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Crescimento vegetativo e produção de genótipos de café robusta cultivados sob diferentes níveis de sombra
The growing in shaded systems is one of the strategies adopted to mitigate the impacts of climate change on coffee trees. However, there are few studies about the effect of shading on the growth and production of clones of robusta coffee (Coffea canephora). Besides that, exist a paradigm in Brazil of that the shading in coffee robusta is synonymous of less yield. Thus, the aim of this work was to evaluate whether C. canephora genotypes subjected to shading increase their yield and growth vegetative under field conditions. The study was performed between September 2013 and July 2017 (four harvests) in Alegre, Espírito Santo state, Brazil. Three genotypes of cultivar Conilon Vitória - Incaper 8142 were evaluated (03V, 06V, and 12V) and four levels of shade: full sunlight (witness) and, low, moderate and, high shade, with 38, 48 and, 68% of real capacity of shade, respectively. The shade was performed using black polyolefin screens; plants growing in full sunlight were only fenced. The tested shade levels affected the growth rate and yield of Robusta coffee plants. The shading caused a greater leaf expansion as compared to the full sunlight, as well as greater etiolation of the plagiotropic and orthotropic branches. The genotype 06V was shown to be responsive to shading, with a statistically equal production independently of shade level. The low, moderate, and high shade levels affected negatively the yield of genotypes 03V and 12V. The shading can improve the yield of Robusta coffee, in this case, of the genotype 06V of the cultivar Conilon Vitória - Incaper 8142. The success of shaded plantations depends the choice of the shade responsive genotypes and appropriate shading level.O cultivo em sistemas sombreados é uma das estratégias adotadas para mitigar os impactos da mudança climática sobre os cafeeiros. No entanto, existem poucos estudos sobre o efeito do sombreamento no crescimento e produção de clones de café robusta (Coffea canephora). Além disso, existe um paradigma no Brasil de que o sombreamento nesta espécies é sinônimo de menor rendimento. Assim, o objetivo do presente trabalho foi avaliar se os genótipos de C. canephora submetidos ao sombreamento aumentam sua produtividade e crescimento vegetativo em condições de campo. O estudo foi realizado entre setembro de 2013 e julho de 2017 (quatro safras) em Alegre, Espírito Santo, Brasil. Três genótipos da cultivar Conilon Vitória - Incaper 8142 foram avaliados (03V, 06V e 12V) e quatro níveis de sombreamento: pleno sol (testemunha) e baixo, moderado e alto nível de sombreamento, com 34, 48 e 68% de capacidade real de sombreamento, respectivamente, obtidos com o uso de telas de poliolefinas de cor preta; plantas cultivadas em pleno sol foram apenas cercadas. Os níveis de sombreamento testados afetaram a taxa de crescimento e produtividade das plantas de café Robusta O sombreamento provocou maior expansão foliar em relação ao pleno sol, bem como maior estiolação dos ramos plagiotrópicos e ortotrópicos. Os baixos, moderados e altos níveis de sombreamento afetaram negativamente a produção dos genótipos 03V e 12V. O sombreamento pode melhorar o rendimento do café Robusta, neste caso, do genótipo 06V da cultivar Conilon Vitória - Incaper 8142. O sucesso das plantações cafeeiras sombreadas depende da escolha dos genótipos responsivos à sombra e do nível apropriado de sombreamento
O padrão facial confere aos indivíduos o perfil suspeito a cometer um crime?
To evaluate the influence of mesofacial, brachyfacial and dolichofacial facial patterns on giving an individual the profile of a crime suspect in the eyes of public security agents. This study had a cross-sectional design, conducted with public security agents of both sexes (n=100), where images of facial composites (police sketches) of individuals with different facial patterns (mesofacial, brachyfacial and dolichofacial) were used. With these images in hand, a questionnaire was created, divided into three parts: the first in which all the images were presented together, allowing comparison among them; the second, in which each image was evaluated separately followed by questions and the third that consisted on a visual analog scale that presented a bar with marks going from 0 to 100, where 0 represented the untrustworthy individual, 50 the individual who could be trusted, and 100 a very trustworthy individual. When all the data had been obtained statistical analyses were performed using the Chi-square and Friedman tests. The level of significance adopted was 5% (α=0.05). The dolichofacial individual was associated with security agents as the most prone to commit crimes and became more insecure and distrustful when compared to the mesofacial and brachyfacial individuals (p <0.001). The dolichofacial profile had a negative influence on the judgment of security agents who attributed to it, a character suspected of a crime and a low level of trustworthiness.Avaliar a influência dos padrões faciais mesofacial, braquifacial e dolicofacial em conceder um perfil de suspeito a cometer crimes aos olhos dos agentes de segurança pública. Este estudo teve delineamento transversal, realizado com agentes de segurança pública de ambos os sexos (n = 100), onde imagens de retratos- falados de indivíduos com diferentes padrões faciais (mesofacial, braquifacial e dolicofacial) foram utilizadas. De posse dessas imagens, foi criado um questionário, dividido em três partes: a primeira em que todas as imagens foram apresentadas juntas, permitindo a comparação entre elas; a segunda, em que cada imagem foi avaliada separadamente seguida de perguntas e a terceira consistiu em uma escala analógica visual que apresentava uma barra com marcações de 0 a 100, onde 0 representava o indivíduo não confiável, 50 o indivíduo em quem se podia confiar, e 100 um indivíduo muito confiável. Após a obtenção dos dados, foram realizadas análises estatísticas utilizando os testes Qui-quadrado e Friedman. O nível de significância adotado foi de 5% (α = 0,05). O indivíduo dolicofacial foi associado pelos agentes de segurança como o mais propenso a cometer crimes e passou mais insegurança e desconfiança, quando comparado aos indivíduos mesofacial e braquifacial (p<0,001). O perfil dolicofacial influenciou negativamente no julgamento dos agentes de segurança que atribuíram-lhe caráter suspeito a cometer crimes e baixo grau de confiabilidade
Avaliação da adipocina chemerin em obesos hipertensos
Chemerin is an adipokine secreted by adiopose tissue and has a role in obesity and hypertension. This study aims at assessing the level of the adipokine chemerin in obesity and/or hypertension and correlating its level with the inflammatory marker hs-CRP and predictors of atherosclerosis as lipid profile, insulin resistance, systolic (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP).Volunteers were divided into 4 equal groups according to body mass index (BMI) and blood pressure: normal weight group (BMI ≤ 24.9 kg/m2), overweight group (BMI = 25.0 – 29.9 kg/m2), normotensive obese group (BMI ≥ 30.0 kg/m2) and hypertensive obese group (BMI ≥ 30.0 kg/m2). Chemerin, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), lipid profile, fasting blood glucose (FBG) and fasting insulin (FI) were evaluated in the mentioned groups.The results showed that there were significant increases of chemerin, hs-CRP, low density lipoprotein (LDL), SBP and DBP in hypertensive obese group compared to normotensive obese , overweight and normal weight groups. Moreover the only significant positive correlation between chemerin and hs-CRP was observed in the obese hypertensive group. The normotensive obese group showed significant increases of hs-CRP, LDL, triglyceride (TG), FBG, FI and the homeostasis model assessment-insulin resistance index (HOMA-IR) compared to the overweight and normal weight groups. Regarding the overweight group, there were significant increases in chemerin, hs-CRP, cholesterol, LDL, TG compared to the normal weight group, while the HDL levels were significantly lower compared to the two obese groups. These results revealed that the pro-inflammatory adipokine chemerin increases in obesity associated with hypertension, leading to the suggestion that there is a definite dysregulation of the pro-inflammatory and anti-inflammatory parameters towards the pro-inflammatory when hypertension and obesity are associated.
A chemerin é uma adipocina secretada pelo tecido adiposo e tem papel na obesidade e na hipertensão. Este estudo tem como objetivo avaliar o nível da adipocina chemerina na obesidade e / ou hipertensão e correlacionar seu nível com o marcador inflamatório hs-PCR e os preditores de aterosclerose como perfil lipídico, resistência à insulina, pressão arterial sistólica (PAS) e diastólica (PAD) Os voluntários foram divididos em 4 grupos iguais de acordo com o índice de massa corporal (IMC) e pressão arterial: grupo com peso normal (IMC ≤ 24,9 kg / m2), grupo com sobrepeso (IMC = 25,0 - 29,9 kg / m2), grupo obeso normotenso (IMC ≥ 30,0 kg / m2) e grupo obeso hipertenso (IMC ≥ 30,0 kg / m2). Chemerin, proteína C-reativa de alta sensibilidade (PCR-as), perfil lipídico, glicemia de jejum (FBG) e insulina de jejum (FI) foram avaliados nos grupos mencionados. Os resultados mostraram que houve aumentos significativos de chemerina, hs- CRP, lipoproteína de baixa densidade (LDL), PAS e PAD no grupo obeso hipertenso em comparação com obesos normotensos, com sobrepeso e com peso normal. Além disso, a única correlação positiva significativa entre chemerin e hs-CRP foi observada no grupo de hipertensos obesos. O grupo obeso normotenso apresentou aumentos significativos de PCR-as, LDL, triglicérides (TG), FBG, FI e o modelo de avaliação da homeostase - índice de resistência à insulina (HOMA-IR) comparado aos grupos com sobrepeso e peso normal. Em relação ao grupo com excesso de peso, houve aumento significativo de chemerina, PCR-as, colesterol, LDL, TG em relação ao grupo com peso normal, enquanto os níveis de HDL foram significativamente menores em comparação aos dois grupos obesos. Esses resultados revelaram que a pró-inflamatória adipocina chemerina aumenta na obesidade associada à hipertensão, levando à sugestão de que há uma desregulação definida dos parâmetros pró-inflamatórios e anti-inflamatórios em relação ao pró-inflamatório quando a hipertensão e a obesidade estão associadas
Características estruturais e produtivas em cultivares de Panicum submetidas a intervalos de corte sob irrigação no semiárido
The objective of this study was to evaluate the structural and productive features of Panicum maximum cultivars (Tanzânia, Mombaça, Massai, and Zuri) in three rest periods (30, 45 and 60 days), in the semiarid region of Brazil. The experiment was carried out in a completely randomized design with three replicates. The length of the leaf blade and the diameter of the stem increased as a function of the cut intervals. Leaf blade width and number of live leaves (3.86 leaves tiller-1) were not affected by cut intervals. The height of the canopy increased with the ages, with effect in the mass of forage, being the cv. Zuri the most productive with 148,75 cm e 18.297,49 kg ha-1 DM at 60 days. The highest masses of leaves and stems were obtained in the longest rest period, while the leaf/stem ratio decreased. In the cut-off interval of 45 days, the cultivars of Panicum maximum have shown satisfactory yield, and the smaller cut interval provides a reduction in canopy height and stem thickness.Objetivou-se avaliar as características estruturais e produtivas de cultivares de Panicum maximum (Tanzânia, Mombaça, Massai e Zuri) em periodos de descanso (30, 45 e 60 dias) no semiárido brasileiro, sob irrigação. O experimento foi realizado em delineamento inteiramente ao acaso, com três repetições. O comprimento da lâmina foliar e o diâmetro do colmo aumentaram em função dos intervalos de corte. A largura da lâmina foliar e o número de folhas vivas (3,86 folhas/perfilho) não foram afetados pelos intervalos de corte. A altura do dossel aumentou com as idades, com efeito na massa de forragem, sendo a cv. Zuri superior com 148,75 cm e 18.297,49 kg/ha de MS, aos 60 dias. As maiores massas de lâminas e colmos foram obtidas no maior período de rebrotação, enquanto que a relação folha/colmo diminuiu. No intervalo de corte de 45 dias, as cultivares de Panicum maximum apresentaram produção satisfatória, sendo que o menor intervalo de corte proporciona redução na altura do dossel e na espessura do colmo
Variação espacial de atributos químicos em terra preta arqueológica sob cultivo de cacau na Amazonia Ocidental
Archeological Dark Earths (ADEs) are fertility soils that are notoriously superior to the vast majority of soils typical of the Amazon region. The study on ADEs has intensified due to the good characteristics presented by these soils, such as high concentration of nutrients (phosphorus, calcium, magnesium). In this sense, the aim of this study was to evaluate the spatial distribution of soil chemical attributes in an area of black archeological earth soil under cocoa cultivation in the municipality of Apuí (AM). The mapping of a 42 x 88 m mesh, with irregular spacing of 6 x 8 m, totaling 88 points, was carried out, and then soil samples were collected at depths of 0.0-0.05; 0.05-0.10; (pH, O.C, Sto C, (H+Al), P, K, Ca, Mg, SB, CEC and V%). Data were analyzed using descriptive and geostatistical statistics techniques. The mean and median values were adjusted to the near values, indicating normal distribution, while the soil chemical attributes were adjusted to the spherical and exponential semivariograms models. The majority of the attributes presented coefficient of variation (CV) between 12.1 and 60%, characterized as average variability, the variables in the study presented different ranges and most of them had a strong spatial dependence. The geostatistical techniques used allowed the adjustments of the theoretical models that best represented the experimental semivariance, thus enabling the construction of thematic maps of the spatial distribution of the values of the attributes of the studied area
Qualidade fisiológica e prevalência de aflatoxinas em sementes de soja convencional e transgênica durante o armazenamento
Physiological quality of soybean seeds of five varieties (CD 215, CD 202, CD 233RR (GMO), NK and NK 412113 7059RR (GMO)), stored under cooling and room temperature during eight months as well as B1, B2, and G2 aflatoxins prevalence were evaluated. The tests (moisture content, germination, tetrazolium) were performed before storage and every 60 days. The analysis of aflatoxins presence was carried out at the beginning and at each two months. Two samples of each variety were stored at -4 °C until analysis processing, then high-performance liquid chromatography analysis was used. The seeds showed, in general, water content between 11 and 13% until 60 storage days, whose decrease began up from 120 days. At 60 storage days, the cooled seeds had higher germination percentage when compared to the ones kept under room temperature. In relation to the studied varieties, the highest germination was recorded for CD 215, which differed from CD 202 in both periods. There were factors interactions after 120 and 240 storage days, especially under cooling to 120 days for CD 215 variety. While, at 240 days under room temperature was observed the highest germination for the CD 233 RR. The storage conditions were significant at 60, 180 and 240 days for viability, with a higher rate for seeds stored under cooling. Regarding varieties, over the same periods, the CD 202 variety showed lower viability percentage, with NK 412 113 after 180 and 240 days. In general, 90 samples were tested and, 25 were detected the aflatoxins presence. It was observed that the aflatoxins presence in CD 202 was quantitatively greater from 16 tested samples 10 showed some level of aflatoxin contamination. AFB1 and AFB2 aflatoxins represented 50%, while AFG2 was observed in 63% of those samples. There was no difference in relation to seed vigor between conventional or transgenic soybeans seeds. Cooling kept the vigor of CD 215 and CD 233RR varieties until the final of the experiment. There was no influence by the storage to get aflatoxins and temperature association
Correlação entre teor de nutrientes e produtividade em forrageiras irrigadas
Irregular rainfall can restrict crop development, so irrigation of pastures serves as a strategy to intensify grass-fed animal production systems. Due to the direct relationship between the availability of soil water and nutrients, the objective was to evaluate the nutrient content in forages irrigated by a central pivot system. This work was carried out in the experimental area of irrigated agriculture at the State University of Mato Grosso do Sul, in Aquidauana-MS, Brazil. The experiment was setup in a completely randomized design, with five replications, in subdivided plots. The treatments of the plots were irrigated and non-irrigated, and the treatments of the subplots were the forages Urochloa brizantha cv. Xaraes, Pennisetum purpureum cv. Napier, Panicum maximum cv. Mombasa and Urochloa ruziziensis cv. Ruziziensis. Foliar concentrations of the nutrients Nitrogen (N), Phosphorus (P), Potassium (K), Calcium (Ca), Magnesium (Mg), Sulfur (S), Boron (B), Copper (Cu), Iron (Fe), Manganese (Mn) and Zinc (Zn) were evaluated. Statistical analyses performed included analysis of variance, Tukey test at p <0.05 and linear correlation matrix at p <0.05 and p <0.01 between nutrients and productivity. Irrigation results in higher levels of the macronutrients P, K and Mg, and Fe and Mn micronutrients in forages. The nutrients that correlated with productivity were P and Fe, which both presented negative correlation. The nutrients correlated better with each other than with forage productivity.A irregularidade do regime pluviométrico pode tornar-se uma restrição ao desenvolvimento das culturas, de maneira que a irrigação de pastagens serve como estratégia para a intensificação dos sistemas de produção animal a pasto. Devido a relação direta entre a disponibilidade de água no solo e os nutrientes, objetivou-se avaliar os teores dos nutrientes em forrageiras irrigadas por pivô central. O trabalho foi realizado na área experimental de agricultura irrigada da Universidade Estadual de Mato Grosso do Sul, em Aquidauana-MS. Adotou-se o delineamento inteiramente casualizado, com cinco repetições, em parcelas subdivididas. Os tratamentos das parcelas foram, irrigado e não irrigado, e os tratamentos das subparcelas, foram as forrageiras Urochloa brizantha cv. Xaraés, Pennisetum purpureum cv. Napier, Panicum maximum cv. Mombaça e Urochloa ruziziensis cv. Ruziziensis. Foram avaliadas as concentrações foliares dos nutrientes Nitrogênio (N), Fósforo (P), Potássio (K), Cálcio (Ca), Magnésio (Mg), Enxofre (S), Cobre (Cu), Ferro (Fe), Manganês (Mn) e Zinco (Zn). Foi realizada a análise de variância, teste Tukey p<0,05 e matriz de correlação linear p<0,05 e p<0,01 entre os nutrientes e a produtividade. A irrigação propicia maiores teores dos macronutrientes P, K e Mg e dos micronutrientes Fe e Mn nas forrageiras. Os teores de nutrientes que correlacionaram com a produtividade foram o P e o Fe, ambos apresentaram correlação negativa. Os teores de nutrientes correlacionaram melhor entre si do que com a produtividade das forrageiras
Glicerina purificada em dietas balanceadas para frangos de corte dos 8 aos 21 dias de idade
This paper aimed to evaluate the metabolizability, performance and economic viability of purified glycerin inclusion in balanced diets fed to chicken broilers from 8 to 21 days old. Two experiments were conducted. In the first experiment, 100 broilers (14 days old) were distributed in a completely randomized design into two treatments, with five replications of 10 broilers. Treatments consisted of a control diet and a test diet, in which purified glycerin replaced 10% of the control diet. In the second experiment, 200 broilers (8 days old) were distributed in a completely randomized design into four treatments (0, 2, 4 and 6% of purified glycerin inclusion), with five replications of 10 broilers. The weight gain, feed intake, feed conversion, final weight, apparent metabolizable energy (AME), nitrogen-corrected apparent metabolizable energy (AMEn), metabolizability coefficients of dry matter (DMMC), crude protein (CPMC) and gross energy (GEMC), and the cost of feed per kg of broiler produced were evaluated. The AME, AMEn, DMMC, CPMC and GEMC from the purified glycerin were 3790 and 3560 kcal/kg, and 83.72, 71.52 and 86.27%, respectively. The glycerin levels did not affect (p>0.05) any of the performance characteristics (weight gain, feed intake, feed conversion and final weight). The lowest feeding cost and the highest gross margin were obtained for broilers fed with 6% purified glycerin. The inclusion of 6% purified glycerin in balanced diets for broilers from 8 to 21 days old was technically and economically feasible.Objetivou-se neste trabalho avaliar a metabolizabilidade, o desempenho zootécnico e a viabilidade econômica da inclusão de glicerina purificada, em dietas balanceadas para frangos de corte dos 8 aos 21 dias de idade. Foram realizados dois experimentos, sendo que, no primeiro experimento, foram utilizados 100 pintos de 14 dias de idade, distribuídos em delineamento inteiramente casualizado (DIC), com dois tratamentos, cinco repetições de 10 aves. Os tratamentos consistiram de uma dieta referência e uma dieta teste, na qual a glicerina purificada substituiu 10% da dieta referência. No segundo experimento, foram utilizados 200 pintos de 8 dias de idade, distribuídos em delineamento experimental inteiramente casualizado (DIC), com quatro tratamentos (0, 2, 4 e 6% de inclusão de glicerina purificada) e cinco repetições de 10 aves. Foram determinados o ganho de peso, consumo de ração, conversão alimentar, peso final, energia metabolizável aparente (EMA), energia metabolizável aparente corrigida pelo balanço de nitrogênio (EMAn), os coeficientes de metabolizabilidade da matéria seca (CMMS), proteína bruta (CMPB), energia bruta (CMEB) e o custo da alimentação por kg de frango produzido. A EMA, EMAn e os CMMS, CMPB, CMEB da glicerina purificada obtida foram de 3790, 3560 Kcal/kg e 83,72, 71,52, 86,27%, respectivamente. Observou-se que a inclusão de glicerina purificada não afetou (p>0,05) o desempenho (ganho de peso, consumo de ração, conversão alimentar e peso final). O menor custo com a alimentação e a maior margem bruta foi obtido com os frangos alimentados com 6% de inclusão de glicerina purificada. A inclusão de 6% de glicerina purificada em dietas balanceadas para frangos de corte dos 8 aos 21 dias de idade, mostrou-se técnica e economicamente viável
Fertilização e sistemas de cultivo: desempenho e teor de oleo de variedades de manjericão
Sweet basil (Ocimum basilicum L.) is an aromatic and medicinal crop that produces metabolites rich in chemical constituents for various purposes. The composition of the essential oil is variable due to external factors during production, such as fertilization and the environment, and the oil concentration may vary even among the genotypes of a species. For sweet basil mores studies are needed to clarify understanding about the biomass and essential oil yield and nutrient management. The objective of this study was to evaluate the biomass and essential oil yield of basil varieties with organo-mineral fertilizer under different agricultural systems. The experimental design was a randomized complete block (DBC), with three replications, in a 2X4 factorial scheme, with two varieties (Maria Bonita and Genovese) and four fertilizations (50 and 100% organo-mineral, one mineral source and one organic source). Two areas were carried out simultaneously (greenhouse and field) to evaluate plant height, fresh biomass, essential oil content, yield and chemical composition. Results indicate that Genovese showed superior height and biomass yield when mineral or organic fertilizer was used at the greenhouse. Organo-mineral and organic fertilizers provided significantly better results of biomass yield in both varieties at field cultivation. The oil content was higher in the field, reflecting higher oil yields in field treatments in comparison to greenhouse. We concluded that the environment of cultivation and the way fertilizer sources release the nutrients can be determinan factors in the performance of basil plants; without protected cultivation, the content of essential oil is higher and the organo-mineral fertilizer can provide better nutrient supply to the plants mainly during rainy season
Estimativa da área foliar de Erythroxylum citrifolium a partir de dimensões lineares da folha
Erythroxylum citrifolium is a neotropical plant species recorded in all regions of Brazil. Determining leaf area is of fundamental importance to studies related to plant propagation and growth. The objective was to obtain an equation to estimate the leaf area of E. citrifolium from linear dimensions of the leaf blade (length and width). A total of 200 leaf blades were collected in Parque Estadual Mata do Pau-Ferro in the municipality of Areia, state of Paraíba, Northeast Brazil. The models evaluated were: linear, linear without intercept, quadratic, cubic, power and exponential. The best model was determined by the criteria of: high coefficient of determination (R²), low root mean square error (RMSE), low Akaike information criterion (AIC), high Willmott concordance index (d) and a BIAS index close to zero. All of the models constructed satisfactorily estimated the leaf area of E. citrifolium, with coefficients of determination above 0.9050, but the power model using the product between length and width (L*W) ŷ = 0.5966 * LW1.0181 was the best, with the highest values of R² and d, low values of RMSE and AIC, and a BIAS index closest to zero.Erythroxylum citrifolium é uma espécie de planta neotropical com registros em todas as regiões do Brasil. A determinação da área foliar é de fundamental importância em estudos relacionados a propagação e crescimento vegetal. O objetivo foi obter uma equação que permita estimar a área foliar de E. citrifolium a partir de dimensões lineares do limbo foliar (comprimento e largura). Foram coletados 200 limbos foliares no Parque Estadual Mata do Pau-Ferro, Areia, Paraíba, Nordeste do Brasil. Os modelos empregados foram: linear, linear sem intercepto, quadrático, cúbico, potencial e exponencial. Os critérios utilizados para escolher o melhor modelo, teve como base o maior coeficiente de determinação (R²), menor raiz do quadrado médio do erro (RMSE), menor critério de informação de Akaike (AIC), maior índice de concordância de Willmott (d) e índice BIAS mais próximo de zero. Todos os modelos construídos podem estimar satisfatoriamente a área foliar de E. citrifolium, com coeficientes determinação acima de 0,9050, porém o modelo potencial utilizando o produto entre comprimento e largura (L*W) ŷ = 0,5966 * LW1,0181 é o mais indicado, com os maiores valores de R² e d, menores valores de RMSE e AIC, e índice BIAS mais próximo de zero