1,720,995 research outputs found
Recensione di Nicola Maggini, “Young People’s Voting Behaviour in Europe: A Comparative Perspective.” London: Palgrave McMillan, 2017, 145 pp
No full textThe neofascist territorial legacy in the success of the Lega in 2019 European Elections: a multilevel approach
No full textIn Italy, the Lega obtained outstanding electoral success in the 2019 European elections, becoming the first party on the political spectrum. Previous literature has argued that this performance can be attributed to the leadership of Matteo Salvini, who transformed the Lega from an ethno-regionalist party into a national right-wing party (Passarelli and Tuorto, 2018). Previous research has also argued that the recent geographical trajectories
of the party’s success might be associated with the prevalence of a neo-fascist minority during the First Republic (e.g. Mancosu, 2015). However, the empirical evidence comes from aggregate official results and focuses only on some specific Italian regions of the so-called ‘red-zone’. By employing multilevel models on survey data, this paper tests whether this expectation holds also at the individual level, and in a larger geographical area. The findings show that individual propensities to vote for the Lega in 2019 are associated with the percentage of votes obtained more than forty years ago by the Movimento Sociale Italiano in the municipality where the respondent lives, but only in central and southern Italian regions, in which the Lega was an irrelevant competitor before Salvini’s leadership. These findings provide additional evidence concerning the ideological drivers of preferences for the Lega
Tra convergenza e divergenza: orientamento politico e fiducia degli italiani verso le istituzioni
No full textDuring the last forty years, confidence in several institutions has broadly changed among Italian people. However, patterns of variations are highly dependent on the type of institution. Confidence in political-administrative institutions did not substantially vary; confidence in order institutions has substantially increased; instead, confidence in supernational institutions has dramatically collapsed, especially during the last decade. This work aims at providing an original interpretation of the variation of the three dimensions of confidence in institutions by highlighting the role of the political context in shaping those attitudes. In particular, we argue that variation in parties’ positions toward institutions could lead to a change in confidence in order and supernational institutions. By using longitudinal data coming from the Italian edition of the European Values Study (from 1981 to 2018), we offer indirect evidence to our argumentation by analysing trends of confidence in those institutions by political orientation, measured by the left-right scale
An Email Won’t Get Me to the Ballot Box. Evidence from a «Get Out the Vote» Experiment in an Italian University Election
No full textBased on mobilization theories of turnout, during the last two decades an impressive strand of research referred to as «Get Out the Vote» (GOTV) has largely spread in the US and beyond. By means of randomized field experiments, GOTV studies tested the impact of several campaign techniques on individual turnout. While more personal forms of mobilization such as door-todoor canvassing proved to be effective, the analysis of the effectiveness of online mobilization led to inconclusive results. By employing email messages as forms of online mobilization, we provide some empirical evidence coming from the Italian context, where the difficulty in accessing the individual official voting records represented an obstacle to the diffusion of GOTV techniques. The field experiment was carried out in the election of students’ representatives of an Italian university in 2014. Students were randomly split in four groups: three of them received a mobilizing e-mail from the communication office of the university, while the fourth group received no email messages. Each treated group received a message which varied in content, randomly sent either one or five days before the election. Findings show no effect of institutional email messages on turnout, regardless of the content and the timing of delivery
Thou shalt not cheat : how to reduce internet use in web surveys on political knowledge
Full text linkBy means of a split-ballot survey experiment, we study whether a normative instruction not to use the internet when answering political knowledge questions reduces cheating in web surveys. The knowledge questions refer to basic facts about the European Union and the data come from the Italian National Election Study web panel carried out in Italy before the 2014 European Election. Our analysis shows that a simple normative instruction significantly reduces cheating. We also show that reducing cheating is important to achieve a correct assessment of reliability of knowledge scales, while a decrease of cheating leaves unaltered the knowledge gap between lower and higher educated respondents. These results invite caution when including political knowledge questions in an online survey. Our advice is to include a normative instruction not to search the internet to reduce cheating and obtain more genuine answers. More generally, we conclude by stressing the need to consider the implications of online data collection when building questionnaires for public opinion research
L'analisi dei dati survey
No full textA partire dalla propria esperienza didattica in ambito accademico, gli autori propongono una serie di esercizi ed esercitazioni per imparare ad analizzare i dati survey facendo ricorso ai più diffusi programmi statistici nell’ambito della ricerca sociale (SPSS e STATA). Il volume introduce lo studente e la studentessa a tali programmi e tratta le principali tecniche di costruzione delle variabili e di analisi dei dati: l’analisi monovariata, la costruzione di indici e tipologie, la tavola di contingenza bivariata e trivariata, la regressione semplice e multipla. Al di là dell’approccio pratico all’analisi dei dati, il volume presenta altre due peculiarità: è circoscritto ai dati survey, raccolti tramite questionario su campioni rappresentativi della popolazione, e sviluppa in stretta connessione domande di ricerca e analisi dei dati, evidenziando il ruolo centrale di tale legame per un disegno di ricerca coerente ed efficace. Inoltre, il volume fornisce degli strumenti utili a preparare una presentazione di un’analisi di dati, dalla definizione della domanda di ricerca alla discussione dei risultati. Il volume si rivolge principalmente agli studenti e alle studentesse dei corsi di laurea nelle scienze sociali, politiche ed economiche
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