152 research outputs found
Suggestions on the use of statistical methodologies in studies of the European Group for Blood and Marrow Transplantation
Length of stay in different drug using states: lifestyles of problem and recreational drug consumers
Assessment of the role of timing of second transplantation in multiple myeloma by multistate modeling
Survival probabilities with time-dependent treatment indicator: quantities and non-parametric estimators
The 'landmark' and 'Simon and Makuch' non-parametric estimators of the survival function are commonly used to contrast the survival experience of time-dependent treatment groups in applications such as stem cell transplant versus chemotherapy in leukemia. However, the theoretical survival functions corresponding to the second approach were not clearly defined in the literature, and the use of the 'Simon and Makuch' estimator was criticized in the biostatistical community. Here, we review the 'landmark' approach, showing that it focuses on the average survival of patients conditional on being failure free and on the treatment status assessed at the landmark time. We argue that the 'Simon and Makuch' approach represents counterfactual survival probabilities where treatment status is forced to be fixed: the patient is thought as under chemotherapy without possibility to switch treatment or as under transplant since the beginning of the follow-up. We argue that the 'Simon and Makuch' estimator leads to valid estimates only under the Markov assumption, which is however less likely to occur in practical applications. This motivates the development of a novel approach based on time rescaling, which leads to suitable estimates of the counterfactual probabilities in a semi-Markov process. The method is also extended to deal with a fixed landmark time of interest
Analyzing differences between restricted mean survival time curves using pseudo-values
Hazard ratios are ubiquitously used in time to event analysis to quantify treatment effects. Although hazard ratios are invaluable for hypothesis testing, other measures of association, both relative and absolute, may be used to fully elucidate study results. Restricted mean survival time (RMST) differences between groups have been advocated as useful measures of association. Recent work focused on model-free estimates of the difference in restricted mean survival through follow-up times, instead of focusing on a single time horizon. The resulting curve can be used to quantify the association in time units with a simultaneous confidence band. In this work a model-based estimate of the curve is proposed using pseudo-values allowing for possible covariate adjustment. The method is easily implementable with available software and makes possible to compute a simultaneous confidence region for the curve. The pseudo-values regression using multiple restriction times is in good agreement with the estimates obtained by standard direct regression models fixing a single restriction time. Moreover, the proposed method is flexible enough to reproduce the results of the non-parametric approach when no covariates are considered. Examples where it is important to adjust for baseline covariates will be used to illustrate the different methods together with some simulations
Partially anaortic clampless off-pump coronary artery bypass prevents neurologic injury compared to on-pump coronary surgery: a propensity score-matched study on 286 patients
Anaortic coronary artery bypass proved to prevent early neurologic injury compared to on-pump CABG. The Cardica PAS-Port(®) is a fully automated device that might be able to perform proximal aorto-venous anastomoses without an increased embolic risk. We evaluated early post-operative neurologic outcome in a matched population following clampless OPCAB (CCAB: either "all-arterial" or with automatically anastomosed venous grafts) or on-pump CABG. 366 consecutive patients were submitted to isolated coronary bypass by a single surgeon experienced in both off and on-pump procedures between January 2009 and December 2013. Of these patients, 223 underwent a clampless off-pump revascularization. After propensity score matching, 143 pairs were selected, who received either off-pump or on-pump surgery. In the off-pump group, CCAB was performed with an all-arterial approach (n = 33) or with automated proximal anastomosis of the venous graft(s) by means of the Cardica PAS-Port(®) connector (n = 110). Neurologic injury was defined as non-reversible (NRNI: lethal coma or stroke) or reversible (RNI: TIA or delirium). Operative mortality was 2.4 % (CCAB 1.4 %; CABG 3.5 %; p = 0.14). The global rate of early neurologic injury was 5.6 % (CCAB 2.1 vs. CABG 9.1 %; p = 0.006). Incidence was 1.4 % for NRNI (CCAB 0 vs. CABG 2.8 %; p = 0.04) and 4.2 % for RNI (CCAB 2.1 vs. CABG 6.3 %; p = 0.06). No differences were found among other major perioperative outcomes. CCAB prevents both early post-operative RNI and NRNI. This result can be achieved with a totally anaortic strategy and also with the aid of a fully automated device for proximal aorto-venous anastomoses
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