IRIS Unicas (Università degli Studi di Cassino e del Lazio Meridionale)

Tomaiuolo, Saverio

Italian

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English

Paleoseismological evidence of multiple, large-magnitude earthquake surface ruptures on the active Mt. Morrone normal fault, central Apennines, Italy.

Fiorucci, Matteo

EGU25-13501, updated on 18 May 2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-13501
EGU General Assembly 2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
The FIRE project: a multidisciplinary approach to provide innovative
probabilistic scenarios of shallow landslides over burned areas
Matteo Ferrarotti1,2, Gian Marco Marmoni1, Matteo Fiorucci3, Carlo Esposito1, Marta Galuppi4,
Davide Berardi
4
, Federica Salvi
5
, Mara Lombardi
4
, Anna Lei
5
, and Salvatore Martino
1
1
Department of Earth Sciences, Sapienza University of Rome, Rome, Italy (matteo.ferrarotti@uniroma1.it,
gianmarco.marmoni@uniroma1.it, carlo.esposito@uniroma1.it, salvatore.martino@uniroma1.it))
2
Speri Società di Ingegneria e di Architettura SpA, Rome, Italy (mferrarotti@sperispa.com)
3
Department of Civil and Mechanical Engineering, University of Cassino and Southern Lazio, Cassino, Italy
(matteo.fiorucci@unicas.it)
4
Department of Chemical Engineering Materials Environment, Sapienza University of Rome, Rome, Italy
(marta.galuppi@uniroma1.it, davide.berardi@uniroma1.it, mara.lombardi@uniroma1.it)
5
Department of Architecture and Design, Sapienza University of Rome, Rome, Italy (salvi.1915148@studenti.uniroma1.it,
anna.lei@uniroma1.it)
Italy is one of the European countries most affected by wildfires and landslides.
To date, the research on wildfires is mainly addressed to evaluate best solutions for prevention,
control, and mitigation. Nevertheless, not enough attention was given so far to study effects of
wildfires in view of the analysis of the related geohazards.
In urban environments, the cascading effect of wildfires on landslides represents a clear example
of multi-hazard. In this regard, wildfires can be regarded as a preparatory process for landslides
triggering, as they significantly modify the local conditions of slopes for a not negligible time
window.
In the FIRE (wildFire-related-landslide scenarIos for territorial planning and Risk
managemEnt) project, funded by “Sapienza” University of Rome, a multidisciplinary research team
experienced, since 2022, an innovative approach to derive quantitative scenarios of expected
shallow landslides over burned areas, by evaluating the effectiveness of wildfires in preparing
instabilities, also in view of defining best practices for fire extinguishing and land management
plans with respect to the potential damage caused by fires at short- and long-term.
Two case studies have been selected in Italy: Mt. Epomeo at Ischia Island (Naples) and Camaldoli
hill (City of Naples). These two sites suffered in the last decades a large number of wildfires, and, in
the case of Camaldoli hill, consequential shallow landslides.
Since the project activity began, two severe wildfires struck Ischia and Camaldoli, on August 2023
and June 2024, respectively.
The physical, hydraulic, and mechanical properties of soil covers potentially unstable have been
defined through field surveying, in situ determinations and laboratory geotechnical tests,
performed on unburned and burned samples as well as in different seasons, from May 2023 to
June 2024.
For the Ischia case study, simulations of multiple wildfire propagation scenarios were carried out,
originating from the most probable ignition points. These scenarios incorporated spatially explicit
fuel load distributions and seasonally varying meteorological conditions. The simulations were
executed using a computational model rigorously calibrated with empirical data from the 2023
Ischia wildfire, ensuring scenario-specific precision. To further support the modelling of risk
scenarios, a close survey of vegetation was conducted and then critically compared to data derived
from official thematic cartography and the most recent systematic botanical studies available. This
enabled an updated and detailed understanding of the identification and distribution of dominant
plant species composing the habitats within the Ischian landscape system, whose dedicated
documentary study on the morphology and development of root systems allowed for the
construction of root profiles to be associated with the recognised plant communities.
Finally, after a specific parametrisation of the physical and mechanical properties of the burned
and unburned soil covers characterised by different plant associations, for each scenario of
wildfire propagation, the PARSIFAL approach was applied to obtain scenarios of shallow landslides
by considering both rainfall and seismic triggers in a probabilistically-defined framework.
The abovementioned activities are here reported, together with some preliminary results of the
FIRE project while further steps will allow a statistically-based analysis through data-to-model
informed Artificial Neural Networks.
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"Introduzione" a Charles Dickens, Il mistero di Edwin Drood

EGNAN: An Enhanced Method for Interpretable Graph Neural Networks

Assessing gender theme in European financial institutions: an analysis through a new interval-based composite indicator

Paleoseismological evidence of multiple, large-magnitude earthquake surface ruptures on the active Mt. Morrone normal fault, central Apennines, Italy.

The FIRE project: a multidisciplinary approach to provide innovative probabilistic scenarios of shallow landslides over burned areas

Diseducazione e misconoscimento. Per una pedagogia dell’atto riconoscitivo

Modeling the Enablers of Project Management Training: A TISM Approach

Acute Effects of Complex Hand Proprioceptive Task on Low-Frequency Hand Rest Tremor

The Political Economy of War, Peace, and the Military–Industrial Complex

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