1,721,001 research outputs found

    Political polarization in retrospective economic evaluations during recessions and recoveries

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    A study of political bias in perceptions of the state of the econom

    Replication Data for: Global Competition and Brexit

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    Replication Materia

    Replication Data for: Global Competition and Brexit

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    Replication Materia

    Governance Indicators

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    A chapter on indicators of public sector governanc

    Replication Data for: The Trade Origins of Economic Nationalism: Import Competition and Voting Behavior in Western Europe

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    We investigate the impact of globalization on electoral outcomes in fifteenWestern European countries, over 1988-2007. We employ both official election results at the district level and individual-level voting data, combined with party ideology scores from the ComparativeManifesto Project. We compute a region-specific measure of exposure to Chinese imports, based on the historical industry specialization of each region. To identify the causal impact of the import shock, we instrument imports to Europe using Chinese imports to the United States. At the district level, a stronger import shock leads to: (1) an increase in support for nationalist and isolationist parties; (2) an increase in support for radical-right parties; and (3) a general shift to the right in the electorate. These results are confirmed by the analysis of individual-level vote choices. In addition, we find evidence that voters respond to the shock in a sociotropic way

    Voting and climate change: how an extreme weather event increased support for a radical-right incumbent in Italy

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    We empirically assess two contrasting predictions that disasters related to climate change raise support for (1) environmentalist parties and (2) incumbents that successfully provide disaster relief. We study the electoral effects of Vaia, a devastating storm that hit the mountainous area of northeast Italy in 2018, on European Parliament elections. We measure the storm's material consequences combining granular data on forest disruption and municipal-level registries of damage relief. We exploit the stark variation in damage intensity between adjacent and closely similar municipalities in a stringent difference-in-differences design. The storm significantly increased support for the regional incumbent ---the radical-right Lega in most affected provinces--- and did not generate positive electoral returns for parties with environmentalist platforms. More research is needed to understand under which conditions exposure to extreme weather events activates support for environmentalist policy

    Replication Data for: Individual vulnerability to industrial robot adoption increases support for the radical right

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    This is the replication data for the paper "Individual vulnerability to industrial robot adoption increases support for the radical right"
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