320 research outputs found
Impact of the MFA phase-out on the world economy
No full textThis study focuses on the possible impact of the MFA phase-out on the world economy. Starting from analyzing trends in world textile and apparel trade, the study found that the developing countries were a growing factor in world T&A trade in recent decades. Moreover, using trade data from 91 countries over 37 years, the study indicates a strong positive relationship between trade in textile and apparel and the standard of living. The study further focuses on the possible impacts of the MFA phase-out on the world T&A using an intertemporal, global general equilibrium model. The study found the the MFA phase-out would enlarge world trade of T&A and developing countries will further gain market share in world total exports. Even though the developing countries currently free from the MFA quota restraints may lose their market shares, as world T&A prices are lowered by improving the efficiency of world T&A trade post-MFA, consumers are better off by consuming cheap commodities.Markets. ,Industries Economic aspects. ,Living standards. ,Trade policy. ,
CHINA'S ROLE IN WORLD COTTON AND TEXTILE MARKETS
No full textThe growth of China's textile industry has been one of the dominant factors shaping world cotton and textile markets in recent years. Since China's accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO) in December 2001, China's textile and apparel (T&A) exports have grown by more than 40 percent and China's cotton consumption has grown by 34 percent. By the end of 2003, China had nearly doubled its share of world T&A exports in less than a decade, to about 21 percent. T&A exports from China and other developing countries are constrained by quotas originally implemented by developed countries under the Multifibre Arrangement (MFA). Under the Uruguay Round's Agreement on Textiles and Clothing (ATC), these quotas have been gradually phased-out since 1995, with complete removal scheduled for the end of 2004. This study incorporates alternatives of the impact of the ATC's implementation in an analysis of China's textile industry, and its impact in turn on China's cotton sector. The study finds that, assuming equilibrium levels of income and exchange rates, alternative ATC scenarios are expected to increase China's net apparel exports, textile production, cotton consumption, cotton production, and cotton imports. This study also finds that these results are somewhat sensitive to estimates of expected efficiency gains around the world.Agribusiness, Industrial Organization,
Is Agricultural Policy Decoupling against Human Nature? Experimental Evidence of Fairness Expectations’ Contributions to Payment Incidence
No full textThe objective of this research is to measure individuals’ fairness expectations and relate them to their market behavior in a private-negotiation institution. By doing this, we may inform model parameterization of field data and increase understanding of payment incidence causation. We hypothesize agents will change both their market and UG behavior when the tenant/proposer receives a subsidy following a successful negotiation. We also hypothesize that agents’ market behavior does relate to their fairness expectations in the UG. Two economic experiments were developed to test our hypotheses, a market and an ultimatum bargaining game experiment. We recruited 106 undergraduate students and conducted the experiments in an experimental laboratory using a computer based market mechanism. Our findings suggest fairness expectations need to be considered as a possible constraint on agents’ profit maximization behavior in land markets. The experimental evidence indicates market sellers or landlords demand higher land rental prices when tenants receive per-unit subsidies. Their ability to obtain a higher price appears to be more formidable in markets with limited matching opportunities. We conclude fairness expectations may constrain individuals’ profit-maximization behavior in the land market and, in turn, affect payment incidence in this market.Agricultural and Food Policy,
GLOBAL AGRICULTURAL REFORM AND U.S. AGRICULTURAL ADJUSTMENT CAPACITY
No full textThis paper focuses on U.S. agriculture response to policy reform. A growing body of empirical literature describes the potential aggregate gains for the U.S. markets if global agricultural tariffs and subsidies can be further reduced (USDA, 2001; World Bank, GEP 2002; Tokarick, 2003). These gains are based on an aggregation of expected responses at the micro-level, by firms and households, to changing market conditions. Some of them will be "gainers" whose current economic activities and assets will benefit from the new opportunities presented by policy reform. Some will be "losers" who are adversely affected by the reduction or loss of subsidies or import protection.Agricultural and Food Policy,
Exchange Rates, Foreign Income, and U.S. Agricultural Exports
No full textWhile it is generally accepted that change in the real value of the dollar is an important determinant of exports, it has not been rigorously demonstrated that this relationship, derivable from theory, holds empirically for agricultural exports and the components of agricultural exports. Starting with a dynamic maximizing framework, this paper estimates the real trade-weighted exchange rate and trade partner income effects on U.S. agricultural exports. For the period 1970–2006, a one percent annual increase in trade partners’ income is found to increase total agricultural exports by about 0.75 percent, while a one percent appreciation of the dollar relative to trade partner trade-weighted currencies decreases total agricultural exports by about 0.5 percent. While these effects carry over to 12 commodity subcategories, they are conditioned by differences between bulk and high value commodities, and differences in the export demand from high compared to low income countries. We use a directed acyclic graphs (DAG) technique to identify the inverted fork causal relationships from vector autoregression (VAR) models. We also find that there is an asymmetric exchange rate effect so that the negative effect of exchange rate appreciation on exports sometimes dominates the positive effect of foreign income growth.exchange rates, U.S. agricultural trade, U.S. agricultural commodity exports, U.S. agricultural export prices, foreign income, International Relations/Trade,
ARE AMERICAN FARMERS BETTER OFF AS A RESULT OF TECHNOLOGY GAINS?
No full textResearch and Development/Tech Change/Emerging Technologies,
Exchange Rates, Foreign Income and U.S. Agriculture
No full textExchange rates, U.S. agricultural trade, U.S. agricultural commodity exports, U.S. agricultural export prices, foreign income, International Relations/Trade, F10, F14, Q17,
CHINESE REGIONAL AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY IN THE 1990'S
No full textA nonparametric Malmquist index and a stochastic frontier translog production function are employed to measure the regional agricultural productivity growth in China during the 1990's. Both models show high average productivity growth in 1994 & 1995 and average productivity decrease during 1996 to 1999, although the regional rates are different from two models.Productivity Analysis,
Minnesota Agricultural Economist 696
No full textMixed News from 1998 Farm RecordsMixed News from 1998 Farm Record by Kent Olson/Which Came First: Growth in Trade or Trade Arrangements? by Xinshen Diao, Terry Roe, and Agapi Somwar
A Global Perspective of Liberalizing World Textile and Apparel Trade
No full textInternational trade in textile and apparel has been governed by quantitative restrictions under the Multi-Fiber Arrangement (MFA) and earlier agreements for more than 30 years. One of the major accomplishments of the Uruguay Round was the Agreement on Textiles and Clothing (ATC), which provides for the dismantling of these restrictions. Under the Uruguay Round ATC, the MFA restrictions are to be phased out over a 10-year period and are scheduled to end by the year 2005. This study combines a data description of the trends in world textile and apparel trade flow, an econometric analysis on the linkage between textile trade and growth, and an intertemporal, world CGE model to evaluate the possible impact of liberalizing world textile and apparel trade. As textile and apparel industry is an important source of the growth, our study focuses on the effect on the developing countries.Textile trade and growth, ATC, Intertemporal general equilibrium
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