malaysian banks at 85.3% but not significantly different. PTE improvement has contributed to TE improvement, while SE has not reached an optimal level. Comparison to previous results also showed that since the global financial crisis the PTEs of Islamic banks in Indonesia and Malaysia have improved while SEs have worsened. Therefore, efforts to improve SE by expanding the size of Islamic banks to reach optimum economies of scale are urgently needed