1,721,032 research outputs found

    A central limit theorem for some generalized martingale arrays

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    Let (Xn,j)(X_{n,j}) and (Yn,j)(Y_{n,j}) be two arrays of real random variables and f:RRf:\mathbb{R}\rightarrow\mathbb{R} a Borel function. Define Dn=jf(i=1j1Yn,i)Xn,jD_n=\sum_jf\Bigl(\,\sum_{i=1}^{j-1}Y_{n,i}\Bigr)\,X_{n,j} and D=Z01f2(BG(t))dF(t)D=Z\,\sqrt{\int_0^1f^2(B_{G(t)})\,dF(t)} where BB is a standard Brownian motion, ZZ a standard normal random variable independent of BB, and FF and GG are distribution functions. Conditions for DnDD_n\rightarrow D, in distribution or stably, are given. Among other things, such conditions apply to certain sequences of stochastic integrals, when the quadratic variations of the integrand processes converge in distribution but not in probability. An upper bound for the Wasserstein distance between the probability distributions of DnD_n and DD is obtained as well

    An inequality for the total variation distance between high-dimensional centered Gaussian laws

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    We propose tight bounds for the total variation measure between two centered Gaussian laws, which improve over the existing inequalities. The suggested inequalities have applications in different contexts when a high-dimensional setting is assumed

    Some Skorohod-type results

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    Let SS be a metric space, g:SRg:S\rightarrow\mathbb{R} a Borel function, and (μn:n0)(\mu_n:n\ge 0) a sequence of tight probability measures on B(S)\mathcal{B}(S). If μn=μ0\mu_n=\mu_0 on σ(g)\sigma(g), there are SS-valued random variables XnX_n, all defined on the same probability space, such that XnμnX_n\sim\mu_n and g(Xn)=g(X0)g(X_n)=g(X_0) for all n0n\ge 0. Moreover, Xna.s.X0X_n\overset{a.s.}\longrightarrow X_0 if and only if Eμn(fg)μ0a.s.Eμ0(fg)E_{\mu_n}(f\mid g)\,\overset{\mu_0-a.s.}\longrightarrow\,E_{\mu_0}(f\mid g) for each fCb(S)f\in C_b(S). This result, proved in \cite{PR2023}, is the starting point of this paper. Three types of contributions are provided. First, σ(g)\sigma(g) is replaced by an arbitrary sub-σ\sigma-field GB(S)\mathcal{G}\subset\mathcal{B}(S). Second, the result is applied to some specific frameworks, including equivalence couplings, total variation distances, and the decomposition of cadlag processes with finite activity. Third, following \cite{HMMS}, the result is extended to models and kernels. This extension has a fairly natural interpretation in terms of decision theory, mass transportation and statistics

    On the almost sure convergence of sums

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    Two counterexamples, addressing questions raised in cite{AD} and cite{PZ}, are provided. Both counterexamples are related to chaoses. Let Fn=Yn+ZnF_n=Y_n+Z_n, where the random variables YnY_n and ZnZ_n belong to different chaoses of uniformly bounded degree. It may be that Fnoverseta.s.longrightarrow0F_noverset{a.s.}longrightarrow 0, FnoversetL2+deltalongrightarrow0F_noverset{L_{2+delta}}longrightarrow 0 and Eiglsupn,absFndeltaigr0Eigl{sup_n,abs{F_n}^deltaigr}0, and yet YnY_n fails to converge to 0 a.s

    On the properties of a Takács distribution

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    The Takács law – which includes the generalized Dickman law as a special case – arises as a limiting distribution of normalized sums. We provide some properties of this law and a feasible method for computing the probability density and distribution functions of the Takács random variable

    A survey on Skorokhod representation theorem without separability

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    Let SS be a metric space, G\mathcal{G} a σ\sigma-field of subsets of SS and (μn:n0)(\mu_n:n\geq 0) a sequence of probability measures on G\mathcal{G}. Say that (μn)(\mu_n) admits a Skorokhod representation if, on some probability space, there are random variables XnX_n with values in (S,G)(S,\mathcal{G}) such that \begin{equation*} X_n\sim\mu_n\text{ for each }n\ge 0\quad\text{and}\quad X_n\rightarrow X_0\text{ in probability}. \end{equation*} We focus on results of the following type: (μn)(\mu_n) has a Skorokhod representation if and only if J(μn,μ0)0J(\mu_n,\mu_0)\rightarrow 0, where JJ is a suitable distance (or discrepancy index) between probabilities on G\mathcal{G}. One advantage of such results is that, unlike the usual Skorokhod representation theorem, they apply even if the limit law μ0\mu_0 is not separable. The index JJ is taken to be the bounded Lipschitz metric and the Wasserstein distance

    Total variation bounds for Gaussian functionals

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    Let X={Xt:0t1}X=\{X_t:0\le t\le 1\} be a centered Gaussian process with continuous paths, and In=an201tn1(X12Xt2)dtI_n=\frac{a_n}{2}\,\int_0^1 t^{n-1} (X_1^2-X_t^2)\,dt where the ana_n are suitable constants. Fix β(0,1)\beta\in (0,1), cn>0c_n>0 and c>0c>0 and denote by NcN_c the centered Gaussian kernel with (random) variance cX12cX_1^2. Under an Holder condition on the covariance function of XX, there is a constant k(β)k(\beta) such that \begin{gather*} \norm{P\bigl(\sqrt{c_n}\,I_n\in\cdot\bigr)-E\bigl[N_c(\cdot)\bigr]\,}\le k(\beta)\,\Bigl(\frac{a_n}{n^{1+\alpha}}\Bigr)^\beta+\frac{\abs{c_n-c}}{c}\quad\text{for all }n\ge 1, \end{gather*} where \norm{\cdot} is total variation distance and α\alpha the Holder exponent of the covariance function. Moreover, if ann1+α0\frac{a_n}{n^{1+\alpha}}\rightarrow 0 and cncc_n\rightarrow c, then cnIn\sqrt{c_n}\,I_n converges \norm{\cdot}-stably to NcN_c, in the sense that \begin{gather*} \norm{P_F\bigl(\sqrt{c_n}\,I_n\in\cdot\bigr)-E_F\bigl[N_c(\cdot)\bigr]\,}\rightarrow 0 \end{gather*} for every measurable FF with P(F)>0P(F)>0. In particular, such results apply to X=X= fractional Brownian motion. In that case, they strictly improve the existing results in \cite{NNP16} and provide an essentially optimal rate of convergence

    Bayesian nonparametric inference on a Frechet class

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    Let (X,F,μ)(\mathcal{X},\mathcal{F},\mu) and (Y,G,ν)(\mathcal{Y},\mathcal{G},\nu) be probability spaces and (Zn)(Z_n) a sequence of random variables with values in (X×Y,FG)(\mathcal{X}\times\mathcal{Y},\,\mathcal{F}\otimes\mathcal{G}). Let Γ(μ,ν)\Gamma(\mu,\nu) be the collection of all probability measures pp on FG\mathcal{F}\otimes\mathcal{G} such that p(A×Y)=μ(A)andp(X×B)=ν(B)for all AF and BG.p\bigl(A\times\mathcal{Y}\bigr)=\mu(A)\quad\text{and}\quad p\bigl(\mathcal{X}\times B\bigr)=\nu(B)\quad\text{for all }A\in\mathcal{F}\text{ and }B\in\mathcal{G}. In this paper, we build some probability measures Π\Pi on Γ(μ,ν)\Gamma(\mu,\nu). In addition, for each such Π\Pi, we assume that (Zn)(Z_n) is exchangeable with de Finetti's measure Π\Pi and we evaluate the conditional distribution Π(Z1,,Zn)\Pi(\cdot\mid Z_1,\ldots,Z_n). In Bayesian nonparametrics, if (Z1,,Zn)(Z_1,\ldots,Z_n) are the available data, Π\Pi and Π(Z1,,Zn)\Pi(\cdot\mid Z_1,\ldots,Z_n) can be regarded as the prior and the posterior, respectively. To support this interpretation, it suffices to think of a problem where the unknown probability distribution of some bivariate phenomenon is constrained to have marginals μ\mu and ν\nu. Finally, analogous results are obtained for the set Γ(μ)\Gamma(\mu) of those probability measures on FG\mathcal{F}\otimes\mathcal{G} with marginal μ\mu on F\mathcal{F} (but arbitrary marginal on G\mathcal{G}). That is, we introduce some priors on Γ(μ)\Gamma(\mu) and we evaluate the corresponding posteriors

    Quantitative bounds in the central limit theorem for m-dependent random variables

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    For each n1n\ge 1, let Xn,1,,Xn,NnX_{n,1},\ldots,X_{n,N_n} be real random variables and Sn=i=1NnXn,iS_n=\sum_{i=1}^{N_n}X_{n,i}. Let mn1m_n\ge 1 be an integer. Suppose (Xn,1,,Xn,Nn)(X_{n,1},\ldots,X_{n,N_n}) is mnm_n-dependent, E(Xni)=0E(X_{ni})=0, E(X_{ni}^2)<\infty and \sigma_n^2:=E(S_n^2)>0 for all nn and ii. Then, \begin{gather*} d_W\Bigl(\frac{S_n}{\sigma_n},\,Z\Bigr)\le 30\,\bigl\{c^{1/3}+12\,U_n(c/2)^{1/2}\bigr\}\quad\quad\text{for all }n\ge 1\text{ and }c&gt;0, \end{gather*} where dWd_W is Wasserstein distance, ZZ a standard normal random variable and U_n(c)=\frac{m_n}{\sigma_n^2}\,\sum_{i=1}^{N_n}E\Bigl[X_{n,i}^2\,1\bigl\{\abs{X_{n,i}}>c\,\sigma_n/m_n\bigr\}\Bigr]. Among other things, this estimate of dW(Sn/σn,Z)d_W\bigl(S_n/\sigma_n,\,Z\bigr) yields a similar estimate of dTV(Sn/σn,Z)d_{TV}\bigl(S_n/\sigma_n,\,Z\bigr) where dTVd_{TV} is total variation distance

    Convergence in total variation of random sums

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    The rate of convergence of random sums, with respect to total variation distance, is investigated for an exchangeable sequence (Xn)(X_n) of real random variables and a sequence (Tn)(T_n) of random indices, with (Tn)(T_n) independent of (Xn)(X_n)
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