127,737 research outputs found

    Henry Phillips Civil War letters

    No full text
    This collection contains principally letters written by Henry T. Phillips to his family while he served in Helena, Arkansas, with the 47th Iowa Infantry. Also included is a letter written to Phillips and a letter written to Mattie Sawyers, who later became his wife

    A. T. Phillips to All Outdoors, Inc., November 25, 1921

    No full text
    In a letter to All Outdoors on November 25, 1921, A. T. Phillips sends $1 in hopes of receiving a tin of Yerba Mate that he read about in the 1919 article “Roving with Kephart.” He also expresses appreciation for Kephart’s writings and wishes the magazine had more contributors like him.miuam luuotam a-., spokting m®m Terrell, Taxes. MMF« 25, 1121. ALL WriMORS, !!«!. 47 WJff 4fth «. S!W TOJK CHf, 8»f» I» 2a year iasue of 0*t©8»r 1910 under "Roving with RspharV ths subject of *f*t%l Mate* appealed t;> »« at feeing a find for a ram, during eeawaleseawee, and ether uses. 1 aislald this Issue and only found It » few'days a#>, .alter eaeh«aftg it so throtiihly, 1 ©ould»*t find it ayaelf. 1 »=i leaving imfiw days far *e«ta Ms** for the Hills, «aae— mlpter Had iron latter* and 1 east a tin *f Tarhe Sat* »ers thea anything els* a th© world right mm to taks with a*. . ia th* artiela la your issue aoa*e referred to, yea stats that a tin of sheet Z lbs rstails at #1.00. 2 an sasloaiag l^iowrrsaay), and If there shsuld he say s/tooets, ia oris*,, please ssad It aarasl post ^Jg^JI* Sml JEffjr djUti as 2 mat this Just as <plokly m possible. 2 osrtaialy wish th* outdoor sv>,*pgin*s had mora Goatrilv- ters iiko Ksuhirt. Bvery one si his artaelss Is full of th* "human* aad h* irresistibly draws th* reader to his. With eaoh issuo of ALL CVrhOOaS 2 look far Ke.hart first. Thanking you ia advance for your prompt attention ia the above matter, and wishing ALL m:mom to uaoeuaded euoaess which it 2 hog to renaln. Vtry truly youra, a. f. PHILLIPS 403 W » M3K AWfUI TURKU* ,.TBU8

    T. S. Phillips to Horace Kephart, January 9, 1927

    No full text
    In a letter to Horace Kephart on January 9, 1927, T. S. Phillips asks Kephart where he might obtain the moccasins he writes about in Camping and Woodcraft. He asks about the antiseptic Kephart mentions, and compliments his writing

    What do New-Keynesian Phillips Curves imply for price-level targeting?

    Full text link
    This paper extends the analysis of price-level targeting to a model including the New-Keynesian Phillips Curve. We examine the inflation-output variability tradeoffs implied by optimal inflation and price-level rules. In previous work with the Neoclassical Phillips Curve, we found that the choice between inflation targeting and price-level targeting depended on the amount of persistence in the output gap. That is, if the output gap was not too persistent, or if lagged output did not enter the aggregate supply function, then inflation targets were preferred to price-level targets. When we start with a New-Keynesian Phillips Curve, the amount of persistence in the output gap still affects the relative placement of the inflation-output variability tradeoff. But, contrary to the Neoclassical case, even where the persistence of the output gap in the aggregate supply function is small or nonexistent, the price-level- targeting regime still results in a more favorable tradeoff between output and inflation variability than does an inflation-targeting regime.Phillips curve ; Monetary policy ; Inflation (Finance)

    The South African Phillips Curve: How Applicable is the Gordon Model?

    Full text link
    Is there a Phillips curve relationship present in South Africa and if so, what form does it take? Traditionally the way to estimate the Phillips curve is merely to regress the change in the price level on a measure of the output gap (or the deviation of actual unemployment from the NAIRU). However, Gordon (1990:481-5) has argued that estimating the Phillips curve in this manner biases the estimated results. Instead, Gordon (1997; 1989) puts forward his so-called triangular model that controls for inertia effects, output level effects and rates-of-change (in output) effects. He applies the model to several European countries, the US and Japan and finds meaningful results. The question this paper poses is whether or not the triangular model also applies to South Africa. In estimating the Phillips curve for South Africa the paper also experiments with four versions of the output gap, based on four different methods to estimate long run output, including the standard Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter and the production function approach. There are several variants of the Phillips curve. The first, as estimated by Phillips (1958) himself, measures the relationship between wage inflation and unemployment. However, other versions consider the relationship between price inflation and unemployment or price inflation and output. This paper focuses on the latter, given the absence of quarterly unemployment data in South Africa, as well as the lack of a reliable and sufficiently long unemployment time series. The paper first presents an overview of literature on the Phillips curve and its estimation for South Africa and other countries. This is followed by the second section that considers the model to be estimated, the data as well as the discussion of the alternative measures of the output gap. The third section presents the estimated results followed by section four that contains the conclusion and a discussion of the policy implications.

    Letter from S. J. Phillips, President of the Booker T. Washington Birthplace Memorial, to Charley Daniels

    No full text
    Letter from S. J. Phillips, President of the Booker T. Washington Birthplace Memorial, to Charley Daniels, concerning planned field trip to the site by the New Farmers of America and the New Homemakers of America

    Evolving Phillips trade-off

    Full text link
    We characterise the evolution of the U.S. unemployment-inflation trade-off since the late XIX century era via a Bayesian time-varying parameters structural VAR. The Great Inflation episode appears as historically unique along several dimensions. In particular, the shape of the ‘Phillips loop’–which is defined in terms of the impulse-response functions of inflation and unemployment’s deviations from equilibrium–was, during those years, clearly out of line with respect to the rest of the sample period for all structural innovations except money demand shocks. During the Great Depression, on the other hand, the Phillips trade-off did not exhibit any peculiar qualitative feature, so that, when seen through these lenses, the 1930s only stand out because of the sheer size of the macroeconomic fluctuation. The historical evolution of the Phillips trade-off exhibits virtually no connection with the evolution of the extent of trade openness of the U.S. economy. Although, by itself, this does not rule out a possible impact of globalisation on the slope of the trade-off in recent years, it clearly suggests that, historically, the evolution of the trade-off has been dominated by factors other than trade openness. JEL Classification: E30, E32Bayesian VARs, Globalisation, Great Depression, Great Inflation, identified VARs, Lucas Critique, Phillips trade-off, stochastic volatility, time-varying parameters

    Susan T. Phillips

    Full text link

    Productivity Growth and the Phillips Curve: A Reassessment of the US Experience

    Full text link
    In this paper we analyse a new Phillips curve (NPC) model and demonstrate that (i) frictional growth, i.e. the interplay of wage-staggering and money growth, generates a nonvertical NPC in the long-run, and (ii) the Phillips curve (PC) shifts with productivity growth. On this basis we estimate a dynamic system of macrolabour equations to evaluate the slope of the PC and explain the evolution of inflation and unemployment in the US from 1970 to 2006. Since our empirical methodology relies heavily on impulse response functions, it represents a synthesis of the traditional structural modelling and (structural) vector autoregressions (VARs). We find that the PC is downward-sloping with a slope of -3.58 in the long-run. Furthermore, during the stagflating 70s, the productivity slowdown contributed substantially to the increases in both unemployment and inflation, while the monetary expansion was quite ineffective and led mainly to higher inflation. Finally, the monetary expansion and productivity speedup of the roaring 90s were both responsible for the significant lowering of the unemployment rate.new Phillips curve, frictional growth, productivity growth, stagflating seventies, roaring nineties, impulse response functions

    Mis-Specification and Frequency Dependence in a New Keynesian Phillips Curve

    Full text link
    Phillips Curve, spectral regression, time series analysis
    corecore